Stock Analysis on Net

Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:XOM)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Exxon Mobil Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 28,426 31,476 37,855 62,749 32,736
Cost of capital2 9.18% 9.08% 8.99% 9.02% 8.55%
Invested capital3 371,757 378,995 307,196 297,049 272,673
 
Economic profit4 (5,719) (2,929) 10,246 35,950 9,432

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 28,4269.18% × 371,757 = -5,719


The financial performance regarding economic value creation exhibits a significant reversal over the analyzed five-year period, transitioning from a peak of value generation in 2022 to consistent value destruction by 2025.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
A substantial volatility is observed in NOPAT, which peaked in 2022 at 62,749 million US$ before entering a continuous decline. By 2025, NOPAT decreased to 28,426 million US$, representing a reduction of approximately 54.7% from its 2022 high and falling below 2021 levels.
Invested Capital and Capital Charge
Invested capital shows a consistent upward trajectory, rising from 272,673 million US$ in 2021 to a peak of 378,995 million US$ in 2024. This expansion of the capital base, coupled with a cost of capital that rose marginally from 8.55% in 2021 to 9.18% in 2025, has increased the total capital charge required to achieve a positive economic profit.
Economic Profit Trends
The economic profit mirrors the volatility of NOPAT but is further pressured by the expanding capital base. After reaching a maximum of 35,950 million US$ in 2022, economic profit plummeted to 10,246 million US$ in 2023. The trend shifted into negative territory in 2024 (-2,929 million US$) and intensified in 2025 (-5,719 million US$).

The shift toward negative economic profit indicates that the returns generated by the operating assets are no longer sufficient to cover the cost of the capital employed. This erosion of value is driven by the convergence of declining operational profitability and a significantly larger invested capital base.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Exxon Mobil Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net income attributable to ExxonMobil 28,844 33,680 36,010 55,740 23,040
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 968 (830) 944 3,583 (44)
Increase (decrease) in reserves2 (36) 205 (299) 30 66
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve3 (3,000) (4,000) (1,000) 900 8,600
Increase (decrease) in restructuring reserves4 (77) (326)
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5 (2,068) (4,625) (355) 4,436 8,296
Interest expense 603 996 849 798 947
Interest expense, operating lease liability6 321 317 234 134 119
Adjusted interest expense 924 1,313 1,083 932 1,066
Tax benefit of interest expense7 (194) (276) (228) (196) (224)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8 730 1,038 856 736 842
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest 920 1,383 1,344 1,837 558
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 28,426 31,476 37,855 62,749 32,736

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in reserves.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring reserves.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to ExxonMobil.

6 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 6,834 × 4.70% = 321

7 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 924 × 21.00% = 194

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to ExxonMobil.


Net income attributable to ExxonMobil and Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) both exhibited significant fluctuations between 2021 and 2025. NOPAT demonstrated a substantial increase in 2022, followed by declines in subsequent years. Net income mirrored this pattern, though with differing magnitudes of change.

NOPAT Trend
NOPAT increased markedly from US$32,736 million in 2021 to US$62,749 million in 2022, representing a growth of approximately 92%. This was followed by a decrease to US$37,855 million in 2023, a decline of roughly 40%. The downward trend continued into 2024, with NOPAT falling to US$31,476 million, and further decreased to US$28,426 million in 2025. This represents an overall decline of approximately 13% from 2022 to 2025.
Relationship between NOPAT and Net Income
While both metrics generally moved in the same direction, the proportional changes differed. The increase in NOPAT from 2021 to 2022 was larger than the increase in net income. Conversely, the declines from 2022 onwards were less pronounced for net income compared to NOPAT. This suggests that factors beyond core operating profitability, such as financing costs or non-operating items, may have influenced net income.
Peak and Subsequent Decline
The peak NOPAT value of US$62,749 million in 2022 suggests a period of exceptionally strong operating performance. The subsequent declines in both 2023 and 2024, and continuing into 2025, indicate a potential shift in market conditions, increased operating costs, or a combination of both. Further investigation would be required to determine the specific drivers of this decline.

The observed trends in NOPAT are crucial for assessing the company’s ability to generate profits from its core operations. The substantial decrease from the 2022 peak warrants further scrutiny to understand the underlying causes and potential implications for future performance.

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Cash Operating Taxes

Exxon Mobil Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Income tax expense 11,504 13,810 15,429 20,176 7,636
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) 968 (830) 944 3,583 (44)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 194 276 228 196 224
Cash operating taxes 10,730 14,916 14,713 16,789 7,904

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).


The reported income tax expense and cash operating taxes exhibit significant fluctuations over the observed five-year period. A substantial increase in both metrics is evident from 2021 to 2022, followed by a decrease in 2023, and a relatively stable period before another decline in 2025.

Income Tax Expense Trend
Income tax expense increased markedly from US$7.636 billion in 2021 to US$20.176 billion in 2022. This represents a more than doubling of the expense. Subsequently, income tax expense decreased to US$15.429 billion in 2023 and US$13.810 billion in 2024, indicating a moderation of the prior year’s increase. A further decrease is observed in 2025, with income tax expense reaching US$11.504 billion.
Cash Operating Taxes Trend
Cash operating taxes mirrored the trend in income tax expense, rising from US$7.904 billion in 2021 to US$16.789 billion in 2022. A decline followed in 2023 to US$14.713 billion, and a slight increase to US$14.916 billion in 2024. Similar to income tax expense, cash operating taxes decreased in 2025, reaching US$10.730 billion.
Relationship between Income Tax Expense and Cash Operating Taxes
The values for income tax expense and cash operating taxes are consistently close throughout the period. The difference between the two metrics remains relatively small each year, suggesting a limited amount of timing differences impacting the reported tax figures. The correlation between the two suggests that changes in underlying profitability are a primary driver of changes in both expense types.

The substantial increase in both income tax expense and cash operating taxes in 2022 warrants further investigation to understand the underlying factors contributing to this change, such as increased profitability, changes in tax rates, or adjustments to tax credits. The subsequent declines in 2023, 2024, and 2025 suggest a potential normalization of these factors.

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Invested Capital

Exxon Mobil Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Notes and loans payable 9,296 4,955 4,090 634 4,276
Long-term debt, excluding due within one year 34,241 36,755 37,483 40,559 43,428
Operating lease liability1 6,834 6,478 6,010 5,594 5,190
Total reported debt & leases 50,371 48,188 47,583 46,787 52,894
Total ExxonMobil share of equity 259,386 263,705 204,802 195,049 168,577
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 36,457 35,106 20,815 19,049 15,715
Reserves3 440 476 271 570 540
LIFO reserve4 7,000 10,000 14,000 14,900 14,000
Restructuring reserves5 77
Equity equivalents6 43,897 45,582 35,086 34,519 30,332
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7 10,863 14,619 11,989 13,270 13,764
Noncontrolling interests 7,240 6,901 7,736 7,424 7,106
Adjusted total ExxonMobil share of equity 321,386 330,807 259,613 250,262 219,779
Invested capital 371,757 378,995 307,196 297,049 272,673

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

5 Addition of restructuring reserves.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to total ExxonMobil share of equity.

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.


Over the five-year period examined, invested capital demonstrated a consistent upward trajectory, albeit with some fluctuation. Total reported debt & leases exhibited initial decline followed by moderate increases, while total ExxonMobil share of equity showed substantial growth, particularly in 2024. These movements collectively influenced the overall trend in invested capital.

Invested Capital Trend
Invested capital increased from US$272,673 million in 2021 to US$297,049 million in 2022, representing a growth of approximately 9.0%. Further increases were observed in 2023, reaching US$307,196 million. A significant jump occurred in 2024, with invested capital reaching US$378,995 million, before experiencing a slight decrease to US$371,757 million in 2025. The 2024 increase appears to be the most substantial within the observed period.
Debt & Lease Evolution
Total reported debt & leases decreased from US$52,894 million in 2021 to US$46,787 million in 2022, a reduction of approximately 11.3%. Subsequently, debt levels experienced modest increases, reaching US$47,583 million in 2023, US$48,188 million in 2024, and US$50,371 million in 2025. While the overall trend is relatively stable after 2022, a consistent, albeit slow, increase in debt is apparent.
Equity Shareholder Investment
Total ExxonMobil share of equity increased steadily throughout the period. From US$168,577 million in 2021, it rose to US$195,049 million in 2022, and US$204,802 million in 2023. A considerable increase was noted in 2024, reaching US$263,705 million, followed by a slight decrease to US$259,386 million in 2025. The growth in equity appears to be a primary driver of the overall increase in invested capital, particularly in 2024.

The interplay between debt and equity financing has resulted in a net increase in invested capital over the five-year period. The substantial growth in equity in 2024 significantly contributed to the overall rise in invested capital, despite a concurrent increase in debt. The slight decrease in invested capital in 2025 is attributable to a corresponding decrease in equity, while debt continued to rise.

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Cost of Capital

Exxon Mobil Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 627,848 627,848 ÷ 674,971 = 0.93 0.93 × 9.66% = 8.98%
Debt3 40,289 40,289 ÷ 674,971 = 0.06 0.06 × 3.51% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.17%
Operating lease liability4 6,834 6,834 ÷ 674,971 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.70% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Total: 674,971 1.00 9.18%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 478,608 478,608 ÷ 522,861 = 0.92 0.92 × 9.66% = 8.84%
Debt3 37,775 37,775 ÷ 522,861 = 0.07 0.07 × 3.35% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.19%
Operating lease liability4 6,478 6,478 ÷ 522,861 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.90% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.05%
Total: 522,861 1.00 9.08%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 413,926 413,926 ÷ 458,407 = 0.90 0.90 × 9.66% = 8.72%
Debt3 38,471 38,471 ÷ 458,407 = 0.08 0.08 × 3.44% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.23%
Operating lease liability4 6,010 6,010 ÷ 458,407 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.90% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Total: 458,407 1.00 8.99%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 446,709 446,709 ÷ 489,324 = 0.91 0.91 × 9.66% = 8.81%
Debt3 37,021 37,021 ÷ 489,324 = 0.08 0.08 × 3.10% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.19%
Operating lease liability4 5,594 5,594 ÷ 489,324 = 0.01 0.01 × 2.40% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 489,324 1.00 9.02%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 325,013 325,013 ÷ 380,785 = 0.85 0.85 × 9.66% = 8.24%
Debt3 50,582 50,582 ÷ 380,785 = 0.13 0.13 × 2.67% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.28%
Operating lease liability4 5,190 5,190 ÷ 380,785 = 0.01 0.01 × 2.30% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 380,785 1.00 8.55%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »



Economic Spread Ratio

Exxon Mobil Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (5,719) (2,929) 10,246 35,950 9,432
Invested capital2 371,757 378,995 307,196 297,049 272,673
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 -1.54% -0.77% 3.34% 12.10% 3.46%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Chevron Corp. -7.78% -2.99% -3.61% 6.90% -2.23%
ConocoPhillips 0.22% 1.16% 6.82% 19.56% 5.24%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -5,719 ÷ 371,757 = -1.54%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


An analysis of the financial performance indicators reveals a trajectory of significant volatility in value creation, transitioning from a peak in 2022 to a state of value destruction by 2025.

Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit exhibited a substantial surge in 2022, reaching 35,950 million USD. This peak was followed by a sharp decline in 2023 to 10,246 million USD. The downward trend continued into the subsequent periods, with economic profit turning negative in 2024 at -2,929 million USD and further deteriorating to -5,719 million USD by 2025.
Invested Capital Evolution
Invested capital showed a consistent upward trend for the majority of the period, increasing from 272,673 million USD in 2021 to a peak of 378,995 million USD in 2024. A marginal reduction to 371,757 million USD was observed in 2025, though the capital base remains significantly higher than the 2021 baseline.
Economic Spread Ratio Performance
The economic spread ratio reflects the volatility observed in profit margins, peaking at 12.10% in 2022 before reverting to 3.34% in 2023. The ratio shifted into negative territory in 2024 at -0.77% and continued to decline to -1.54% in 2025. This negative spread indicates that the returns generated on invested capital have fallen below the cost of capital, signifying a period where capital deployment has failed to create economic value.

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Economic Profit Margin

Exxon Mobil Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (5,719) (2,929) 10,246 35,950 9,432
Sales and other operating revenue 323,905 339,247 334,697 398,675 276,692
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 -1.77% -0.86% 3.06% 9.02% 3.41%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Chevron Corp. -11.57% -3.22% -3.89% 6.21% -2.77%
ConocoPhillips 0.39% 2.26% 9.87% 18.82% 8.72%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Sales and other operating revenue
= 100 × -5,719 ÷ 323,905 = -1.77%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial trajectory regarding economic value creation exhibits significant volatility over the analyzed period, characterized by a sharp peak in 2022 followed by a sustained decline that resulted in value destruction by 2024 and 2025.

Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit experienced a substantial increase between 2021 and 2022, rising from 9,432 million USD to a peak of 35,950 million USD. This growth was followed by a steep contraction to 10,246 million USD in 2023. The trend reversed into negative territory starting in 2024 with a loss of 2,929 million USD, which further widened to 5,719 million USD by 2025.
Revenue Performance
Sales and other operating revenue mirrored the early growth pattern, peaking at 398,675 million USD in 2022. In the subsequent three years, revenue levels remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 323,905 million USD and 339,247 million USD. The disconnect between stabilized revenue and declining economic profit suggests that costs or capital charges increased relative to operating returns.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin highlights a transition from high value creation to value destruction. A peak margin of 9.02% in 2022 sharply declined to 3.06% in 2023. The margin then turned negative in 2024 at -0.86% and continued to deteriorate to -1.77% in 2025, indicating that the returns generated were insufficient to cover the company's cost of capital during the final two years of the period.

In summary, the period was defined by an exceptional surge in economic profitability in 2022, which was not sustained. The subsequent shift to negative economic profit margins indicates a period of diminishing returns relative to the capital invested.

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