Allowance for doubtful accounts receivable (bad debts) is a contra account which reduce the balance of the company gross accounts receivable. The relationship between the allowance and the balance in receivables should be relatively constant unless there is a change in the economy overall or a change in customer base.
Allowance for Doubtful Accounts Receivable
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 2022 Calculation
Allowance as a percentage of accounts receivable, gross = 100 × Allowance for expected credit losses ÷ Accounts receivable, gross
= 100 × 117 ÷ 2,950 = 3.97%
An analysis of the allowance for expected credit losses reveals a progressive increase in the credit risk profile from 2020 to 2022. While gross receivables fluctuated during this period, the proportion of funds set aside to cover potential defaults grew consistently.
- Allowance for Expected Credit Losses
- The nominal value of the allowance remained relatively stable between 2020 and 2021, moving from US$ 89 million to US$ 88 million. However, a significant increase occurred in 2022, with the allowance rising to US$ 117 million, indicating a more aggressive provisioning strategy or an increase in anticipated credit defaults.
- Gross Accounts Receivable
- Gross receivables experienced a contraction between 2020 and 2021, falling from US$ 2,870 million to US$ 2,491 million. This was followed by a recovery in 2022, where the balance increased to US$ 2,950 million, surpassing the 2020 levels.
- Allowance as a Percentage of Gross Receivables
- A steady upward trend is observed in the allowance ratio, which rose from 3.10% in 2020 to 3.53% in 2021, and reached 3.97% by the end of 2022. This consistent increase suggests a deteriorating outlook on the recoverability of receivables or a systemic shift toward more conservative credit loss assumptions.
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