Present Value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)
In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) is generally described as cash flows after direct costs and before any payments to capital suppliers.
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ONEOK Inc. pages available for free this week:
- Statement of Comprehensive Income
- Common-Size Income Statement
- Common-Size Balance Sheet: Assets
- Common-Size Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
- DuPont Analysis: Disaggregation of ROE, ROA, and Net Profit Margin
- Price to FCFE (P/FCFE)
- Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
- Total Asset Turnover since 2005
- Price to Sales (P/S) since 2005
- Analysis of Debt
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Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)
ONEOK Inc., free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) forecast
US$ in thousands, except per share data
| Year | Value | FCFFt or Terminal value (TVt) | Calculation | Present value at |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | FCFF0 | |||
| 1 | FCFF1 | = × (1 + ) | ||
| 2 | FCFF2 | = × (1 + ) | ||
| 3 | FCFF3 | = × (1 + ) | ||
| 4 | FCFF4 | = × (1 + ) | ||
| 5 | FCFF5 | = × (1 + ) | ||
| 5 | Terminal value (TV5) | = × (1 + ) ÷ ( – ) | ||
| Intrinsic value of ONEOK Inc. capital | ||||
| Less: Series E Preferred Stock (fair value) | ||||
| Less: Debt and finance lease liability (fair value) | ||||
| Intrinsic value of ONEOK Inc. common stock | ||||
| Intrinsic value of ONEOK Inc. common stock (per share) | ||||
| Current share price | ||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
ONEOK Inc., cost of capital
| Value1 | Weight | Required rate of return2 | Calculation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity (fair value) | ||||
| Series E Preferred Stock (fair value) | ||||
| Debt and finance lease liability (fair value) | = × (1 – ) |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in thousands
Equity (fair value) = No. shares of common stock outstanding × Current share price
= ×
=
Debt and finance lease liability (fair value). See details »
2 Required rate of return on equity is estimated by using CAPM. See details »
Required rate of return on debt. See details »
Required rate of return on debt is after tax.
Estimated (average) effective income tax rate
= ( + + + + ) ÷ 5
=
WACC =
FCFF Growth Rate (g)
FCFF growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model
ONEOK Inc., PRAT model
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
2022 Calculations
2 Interest expense, net of capitalized interest, after tax = Interest expense, net of capitalized interest × (1 – EITR)
= × (1 – )
=
3 EBIT(1 – EITR)
= Net income attributable to ONEOK + Interest expense, net of capitalized interest, after tax
= +
=
4 RR = [EBIT(1 – EITR) – Interest expense (after tax) and dividends] ÷ EBIT(1 – EITR)
= [ – ] ÷
=
5 ROIC = 100 × EBIT(1 – EITR) ÷ Total capital
= 100 × ÷
=
6 g = RR × ROIC
= ×
=
FCFF growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model
g = 100 × (Total capital, fair value0 × WACC – FCFF0) ÷ (Total capital, fair value0 + FCFF0)
= 100 × ( × – ) ÷ ( + )
=
where:
Total capital, fair value0 = current fair value of ONEOK Inc. debt and equity (US$ in thousands)
FCFF0 = the last year ONEOK Inc. free cash flow to the firm (US$ in thousands)
WACC = weighted average cost of ONEOK Inc. capital
FCFF growth rate (g) forecast
ONEOK Inc., H-model
| Year | Value | gt |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | g1 | |
| 2 | g2 | |
| 3 | g3 | |
| 4 | g4 | |
| 5 and thereafter | g5 |
where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5
Calculations
g2 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=
g3 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=
g4 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=