Stock Analysis on Net

Cintas Corp. (NASDAQ:CTAS)

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

Microsoft Excel

In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) is generally described as cash flows after direct costs and before any payments to capital suppliers.


Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

Cintas Corp., free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) forecast

US$ in thousands, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFFt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at 16.07%
01 FCFF0 1,750,579
1 FCFF1 1,975,362 = 1,750,579 × (1 + 12.84%) 1,701,838
2 FCFF2 2,233,031 = 1,975,362 × (1 + 13.04%) 1,657,441
3 FCFF3 2,528,858 = 2,233,031 × (1 + 13.25%) 1,617,110
4 FCFF4 2,869,027 = 2,528,858 × (1 + 13.45%) 1,580,597
5 FCFF5 3,260,797 = 2,869,027 × (1 + 13.66%) 1,547,683
5 Terminal value (TV5) 153,327,218 = 3,260,797 × (1 + 13.66%) ÷ (16.07%13.66%) 72,774,222
Intrinsic value of Cintas Corp. capital 80,878,891
Less: Debt (fair value) 2,392,800
Intrinsic value of Cintas Corp. common stock 78,486,091
 
Intrinsic value of Cintas Corp. common stock (per share) $194.49
Current share price $198.05

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.


Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

Cintas Corp., cost of capital

Microsoft Excel
Value1 Weight Required rate of return2 Calculation
Equity (fair value) 79,921,876 0.97 16.46%
Debt (fair value) 2,392,800 0.03 3.27% = 4.00% × (1 – 18.19%)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31).

1 US$ in thousands

   Equity (fair value) = No. shares of common stock outstanding × Current share price
= 403,543,932 × $198.05
= $79,921,875,732.60

   Debt (fair value). See details »

2 Required rate of return on equity is estimated by using CAPM. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt is after tax.

   Estimated (average) effective income tax rate
= (20.37% + 20.38% + 17.55% + 13.73% + 17.19% + 19.94%) ÷ 6
= 18.19%

WACC = 16.07%


FCFF Growth Rate (g)

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

Cintas Corp., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020 May 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Interest expense 100,740 111,232 88,844 98,210 105,393 101,736
Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax (323) 2,346
Net income 1,571,592 1,348,010 1,235,757 1,110,968 876,037 884,981
 
Effective income tax rate (EITR)1 20.37% 20.38% 17.55% 13.73% 17.19% 19.94%
 
Interest expense, after tax2 80,219 88,563 73,252 84,726 87,276 81,450
Add: Dividends 550,952 469,858 393,609 530,462 267,956 220,764
Interest expense (after tax) and dividends 631,171 558,421 466,861 615,188 355,232 302,214
 
EBIT(1 – EITR)3 1,651,811 1,436,573 1,309,009 1,195,694 963,636 964,085
 
Debt due within one year 449,595 311,574 899,070 312,264
Debt due after one year 2,025,934 2,486,405 2,483,932 1,642,833 2,539,705 2,537,507
Shareholders’ equity 4,316,372 3,863,986 3,308,196 3,687,847 3,235,202 3,002,721
Total capital 6,791,901 6,350,391 6,103,702 6,229,750 5,774,907 5,852,492
Financial Ratios
Retention rate (RR)4 0.62 0.61 0.64 0.49 0.63 0.69
Return on invested capital (ROIC)5 24.32% 22.62% 21.45% 19.19% 16.69% 16.47%
Averages
RR 0.64
ROIC 20.12%
 
FCFF growth rate (g)6 12.84%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-05-31).

1 See details »

2024 Calculations

2 Interest expense, after tax = Interest expense × (1 – EITR)
= 100,740 × (1 – 20.37%)
= 80,219

3 EBIT(1 – EITR) = Net income – Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax + Interest expense, after tax
= 1,571,5920 + 80,219
= 1,651,811

4 RR = [EBIT(1 – EITR) – Interest expense (after tax) and dividends] ÷ EBIT(1 – EITR)
= [1,651,811631,171] ÷ 1,651,811
= 0.62

5 ROIC = 100 × EBIT(1 – EITR) ÷ Total capital
= 100 × 1,651,811 ÷ 6,791,901
= 24.32%

6 g = RR × ROIC
= 0.64 × 20.12%
= 12.84%


FCFF growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Total capital, fair value0 × WACC – FCFF0) ÷ (Total capital, fair value0 + FCFF0)
= 100 × (82,314,676 × 16.07%1,750,579) ÷ (82,314,676 + 1,750,579)
= 13.66%

where:

Total capital, fair value0 = current fair value of Cintas Corp. debt and equity (US$ in thousands)
FCFF0 = the last year Cintas Corp. free cash flow to the firm (US$ in thousands)
WACC = weighted average cost of Cintas Corp. capital


FCFF growth rate (g) forecast

Cintas Corp., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1 12.84%
2 g2 13.04%
3 g3 13.25%
4 g4 13.45%
5 and thereafter g5 13.66%

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 12.84% + (13.66%12.84%) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 13.04%

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 12.84% + (13.66%12.84%) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 13.25%

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 12.84% + (13.66%12.84%) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 13.45%