Stock Analysis on Net

Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA)

Enterprise Value to FCFF (EV/FCFF) 

Microsoft Excel

Free Cash Flow to The Firm (FCFF)

Tesla Inc., FCFF calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income attributable to common stockholders 7,091 14,997 12,556 5,519 721
Net (income) loss attributable to noncontrolling interests and redeemable noncontrolling interests in subsidiaries 62 (23) 31 125 141
Net noncash charges 7,689 530 5,849 5,186 4,897
Changes in operating assets and liabilities 81 (2,248) (3,712) 667 184
Net cash provided by operating activities 14,923 13,256 14,724 11,497 5,943
Cash paid during the period for interest, net of tax1 220 100 139 237 332
Capitalized interest, net of tax2 47 36
Purchases of property and equipment excluding finance leases, net of sales (11,339) (8,898) (7,158) (6,482) (3,157)
Purchase of intangible assets (9) (10)
Leased assets obtained in exchange for finance lease liabilities (144) (10) (58) (486) (188)
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) 3,660 4,448 7,638 4,813 2,956

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


Net cash provided by operating activities
The net cash provided by operating activities shows a general upward trend over the five-year period. It increased significantly from 5,943 million USD in 2020 to 11,497 million USD in 2021, representing nearly a doubling of cash inflows from operations. This upward momentum continued in 2022 with a further rise to 14,724 million USD. In 2023, there was a slight decrease to 13,256 million USD, indicating a minor contraction in operating cash flows. However, the figure rebounded in 2024, reaching its highest point of 14,923 million USD. Overall, operating cash flow demonstrates strong growth with slight volatility in the most recent years.
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF)
Free cash flow to the firm exhibits a more volatile trend compared to operating cash flow. Beginning at 2,956 million USD in 2020, FCFF increased steadily to 4,813 million USD in 2021 and further accelerated to 7,638 million USD in 2022, suggesting effective capital expenditure management or improved operating efficiency up to this point. However, a significant decline occurred in 2023, where FCFF dropped to 4,448 million USD, followed by a further decrease to 3,660 million USD in 2024. This downturn signals increased investments or other outflows that impacted the free cash flow available to the firm despite operating cash flow still being strong.
Overall insights
While operating cash flows consistently grew over the period with only a minor dip in 2023, free cash flow peaked in 2022 and then declined considerably in the following two years. This divergence suggests that although the firm’s core business operations are generating increasing cash, higher capital expenditures or other investment activities are reducing the free cash flow available after operations. The pattern indicates a potential strategic focus on growth or capacity expansion that increased the use of cash despite strong underlying operating performance.

Interest Paid, Net of Tax

Tesla Inc., interest paid, net of tax calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Effective Income Tax Rate (EITR)
EITR1 20.43% 21.00% 8.25% 11.02% 25.30%
Interest Paid, Net of Tax
Cash paid during the period for interest, before tax 277 126 152 266 444
Less: Cash paid during the period for interest, tax2 57 26 13 29 112
Cash paid during the period for interest, net of tax 220 100 139 237 332
Interest Costs Capitalized, Net of Tax
Capitalized interest, before tax 53 48
Less: Capitalized interest, tax3 6 12
Capitalized interest, net of tax 47 36

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Cash paid during the period for interest, tax = Cash paid during the period for interest × EITR
= 277 × 20.43% = 57

3 2024 Calculation
Capitalized interest, tax = Capitalized interest × EITR
= 0 × 20.43% = 0


The analysis of the financial data reveals several key trends over the observed five-year period.

Effective Income Tax Rate (EITR)
The effective income tax rate exhibits notable fluctuations. It started at 25.3% at the end of 2020, dramatically decreased to 11.02% by the end of 2021, and further declined to a low of 8.25% by the end of 2022. However, this downward trend reversed in the following years, with the rate rising to 21% by the end of 2023 and slightly decreasing to 20.43% at the end of 2024. This pattern suggests significant tax rate variability, potentially influenced by changes in tax policy, income composition, or temporary tax benefits.
Cash Paid During the Period for Interest, Net of Tax
The amount of cash paid for interest, net of tax, shows a consistent decline from 332 million USD in 2020 to 100 million USD in 2023. This decline suggests improved capital structure management, possibly through debt reduction or refinancing at lower interest rates. However, there is a rebound in 2024, with the interest paid rising to 220 million USD, indicating increased borrowing costs or higher debt levels in that year.
Capitalized Interest, Net of Tax
Capitalized interest was recorded at 36 million USD in 2020 and increased to 47 million USD in 2021. Data for subsequent years is unavailable, which restricts trend analysis beyond this point. The initial increase may reflect higher investment in capital projects or changes in capitalization policies.

Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Current

Tesla Inc., current EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Enterprise value (EV) 982,156
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) 3,660
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF 268.32
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors1
Ford Motor Co. 12.52
General Motors Co. 15.53
EV/FCFF, Sector
Automobiles & Components 49.38
EV/FCFF, Industry
Consumer Discretionary 39.40

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 Click competitor name to see calculations.

If the company EV/FCFF is lower then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company EV/FCFF is higher then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.


Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Historical

Tesla Inc., historical EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Enterprise value (EV)1 1,259,861 584,941 529,785 927,706 821,920
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF)2 3,660 4,448 7,638 4,813 2,956
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF3 344.19 131.52 69.36 192.76 278.10
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors4
Ford Motor Co. 11.76 13.01 47.17 12.09 7.06
General Motors Co. 15.38 9.84 11.80 16.37 13.12
EV/FCFF, Sector
Automobiles & Components 59.44 24.92 34.23 42.88 30.62
EV/FCFF, Industry
Consumer Discretionary 41.92 33.08 50.80 60.24 46.23

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 See details »

2 See details »

3 2024 Calculation
EV/FCFF = EV ÷ FCFF
= 1,259,861 ÷ 3,660 = 344.19

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of the financial data over the five-year period reveals significant variability in the key metrics under consideration.

Enterprise Value (EV)
The enterprise value demonstrated an overall upward trajectory from 2020 to 2024, beginning at approximately $822 billion in 2020 and reaching a peak of nearly $1.26 trillion by the end of 2024. Notably, there was a sharp decline in 2022 to around $530 billion, followed by a gradual recovery in 2023 and a substantial surge in 2024.
Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)
Free cash flow to the firm exhibited a generally increasing trend from 2020 through 2022, rising from about $2.96 billion to $7.64 billion. However, this was followed by a consistent decline in the subsequent two years, dropping to approximately $3.66 billion by the end of 2024.
EV/FCFF Ratio
The ratio of enterprise value to free cash flow tells a nuanced story. Starting at a very high multiple of 278.1 in 2020, it decreased sharply to 69.36 in 2022, indicating that the enterprise value became more aligned with the free cash flow generation at that point. However, post-2022, the ratio increased again, reaching 344.19 by 2024, which suggests that enterprise valuation escalated disproportionately compared to free cash flow during the most recent years.

In summary, the data reflect volatility in enterprise value and free cash flow over the analyzed period, with a particularly notable divergence in 2024 where enterprise value grew substantially while free cash flow declined, resulting in elevated valuation multiples. This pattern may warrant further examination regarding market expectations, operational efficiencies, or capital structure changes impacting valuation metrics.