Stock Analysis on Net

Eli Lilly & Co. (NYSE:LLY)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

Economic Profit

Eli Lilly & Co., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 8,466,038 3,090,452 4,320,468 5,040,358 6,357,340
Cost of capital2 8.45% 8.47% 8.37% 8.15% 8.07%
Invested capital3 35,800,600 29,384,700 24,302,500 26,139,800 24,557,100
 
Economic profit4 5,439,775 602,563 2,285,982 2,911,131 4,374,701

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 8,466,0388.45% × 35,800,600 = 5,439,775

Item Description The company
Economic profit Economic profit is a measure of corporate performance computed by taking the spread between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, and multiplying by the invested capital. Eli Lilly & Co. economic profit decreased from 2022 to 2023 but then increased from 2023 to 2024 exceeding 2022 level.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Eli Lilly & Co., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income 10,590,000 5,240,400 6,244,800 5,581,700 6,193,700
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (2,683,100) (2,341,000) (2,185,200) (802,300) (134,500)
Increase (decrease) in allowances2 100 (1,200) (6,500) (3,400) 3,500
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve3 39,500 (93,500) 25,300 600 16,400
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4 (2,643,500) (2,435,700) (2,166,400) (805,100) (114,600)
Interest expense 780,600 485,900 331,600 339,800 359,600
Interest expense, operating lease liability5 52,744 48,611 26,215 20,571 21,902
Adjusted interest expense 833,344 534,511 357,815 360,371 381,502
Tax benefit of interest expense6 (175,002) (112,247) (75,141) (75,678) (80,115)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7 658,341 422,264 282,674 284,693 301,387
(Gain) loss on marketable securities (500) 800 11,400 (1,100) 3,700
Interest income (175,200) (173,600) (62,800) (25,400) (33,000)
Investment income, before taxes (175,700) (172,800) (51,400) (26,500) (29,300)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8 36,897 36,288 10,794 5,565 6,153
Investment income, after taxes9 (138,803) (136,512) (40,606) (20,935) (23,147)
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 8,466,038 3,090,452 4,320,468 5,040,358 6,357,340

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 1,146,600 × 4.60% = 52,744

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 833,344 × 21.00% = 175,002

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

8 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 175,700 × 21.00% = 36,897

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

Item Description The company
NOPAT Net operating profit after taxes is income from operations, but after removement of taxes calculated on cash basis that are relevant to operating income. Eli Lilly & Co. NOPAT decreased from 2022 to 2023 but then increased from 2023 to 2024 exceeding 2022 level.

Cash Operating Taxes

Eli Lilly & Co., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Income taxes 2,090,400 1,314,200 561,600 573,800 1,036,200
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (2,683,100) (2,341,000) (2,185,200) (802,300) (134,500)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 175,002 112,247 75,141 75,678 80,115
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 36,897 36,288 10,794 5,565 6,153
Cash operating taxes 4,911,605 3,731,159 2,811,147 1,446,213 1,244,662

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

Item Description The company
Cash operating taxes Cash operating taxes are estimated by adjusting income tax expense for changes in deferred taxes and tax benefit from the interest deduction. Eli Lilly & Co. cash operating taxes increased from 2022 to 2023 and from 2023 to 2024.

Invested Capital

Eli Lilly & Co., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Short-term borrowings and current maturities of long-term debt 5,117,100 6,904,500 1,501,100 1,538,300 8,700
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities 28,527,100 18,320,800 14,737,500 15,346,400 16,586,600
Operating lease liability1 1,146,600 1,104,800 728,200 685,700 663,700
Total reported debt & leases 34,790,800 26,330,100 16,966,800 17,570,400 17,259,000
Total Eli Lilly and Company shareholders’ equity 14,192,100 10,771,900 10,649,800 8,979,200 5,641,600
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (7,926,700) (5,373,400) (2,705,700) (755,900) (730,500)
Allowances3 14,900 14,800 16,000 22,500 25,900
LIFO reserve4 (62,900) (102,400) (8,900) (34,200) (34,800)
Equity equivalents5 (7,974,700) (5,461,000) (2,698,600) (767,600) (739,400)
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6 4,321,900 4,327,000 3,844,600 4,343,100 6,496,400
Noncontrolling interests 79,500 91,800 125,600 175,600 183,600
Adjusted total Eli Lilly and Company shareholders’ equity 10,618,800 9,729,700 11,921,400 12,730,300 11,582,200
Construction in progress7 (8,244,800) (5,084,100) (2,798,600) (2,177,800) (2,138,800)
Investments8 (1,364,200) (1,591,000) (1,787,100) (1,983,100) (2,145,300)
Invested capital 35,800,600 29,384,700 24,302,500 26,139,800 24,557,100

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Eli Lilly and Company shareholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

8 Subtraction of investments.

Item Description The company
Invested capital Capital is an approximation of the economic book value of all cash invested in going-concern business activities. Eli Lilly & Co. invested capital increased from 2022 to 2023 and from 2023 to 2024.

Cost of Capital

Eli Lilly & Co., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 822,110,798 822,110,798 ÷ 853,825,798 = 0.96 0.96 × 8.66% = 8.34%
Debt3 30,568,400 30,568,400 ÷ 853,825,798 = 0.04 0.04 × 3.87% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.11%
Operating lease liability4 1,146,600 1,146,600 ÷ 853,825,798 = 0.00 0.00 × 4.60% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.00%
Total: 853,825,798 1.00 8.45%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 708,737,166 708,737,166 ÷ 733,230,066 = 0.97 0.97 × 8.66% = 8.37%
Debt3 23,388,100 23,388,100 ÷ 733,230,066 = 0.03 0.03 × 3.58% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.09%
Operating lease liability4 1,104,800 1,104,800 ÷ 733,230,066 = 0.00 0.00 × 4.40% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 733,230,066 1.00 8.47%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 312,713,944 312,713,944 ÷ 327,263,444 = 0.96 0.96 × 8.66% = 8.28%
Debt3 13,821,300 13,821,300 ÷ 327,263,444 = 0.04 0.04 × 2.69% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.09%
Operating lease liability4 728,200 728,200 ÷ 327,263,444 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.60% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 327,263,444 1.00 8.37%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 226,953,844 226,953,844 ÷ 245,797,244 = 0.92 0.92 × 8.66% = 8.00%
Debt3 18,157,700 18,157,700 ÷ 245,797,244 = 0.07 0.07 × 2.44% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.14%
Operating lease liability4 685,700 685,700 ÷ 245,797,244 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 245,797,244 1.00 8.15%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 197,876,569 197,876,569 ÷ 217,579,169 = 0.91 0.91 × 8.66% = 7.88%
Debt3 19,038,900 19,038,900 ÷ 217,579,169 = 0.09 0.09 × 2.74% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.19%
Operating lease liability4 663,700 663,700 ÷ 217,579,169 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.30% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 217,579,169 1.00 8.07%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Eli Lilly & Co., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 5,439,775 602,563 2,285,982 2,911,131 4,374,701
Invested capital2 35,800,600 29,384,700 24,302,500 26,139,800 24,557,100
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 15.19% 2.05% 9.41% 11.14% 17.81%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
AbbVie Inc. -2.77% -4.48% 4.95% 4.38% -3.42%
Amgen Inc. 0.09% 2.89% 7.48% 7.46% 11.78%
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. 1.79% -0.94% 1.33% -14.22%
Danaher Corp. -8.28% -3.32% -2.64% -4.03%
Gilead Sciences Inc. 5.82% 2.31% 8.86% -4.20%
Johnson & Johnson 1.64% -0.21% 5.06% 10.12% 4.92%
Merck & Co. Inc. -8.77% 11.41% 11.57% 4.41%
Pfizer Inc. -9.25% 18.24% 11.40% -3.28%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. 21.10% 17.94% 23.29% 66.98% 38.48%
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. -5.12% -3.35% -1.51% -0.52%
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. 11.77% 14.52% 15.73% 29.00%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 5,439,775 ÷ 35,800,600 = 15.19%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic spread ratio The ratio of economic profit to invested capital, also equal to the difference between return on invested capital (ROIC) and cost of capital. Eli Lilly & Co. economic spread ratio deteriorated from 2022 to 2023 but then improved from 2023 to 2024 exceeding 2022 level.

Economic Profit Margin

Eli Lilly & Co., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 5,439,775 602,563 2,285,982 2,911,131 4,374,701
Revenue 45,042,700 34,124,100 28,541,400 28,318,400 24,539,800
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 12.08% 1.77% 8.01% 10.28% 17.83%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
AbbVie Inc. -3.40% -5.63% 7.01% 7.47% -7.74%
Amgen Inc. 0.18% 7.52% 11.98% 12.35% 18.85%
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. 2.68% -1.46% 2.31% -30.15%
Danaher Corp. -27.19% -8.26% -6.61% -11.82%
Gilead Sciences Inc. 9.90% 3.89% 15.67% -8.67%
Johnson & Johnson 1.97% -0.24% 6.06% 10.58% 5.85%
Merck & Co. Inc. -10.21% 14.23% 16.80% 5.25%
Pfizer Inc. -24.49% 20.13% 12.30% -8.14%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. 18.50% 16.36% 23.45% 45.30% 37.50%
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. -10.23% -6.18% -3.08% -0.99%
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. 15.80% 21.42% 19.49% 38.06%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenue
= 100 × 5,439,775 ÷ 45,042,700 = 12.08%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic profit margin The ratio of economic profit to sales. It is the company profit margin covering income efficiency and asset management. Economic profit margin is not biased in favor of capital-intensive business models, because any added capital is a cost to the economic profit margin. Eli Lilly & Co. economic profit margin deteriorated from 2022 to 2023 but then improved from 2023 to 2024 exceeding 2022 level.