Stock Analysis on Net

HP Inc. (NYSE:HPQ)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since August 29, 2019.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

HP Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2018 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The analysis of the presented financial data reveals notable fluctuations and trends across the observed periods.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT shows a general decline over the years under review. Beginning at 4,258 million USD in 2013, it increased slightly in 2014 to 4,693 million USD, then experienced a consistent decrease from 2015 onwards. By 2018, NOPAT had fallen to 2,027 million USD, indicating a significant reduction over this six-year span.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital has exhibited an upward trend, rising from 15.82% in 2013 to 18.83% in 2018. This increase was not linear but generally steep, with moderate fluctuations. Notably, the cost of capital peaked at 18.83% in 2018, the highest within the observed timeframe, suggesting higher funding costs and possible increased risk perception.
Invested Capital
Invested capital values present an unusual pattern. They start at 67,461 million USD in 2013, dip slightly in 2014, then increase to 71,569 million USD in 2015. However, from 2016 onwards, there is a dramatic and abrupt decrease to levels around 9,000 million USD or less, ending at 7,561 million USD in 2018. This sharp decline indicates either a change in accounting treatment, divestitures, or significant disposal of assets or capital reduction, which requires further investigation.
Economic Profit
Economic profit, calculated as NOPAT minus the cost of capital charge on invested capital, displays substantial improvements after 2015. Initially, the company experienced negative economic profits from 2013 to 2015, with losses peaking at -6,767 million USD in 2014. From 2016, economic profit turns positive, albeit modestly, reaching 1,406 million USD in 2016 and then stabilizing around 600 to 1,300 million USD in subsequent years. This shift underscores an improved ability to generate returns exceeding the cost of capital despite declining NOPAT.

In summary, while operating profitability has decreased, the company has improved its capital efficiency or structural position, resulting in positive economic profits in the later years. The escalating cost of capital may present challenges, but the significant reduction in invested capital appears to have contributed positively to economic profit outcomes.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

HP Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Net earnings
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue3
Increase (decrease) in product warranty liabilities4
Increase (decrease) in restructuring plans, accrued balance5
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents6
Interest expense on borrowings
Interest expense, operating lease liability7
Adjusted interest expense on borrowings
Tax benefit of interest expense on borrowings8
Adjusted interest expense on borrowings, after taxes9
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income10
Investment income, after taxes11
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax12
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in product warranty liabilities.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring plans, accrued balance.

6 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings.

7 2018 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

8 2018 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense on borrowings = Adjusted interest expense on borrowings × Statutory income tax rate
= × 23.30% =

9 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings.

10 2018 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 23.30% =

11 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

12 Elimination of discontinued operations.


Net earnings

Net earnings displayed a downward trend from 2013 through 2016, decreasing from 5,113 million US dollars in 2013 to a low of 2,496 million US dollars in 2016. This was followed by a period of relative stability with a slight increase to 2,526 million US dollars in 2017. In 2018, net earnings sharply rebounded to 5,327 million US dollars, surpassing the 2013 figure.

Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

NOPAT witnessed a decline during the same initial period, dropping from 4,258 million US dollars in 2013 to 2,997 million US dollars in 2016. There was a modest recovery in 2017, reaching 3,064 million US dollars. However, contrary to net earnings, NOPAT decreased significantly in 2018 to 2,027 million US dollars, marking the lowest value in the observed range.

Overall Analysis

The data reveals diverging trends between net earnings and NOPAT in 2018. While net earnings showed a strong recovery, more than doubling relative to the previous year, NOPAT declined sharply, indicating potential changes in operational efficiency, tax effects, or non-operating income components affecting the profitability metrics differently. The earlier period from 2013 to 2016 demonstrates a consistent decline in both metrics, possibly pointing to operational challenges or adverse market conditions during those years.


Cash Operating Taxes

HP Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Provision for (benefit from) taxes on earnings
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense on borrowings
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).


Provision for (benefit from) taxes on earnings
The provision for taxes on earnings exhibits significant volatility over the observed period. Starting at $1,397 million in 2013, it increased to $1,544 million in 2014, followed by a sharp decline to $178 million in 2015. In 2016, the amount rose again to $1,095 million, then decreased to $750 million in 2017, before turning into a substantial tax benefit of -$2,314 million in 2018. This fluctuation indicates variability in the company's taxable income or changes in tax strategy and tax regulations over the years.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes show a general downward trend from 2013 to 2017, decreasing from $1,924 million to $612 million. However, there is a notable rebound in 2018 with an increase to $1,398 million. This trend suggests a gradual reduction in actual cash tax payments over the first five years, possibly due to tax planning or changes in profitability, followed by a significant rise in the final year, which could reflect an increase in taxable cash flows or changes in tax payments timing or policies.

Invested Capital

HP Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Notes payable and short-term borrowings
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total HP stockholders’ equity (deficit)
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for doubtful accounts3
Deferred revenue4
Product warranty liabilities5
Restructuring plans, accrued balance6
Equity equivalents7
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax8
Non-controlling interests
Adjusted total HP stockholders’ equity (deficit)
Available-for-sale investments9
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue.

5 Addition of product warranty liabilities.

6 Addition of restructuring plans, accrued balance.

7 Addition of equity equivalents to total HP stockholders’ equity (deficit).

8 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

9 Subtraction of available-for-sale investments.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibited a fluctuating pattern over the analyzed period. Starting at 25,193 million US dollars in 2013, the figure decreased to 22,206 million in 2014, followed by an increase to 27,126 million in 2015. Subsequently, there was a sharp decline to 7,737 million in 2016, with minor increases to 8,855 million in 2017 and a decrease again to 7,247 million in 2018. This indicates a significant reduction in debt levels from 2015 onwards, possibly reflecting a strategic deleveraging or asset restructuring effort.
Total HP stockholders’ equity (deficit)
Stockholders’ equity showed stability and slight growth from 27,269 million in 2013 to 27,768 million in 2015. However, from 2016 onwards, the equity balance turned negative, indicating a deficit position of -3,889 million in 2016. This deficit slightly improved but remained negative at -3,408 million in 2017 and -639 million in 2018. The transition to negative equity suggests significant losses or charges affecting retained earnings or valuation adjustments during this period.
Invested capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable and showed a mild upward trend from 67,461 million in 2013 to 71,569 million in 2015. Beginning in 2016, there was a sharp and substantial drop to 9,027 million followed by a slight increase to 9,763 million in 2017 and a decrease again to 7,561 million in 2018. The dramatic decline post-2015 aligns with reduced debt levels and negative equity, possibly reflecting a divestiture of significant assets or a fundamental change in capital structure.

Cost of Capital

HP Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short- and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 23.30%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 23.30%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short- and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short- and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short- and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short- and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short- and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

HP Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Apple Inc.
Arista Networks Inc.
Cisco Systems Inc.
Dell Technologies Inc.
Super Micro Computer Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2018 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data reflects significant shifts in economic profit, invested capital, and economic spread ratio over the six-year period analyzed.

Economic Profit
Economic profit began at a substantial negative level of -6411 million USD in 2013 and continued to decline further in 2014 to -6767 million USD, indicating increasing losses during these years. However, from 2015 onwards, there was a marked improvement, moving into positive territory by 2016 with 1406 million USD. Although there was a slight decrease afterward, economic profit remained positive in 2017 and 2018, registering 1307 million USD and 603 million USD, respectively. This trend suggests a recovery phase after initial losses, albeit with some volatility in the latest periods.
Invested Capital
The invested capital figures show a decline from 67461 million USD in 2013 to a low of 65787 million USD in 2014, followed by an increase to 71569 million USD in 2015. A dramatic decrease occurred in 2016, dropping sharply to 9027 million USD and remaining at a comparable level through 2018, with slight fluctuations (9763 million USD in 2017 and 7561 million USD in 2018). This sharp drop might indicate a restructuring, asset divestiture, or a change in accounting or reporting practices impacting the invested capital base during this period.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio, which reflects the return above the cost of capital, was significantly negative in 2013 and 2014 at -9.5% and -10.29%, respectively. It improved in 2015 to -5.85%, then turned positive in 2016 with a robust 15.57%. Although it decreased subsequently, it remained positive, with 13.39% in 2017 and 7.97% in 2018. This ratio's trajectory aligns with the economic profit trend, indicating improved profitability relative to capital costs after 2015, but with a moderation in the last two years.

Overall, the data reveals a period of financial distress or heavy losses in the early years, followed by a recovery phase starting in 2016, with positive economic profit and spread ratios despite a significant reduction in invested capital. The decrease in invested capital alongside improved profitability metrics suggests enhanced capital efficiency or strategic shifts in asset management.


Economic Profit Margin

HP Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Net revenue
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue
Adjusted net revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Apple Inc.
Arista Networks Inc.
Cisco Systems Inc.
Dell Technologies Inc.
Super Micro Computer Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2018 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted net revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit experienced a marked improvement over the observed period. Initially, there were significant negative values, with a low of -6,767 million USD in 2014. By 2016, economic profit turned positive, reaching 1,406 million USD, and although it decreased slightly thereafter, it remained positive in 2017 and 2018, with values of 1,307 million USD and 603 million USD respectively. This shift indicates a turnaround from losses to profitability.
Adjusted Net Revenue
The adjusted net revenue showed a declining trend from 2013 to 2015, dropping from 111,817 million USD to 103,853 million USD. A significant decrease occurred in 2016, where it nearly halved to 48,159 million USD. However, there was a recovery in the following years, with revenue increasing to 52,205 million USD in 2017 and further to 58,639 million USD in 2018. This pattern suggests a restructuring or change in reporting standards that significantly impacted revenue figures starting in 2016.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin followed a trajectory consistent with the economic profit figures. It started negative at -5.73% in 2013, worsening slightly to -6.09% in 2014, and then improving to -4.03% in 2015. From 2016 onward, the margin turned positive, reaching 2.92%, then decreasing slightly to 2.5% in 2017 and further to 1.03% in 2018. This improvement in margin aligns with the transition from negative to positive economic profit, indicating better utilization of revenues to generate profit.