Stock Analysis on Net

ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

ConocoPhillips, economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 9,976 12,357 21,159 10,273 (2,991)
Cost of capital2 14.76% 15.18% 15.40% 14.74% 13.94%
Invested capital3 106,371 81,278 75,520 76,355 50,870
 
Economic profit4 (5,724) 17 9,528 (979) (10,083)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 9,97614.76% × 106,371 = -5,724

Item Description The company
Economic profit Economic profit is a measure of corporate performance computed by taking the spread between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, and multiplying by the invested capital. ConocoPhillips economic profit decreased from 2022 to 2023 and from 2023 to 2024.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

ConocoPhillips, NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income (loss) attributable to ConocoPhillips 9,245 10,957 18,680 8,079 (2,701)
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 367 1,144 2,086 1,346 (834)
Increase (decrease) in allowance2 4 1 (2) (9)
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve3 22 (58) (102) 164 (68)
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4 393 1,087 1,984 1,508 (911)
Interest and debt expense 783 780 805 884 806
Interest expense, operating lease liability5 47 29 16 18 22
Adjusted interest and debt expense 830 809 821 902 828
Tax benefit of interest and debt expense6 (174) (170) (172) (189) (174)
Adjusted interest and debt expense, after taxes7 656 639 649 712 654
Interest income (402) (412) (195) (33) (100)
Investment income, before taxes (402) (412) (195) (33) (100)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8 84 87 41 7 21
Investment income, after taxes9 (318) (325) (154) (26) (79)
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest 46
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 9,976 12,357 21,159 10,273 (2,991)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to ConocoPhillips.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 1,024 × 4.62% = 47

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest and debt expense = Adjusted interest and debt expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 830 × 21.00% = 174

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to ConocoPhillips.

8 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 402 × 21.00% = 84

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

Item Description The company
NOPAT Net operating profit after taxes is income from operations, but after removement of taxes calculated on cash basis that are relevant to operating income. ConocoPhillips NOPAT decreased from 2022 to 2023 and from 2023 to 2024.

Cash Operating Taxes

ConocoPhillips, cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Income tax provision (benefit) 4,427 5,331 9,548 4,633 (485)
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) 367 1,144 2,086 1,346 (834)
Add: Tax savings from interest and debt expense 174 170 172 189 174
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 84 87 41 7 21
Cash operating taxes 4,150 4,270 7,594 3,469 502

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

Item Description The company
Cash operating taxes Cash operating taxes are estimated by adjusting income tax expense for changes in deferred taxes and tax benefit from the interest deduction. ConocoPhillips cash operating taxes decreased from 2022 to 2023 and from 2023 to 2024.

Invested Capital

ConocoPhillips, invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Short-term debt 1,035 1,074 417 1,200 619
Long-term debt 23,289 17,863 16,226 18,734 14,750
Operating lease liability1 1,024 697 545 667 785
Total reported debt & leases 25,348 19,634 17,188 20,601 16,154
Common stockholders’ equity 64,796 49,279 48,003 45,406 29,849
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 11,196 8,558 7,485 5,839 3,384
Allowance3 7 3 2 2 4
LIFO reserve4 113 91 149 251 87
Equity equivalents5 11,316 8,652 7,636 6,092 3,475
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6 6,473 5,673 6,000 4,950 5,218
Noncontrolling interests
Adjusted common stockholders’ equity 82,585 63,604 61,639 56,448 38,542
Marketable securities7 (1,562) (1,960) (3,307) (694) (3,826)
Invested capital 106,371 81,278 75,520 76,355 50,870

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

5 Addition of equity equivalents to common stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of marketable securities.

Item Description The company
Invested capital Capital is an approximation of the economic book value of all cash invested in going-concern business activities. ConocoPhillips invested capital increased from 2022 to 2023 and from 2023 to 2024.

Cost of Capital

ConocoPhillips, cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 123,993 123,993 ÷ 148,954 = 0.83 0.83 × 16.93% = 14.09%
Debt, including finance leases3 23,937 23,937 ÷ 148,954 = 0.16 0.16 × 5.08% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.64%
Operating lease liability4 1,024 1,024 ÷ 148,954 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.62% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 148,954 1.00 14.76%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt, including finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 130,581 130,581 ÷ 151,028 = 0.86 0.86 × 16.93% = 14.64%
Debt, including finance leases3 19,750 19,750 ÷ 151,028 = 0.13 0.13 × 5.16% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.53%
Operating lease liability4 697 697 ÷ 151,028 = 0.00 0.00 × 4.13% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 151,028 1.00 15.18%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt, including finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 132,067 132,067 ÷ 149,477 = 0.88 0.88 × 16.93% = 14.96%
Debt, including finance leases3 16,865 16,865 ÷ 149,477 = 0.11 0.11 × 4.91% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.44%
Operating lease liability4 545 545 ÷ 149,477 = 0.00 0.00 × 2.99% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 149,477 1.00 15.40%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt, including finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 118,465 118,465 ÷ 142,844 = 0.83 0.83 × 16.93% = 14.04%
Debt, including finance leases3 23,712 23,712 ÷ 142,844 = 0.17 0.17 × 5.26% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.69%
Operating lease liability4 667 667 ÷ 142,844 = 0.00 0.00 × 2.66% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 142,844 1.00 14.74%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt, including finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 66,179 66,179 ÷ 86,961 = 0.76 0.76 × 16.93% = 12.88%
Debt, including finance leases3 19,997 19,997 ÷ 86,961 = 0.23 0.23 × 5.72% × (1 – 21.00%) = 1.04%
Operating lease liability4 785 785 ÷ 86,961 = 0.01 0.01 × 2.78% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 86,961 1.00 13.94%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt, including finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

ConocoPhillips, economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (5,724) 17 9,528 (979) (10,083)
Invested capital2 106,371 81,278 75,520 76,355 50,870
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 -5.38% 0.02% 12.62% -1.28% -19.82%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Chevron Corp. -5.22% -5.87% 4.63% -4.39% -18.45%
Exxon Mobil Corp. -4.60% -0.44% 8.28% -0.11% -23.31%
Occidental Petroleum Corp. -9.35% -5.77% 6.64% -5.22% -34.09%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -5,724 ÷ 106,371 = -5.38%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic spread ratio The ratio of economic profit to invested capital, also equal to the difference between return on invested capital (ROIC) and cost of capital. ConocoPhillips economic spread ratio deteriorated from 2022 to 2023 and from 2023 to 2024.

Economic Profit Margin

ConocoPhillips, economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (5,724) 17 9,528 (979) (10,083)
Sales and other operating revenues 54,745 56,141 78,494 45,828 18,784
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 -10.46% 0.03% 12.14% -2.14% -53.68%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Chevron Corp. -5.62% -6.33% 4.17% -5.46% -38.53%
Exxon Mobil Corp. -5.14% -0.41% 6.17% -0.11% -35.76%
Occidental Petroleum Corp. -23.39% -11.60% 10.21% -11.68% -121.13%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Sales and other operating revenues
= 100 × -5,724 ÷ 54,745 = -10.46%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic profit margin The ratio of economic profit to sales. It is the company profit margin covering income efficiency and asset management. Economic profit margin is not biased in favor of capital-intensive business models, because any added capital is a cost to the economic profit margin. ConocoPhillips economic profit margin deteriorated from 2022 to 2023 and from 2023 to 2024.