Stock Analysis on Net

Gilead Sciences Inc. (NASDAQ:GILD)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Gilead Sciences Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The period under review demonstrates significant fluctuations in economic profit. Initial observations reveal a substantial improvement followed by a marked decline in recent years. Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) and invested capital both experienced changes throughout the period, influencing the overall economic profit calculation.

NOPAT Trend
Net operating profit after taxes exhibited a dramatic increase from US$633 million in 2020 to US$6,897 million in 2021. This was followed by a considerable decrease to US$3,687 million in 2022 and a subsequent rise to US$5,086 million in 2023. However, 2024 witnessed a significant downturn, resulting in a net operating loss of US$796 million.
Cost of Capital Trend
The cost of capital generally increased over the period, rising from 5.37% in 2020 to 6.07% in 2024. The increase was not consistent year-over-year, with a slight increase from 2021 to 2022, a small decrease in 2023, and then a further increase in 2024. This upward trend suggests increasing financing costs or perceived risk.
Invested Capital Trend
Invested capital decreased steadily from US$50,285 million in 2020 to US$44,333 million in 2024. The decline was relatively consistent, indicating a reduction in the company’s capital employed over the five-year period. This could be due to asset sales, reduced investment in working capital, or other capital management strategies.
Economic Profit Analysis
Economic profit began at a negative US$2,069 million in 2020. A substantial positive economic profit of US$4,274 million was recorded in 2021, driven by the significant increase in NOPAT. Positive economic profit continued in 2022 and 2023, at US$1,012 million and US$2,414 million respectively, although at lower levels than 2021. The trend reversed sharply in 2024, with economic profit falling to a negative US$3,488 million, attributable to the net operating loss and the continued increase in the cost of capital.

The fluctuations in economic profit highlight the sensitivity of the company’s performance to changes in NOPAT, cost of capital, and invested capital. The substantial decline in economic profit in 2024 warrants further investigation to understand the underlying causes of the net operating loss and to assess the implications for future profitability.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Gilead Sciences Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income attributable to Gilead
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7
Investment income, after taxes8
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Gilead.

4 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Gilead.

7 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net income attributable to Gilead
The net income experienced a significant increase from 123 million US dollars in 2020 to 6,225 million in 2021, marking a substantial positive shift. This was followed by a decrease to 4,592 million in 2022. In 2023, net income showed a recovery, increasing to 5,665 million, but then declined sharply to 480 million in 2024. Overall, the data indicates volatility with a peak in 2021, fluctuations thereafter, and a downward trend by the final year.
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT followed a somewhat similar pattern initially, rising from 633 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 6,897 million in 2021. However, unlike net income, NOPAT declined more sharply to 3,687 million in 2022. It showed an improvement in 2023, rising to 5,086 million, before turning negative in 2024 with a value of -796 million. This negative figure in the last period signals a significant operational challenge or increased expenses resulting in operating losses after taxes.

Cash Operating Taxes

Gilead Sciences Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Income tax expense
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


Income Tax Expense
The income tax expense displayed a fluctuating pattern over the examined periods. Starting at 1,580 million US dollars in 2020, the expense increased significantly to 2,077 million US dollars in 2021. This was followed by a sharp decline to 1,248 million US dollars in 2022, remaining relatively stable into 2023 with a negligible decrease to 1,247 million US dollars. Notably, in 2024, there was a pronounced drop to 211 million US dollars, marking the lowest point in the time series.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes showed a generally increasing trend from 2020 to 2022. Beginning at 2,006 million US dollars in 2020, they rose to 2,403 million US dollars in 2021 and further to a peak of 2,981 million US dollars in 2022. The trend reversed afterward, with a decrease to 2,366 million US dollars in 2023, followed by a continued decline to 2,205 million US dollars in 2024. Despite this reversal, cash operating taxes remained higher in the last two years compared to 2020 levels.
Comparative Insights
The data suggests a divergence between income tax expense and cash operating taxes beginning from 2022 onwards. While cash operating taxes peaked in 2022 and then declined, income tax expense sharply decreased in 2024, indicating possible changes in tax planning, accounting practices, or tax regulations impacting reporting differently from cash outflows related to operating taxes. The significant reduction in income tax expense by 2024 suggests a substantial alteration in either taxable income or effective tax rates.

Invested Capital

Gilead Sciences Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Current portion of long-term debt and other obligations, net
Long-term debt, net, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Gilead stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowances for credit losses3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Noncontrolling interest
Adjusted total Gilead stockholders’ equity
Construction in progress6
Marketable debt securities7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to total Gilead stockholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in progress.

7 Subtraction of marketable debt securities.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases decreased significantly from 32,117 million US dollars in 2020 to 25,808 million US dollars in 2022. This trend indicates a reduction in debt obligations over this period. However, from 2022 to 2023, the debt level remained relatively stable, showing only a slight decrease to 25,658 million US dollars. In 2024, there was an uptick in total debt, increasing to 27,322 million US dollars, suggesting a reversal of the prior debt reduction trend.
Total Gilead stockholders’ equity
Stockholders’ equity saw a consistent increase from 18,202 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 22,833 million US dollars in 2023. This upward movement reflects a strengthening of the company's equity base during these years. However, in 2024, equity fell notably to 19,330 million US dollars, implying a decrease in net assets attributable to shareholders, which could be due to various factors such as losses, dividends, or share repurchases.
Invested capital
Invested capital showed a declining trend throughout the period from 50,285 million US dollars in 2020 to 44,333 million US dollars in 2024. This steady decrease suggests a contraction in the total capital employed in the business, possibly due to asset disposals, changes in financing structure, or operational adjustments.
Summary
Overall, the company experienced a reduction in debt from 2020 to 2022, but this trend reversed in 2024. Equity increased notably until 2023, followed by a significant decline in 2024. Invested capital consistently decreased over the five years. These patterns suggest a shifting financial structure, with potential impacts on leverage and capital deployment in the most recent year.

Cost of Capital

Gilead Sciences Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt, net3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt, net. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt, net3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt, net. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt, net3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt, net. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt, net3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt, net. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt, net3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt, net. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Gilead Sciences Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
AbbVie Inc.
Amgen Inc.
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
Danaher Corp.
Eli Lilly & Co.
Johnson & Johnson
Merck & Co. Inc.
Pfizer Inc.
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The economic spread ratio exhibited considerable fluctuation between 2020 and 2024. Initially negative in 2020, it transitioned to positive values for the subsequent three years before returning to a negative value in 2024. This pattern mirrors the volatility observed in economic profit over the same period.

Economic Spread Ratio Trend
In 2020, the economic spread ratio was -4.11%, indicating that the company’s return on invested capital was less than its cost of capital. A substantial improvement occurred in 2021, with the ratio reaching 8.95%, signifying a strong positive economic spread. This positive trend continued, albeit at a reduced rate, with a ratio of 2.22% in 2022 and further increasing to 5.27% in 2023. However, the ratio declined sharply in 2024 to -7.87%, representing a significant deterioration in economic profitability relative to invested capital.

The economic spread ratio’s movement is closely linked to the changes in economic profit. The negative ratios in 2020 and 2024 correspond with periods of negative economic profit, while the positive ratios in 2021, 2022, and 2023 align with positive economic profit values. This suggests that the company’s ability to generate returns exceeding its cost of capital is inconsistent over the analyzed timeframe.

Invested Capital
Invested capital demonstrated a consistent, though gradual, downward trend throughout the period. Beginning at US$50,285 million in 2020, it decreased to US$44,333 million by 2024. This reduction in invested capital occurred concurrently with the fluctuations in economic profit and the economic spread ratio, potentially influencing the observed ratio movements.

The substantial decline in the economic spread ratio in 2024 warrants further investigation. While the decrease in invested capital may contribute to the ratio’s value, the significant negative value suggests a considerable underperformance relative to the cost of capital during that year. The volatility in economic profit and the resulting fluctuations in the economic spread ratio indicate a dynamic financial performance requiring ongoing monitoring.


Economic Profit Margin

Gilead Sciences Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Product sales
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
AbbVie Inc.
Amgen Inc.
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
Danaher Corp.
Eli Lilly & Co.
Johnson & Johnson
Merck & Co. Inc.
Pfizer Inc.
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Product sales
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The economic profit margin exhibited significant fluctuations between 2020 and 2024. Initial observations reveal a substantial swing from a negative value in 2020 to a positive value in 2021, followed by a period of decline and a return to a negative margin in 2024.

Economic Profit Margin Trend
In 2020, the economic profit margin stood at -8.50%. A marked improvement occurred in 2021, with the margin increasing to 15.83%. This positive trend moderated in 2022, as the margin decreased to 3.75%, and continued to rise slightly in 2023, reaching 8.96%. However, 2024 witnessed a considerable decline, resulting in a margin of -12.19%.

The economic profit margin’s movement appears correlated with changes in economic profit. The negative margins in 2020 and 2024 coincide with negative economic profit values, while the positive margins in 2021, 2022, and 2023 align with positive economic profit. This suggests that the company’s ability to generate returns exceeding its cost of capital is variable.

Relationship to Product Sales
Product sales demonstrated a generally upward trend over the period, increasing from US$24,355 million in 2020 to US$28,610 million in 2024. Despite this growth in sales, the economic profit margin did not consistently improve. The decline in margin in 2022 and the significant negative margin in 2024, despite increased sales, indicate that rising costs or a higher cost of capital may be offsetting the benefits of revenue growth.

The volatility in the economic profit margin warrants further investigation. A deeper analysis of the components of economic profit – net operating profit after tax and the cost of capital – is recommended to understand the drivers behind these fluctuations and to assess the company’s long-term value creation potential.