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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Valero Energy Corp. pages available for free this week:
- Analysis of Long-term (Investment) Activity Ratios
- DuPont Analysis: Disaggregation of ROE, ROA, and Net Profit Margin
- Analysis of Geographic Areas
- Enterprise Value (EV)
- Operating Profit Margin since 2005
- Return on Equity (ROE) since 2005
- Total Asset Turnover since 2005
- Price to Book Value (P/BV) since 2005
- Price to Sales (P/S) since 2005
- Aggregate Accruals
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Economic Profit
12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
Cost of capital2 | ||||||
Invested capital3 | ||||||
Economic profit4 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- The NOPAT exhibited significant volatility over the observed periods. In 2019, the company recorded a profit of 4,429 million US dollars. However, in 2020, there was a sharp decline resulting in a substantial loss of 1,650 million US dollars. This was followed by a recovery in 2021 with a NOPAT of 5,561 million US dollars, which further improved markedly in 2022 to 13,520 million US dollars. In 2023, NOPAT decreased again to 7,868 million US dollars, indicating fluctuation but overall higher profitability compared to the initial year except 2020.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital showed a generally increasing trend over the five-year span. Beginning at 15.48% in 2019, it decreased slightly to 14.14% in 2020, then rose to 14.91% in 2021. In 2022, it reached its highest point at 17.05%, followed by a marginal decrease to 16.88% in 2023. This suggests a gradually increasing expense of financing over time, with a peak in 2022.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital increased steadily throughout the five-year period. Starting from 40,757 million US dollars in 2019, it experienced modest growth each year, reaching 51,119 million US dollars by 2023. This steady upward trend indicates ongoing investment into the company’s capital base.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit trend mirrors some of the fluctuations seen in NOPAT but overall exhibits persistent challenges. In 2019, economic profit was negative at -1,881 million US dollars. It worsened substantially in 2020 with a loss of -7,443 million US dollars, then improved to -1,080 million US dollars in 2021. Notably, 2022 marked a positive economic profit of 5,033 million US dollars, signifying value creation for that year. However, in 2023, economic profit turned negative again at -762 million US dollars. This pattern indicates that the company frequently incurs costs that exceed its returns relative to the cost of capital, except for the year 2022.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to Valero Energy Corporation stockholders.
5 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
6 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest and debt expense, net of capitalized interest = Adjusted interest and debt expense, net of capitalized interest × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to Valero Energy Corporation stockholders.
- Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Stockholders
- The net income experienced a significant decline in the year ending 2020, moving from a positive 2,422 million US dollars in 2019 to a negative 1,421 million US dollars. This was followed by a recovery period, with net income rising to 930 million US dollars in 2021. The company then showed strong profitability in 2022, reaching 11,528 million US dollars, before seeing a decrease to 8,835 million US dollars in 2023. Overall, this pattern indicates volatility with a substantial rebound post-2020.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- The NOPAT data mirrors the trends seen in net income, starting at 4,429 million US dollars in 2019 and dropping to negative 1,650 million US dollars in 2020. There was a pronounced recovery in 2021, with NOPAT increasing to 5,561 million US dollars. The highest value in the series occurred in 2022, with 13,520 million US dollars, followed by a reduction to 7,868 million US dollars in 2023. This fluctuation highlights a similar pattern of operational profitability impact and recovery as observed in net income.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
The analysis of the annual financial data reveals significant fluctuations in the income tax expense (benefit) and cash operating taxes over the five-year period.
- Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
- The income tax expense exhibited a notable negative value in 2020, reaching a benefit of -$903 million, which contrasts sharply with the positive expense of $702 million in 2019. Following this period, the tax expense rose to $255 million in 2021, before surging substantially to $3,428 million in 2022. In 2023, this figure decreased somewhat but remained elevated at $2,619 million, indicating a return to significant tax liabilities compared to the earlier years.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes mirrored the trend seen in the income tax expense, with a negative outflow of -$931 million in 2020 compared to $577 million in 2019. Subsequently, there was a marked increase to $519 million in 2021, which escalated dramatically to $3,508 million in 2022. In the most recent year, 2023, cash operating taxes declined slightly to $2,654 million, but still remained considerably higher than pre-2020 levels.
Overall, the data indicates a period of tax benefit in 2020 followed by a consistent and substantial increase in tax expenses and cash operating taxes in the subsequent years. The sharp rise in both metrics during 2022 and 2023 suggests changes in earnings, tax policies, or other factors impacting the company's tax payable status, resulting in a significantly higher cash outflow related to taxes despite the decrease from the 2022 peak.
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »
5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Valero Energy Corporation stockholders’ equity.
6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
7 Subtraction of construction in progress.
- Total reported debt & leases
- The total reported debt and leases exhibited a rising trend from 2019 to 2020, increasing from $10,962 million to $15,847 million. Subsequently, there was a consistent decline over the next three years, with figures decreasing to $15,125 million in 2021, then dropping more significantly to $12,722 million in 2022, and further to $12,637 million by the end of 2023. This indicates a period of increased leverage followed by a notable reduction in debt levels.
- Total Valero Energy Corporation stockholders’ equity
- Stockholders' equity showed a downward trajectory between 2019 and 2021, falling from $21,803 million to $18,430 million. However, a reversal occurred in 2022 when equity increased sharply to $23,561 million and continued to grow substantially to $26,346 million in 2023. This pattern suggests an initial period of equity erosion followed by a recovery and strengthening of the equity base.
- Invested capital
- Invested capital demonstrated a mostly steady upward movement over the five-year span. Starting at $40,757 million in 2019, it slightly increased in 2020 to $40,966 million, then advanced more markedly to $44,526 million in 2021. The growth trend continued with an increase to $49,772 million in 2022, reaching $51,119 million in 2023. This represents ongoing investment and capital deployment over the period.
- Summary
- Overall, the financial data reflect a phase of increased debt leverage in 2020, followed by deliberate deleveraging from 2021 onward. Concurrently, stockholders’ equity declined in the early years but rebounded strongly in the latest two years, indicating improved financial health or retained earnings accumulation. The continuous growth in invested capital suggests sustained investment efforts, aligning with the strengthening equity position and reduced reliance on debt financing during the latter years.
Cost of Capital
Valero Energy Corp., cost of capital calculations
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
Economic profit1 | ||||||
Invested capital2 | ||||||
Performance Ratio | ||||||
Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
Benchmarks | ||||||
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
Chevron Corp. | ||||||
ConocoPhillips | ||||||
Exxon Mobil Corp. |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit exhibits considerable volatility over the analyzed periods. Starting at a negative value of -1881 million US dollars in 2019, the figure deteriorates further to -7443 million in 2020, reflecting a significant decline in profitability during that year. This is followed by a partial recovery to -1080 million in 2021. In 2022, economic profit turns positive, reaching 5033 million, indicating a substantial improvement in value creation. However, in 2023, it declines sharply again to -762 million, signaling renewed challenges in maintaining profitability.
- Invested Capital
- There is a consistent upward trend in invested capital over the period. The company increased its capital base from 40,757 million US dollars in 2019 to 51,119 million in 2023. This steady growth suggests ongoing investments or acquisition of assets, with an overall increase of approximately 25% across the five years. The rising invested capital reflects strategic expansion or reinvestment efforts despite fluctuating profitability metrics.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio mirrors the fluctuations seen in economic profit. It starts at -4.61% in 2019 and worsens significantly to -18.17% in 2020, indicative of poor returns relative to cost of capital. Improvement follows, with the spread narrowing to -2.43% in 2021 and turning positive to 10.11% in 2022, suggesting the company generated returns exceeding its cost of capital during that year. However, the ratio declines to -1.49% in 2023, reflecting a reversion to returns below the cost of capital and corresponding with the negative economic profit recorded.
- Overall Observations
- The overall financial indicators portray a company experiencing significant fluctuations in value creation and return on invested capital. While invested capital shows steady growth, profitability and economic returns are highly variable, with a notable peak in 2022 followed by a downturn in 2023. This pattern may suggest sensitivity to external factors or operational challenges impacting the company's ability to sustain profits despite increasing investment levels.
Economic Profit Margin
Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
Economic profit1 | ||||||
Revenues, includes excise taxes on sales by certain of foreign operations | ||||||
Performance Ratio | ||||||
Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
Benchmarks | ||||||
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
Chevron Corp. | ||||||
ConocoPhillips | ||||||
Exxon Mobil Corp. |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenues, includes excise taxes on sales by certain of foreign operations
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit displayed significant volatility throughout the analyzed periods. Starting with a negative value of -1881 million US dollars in 2019, it deteriorated further in 2020 to -7443 million US dollars, indicating substantial losses during this period. However, a recovery was observed in 2021 with economic profit nearing break-even at -1080 million US dollars. A positive economic profit of 5033 million US dollars was recorded in 2022, reflecting a strong operational improvement and value creation. Nevertheless, in 2023, economic profit declined again to a negative value of -762 million US dollars, signaling some challenges affecting profitability.
- Revenues (Including Excise Taxes on Sales by Certain Foreign Operations)
- Revenues showed a fluctuating yet overall upward trend over the five years. In 2019, revenues amounted to 108,324 million US dollars and dropped sharply in 2020 to 64,912 million US dollars, marking a substantial decrease possibly due to market or external factors. Revenues recovered strongly in 2021 to 113,977 million US dollars and continued to increase significantly in 2022, reaching a peak of 176,383 million US dollars. In 2023, revenues decreased moderately to 144,766 million US dollars, still above pre-pandemic levels.
- Economic Profit Margin
- The economic profit margin mirrored the trend observed in economic profit, with negative margins in most years. It started at -1.74% in 2019 and declined sharply to -11.47% in 2020, indicating reduced efficiency and profitability. Improvement followed in 2021 to -0.95%, then shifted to a positive 2.85% in 2022, highlighting better value generation relative to revenues. However, the margin turned negative again in 2023 at -0.53%, matching the dip in economic profit and suggesting ongoing profitability challenges.