Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Valero Energy Corp. (NYSE:VLO)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since October 30, 2024.

Enterprise Value to FCFF (EV/FCFF)

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Free Cash Flow to The Firm (FCFF)

Valero Energy Corp., FCFF calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net income (loss) attributable to Valero Energy Corporation stockholders 8,835 11,528 930 (1,421) 2,422
Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests 314 351 358 314 362
Net noncash charges 2,406 2,321 2,346 2,400 2,453
Changes in current assets and current liabilities (2,326) (1,626) 2,225 (345) 294
Net cash provided by operating activities 9,229 12,574 5,859 948 5,531
Interest paid in excess of amount capitalized, including interest on finance leases, net of tax1 437 442 499 290 361
Capitalized interest, net of tax2 15 44 40 41 72
Capital expenditures, excluding variable interest entities (VIEs) (665) (788) (513) (1,014) (1,627)
Capital expenditures of VIEs (246) (893) (1,152) (774) (367)
Changes in lease balances resulting from new and modified finance leases (157) (660) (378) (950) (239)
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) 8,612 10,720 4,355 (1,459) 3,731

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).


The financial trajectory between 2019 and 2023 is characterized by significant volatility in cash generation, featuring a severe contraction in 2020 followed by a robust recovery that peaked in 2022.

Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities
A substantial decline occurred in 2020, with cash flow from operations dropping to 948 million USD from 5,531 million USD in 2019. This was followed by a strong upward trend, reaching a peak of 12,574 million USD in 2022 before moderating to 9,229 million USD in 2023.
Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)
FCFF mirrored the operational trend but exhibited greater magnitude in its fluctuations. The metric turned negative in 2020, reaching -1,459 million USD, indicating that capital requirements and other adjustments exceeded operational cash inflows. A sharp recovery ensued, with FCFF climbing to 4,355 million USD in 2021 and peaking at 10,720 million USD in 2022, before settling at 8,612 million USD in 2023.
Cash Flow Correlation and Capital Allocation
The relationship between operating cash flow and FCFF reveals consistent capital expenditure patterns. In 2020, the transition to a negative FCFF despite positive operating cash flow suggests that capital investment was maintained or increased despite falling revenues. In contrast, the gap between operating cash flow and FCFF narrowed significantly in 2023, indicating a reduction in capital outflows relative to the previous peak years.

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Interest Paid, Net of Tax

Valero Energy Corp., interest paid, net of tax calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Effective Income Tax Rate (EITR)
EITR1 22.30% 22.40% 16.50% 44.90% 20.10%
Interest Paid, Net of Tax
Interest paid in excess of amount capitalized, including interest on finance leases, before tax 562 570 598 526 452
Less: Interest paid in excess of amount capitalized, including interest on finance leases, tax2 125 128 99 236 91
Interest paid in excess of amount capitalized, including interest on finance leases, net of tax 437 442 499 290 361
Interest Costs Capitalized, Net of Tax
Capitalized interest, before tax 19 57 48 75 90
Less: Capitalized interest, tax3 4 13 8 34 18
Capitalized interest, net of tax 15 44 40 41 72

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Interest paid in excess of amount capitalized, including interest on finance leases, tax = Interest paid in excess of amount capitalized, including interest on finance leases × EITR
= 562 × 22.30% = 125

3 2023 Calculation
Capitalized interest, tax = Capitalized interest × EITR
= 19 × 22.30% = 4


The financial data from 2019 to 2023 indicates a period of volatility in interest expenses and tax obligations, followed by a trend toward stabilization in the most recent fiscal years.

Interest Paid in Excess of Amount Capitalized
Net interest payments experienced significant fluctuations, initially decreasing from US$ 361 million in 2019 to US$ 290 million in 2020. A substantial increase occurred in 2021, where payments peaked at US$ 499 million, before moderating to US$ 442 million in 2022 and US$ 437 million in 2023.
Capitalized Interest
A general downward trend is observed in capitalized interest, net of tax. From a high of US$ 72 million in 2019, the value declined and remained relatively stagnant between US$ 40 million and US$ 44 million from 2020 through 2022. A sharp contraction occurred in 2023, with the figure dropping to US$ 15 million.
Effective Income Tax Rate (EITR)
The effective income tax rate showed high variance during the analyzed period. A notable spike to 44.90% was recorded in 2020, followed by a sharp decline to 16.50% in 2021. For the 2022 and 2023 fiscal years, the rate stabilized, remaining nearly constant at approximately 22.30% to 22.40%.

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Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Current

Valero Energy Corp., current EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Enterprise value (EV) 49,032
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) 8,612
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF 5.69
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors1
Chevron Corp. 25.93
ConocoPhillips 21.19
Exxon Mobil Corp. 28.73
EV/FCFF, Sector
Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels 19.91
EV/FCFF, Industry
Energy 19.82

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 Click competitor name to see calculations.

If the company EV/FCFF is lower then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company EV/FCFF is higher then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.


Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Historical

Valero Energy Corp., historical EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Enterprise value (EV)1 54,752 57,832 46,270 43,178 37,180
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF)2 8,612 10,720 4,355 (1,459) 3,731
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF3 6.36 5.39 10.62 — 9.96
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors4
Chevron Corp. 14.85 8.27 13.33 — —
ConocoPhillips 15.38 7.43 10.72 — —
Exxon Mobil Corp. 12.47 7.84 10.06 — —
EV/FCFF, Sector
Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels 13.63 7.91 11.15 — —
EV/FCFF, Industry
Energy 13.96 8.54 11.54 — —

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 See details »

2 See details »

3 2023 Calculation
EV/FCFF = EV ÷ FCFF
= 54,752 ÷ 8,612 = 6.36

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial trajectory between 2019 and 2023 is characterized by an expansion in enterprise value and significant volatility in cash flow generation, leading to a compression of the valuation multiple in the latter part of the period.

Enterprise Value Trends
A consistent upward trend in enterprise value was observed from 2019 through 2022, rising from 37,180 million USD to a peak of 57,832 million USD. A slight contraction occurred in 2023, with the value settling at 54,752 million USD, indicating a period of valuation stabilization following several years of growth.
Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) Performance
FCFF exhibited high volatility, characterized by a sharp decline into negative territory in 2020 at -1,459 million USD. This was followed by a robust recovery in 2021 and a substantial surge in 2022, reaching a peak of 10,720 million USD. While 2023 saw a decrease to 8,612 million USD, the level remained significantly higher than the 2019 baseline of 3,731 million USD.
EV/FCFF Ratio Interpretation
The EV/FCFF ratio reflects a shift in the relationship between market valuation and cash flow productivity. After reaching 10.62 in 2021, the ratio compressed sharply to 5.39 in 2022 and adjusted to 6.36 in 2023. This downward shift in the multiple suggests that the growth in cash flow generation outpaced the increase in enterprise value, effectively lowering the valuation multiple relative to the firm's capacity to generate free cash flow.

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