Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
Capital asset pricing model (CAPM) indicates what should be the expected or required rate of return on risky assets like Ulta Beauty Inc. common stock.
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Ulta Beauty Inc. pages available for free this week:
- Common-Size Income Statement
- Analysis of Solvency Ratios
- DuPont Analysis: Disaggregation of ROE, ROA, and Net Profit Margin
- Enterprise Value (EV)
- Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)
- Present Value of Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
- Net Profit Margin since 2008
- Operating Profit Margin since 2008
- Return on Assets (ROA) since 2008
- Price to Operating Profit (P/OP) since 2008
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Rates of Return
Ulta Beauty Inc., monthly rates of return
| Ulta Beauty Inc. (ULTA) | Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| t | Date | PriceULTA,t1 | DividendULTA,t1 | RULTA,t2 | PriceS&P 500,t | RS&P 500,t3 |
| Feb 28, 2017 | ||||||
| 1. | Mar 31, 2017 | |||||
| 2. | Apr 30, 2017 | |||||
| 3. | May 31, 2017 | |||||
| . | . | . | . | . | . | . |
| . | . | . | . | . | . | . |
| . | . | . | . | . | . | . |
| 70. | Dec 31, 2022 | |||||
| 71. | Jan 31, 2023 | |||||
| Average (R): | ||||||
| Standard deviation: | ||||||
| Ulta Beauty Inc. (ULTA) | Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| t | Date | PriceULTA,t1 | DividendULTA,t1 | RULTA,t2 | PriceS&P 500,t | RS&P 500,t3 |
| Feb 28, 2017 | ||||||
| 1. | Mar 31, 2017 | |||||
| 2. | Apr 30, 2017 | |||||
| 3. | May 31, 2017 | |||||
| 4. | Jun 30, 2017 | |||||
| 5. | Jul 31, 2017 | |||||
| 6. | Aug 31, 2017 | |||||
| 7. | Sep 30, 2017 | |||||
| 8. | Oct 31, 2017 | |||||
| 9. | Nov 30, 2017 | |||||
| 10. | Dec 31, 2017 | |||||
| 11. | Jan 31, 2018 | |||||
| 12. | Feb 28, 2018 | |||||
| 13. | Mar 31, 2018 | |||||
| 14. | Apr 30, 2018 | |||||
| 15. | May 31, 2018 | |||||
| 16. | Jun 30, 2018 | |||||
| 17. | Jul 31, 2018 | |||||
| 18. | Aug 31, 2018 | |||||
| 19. | Sep 30, 2018 | |||||
| 20. | Oct 31, 2018 | |||||
| 21. | Nov 30, 2018 | |||||
| 22. | Dec 31, 2018 | |||||
| 23. | Jan 31, 2019 | |||||
| 24. | Feb 28, 2019 | |||||
| 25. | Mar 31, 2019 | |||||
| 26. | Apr 30, 2019 | |||||
| 27. | May 31, 2019 | |||||
| 28. | Jun 30, 2019 | |||||
| 29. | Jul 31, 2019 | |||||
| 30. | Aug 31, 2019 | |||||
| 31. | Sep 30, 2019 | |||||
| 32. | Oct 31, 2019 | |||||
| 33. | Nov 30, 2019 | |||||
| 34. | Dec 31, 2019 | |||||
| 35. | Jan 31, 2020 | |||||
| 36. | Feb 29, 2020 | |||||
| 37. | Mar 31, 2020 | |||||
| 38. | Apr 30, 2020 | |||||
| 39. | May 31, 2020 | |||||
| 40. | Jun 30, 2020 | |||||
| 41. | Jul 31, 2020 | |||||
| 42. | Aug 31, 2020 | |||||
| 43. | Sep 30, 2020 | |||||
| 44. | Oct 31, 2020 | |||||
| 45. | Nov 30, 2020 | |||||
| 46. | Dec 31, 2020 | |||||
| 47. | Jan 31, 2021 | |||||
| 48. | Feb 28, 2021 | |||||
| 49. | Mar 31, 2021 | |||||
| 50. | Apr 30, 2021 | |||||
| 51. | May 31, 2021 | |||||
| 52. | Jun 30, 2021 | |||||
| 53. | Jul 31, 2021 | |||||
| 54. | Aug 31, 2021 | |||||
| 55. | Sep 30, 2021 | |||||
| 56. | Oct 31, 2021 | |||||
| 57. | Nov 30, 2021 | |||||
| 58. | Dec 31, 2021 | |||||
| 59. | Jan 31, 2022 | |||||
| 60. | Feb 28, 2022 | |||||
| 61. | Mar 31, 2022 | |||||
| 62. | Apr 30, 2022 | |||||
| 63. | May 31, 2022 | |||||
| 64. | Jun 30, 2022 | |||||
| 65. | Jul 31, 2022 | |||||
| 66. | Aug 31, 2022 | |||||
| 67. | Sep 30, 2022 | |||||
| 68. | Oct 31, 2022 | |||||
| 69. | Nov 30, 2022 | |||||
| 70. | Dec 31, 2022 | |||||
| 71. | Jan 31, 2023 | |||||
| Average (R): | ||||||
| Standard deviation: | ||||||
Show all
1 Data in US$ per share of common stock, adjusted for splits and stock dividends.
2 Rate of return on common stock of ULTA during period t
3 Rate of return on S&P 500 (the market portfolio proxy) during period t
Variance and Covariance
Ulta Beauty Inc., calculation of variance and covariance of returns
| t | Date | RULTA,t | RS&P 500,t | (RULTA,t–RULTA)2 | (RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500)2 | (RULTA,t–RULTA)×(RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Mar 31, 2017 | |||||
| 2. | Apr 30, 2017 | |||||
| 3. | May 31, 2017 | |||||
| . | . | . | . | . | . | . |
| . | . | . | . | . | . | . |
| . | . | . | . | . | . | . |
| 70. | Dec 31, 2022 | |||||
| 71. | Jan 31, 2023 | |||||
| Total (Σ): | ||||||
| t | Date | RULTA,t | RS&P 500,t | (RULTA,t–RULTA)2 | (RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500)2 | (RULTA,t–RULTA)×(RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Mar 31, 2017 | |||||
| 2. | Apr 30, 2017 | |||||
| 3. | May 31, 2017 | |||||
| 4. | Jun 30, 2017 | |||||
| 5. | Jul 31, 2017 | |||||
| 6. | Aug 31, 2017 | |||||
| 7. | Sep 30, 2017 | |||||
| 8. | Oct 31, 2017 | |||||
| 9. | Nov 30, 2017 | |||||
| 10. | Dec 31, 2017 | |||||
| 11. | Jan 31, 2018 | |||||
| 12. | Feb 28, 2018 | |||||
| 13. | Mar 31, 2018 | |||||
| 14. | Apr 30, 2018 | |||||
| 15. | May 31, 2018 | |||||
| 16. | Jun 30, 2018 | |||||
| 17. | Jul 31, 2018 | |||||
| 18. | Aug 31, 2018 | |||||
| 19. | Sep 30, 2018 | |||||
| 20. | Oct 31, 2018 | |||||
| 21. | Nov 30, 2018 | |||||
| 22. | Dec 31, 2018 | |||||
| 23. | Jan 31, 2019 | |||||
| 24. | Feb 28, 2019 | |||||
| 25. | Mar 31, 2019 | |||||
| 26. | Apr 30, 2019 | |||||
| 27. | May 31, 2019 | |||||
| 28. | Jun 30, 2019 | |||||
| 29. | Jul 31, 2019 | |||||
| 30. | Aug 31, 2019 | |||||
| 31. | Sep 30, 2019 | |||||
| 32. | Oct 31, 2019 | |||||
| 33. | Nov 30, 2019 | |||||
| 34. | Dec 31, 2019 | |||||
| 35. | Jan 31, 2020 | |||||
| 36. | Feb 29, 2020 | |||||
| 37. | Mar 31, 2020 | |||||
| 38. | Apr 30, 2020 | |||||
| 39. | May 31, 2020 | |||||
| 40. | Jun 30, 2020 | |||||
| 41. | Jul 31, 2020 | |||||
| 42. | Aug 31, 2020 | |||||
| 43. | Sep 30, 2020 | |||||
| 44. | Oct 31, 2020 | |||||
| 45. | Nov 30, 2020 | |||||
| 46. | Dec 31, 2020 | |||||
| 47. | Jan 31, 2021 | |||||
| 48. | Feb 28, 2021 | |||||
| 49. | Mar 31, 2021 | |||||
| 50. | Apr 30, 2021 | |||||
| 51. | May 31, 2021 | |||||
| 52. | Jun 30, 2021 | |||||
| 53. | Jul 31, 2021 | |||||
| 54. | Aug 31, 2021 | |||||
| 55. | Sep 30, 2021 | |||||
| 56. | Oct 31, 2021 | |||||
| 57. | Nov 30, 2021 | |||||
| 58. | Dec 31, 2021 | |||||
| 59. | Jan 31, 2022 | |||||
| 60. | Feb 28, 2022 | |||||
| 61. | Mar 31, 2022 | |||||
| 62. | Apr 30, 2022 | |||||
| 63. | May 31, 2022 | |||||
| 64. | Jun 30, 2022 | |||||
| 65. | Jul 31, 2022 | |||||
| 66. | Aug 31, 2022 | |||||
| 67. | Sep 30, 2022 | |||||
| 68. | Oct 31, 2022 | |||||
| 69. | Nov 30, 2022 | |||||
| 70. | Dec 31, 2022 | |||||
| 71. | Jan 31, 2023 | |||||
| Total (Σ): | ||||||
Show all
VarianceULTA = Σ(RULTA,t–RULTA)2 ÷ (71 – 1)
= ÷ (71 – 1)
=
VarianceS&P 500 = Σ(RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500)2 ÷ (71 – 1)
= ÷ (71 – 1)
=
CovarianceULTA, S&P 500 = Σ(RULTA,t–RULTA)×(RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500) ÷ (71 – 1)
= ÷ (71 – 1)
=
Systematic Risk (β) Estimation
| VarianceULTA | |
| VarianceS&P 500 | |
| CovarianceULTA, S&P 500 | |
| Correlation coefficientULTA, S&P 5001 | |
| βULTA2 | |
| αULTA3 |
Calculations
1 Correlation coefficientULTA, S&P 500
= CovarianceULTA, S&P 500 ÷ (Standard deviationULTA × Standard deviationS&P 500)
= ÷ ( × )
=
2 βULTA
= CovarianceULTA, S&P 500 ÷ VarianceS&P 500
= ÷
=
3 αULTA
= AverageULTA – βULTA × AverageS&P 500
= – ×
=
Expected Rate of Return
| Assumptions | ||
| Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite1 | RF | |
| Expected rate of return on market portfolio2 | E(RM) | |
| Systematic risk (β) of Ulta Beauty Inc. common stock | βULTA | |
| Expected rate of return on Ulta Beauty Inc. common stock3 | E(RULTA) | |
1 Unweighted average of bid yields on all outstanding fixed-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds neither due or callable in less than 10 years (risk-free rate of return proxy).
3 E(RULTA) = RF + βULTA [E(RM) – RF]
= + [ – ]
=