Stock Analysis on Net

Ulta Beauty Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since August 24, 2023.

Common Stock Valuation Ratios (Price Multiples)

Microsoft Excel

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Current Valuation Ratios

Ulta Beauty Inc., current price multiples

Microsoft Excel
Ulta Beauty Inc. Amazon.com Inc. Home Depot Inc. Lowe’s Cos. Inc. TJX Cos. Inc. Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail Consumer Discretionary
Selected Financial Data
Current share price (P)
No. shares of common stock outstanding
Growth rate (g)
 
Earnings per share (EPS)
Next year expected EPS
Operating profit per share
Sales per share
Book value per share (BVPS)
Valuation Ratios (Price Multiples)
Price to earnings (P/E)
Price to next year expected earnings
Price-earnings-growth (PEG)
Price to operating profit (P/OP)
Price to sales (P/S)
Price to book value (P/BV)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28).

If the company price multiple is lower then the price multiple of benchmark then company stock is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company price multiple is higher then the price multiple of benchmark then company stock is relatively overvalued.


Historical Valuation Ratios (Summary)

Ulta Beauty Inc., historical price multiples

Microsoft Excel
Jan 28, 2023 Jan 29, 2022 Jan 30, 2021 Feb 1, 2020 Feb 2, 2019 Feb 3, 2018
Price to earnings (P/E)
Price to operating profit (P/OP)
Price to sales (P/S)
Price to book value (P/BV)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-03).


Price to Earnings (P/E) Ratio
The P/E ratio demonstrates notable volatility over the examined periods. Initially, it increased from 22.31 in 2018 to a peak of 31.01 in 2019. A substantial decline followed in 2020, dropping to 13.91. The ratio then surged significantly to 96.85 in 2021, indicating a period of possibly elevated market expectations or lower earnings. Subsequently, the ratio stabilized in the low twenties, with values of 20.97 in 2022 and 20.77 in 2023.
Price to Operating Profit (P/OP) Ratio
The P/OP ratio follows a pattern similar to the P/E ratio. It increased from 15.77 in 2018 to 23.91 in 2019, declined to 10.9 in 2020, then sharply rose to 71.91 in 2021. After this peak, the ratio decreased and settled at approximately 15.93 in 2022 and 15.74 in 2023. This fluctuation suggests considerable changes in operating profits relative to market valuation across the years.
Price to Sales (P/S) Ratio
The P/S ratio exhibits less pronounced volatility compared to P/E and P/OP ratios. It rose from 2.11 in 2018 to 3.04 in 2019, then decreased markedly to 1.33 in 2020. The ratio rebounded to 2.77 in 2021 but slightly decreased to 2.4 in 2022 before increasing marginally to 2.53 in 2023. Overall, this indicates relative stability in the relationship between market price and sales over time, with some variation during 2020.
Price to Book Value (P/BV) Ratio
The P/BV ratio shows significant fluctuation across the periods. It increased from 6.98 in 2018 to 11.22 in 2019, then sharply declined to 5.16 in 2020. It increased again to 8.52 in 2021 and continued rising to a peak of 13.46 in 2022 before declining slightly to 13.16 in 2023. This pattern suggests variability in the market’s valuation of the company’s net assets, with generally higher valuations in the later years.

Price to Earnings (P/E)

Ulta Beauty Inc., historical P/E calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Jan 28, 2023 Jan 29, 2022 Jan 30, 2021 Feb 1, 2020 Feb 2, 2019 Feb 3, 2018
No. shares of common stock outstanding1
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Net income (in thousands)
Earnings per share (EPS)2
Share price1, 3
Valuation Ratio
P/E ratio4
Benchmarks
P/E Ratio, Competitors5
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.
P/E Ratio, Sector
Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
P/E Ratio, Industry
Consumer Discretionary

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-03).

1 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

2 2023 Calculation
EPS = Net income ÷ No. shares of common stock outstanding
= ÷ =

3 Closing price as at the filing date of Ulta Beauty Inc. Annual Report.

4 2023 Calculation
P/E ratio = Share price ÷ EPS
= ÷ =

5 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Share Price
The share price exhibited significant volatility over the analyzed period. Initially, it increased substantially from $204.38 in early 2018 to $347.30 in early 2019. This was followed by a notable decline to $174.45 in early 2020. However, the price recovered strongly in subsequent years, reaching $303.00 in early 2021, then continuing an upward trend to $395.07 in early 2022, and further appreciating to $513.98 by early 2023.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
The EPS demonstrated a general upward trajectory, with some fluctuations. Starting at $9.16 in 2018, EPS increased steadily through 2019 and 2020, reaching $12.54. In 2021, there was a pronounced drop to $3.13, which deviates from the overall positive trend. After this decline, EPS rose sharply, reaching $18.84 in 2022 and continuing to grow to $24.75 in 2023, indicating strong earnings recovery and growth.
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio
The P/E ratio showed considerable variability. It increased from 22.31 in 2018 to a peak of 31.01 in 2019, then dropped significantly to 13.91 in 2020. A sharp increase to 96.85 was observed in 2021, coinciding with the drop in EPS, suggesting the share price remained relatively high despite lower earnings. Subsequently, the ratio normalized to around 21 in both 2022 and 2023, reflecting more balanced valuation aligned with the improved earnings.

Price to Operating Profit (P/OP)

Ulta Beauty Inc., historical P/OP calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Jan 28, 2023 Jan 29, 2022 Jan 30, 2021 Feb 1, 2020 Feb 2, 2019 Feb 3, 2018
No. shares of common stock outstanding1
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Operating income (in thousands)
Operating profit per share2
Share price1, 3
Valuation Ratio
P/OP ratio4
Benchmarks
P/OP Ratio, Competitors5
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.
P/OP Ratio, Sector
Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
P/OP Ratio, Industry
Consumer Discretionary

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-03).

1 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

2 2023 Calculation
Operating profit per share = Operating income ÷ No. shares of common stock outstanding
= ÷ =

3 Closing price as at the filing date of Ulta Beauty Inc. Annual Report.

4 2023 Calculation
P/OP ratio = Share price ÷ Operating profit per share
= ÷ =

5 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data indicates a notable fluctuation in the share price of the company over the six-year period. Beginning at $204.38 in early 2018, the share price experienced a substantial increase in 2019 to $347.3, followed by a sharp decline to $174.45 in 2020. Subsequently, the share price recovered strongly in the following years, reaching $303 in 2021, $395.07 in 2022, and further climbing to $513.98 by early 2023.

Operating profit per share shows variability but an overall upward trajectory. It started at $12.96 in 2018 and saw a modest increase to $14.52 in 2019 and $16 in 2020. There was a significant drop to $4.21 in 2021, likely indicating operational challenges or extraordinary factors affecting profitability during that year. However, from 2021 onwards, operating profit per share improved markedly, reaching $24.8 in 2022 and further to $32.64 in 2023, surpassing earlier years substantially.

The Price to Operating Profit (P/OP) ratio similarly fluctuated across the years. It was relatively moderate at 15.77 in 2018 and increased to 23.91 in 2019, suggesting higher market expectations or share price growth outpacing operating profit increases. In 2020, the ratio decreased to 10.9, coinciding with the lower share price and consistent operating profit gains. The ratio spiked dramatically to 71.91 in 2021, which reflects the significant drop in operating profit per share despite a recovering share price, indicating potential market overvaluation relative to operating earnings that year.

In 2022 and 2023, the P/OP ratio recalibrated to more moderate levels of 15.93 and 15.74 respectively, aligning more closely with earlier periods. This suggests a normalization between share price and operating profitability, with the market reflecting more balanced expectations based on improved operating profit performance.

Overall, the data reflects a company experiencing notable volatility in share price and operating profitability, with a significant operational disruption around 2021 but subsequent recovery. The price-to-operating profit ratio's extremes indicate varying market sentiment and adjustments to profitability prospects across the timeline.


Price to Sales (P/S)

Ulta Beauty Inc., historical P/S calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Jan 28, 2023 Jan 29, 2022 Jan 30, 2021 Feb 1, 2020 Feb 2, 2019 Feb 3, 2018
No. shares of common stock outstanding1
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Net sales (in thousands)
Sales per share2
Share price1, 3
Valuation Ratio
P/S ratio4
Benchmarks
P/S Ratio, Competitors5
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.
P/S Ratio, Sector
Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
P/S Ratio, Industry
Consumer Discretionary

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-03).

1 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

2 2023 Calculation
Sales per share = Net sales ÷ No. shares of common stock outstanding
= ÷ =

3 Closing price as at the filing date of Ulta Beauty Inc. Annual Report.

4 2023 Calculation
P/S ratio = Share price ÷ Sales per share
= ÷ =

5 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of the financial data over the given periods reveals several notable trends. The share price of the company demonstrates significant volatility, with fluctuations observed throughout the years. Starting at $204.38 in early 2018, the share price exhibited a sharp increase to $347.30 in early 2019, followed by a substantial decline to $174.45 in early 2020. Subsequently, it recovered and grew steadily, reaching $513.98 by early 2023, indicating strong growth momentum in recent years.

Sales per share showed a general upward trend with some variability. From $97.09 in 2018, sales per share increased to $114.22 in 2019 and further to $131.38 in 2020, indicating steady growth. However, there was a decline to $109.45 in early 2021, perhaps reflecting market challenges or operational factors during that year. Following this dip, sales per share rose sharply to $164.94 in 2022 and continued to grow to $203.38 in 2023, highlighting a strong recovery and expansion in sales efficiency.

The Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio also exhibits fluctuations that correlate to some extent with the changes in share price and sales per share. The ratio started at 2.11 in 2018, increased to 3.04 in 2019, and then dropped markedly to 1.33 in 2020, suggesting the stock was relatively undervalued compared to sales in 2020. From 2021 onwards, the P/S ratio rose again, recording 2.77 in 2021, dipping slightly to 2.4 in 2022, and then increasing marginally to 2.53 in 2023. These trends suggest periods of market revaluation and investor sentiment shifts, balancing between the company’s pricing power and revenue generation.

Overall, the data indicates periods of price volatility accompanied by growth in sales per share, with the P/S ratio reflecting changing valuation dynamics. The strong rebound in both share price and sales per share in the most recent years suggests improved market confidence and operational performance.


Price to Book Value (P/BV)

Ulta Beauty Inc., historical P/BV calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Jan 28, 2023 Jan 29, 2022 Jan 30, 2021 Feb 1, 2020 Feb 2, 2019 Feb 3, 2018
No. shares of common stock outstanding1
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Stockholders’ equity (in thousands)
Book value per share (BVPS)2
Share price1, 3
Valuation Ratio
P/BV ratio4
Benchmarks
P/BV Ratio, Competitors5
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.
P/BV Ratio, Sector
Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
P/BV Ratio, Industry
Consumer Discretionary

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-03).

1 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

2 2023 Calculation
BVPS = Stockholders’ equity ÷ No. shares of common stock outstanding
= ÷ =

3 Closing price as at the filing date of Ulta Beauty Inc. Annual Report.

4 2023 Calculation
P/BV ratio = Share price ÷ BVPS
= ÷ =

5 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The data demonstrates several notable trends in the financial metrics analyzed over the six-year period from early 2018 to early 2023.

Share Price
The share price exhibits a general upward trend with some fluctuations. Initially, it increased significantly from 204.38 in early 2018 to a peak of 347.3 in early 2019. This was followed by a sharp decline to 174.45 in early 2020. After this dip, the price steadily recovered and advanced, reaching 303 in early 2021, then 395.07 in early 2022, and further rising to 513.98 by early 2023. This indicates strong growth momentum particularly in the latter three years, surpassing previous highs.
Book Value per Share (BVPS)
BVPS shows a more stable and moderate upward trend overall. It increased from 29.27 in 2018 to 35.58 in 2021, then experienced a decline to 29.34 in 2022 before rising again to 39.04 in 2023. The fluctuations suggest some variability in the company's net asset base per share but generally reflect growth in shareholder value over the longer term.
Price-to-Book Value Ratio (P/BV)
P/BV demonstrates considerable volatility. Initially, it rose sharply from 6.98 in 2018 to 11.22 in 2019. It then fell significantly to 5.16 in 2020, corresponding with the share price drop. Subsequently, the ratio increased again, reaching 8.52 in 2021 and peaking at 13.46 in 2022, before slightly decreasing to 13.16 in 2023. The elevated P/BV ratios in recent years indicate that the market has valued the company substantially above its book value, possibly reflecting high investor confidence or expectations of future growth. The decline in 2023 suggests some moderation in this valuation premium.

In summary, the share price has experienced strong growth after a brief downturn in 2020, and the BVPS has shown steady improvement with minor setbacks. The P/BV ratio has fluctuated in line with share price changes, reaching elevated levels in the last two years which may imply optimistic market sentiment toward the company’s prospects.