Stock Analysis on Net

Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT)

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

Microsoft Excel

In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) is generally described as cash flows after direct costs and before any payments to capital suppliers.


Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

Abbott Laboratories, free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) forecast

US$ in millions, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFFt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at 10.94%
01 FCFF0 5,628
1 FCFF1 5,887 = 5,628 × (1 + 4.62%) 5,307
2 FCFF2 6,211 = 5,887 × (1 + 5.50%) 5,046
3 FCFF3 6,608 = 6,211 × (1 + 6.38%) 4,839
4 FCFF4 7,088 = 6,608 × (1 + 7.27%) 4,679
5 FCFF5 7,666 = 7,088 × (1 + 8.15%) 4,561
5 Terminal value (TV5) 296,840 = 7,666 × (1 + 8.15%) ÷ (10.94%8.15%) 176,615
Intrinsic value of Abbott Laboratories capital 201,047
Less: Debt (fair value) 14,769
Intrinsic value of Abbott Laboratories common stock 186,278
 
Intrinsic value of Abbott Laboratories common stock (per share) $107.40
Current share price $117.13

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.


Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

Abbott Laboratories, cost of capital

Microsoft Excel
Value1 Weight Required rate of return2 Calculation
Equity (fair value) 203,157 0.93 11.51%
Debt (fair value) 14,769 0.07 3.15% = 3.63% × (1 – 13.14%)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

   Equity (fair value) = No. shares of common stock outstanding × Current share price
= 1,734,455,213 × $117.13
= $203,156,739,098.69

   Debt (fair value). See details »

2 Required rate of return on equity is estimated by using CAPM. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt is after tax.

   Estimated (average) effective income tax rate
= (14.10% + 16.50% + 13.90% + 9.50% + 11.70%) ÷ 5
= 13.14%

WACC = 10.94%


FCFF Growth Rate (g)

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

Abbott Laboratories, PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Interest expense 637 558 533 546 670
Net earnings from discontinued operations, net of taxes 24
Net earnings 5,723 6,933 7,071 4,495 3,687
 
Effective income tax rate (EITR)1 14.10% 16.50% 13.90% 9.50% 11.70%
 
Interest expense, after tax2 547 466 459 494 592
Add: Cash dividends declared on common shares 3,625 3,365 3,235 2,722 2,343
Interest expense (after tax) and dividends 4,172 3,831 3,694 3,216 2,935
 
EBIT(1 – EITR)3 6,270 7,399 7,530 4,965 4,279
 
Short-term borrowings 213 201
Current portion of long-term debt 1,080 2,251 754 7 1,277
Long-term debt, excluding current portion 13,599 14,522 17,296 18,527 16,661
Total Abbott shareholders’ investment 38,603 36,686 35,802 32,784 31,088
Total capital 53,282 53,459 53,852 51,531 49,227
Financial Ratios
Retention rate (RR)4 0.33 0.48 0.51 0.35 0.31
Return on invested capital (ROIC)5 11.77% 13.84% 13.98% 9.64% 8.69%
Averages
RR 0.40
ROIC 11.58%
 
FCFF growth rate (g)6 4.62%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 See details »

2023 Calculations

2 Interest expense, after tax = Interest expense × (1 – EITR)
= 637 × (1 – 14.10%)
= 547

3 EBIT(1 – EITR) = Net earnings – Net earnings from discontinued operations, net of taxes + Interest expense, after tax
= 5,7230 + 547
= 6,270

4 RR = [EBIT(1 – EITR) – Interest expense (after tax) and dividends] ÷ EBIT(1 – EITR)
= [6,2704,172] ÷ 6,270
= 0.33

5 ROIC = 100 × EBIT(1 – EITR) ÷ Total capital
= 100 × 6,270 ÷ 53,282
= 11.77%

6 g = RR × ROIC
= 0.40 × 11.58%
= 4.62%


FCFF growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Total capital, fair value0 × WACC – FCFF0) ÷ (Total capital, fair value0 + FCFF0)
= 100 × (217,926 × 10.94%5,628) ÷ (217,926 + 5,628)
= 8.15%

where:

Total capital, fair value0 = current fair value of Abbott Laboratories debt and equity (US$ in millions)
FCFF0 = the last year Abbott Laboratories free cash flow to the firm (US$ in millions)
WACC = weighted average cost of Abbott Laboratories capital


FCFF growth rate (g) forecast

Abbott Laboratories, H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1 4.62%
2 g2 5.50%
3 g3 6.38%
4 g4 7.27%
5 and thereafter g5 8.15%

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 4.62% + (8.15%4.62%) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 5.50%

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 4.62% + (8.15%4.62%) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 6.38%

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 4.62% + (8.15%4.62%) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 7.27%