Stock Analysis on Net

Occidental Petroleum Corp. (NYSE:OXY)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Occidental Petroleum Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The net operating profit after taxes exhibited significant volatility over the five-year period. The value was deeply negative at -14,889 million US dollars in 2020, indicating substantial operational losses. However, there was a strong recovery in 2021, with NOPAT turning positive to 4,213 million US dollars. This upward trend continued into 2022, reaching a peak of 12,526 million US dollars. Subsequently, the NOPAT declined in 2023 and 2024, falling to 5,524 million and then 3,380 million US dollars respectively. Despite the decline, NOPAT remained positive during these years, reflecting ongoing profitability but at a reduced scale compared to 2022.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital showed a rising trend from 2020 through 2022, starting at 10.42% and increasing to a high of 15.35%. It slightly decreased to 15.23% in 2023 and further to 14.17% in 2024. This suggests increasing financial or market risks or changes in the company’s financing structure during the initial years, followed by a modest reduction in capital costs in the later period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital decreased progressively from 63,270 million US dollars in 2020 to a low of 56,295 million US dollars in 2022. A slight increase occurred in 2023 to 56,860 million US dollars, followed by a more pronounced rise to 66,896 million US dollars in 2024. This pattern indicates an initial contraction in investment, possibly linked to reduced asset base or divestments, succeeded by renewed capital deployment or asset acquisition towards 2024.
Economic Profit
Economic profit was consistently negative throughout most of the period, beginning at -21,484 million US dollars in 2020 and improving to -2,927 million in 2021. In 2022, economic profit turned positive, reaching 3,882 million US dollars, suggesting that the company generated returns exceeding its cost of capital in that year. However, this was followed by a return to negative economic profit in 2023 (-3,136 million US dollars) and a further decline in 2024 (-6,102 million US dollars), indicating that the company failed to cover the cost of capital consistently after 2022.
Overall Insights
The financial data reveals a company experiencing a turnaround phase starting in 2021, with improvements in operating performance reflected in positive NOPAT and economic profit in 2022. The cost of capital increased substantially during the early years, which alongside fluctuations in invested capital, suggests a challenging environment with changing risk assessments and investment strategies. Despite achieving a positive economic profit in 2022, the subsequent deterioration in 2023 and 2024, accompanied by rising invested capital and decreasing NOPAT, signals emerging difficulties in maintaining value creation. The persistently negative economic profits in the latter years highlight concerns regarding the efficiency of capital utilization and the ability to generate returns above the cost of capital.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Occidental Petroleum Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income (loss) attributable to Occidental
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest and debt expense, net
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest and debt expense, net
Tax benefit of interest and debt expense, net6
Adjusted interest and debt expense, net, after taxes7
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax8
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to Occidental.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest and debt expense, net = Adjusted interest and debt expense, net × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to Occidental.

8 Elimination of discontinued operations.


Net income (loss) attributable to Occidental
The net income shows a significant turnaround from a substantial loss of -14,831 million USD in 2020 to a positive net income of 2,322 million USD in 2021. This positive trend continues with a peak net income of 13,304 million USD in 2022, indicating a strong recovery and profitability increase. However, the net income declines in subsequent years, dropping to 4,696 million USD in 2023 and further to 3,056 million USD in 2024, suggesting some challenges or decreased profitability in the most recent periods.
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT also follows a similar pattern, starting with a negative value of -14,889 million USD in 2020, reflecting operating losses. A considerable improvement occurs in 2021 with a positive NOPAT of 4,213 million USD, followed by a substantial increase to 12,526 million USD in 2022. Like net income, the NOPAT decreases over the subsequent periods to 5,524 million USD in 2023 and declining further to 3,380 million USD in 2024, indicating reduced operating profitability after a peak performance in 2022.
Overall Trend and Insights
The data reflects a strong recovery and improved profitability between 2020 and 2022, both in net income and operating profits. This suggests effective operational improvements or favorable market conditions during this interval. However, the decline from 2023 onwards in both metrics points to emerging challenges or less favorable conditions impacting profitability. Despite the reductions, the figures remain positive in the latest years, indicating ongoing profitability, albeit at a reduced level compared to the 2022 peak.

Cash Operating Taxes

Occidental Petroleum Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Income tax expense (benefit)
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest and debt expense, net
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The financial data indicates notable fluctuations in tax-related expenses over the five-year period. The income tax expense (benefit) shows a significant shift from a substantial tax benefit in 2020 to positive tax expenses in subsequent years. Specifically, there was a large negative expense (tax benefit) recorded in 2020, which reversed sharply to a positive tax expense in 2021 and remained positive through 2024. While the amount decreased slightly in 2022 compared to 2021, it increased again in 2023 before declining somewhat in 2024.

Cash operating taxes demonstrated a clear upward trajectory from 2020 through 2022, tripling over this period. This growth slowed noticeably in 2023, where the cash taxes decreased from the previous year, and remained relatively stable into 2024. The spike in cash operating taxes in 2022 could reflect an underlying increase in taxable income or changes in operational profitability or tax regulations during that year.

Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
Exhibited a transition from a tax benefit of -2,172 million US dollars in 2020 to positive expenses in the range of 813 to 1,733 million US dollars in the following years, indicating a reversal from a net tax credit to a liability position.
Cash Operating Taxes
Increased substantially from 655 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 2,681 million US dollars in 2022, before declining and stabilizing around 1,887 to 1,892 million US dollars in 2023 and 2024 respectively.

Overall, the data suggests a period of tax volatility in 2020 followed by a normalization to consistent tax payments. The divergence between income tax expense and cash operating taxes in some years may reflect timing differences, deferred tax items, or adjustments related to tax regulations and accounting interpretations. The reduction in cash taxes from the 2022 peak hints at either improved tax planning, changes in profitability, or external factors affecting taxable income in recent years.


Invested Capital

Occidental Petroleum Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Current maturities of long-term debt
Long-term debt, net, excluding current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for doubtful accounts3
LIFO reserve4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Noncontrolling interest
Adjusted stockholders’ equity
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

5 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.


Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases showed a significant decline from 37,299 million USD at the end of 2020 to 20,765 million USD by the end of 2022. This reduction indicates a deleveraging trend over the initial two years. However, from 2023 onwards, there was a slight increase in debt levels, rising to 20,911 million USD, followed by a more pronounced rise to 27,104 million USD in 2024. This suggests a possible shift toward increased leverage or additional financing after a period of debt reduction.
Stockholders' Equity
Stockholders’ equity exhibited a consistent upward trajectory over the entire period. Starting at 18,573 million USD in 2020, it increased to 20,327 million USD in 2021 and continued the upward trend to 30,085 million USD in 2022. The growth persisted in subsequent years, reaching 30,250 million USD in 2023 and further advancing to 34,159 million USD in 2024. This steady increase reflects positive retained earnings and/or additional equity contributions, strengthening the company's net asset base.
Invested Capital
Invested capital declined from 63,270 million USD in 2020 to 56,295 million USD in 2022, indicating a contraction in capital employed. The level stabilized slightly in 2023 at 56,860 million USD but then experienced a substantial increase to 66,896 million USD in 2024. This late surge could be indicative of renewed investment or capital infusion, possibly aligning with the increase in reported debt during the same period.
Overall Analysis
The financial data depict an initial phase of deleveraging combined with growth in equity and reduced invested capital through the first three years. From 2023 onwards, there is a reversal in debt trend accompanied by a significant increase in invested capital and continued growth in equity. This pattern may imply strategic shifts such as expansion initiatives funded by a mix of increased leverage and equity strengthening. The overall positive trajectory in equity underscores improved net worth despite fluctuations in debt and capital employed.

Cost of Capital

Occidental Petroleum Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Preferred stock, at $1.00 per share par value (book value) ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Preferred stock, at $1.00 per share par value (book value) ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Preferred stock, at $1.00 per share par value (book value) ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Preferred stock, at $1.00 per share par value (book value) ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Preferred stock, at $1.00 per share par value (book value) ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Occidental Petroleum Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Chevron Corp.
ConocoPhillips
Exxon Mobil Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
Economic profit shows significant fluctuations over the observed period. In 2020, the company reported a substantial economic loss of -21,484 million USD, which improved considerably to a loss of -2,927 million USD in 2021. The trend reversed in 2022 with a notable positive economic profit of 3,882 million USD, followed by a return to negative values in 2023 and 2024, with losses of -3,136 million USD and -6,102 million USD respectively. This indicates an unstable economic profitability that peaks in 2022 but generally displays negative economic value creation in other years.
Invested Capital
Invested capital experienced a downward trend from 63,270 million USD in 2020 to a low of 56,295 million USD in 2022. Subsequently, it slightly increased to 56,860 million USD in 2023 and then rose significantly to 66,896 million USD in 2024, exceeding the initial 2020 level. This pattern suggests a period of capital reduction followed by renewed investment and expansion in the latter years.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio mirrors the volatility observed in economic profit. Starting at a deeply negative -33.96% in 2020, it improved dramatically to -5.04% in 2021 and moved into positive territory at 6.9% in 2022. However, the ratio then declined sharply again to -5.52% in 2023 and worsened to -9.12% in 2024. This variation indicates fluctuating efficiency or returns relative to the cost of capital, with only one year of positive economic spread amidst multiple years of negative performance.

Economic Profit Margin

Occidental Petroleum Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net sales
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Chevron Corp.
ConocoPhillips
Exxon Mobil Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net sales
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data over the five-year period demonstrates significant fluctuations in both economic profit and net sales, indicating volatility in the company’s financial performance.

Economic Profit
There is a marked improvement from 2020 to 2022, moving from a significant negative value of -21,484 million USD in 2020 to a positive 3,882 million USD in 2022. However, in the subsequent years of 2023 and 2024, economic profit reverses to negative figures again, declining to -3,136 million USD and further to -6,102 million USD, respectively. This suggests a loss of profitability after a brief recovery period.
Net Sales
Net sales show a consistent upward trend from 2020 through 2022, increasing from 17,809 million USD to 36,634 million USD. Following this peak, sales decrease in 2023 and 2024 to 28,257 million USD and 26,725 million USD, respectively. This decline aligns with the reduction in economic profit seen post-2022.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin reflects changes in profitability relative to sales. It starts extremely negative at -120.64% in 2020, improves significantly to a positive 10.6% in 2022, and then deteriorates to -22.83% by 2024. The pattern mirrors economic profit and indicates a loss in efficiency or increased costs relative to revenue in the latest years.

Overall, the data reveals a cycle of recovery followed by renewed financial challenges. Despite growth in sales peaking in 2022, the decline in economic profit and margin thereafter points to underlying issues affecting profitability and economic value creation in the later years of the period analyzed.