Capital asset pricing model (CAPM) indicates what should be the expected or required rate of return on risky assets like Abbott Laboratories common stock.
Rates of Return
Abbott Laboratories (ABT) | Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
t | Date | PriceABT,t1 | DividendABT,t1 | RABT,t2 | PriceS&P 500,t | RS&P 500,t3 |
Jan 31, 2019 | $72.98 | 2,704.10 | ||||
1. | Feb 28, 2019 | $77.62 | 6.36% | 2,784.49 | 2.97% | |
2. | Mar 31, 2019 | $79.94 | 2.99% | 2,834.40 | 1.79% | |
3. | Apr 30, 2019 | $79.56 | $0.32 | -0.08% | 2,945.83 | 3.93% |
. | . | . | . | . | . | . |
. | . | . | . | . | . | . |
. | . | . | . | . | . | . |
58. | Nov 30, 2023 | $104.29 | 10.30% | 4,567.80 | 8.92% | |
59. | Dec 31, 2023 | $110.07 | 5.54% | 4,769.83 | 4.42% | |
Average (R): | 1.01% | 1.11% | ||||
Standard deviation: | 6.14% | 5.31% |
Abbott Laboratories (ABT) | Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
t | Date | PriceABT,t1 | DividendABT,t1 | RABT,t2 | PriceS&P 500,t | RS&P 500,t3 |
Jan 31, 2019 | $72.98 | 2,704.10 | ||||
1. | Feb 28, 2019 | $77.62 | 6.36% | 2,784.49 | 2.97% | |
2. | Mar 31, 2019 | $79.94 | 2.99% | 2,834.40 | 1.79% | |
3. | Apr 30, 2019 | $79.56 | $0.32 | -0.08% | 2,945.83 | 3.93% |
4. | May 31, 2019 | $76.13 | -4.31% | 2,752.06 | -6.58% | |
5. | Jun 30, 2019 | $84.10 | 10.47% | 2,941.76 | 6.89% | |
6. | Jul 31, 2019 | $87.10 | $0.32 | 3.95% | 2,980.38 | 1.31% |
7. | Aug 31, 2019 | $85.32 | -2.04% | 2,926.46 | -1.81% | |
8. | Sep 30, 2019 | $83.67 | -1.93% | 2,976.74 | 1.72% | |
9. | Oct 31, 2019 | $83.61 | $0.32 | 0.31% | 3,037.56 | 2.04% |
10. | Nov 30, 2019 | $85.45 | 2.20% | 3,140.98 | 3.40% | |
11. | Dec 31, 2019 | $86.86 | 1.65% | 3,230.78 | 2.86% | |
12. | Jan 31, 2020 | $87.14 | $0.36 | 0.74% | 3,225.52 | -0.16% |
13. | Feb 29, 2020 | $77.03 | -11.60% | 2,954.22 | -8.41% | |
14. | Mar 31, 2020 | $78.91 | 2.44% | 2,584.59 | -12.51% | |
15. | Apr 30, 2020 | $92.09 | $0.36 | 17.16% | 2,912.43 | 12.68% |
16. | May 31, 2020 | $94.92 | 3.07% | 3,044.31 | 4.53% | |
17. | Jun 30, 2020 | $91.43 | -3.68% | 3,100.29 | 1.84% | |
18. | Jul 31, 2020 | $100.64 | $0.36 | 10.47% | 3,271.12 | 5.51% |
19. | Aug 31, 2020 | $109.47 | 8.77% | 3,500.31 | 7.01% | |
20. | Sep 30, 2020 | $108.83 | -0.58% | 3,363.00 | -3.92% | |
21. | Oct 31, 2020 | $105.11 | $0.36 | -3.09% | 3,269.96 | -2.77% |
22. | Nov 30, 2020 | $108.22 | 2.96% | 3,621.63 | 10.75% | |
23. | Dec 31, 2020 | $109.49 | 1.17% | 3,756.07 | 3.71% | |
24. | Jan 31, 2021 | $123.59 | $0.45 | 13.29% | 3,714.24 | -1.11% |
25. | Feb 28, 2021 | $119.78 | -3.08% | 3,811.15 | 2.61% | |
26. | Mar 31, 2021 | $119.84 | 0.05% | 3,972.89 | 4.24% | |
27. | Apr 30, 2021 | $120.08 | $0.45 | 0.58% | 4,181.17 | 5.24% |
28. | May 31, 2021 | $116.65 | -2.86% | 4,204.11 | 0.55% | |
29. | Jun 30, 2021 | $115.93 | -0.62% | 4,297.50 | 2.22% | |
30. | Jul 31, 2021 | $120.98 | $0.45 | 4.74% | 4,395.26 | 2.27% |
31. | Aug 31, 2021 | $126.37 | 4.46% | 4,522.68 | 2.90% | |
32. | Sep 30, 2021 | $118.13 | -6.52% | 4,307.54 | -4.76% | |
33. | Oct 31, 2021 | $128.89 | $0.45 | 9.49% | 4,605.38 | 6.91% |
34. | Nov 30, 2021 | $125.77 | -2.42% | 4,567.00 | -0.83% | |
35. | Dec 31, 2021 | $140.74 | 11.90% | 4,766.18 | 4.36% | |
36. | Jan 31, 2022 | $127.46 | $0.47 | -9.10% | 4,515.55 | -5.26% |
37. | Feb 28, 2022 | $120.62 | -5.37% | 4,373.94 | -3.14% | |
38. | Mar 31, 2022 | $118.36 | -1.87% | 4,530.41 | 3.58% | |
39. | Apr 30, 2022 | $113.50 | $0.47 | -3.71% | 4,131.93 | -8.80% |
40. | May 31, 2022 | $117.46 | 3.49% | 4,132.15 | 0.01% | |
41. | Jun 30, 2022 | $108.65 | -7.50% | 3,785.38 | -8.39% | |
42. | Jul 31, 2022 | $108.84 | $0.47 | 0.61% | 4,130.29 | 9.11% |
43. | Aug 31, 2022 | $102.65 | -5.69% | 3,955.00 | -4.24% | |
44. | Sep 30, 2022 | $96.76 | -5.74% | 3,585.62 | -9.34% | |
45. | Oct 31, 2022 | $98.94 | $0.47 | 2.74% | 3,871.98 | 7.99% |
46. | Nov 30, 2022 | $107.58 | 8.73% | 4,080.11 | 5.38% | |
47. | Dec 31, 2022 | $109.79 | 2.05% | 3,839.50 | -5.90% | |
48. | Jan 31, 2023 | $110.55 | $0.51 | 1.16% | 4,076.60 | 6.18% |
49. | Feb 28, 2023 | $101.72 | -7.99% | 3,970.15 | -2.61% | |
50. | Mar 31, 2023 | $101.26 | -0.45% | 4,109.31 | 3.51% | |
51. | Apr 30, 2023 | $110.47 | $0.51 | 9.60% | 4,169.48 | 1.46% |
52. | May 31, 2023 | $102.00 | -7.67% | 4,179.83 | 0.25% | |
53. | Jun 30, 2023 | $109.02 | 6.88% | 4,376.86 | 4.71% | |
54. | Jul 31, 2023 | $111.33 | $0.51 | 2.59% | 4,588.96 | 4.85% |
55. | Aug 31, 2023 | $102.90 | -7.57% | 4,507.66 | -1.77% | |
56. | Sep 30, 2023 | $96.85 | -5.88% | 4,288.05 | -4.87% | |
57. | Oct 31, 2023 | $94.55 | $0.51 | -1.85% | 4,193.80 | -2.20% |
58. | Nov 30, 2023 | $104.29 | 10.30% | 4,567.80 | 8.92% | |
59. | Dec 31, 2023 | $110.07 | 5.54% | 4,769.83 | 4.42% | |
Average (R): | 1.01% | 1.11% | ||||
Standard deviation: | 6.14% | 5.31% |
Show all
1 Data in US$ per share of common stock, adjusted for splits and stock dividends.
2 Rate of return on common stock of ABT during period t
3 Rate of return on S&P 500 (the market portfolio proxy) during period t
Variance and Covariance
t | Date | RABT,t | RS&P 500,t | (RABT,t–RABT)2 | (RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500)2 | (RABT,t–RABT)×(RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Feb 28, 2019 | 6.36% | 2.97% | 28.58 | 3.49 | 9.98 |
2. | Mar 31, 2019 | 2.99% | 1.79% | 3.91 | 0.47 | 1.36 |
3. | Apr 30, 2019 | -0.08% | 3.93% | 1.18 | 7.98 | -3.07 |
. | . | . | . | . | . | . |
. | . | . | . | . | . | . |
. | . | . | . | . | . | . |
58. | Nov 30, 2023 | 10.30% | 8.92% | 86.29 | 61.03 | 72.57 |
59. | Dec 31, 2023 | 5.54% | 4.42% | 20.52 | 11.00 | 15.03 |
Total (Σ): | 2,184.19 | 1,634.30 | 1,226.05 |
t | Date | RABT,t | RS&P 500,t | (RABT,t–RABT)2 | (RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500)2 | (RABT,t–RABT)×(RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Feb 28, 2019 | 6.36% | 2.97% | 28.58 | 3.49 | 9.98 |
2. | Mar 31, 2019 | 2.99% | 1.79% | 3.91 | 0.47 | 1.36 |
3. | Apr 30, 2019 | -0.08% | 3.93% | 1.18 | 7.98 | -3.07 |
4. | May 31, 2019 | -4.31% | -6.58% | 28.34 | 59.04 | 40.90 |
5. | Jun 30, 2019 | 10.47% | 6.89% | 89.43 | 33.49 | 54.73 |
6. | Jul 31, 2019 | 3.95% | 1.31% | 8.62 | 0.04 | 0.61 |
7. | Aug 31, 2019 | -2.04% | -1.81% | 9.34 | 8.50 | 8.91 |
8. | Sep 30, 2019 | -1.93% | 1.72% | 8.68 | 0.37 | -1.80 |
9. | Oct 31, 2019 | 0.31% | 2.04% | 0.49 | 0.88 | -0.66 |
10. | Nov 30, 2019 | 2.20% | 3.40% | 1.41 | 5.28 | 2.73 |
11. | Dec 31, 2019 | 1.65% | 2.86% | 0.41 | 3.07 | 1.12 |
12. | Jan 31, 2020 | 0.74% | -0.16% | 0.08 | 1.61 | 0.35 |
13. | Feb 29, 2020 | -11.60% | -8.41% | 159.11 | 90.57 | 120.05 |
14. | Mar 31, 2020 | 2.44% | -12.51% | 2.04 | 185.44 | -19.45 |
15. | Apr 30, 2020 | 17.16% | 12.68% | 260.72 | 134.06 | 186.96 |
16. | May 31, 2020 | 3.07% | 4.53% | 4.25 | 11.71 | 7.05 |
17. | Jun 30, 2020 | -3.68% | 1.84% | 21.98 | 0.54 | -3.44 |
18. | Jul 31, 2020 | 10.47% | 5.51% | 89.40 | 19.40 | 41.64 |
19. | Aug 31, 2020 | 8.77% | 7.01% | 60.25 | 34.82 | 45.80 |
20. | Sep 30, 2020 | -0.58% | -3.92% | 2.55 | 25.29 | 8.03 |
21. | Oct 31, 2020 | -3.09% | -2.77% | 16.81 | 15.00 | 15.87 |
22. | Nov 30, 2020 | 2.96% | 10.75% | 3.79 | 93.10 | 18.78 |
23. | Dec 31, 2020 | 1.17% | 3.71% | 0.03 | 6.79 | 0.42 |
24. | Jan 31, 2021 | 13.29% | -1.11% | 150.72 | 4.93 | -27.25 |
25. | Feb 28, 2021 | -3.08% | 2.61% | 16.77 | 2.26 | -6.16 |
26. | Mar 31, 2021 | 0.05% | 4.24% | 0.93 | 9.85 | -3.02 |
27. | Apr 30, 2021 | 0.58% | 5.24% | 0.19 | 17.11 | -1.80 |
28. | May 31, 2021 | -2.86% | 0.55% | 14.96 | 0.31 | 2.16 |
29. | Jun 30, 2021 | -0.62% | 2.22% | 2.65 | 1.24 | -1.82 |
30. | Jul 31, 2021 | 4.74% | 2.27% | 13.93 | 1.37 | 4.36 |
31. | Aug 31, 2021 | 4.46% | 2.90% | 11.86 | 3.22 | 6.17 |
32. | Sep 30, 2021 | -6.52% | -4.76% | 56.74 | 34.37 | 44.16 |
33. | Oct 31, 2021 | 9.49% | 6.91% | 71.87 | 33.74 | 49.24 |
34. | Nov 30, 2021 | -2.42% | -0.83% | 11.78 | 3.76 | 6.66 |
35. | Dec 31, 2021 | 11.90% | 4.36% | 118.61 | 10.60 | 35.45 |
36. | Jan 31, 2022 | -9.10% | -5.26% | 102.29 | 40.51 | 64.37 |
37. | Feb 28, 2022 | -5.37% | -3.14% | 40.68 | 17.99 | 27.06 |
38. | Mar 31, 2022 | -1.87% | 3.58% | 8.33 | 6.11 | -7.13 |
39. | Apr 30, 2022 | -3.71% | -8.80% | 22.29 | 98.04 | 46.75 |
40. | May 31, 2022 | 3.49% | 0.01% | 6.14 | 1.21 | -2.73 |
41. | Jun 30, 2022 | -7.50% | -8.39% | 72.46 | 90.21 | 80.85 |
42. | Jul 31, 2022 | 0.61% | 9.11% | 0.16 | 64.09 | -3.24 |
43. | Aug 31, 2022 | -5.69% | -4.24% | 44.88 | 28.62 | 35.84 |
44. | Sep 30, 2022 | -5.74% | -9.34% | 45.56 | 109.11 | 70.51 |
45. | Oct 31, 2022 | 2.74% | 7.99% | 2.98 | 47.34 | 11.88 |
46. | Nov 30, 2022 | 8.73% | 5.38% | 59.61 | 18.23 | 32.96 |
47. | Dec 31, 2022 | 2.05% | -5.90% | 1.09 | 49.04 | -7.30 |
48. | Jan 31, 2023 | 1.16% | 6.18% | 0.02 | 25.70 | 0.73 |
49. | Feb 28, 2023 | -7.99% | -2.61% | 80.99 | 13.82 | 33.45 |
50. | Mar 31, 2023 | -0.45% | 3.51% | 2.14 | 5.76 | -3.51 |
51. | Apr 30, 2023 | 9.60% | 1.46% | 73.74 | 0.13 | 3.08 |
52. | May 31, 2023 | -7.67% | 0.25% | 75.33 | 0.74 | 7.44 |
53. | Jun 30, 2023 | 6.88% | 4.71% | 34.46 | 13.02 | 21.18 |
54. | Jul 31, 2023 | 2.59% | 4.85% | 2.48 | 13.99 | 5.89 |
55. | Aug 31, 2023 | -7.57% | -1.77% | 73.69 | 8.28 | 24.70 |
56. | Sep 30, 2023 | -5.88% | -4.87% | 47.49 | 35.73 | 41.20 |
57. | Oct 31, 2023 | -1.85% | -2.20% | 8.18 | 10.92 | 9.45 |
58. | Nov 30, 2023 | 10.30% | 8.92% | 86.29 | 61.03 | 72.57 |
59. | Dec 31, 2023 | 5.54% | 4.42% | 20.52 | 11.00 | 15.03 |
Total (Σ): | 2,184.19 | 1,634.30 | 1,226.05 |
Show all
VarianceABT = Σ(RABT,t–RABT)2 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 2,184.19 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 37.66
VarianceS&P 500 = Σ(RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500)2 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 1,634.30 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 28.18
CovarianceABT, S&P 500 = Σ(RABT,t–RABT)×(RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500) ÷ (59 – 1)
= 1,226.05 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 21.14
Systematic Risk (β) Estimation
VarianceABT | 37.66 |
VarianceS&P 500 | 28.18 |
CovarianceABT, S&P 500 | 21.14 |
Correlation coefficientABT, S&P 5001 | 0.65 |
βABT2 | 0.75 |
αABT3 | 0.18% |
Calculations
1 Correlation coefficientABT, S&P 500
= CovarianceABT, S&P 500 ÷ (Standard deviationABT × Standard deviationS&P 500)
= 21.14 ÷ (6.14% × 5.31%)
= 0.65
2 βABT
= CovarianceABT, S&P 500 ÷ VarianceS&P 500
= 21.14 ÷ 28.18
= 0.75
3 αABT
= AverageABT – βABT × AverageS&P 500
= 1.01% – 0.75 × 1.11%
= 0.18%
Expected Rate of Return
Assumptions | ||
Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite1 | RF | 4.65% |
Expected rate of return on market portfolio2 | E(RM) | 13.79% |
Systematic risk (β) of Abbott Laboratories common stock | βABT | 0.75 |
Expected rate of return on Abbott Laboratories common stock3 | E(RABT) | 11.50% |
1 Unweighted average of bid yields on all outstanding fixed-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds neither due or callable in less than 10 years (risk-free rate of return proxy).
3 E(RABT) = RF + βABT [E(RM) – RF]
= 4.65% + 0.75 [13.79% – 4.65%]
= 11.50%