Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. (NASDAQ:WBD)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since November 4, 2022.

Market Value Added (MVA)

Microsoft Excel

Market value added (MVA) is the difference between a firm fair value and its invested capital. MVA is a measure of the value a company has created in excess of the resources already committed to the enterprise.


MVA

Warner Bros. Discovery Inc., MVA calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Fair value of total debt and finance lease liabilities1 17,455 18,941 17,360 16,799 15,450
Operating lease liability 629 663 703 736 205
Market value of common equity 14,038 26,945 12,851 15,237 9,288
Redeemable noncontrolling interests 363 383 442 415 413
Noncontrolling interests 1,434 1,536 1,633 1,716 —
Less: Equity investments with readily determinable fair values 120 86 51 77 164
Market (fair) value of Warner Bros. Discovery 33,799 48,382 32,938 34,826 25,192
Less: Invested capital2 30,724 30,674 30,994 31,259 21,151
MVA 3,075 17,708 1,944 3,567 4,041

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Fair value of debt. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »


The analysis of Market Value Added (MVA) between 2017 and 2021 reveals a period of significant volatility, primarily driven by fluctuations in market capitalization rather than changes in the invested capital base. While the company maintained a positive MVA throughout the period, the magnitude of this value shifted dramatically, peaking in 2020 before experiencing a sharp contraction in 2021.

Market Value Trends
Market capitalization exhibited substantial variance over the five-year period. After an initial increase from 25,192 million US$ in 2017 to 34,826 million US$ in 2018, the value fluctuated, reaching a peak of 48,382 million US$ in 2020. However, a significant correction occurred by the end of 2021, with the market value falling to 33,799 million US$, nearly returning to 2018 levels.
Invested Capital Stability
Invested capital showed a marked increase between 2017 and 2018, rising from 21,151 million US$ to 31,259 million US$. Following this initial expansion, the capital base remained remarkably stable, hovering around the 30,700 million US$ to 31,000 million US$ range for the remainder of the period. This stability indicates that the changes in MVA were not a result of capital injections or divestments, but rather shifts in market perception.
Market Value Added (MVA) Performance
The MVA followed a volatile trajectory, characterized by a steady decline from 4,041 million US$ in 2017 to a low of 1,944 million US$ in 2019. A dramatic surge was observed in 2020, where MVA spiked to 17,708 million US$, reflecting a period of peak investor optimism. This trend reversed abruptly in 2021, as MVA collapsed to 3,075 million US$, representing a substantial loss of created market value relative to the invested capital.

In summary, the disparity between the stability of invested capital and the volatility of market value indicates that the company's MVA was highly sensitive to external market sentiment. The exceptional spike in 2020 was an anomaly that was not sustained into 2021, leading to a normalized but lower value added position by the end of the analyzed period.

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MVA Spread Ratio

Warner Bros. Discovery Inc., MVA spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Market value added (MVA)1 3,075 17,708 1,944 3,567 4,041
Invested capital2 30,724 30,674 30,994 31,259 21,151
Performance Ratio
MVA spread ratio3 10.01% 57.73% 6.27% 11.41% 19.11%
Benchmarks
MVA Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Alphabet Inc. 988.84% — — — —
Comcast Corp. 50.35% — — — —
Meta Platforms Inc. 579.06% — — — —
Netflix Inc. 453.21% — — — —
Walt Disney Co. 103.57% 101.22% — — —

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 MVA. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2021 Calculation
MVA spread ratio = 100 × MVA ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 3,075 ÷ 30,724 = 10.01%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data indicates a period of significant volatility in market valuation relative to the capital invested in the company between 2017 and 2021. While the invested capital base remained relatively stable after an initial increase, the market value added and the corresponding spread ratio experienced extreme fluctuations, most notably a substantial spike in 2020 followed by a sharp correction in 2021.

Market Value Added (MVA)
A downward trend is observed from 2017 to 2019, with MVA decreasing from 4,041 million US$ to 1,944 million US$. This decline was reversed abruptly in 2020, where MVA reached a peak of 17,708 million US$. However, this growth was not sustained, as the value fell precipitously to 3,075 million US$ by the end of 2021, returning to levels similar to those seen in the 2017-2018 period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed a sharp increase between 2017 and 2018, rising from 21,151 million US$ to 31,259 million US$. Following this initial expansion, the capital base remained remarkably consistent for the remainder of the period, fluctuating minimally between 30,674 million US$ and 30,994 million US$ through 2021.
MVA Spread Ratio
The MVA spread ratio mirrors the volatility of the absolute MVA, as the denominator—invested capital—remained stable. The ratio declined from 19.11% in 2017 to a low of 6.27% in 2019. A dramatic escalation occurred in 2020, with the ratio peaking at 57.73%, indicating a period of intense market optimism or valuation expansion. This was followed by a significant contraction to 10.01% in 2021, suggesting a normalization of market expectations.

The divergence between the stability of the invested capital and the volatility of the MVA spread ratio suggests that the changes in value were driven by external market perceptions and valuation multiples rather than shifts in the company's internal capital structure or asset base.

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MVA Margin

Warner Bros. Discovery Inc., MVA margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Market value added (MVA)1 3,075 17,708 1,944 3,567 4,041
 
Revenues 12,191 10,671 11,144 10,553 6,873
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenues (76) 52 228 5 79
Adjusted revenues 12,115 10,723 11,372 10,558 6,952
Performance Ratio
MVA margin2 25.38% 165.14% 17.10% 33.79% 58.13%
Benchmarks
MVA Margin, Competitors3
Alphabet Inc. 655.85% — — — —
Comcast Corp. 99.16% — — — —
Meta Platforms Inc. 454.84% — — — —
Netflix Inc. 529.22% — — — —
Walt Disney Co. 263.91% 272.21% — — —

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 MVA. See details »

2 2021 Calculation
MVA margin = 100 × MVA ÷ Adjusted revenues
= 100 × 3,075 ÷ 12,115 = 25.38%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


An analysis of the financial metrics from 2017 to 2021 reveals significant volatility in market value creation despite a generally upward trajectory in adjusted revenues. The relationship between market value added and revenue demonstrates a lack of linear correlation, characterized by a dramatic peak in 2020 followed by a sharp correction in 2021.

Market Value Added (MVA) Trends
Between 2017 and 2019, MVA experienced a consistent decline, falling from 4,041 million USD to 1,944 million USD. This downward trend was abruptly reversed in 2020, where MVA surged to a peak of 17,708 million USD. However, this valuation was not sustained, as 2021 saw a substantial contraction back to 3,075 million USD, representing a significant reduction from the previous year's high.
MVA Margin Volatility
The MVA margin mirrors the volatility of the absolute MVA figures. The margin declined steadily from 58.13% in 2017 to a low of 17.10% in 2019. An extraordinary spike occurred in 2020, with the margin reaching 165.14%, indicating that the market value added far exceeded the adjusted revenues for that period. By 2021, the margin corrected sharply to 25.38%, returning to a level more aligned with the pre-2020 trend.
Revenue Correlation and Divergence
Adjusted revenues grew from 6,952 million USD in 2017 to 12,115 million USD in 2021, with only a minor dip in 2020. The divergence is most evident when comparing the revenue growth to the MVA margin; while revenues increased by approximately 74% over the five-year period, the MVA margin ended lower than its 2017 starting point. This suggests that the increase in scale (revenue) did not consistently translate into proportional increases in market value added.

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