Stock Analysis on Net

Texas Instruments Inc. (NASDAQ:TXN)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Texas Instruments Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The period under review demonstrates a fluctuating pattern in economic profit. While initial years exhibited strong economic profit, a noticeable decline is observed in subsequent periods.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT increased from US$7,923 million in 2021 to US$8,736 million in 2022, indicating improved operational profitability. However, NOPAT decreased significantly to US$6,512 million in 2023 and further to US$5,023 million in 2024. A slight recovery to US$5,439 million is noted in 2025, but remains below the levels seen in 2021 and 2022.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained relatively stable throughout the period, fluctuating between 16.44% and 16.78%. A minor increase from 16.44% in 2023 to 16.57% in 2025 is observed. This consistency suggests that the company’s risk profile and market conditions influencing its funding costs remained largely unchanged.
Invested Capital
Invested capital exhibited a consistent upward trend, increasing from US$16,409 million in 2021 to US$28,591 million in 2025. This indicates ongoing investment in the business, potentially through capital expenditures or acquisitions. The rate of increase accelerated between 2022 and 2024.
Economic Profit
Economic profit peaked at US$5,789 million in 2022, aligning with the highest NOPAT recorded during the period. A substantial decrease is then observed, falling to US$2,797 million in 2023, US$722 million in 2024, and stabilizing at US$700 million in 2025. This decline, despite increasing invested capital, suggests that the returns generated from those investments are not consistently exceeding the cost of capital. The diminishing economic profit highlights a potential erosion of value creation in the later years of the period.

The combination of decreasing NOPAT and increasing invested capital has resulted in a significant reduction in economic profit. While the cost of capital has remained stable, the company’s ability to generate returns above this cost has diminished, warranting further investigation into the factors driving the decline in profitability.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Texas Instruments Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net income
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in accounts receivable allowances2
Increase (decrease) in accrued restructuring3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest and debt expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest and debt expense
Tax benefit of interest and debt expense6
Adjusted interest and debt expense, after taxes7
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in accounts receivable allowances.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued restructuring.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

5 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest and debt expense = Adjusted interest and debt expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.


Net income and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) exhibited similar patterns over the five-year period. Both metrics increased from 2021 to 2022, followed by a decline through 2024, and a partial recovery in 2025. However, the magnitude of change differed between the two measures.

Overall Trend
From 2021 to 2022, both net income and NOPAT demonstrated growth, increasing from US$7,769 million and US$7,923 million, respectively, to US$8,749 million and US$8,736 million. This represents a period of positive financial performance. A subsequent downturn occurred between 2022 and 2024, with both metrics decreasing. Net income fell to US$4,799 million and NOPAT to US$5,023 million. A modest recovery was then observed in 2025, with net income reaching US$5,001 million and NOPAT reaching US$5,439 million.
NOPAT Analysis
NOPAT began at US$7,923 million in 2021 and peaked at US$8,736 million in 2022, representing a year-over-year increase of approximately 10.3%. The subsequent decline saw NOPAT decrease by approximately 42.6% between 2022 and 2024. The 2025 value indicates a partial recovery, with an increase of approximately 8.2% from 2024. The fluctuations in NOPAT suggest sensitivity to underlying operational factors or broader economic conditions.
Relationship to Net Income
NOPAT closely tracked net income throughout the period. The difference between the two values remained relatively small each year, indicating that non-operating items had a limited impact on overall profitability. In 2021, NOPAT exceeded net income by US$154 million. This difference narrowed in 2022 to just US$13 million. The gap widened again in 2023, 2024, and 2025, reaching US$22 million, US$224 million, and US$438 million respectively, suggesting a growing divergence due to non-operating factors in later years.

Cash Operating Taxes

Texas Instruments Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest and debt expense
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).


The provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes exhibited distinct patterns over the five-year period. Both metrics experienced fluctuations, though cash operating taxes demonstrated a more pronounced variance than the provision for income taxes.

Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes initially increased from US$1,150 million in 2021 to US$1,283 million in 2022, representing a growth of approximately 11.57%. A subsequent decrease was observed in 2023, falling to US$908 million. This downward trend continued into 2024 with a further reduction to US$654 million, before modestly increasing to US$709 million in 2025. Overall, the provision for income taxes decreased from 2022 to 2025.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes showed a significant increase from US$1,176 million in 2021 to US$1,521 million in 2022, a rise of approximately 29.12%. This was followed by a decrease to US$1,286 million in 2023. The decline continued into 2024, reaching US$978 million, and further decreased to US$849 million in 2025. The trend indicates a substantial reduction in cash operating taxes from the peak in 2022 to the end of the period.

The difference between the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes narrowed from US$26 million in 2021 to US$238 million in 2022. However, this difference reversed in subsequent years, becoming a negative value of US$378 million in 2023, US$324 million in 2024, and US$140 million in 2025. This suggests a growing divergence between reported tax expense and actual cash outflows for taxes, potentially due to timing differences or tax planning strategies.

The most substantial changes occurred between 2022 and 2023 for both metrics, with both experiencing notable declines. The period from 2023 to 2025 shows a more moderate, but continued, decrease in cash operating taxes, while the provision for income taxes stabilized somewhat.


Invested Capital

Texas Instruments Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Accounts receivable allowances3
Accrued restructuring4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Adjusted stockholders’ equity
Investments measured at fair value7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of accrued restructuring.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of investments measured at fair value.


Invested capital has demonstrated a consistent upward trend over the five-year period. Simultaneously, both total reported debt & leases and stockholders’ equity have increased, contributing to the growth in invested capital. The rate of increase in invested capital appears to be accelerating in later years.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
Total reported debt & leases increased from US$8,206 million in 2021 to US$14,779 million in 2025. The largest single-year increase occurred between 2022 and 2023, rising by US$2,635 million. Growth slowed between 2023 and 2024, but remained substantial at US$2,588 million. The increase from 2024 to 2025 was minimal, at US$392 million.
Stockholders’ Equity
Stockholders’ equity exhibited growth from US$13,333 million in 2021 to US$16,273 million in 2025. The rate of growth was most pronounced between 2021 and 2023, increasing by US$3,564 million. Growth slowed considerably between 2023 and 2024, with a marginal increase, and then decreased slightly in 2025.
Invested Capital
Invested capital increased steadily from US$16,409 million in 2021 to US$28,591 million in 2025. The increase from 2021 to 2022 was US$1,154 million. The increase from 2022 to 2023 was US$5,027 million, representing a significant acceleration. This trend continued from 2023 to 2024 with an increase of US$3,577 million, and then US$2,424 million from 2024 to 2025. The growth in invested capital is largely driven by the increases in both debt and equity, with debt contributing a larger proportion of the increase in recent years.

The consistent rise in invested capital suggests ongoing investment in operations and/or acquisitions. The increasing reliance on debt financing, particularly between 2022 and 2024, warrants further investigation to assess the associated financial risk and the returns generated from these investments.


Cost of Capital

Texas Instruments Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Texas Instruments Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
Analog Devices Inc.
Applied Materials Inc.
Broadcom Inc.
Intel Corp.
KLA Corp.
Lam Research Corp.
Micron Technology Inc.
NVIDIA Corp.
Qualcomm Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The economic spread ratio demonstrates a declining trend over the five-year period. Initially strong, the ratio exhibits a significant decrease, suggesting a diminishing competitive advantage or increasing cost of capital relative to returns generated from invested capital.

Economic Spread Ratio Trend
The economic spread ratio began at 31.60% in 2021 and increased slightly to 32.96% in 2022. A substantial decline is then observed, falling to 12.38% in 2023. This downward trajectory continues, with the ratio reaching 2.76% in 2024 and further decreasing to 2.45% in 2025. This represents a considerable erosion of the spread between return on invested capital and the cost of capital.

Economic profit also shows a declining trend, although the decrease is not perfectly synchronized with the economic spread ratio. While economic profit increased from 2021 to 2022, it subsequently decreased significantly in 2023 and continued to fall in 2024 and 2025, albeit at a slower rate.

Relationship between Economic Profit and Invested Capital
Invested capital consistently increased throughout the period, rising from US$16,409 million in 2021 to US$28,591 million in 2025. The decline in the economic spread ratio, coupled with the increasing invested capital, suggests that while the absolute economic profit is still positive, the efficiency with which capital is being deployed is decreasing. The company is investing more capital to generate a smaller economic profit relative to that capital.

The convergence of the economic spread ratio towards a lower percentage indicates a potential need to evaluate capital allocation strategies, operational efficiencies, and the competitive landscape. Further investigation into the factors driving the decreasing spread is warranted to understand the underlying causes and implement corrective measures.


Economic Profit Margin

Texas Instruments Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
Analog Devices Inc.
Applied Materials Inc.
Broadcom Inc.
Intel Corp.
KLA Corp.
Lam Research Corp.
Micron Technology Inc.
NVIDIA Corp.
Qualcomm Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The economic profit exhibited a fluctuating pattern over the five-year period. Initially increasing, it subsequently declined, reaching its lowest point in 2024 before stabilizing slightly in 2025. Revenue also demonstrated variability, peaking in 2022 before experiencing a decrease and a partial recovery. The economic profit margin, calculated from these figures, reflects this dynamic, showing a clear downward trend.

Economic Profit
Economic profit increased from US$5,184 million in 2021 to US$5,789 million in 2022, representing a growth of approximately 11.7%. A significant decrease was then observed in 2023, with economic profit falling to US$2,797 million. This decline continued into 2024, reaching US$722 million, before a slight recovery to US$700 million in 2025. The 2024 value represents the lowest economic profit within the observed period.
Revenue
Revenue increased from US$18,344 million in 2021 to US$20,028 million in 2022, a rise of approximately 9.2%. A subsequent decrease occurred in 2023, with revenue declining to US$17,519 million. This downward trend continued in 2024, reaching US$15,641 million, before a partial recovery to US$17,682 million in 2025. While revenue recovered somewhat in the final year, it did not return to the levels seen in 2021 or 2022.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin began at 28.26% in 2021 and increased slightly to 28.91% in 2022. A substantial decrease was then observed, with the margin falling to 15.97% in 2023. This decline accelerated in 2024, reaching 4.62%, and continued to 3.96% in 2025. The consistent reduction in the economic profit margin suggests that, despite some revenue recovery in 2025, the company’s ability to generate economic profit relative to its revenue has diminished considerably over the period.

The correlation between economic profit and revenue is evident, but the steeper decline in economic profit margin indicates that factors beyond revenue fluctuations, such as cost increases or changes in the cost of capital, likely contributed to the observed performance. The stabilization of the economic profit margin at a low level in 2025 suggests that the negative trends may be stabilizing, but remain significantly below earlier levels.