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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Economic Profit
12 months ended: | Jan 31, 2025 | Feb 2, 2024 | Feb 3, 2023 | Jan 28, 2022 | Jan 29, 2021 | Jan 31, 2020 | |
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Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | |||||||
Cost of capital2 | |||||||
Invested capital3 | |||||||
Economic profit4 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
The financial data reveals several notable trends and fluctuations over the reported periods.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT showed a general upward trend from 2020 to 2022, increasing significantly from 5,097 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 9,827 million US dollars in 2022. However, after 2022, there was a considerable decline to 7,020 million US dollars in 2023. This was followed by a recovery to 8,789 million US dollars in 2024, though it slightly decreased again to 8,137 million US dollars in 2025. Overall, while the early years exhibit strong growth, the later years manifest some volatility and partial recovery.
- Cost of Capital
- Throughout the entire period, the cost of capital remained relatively stable but demonstrated minor fluctuations. It increased from 11.78% in 2020 to a peak of 13.92% in 2022, coinciding with the peak in NOPAT for that year. Following this, the cost of capital slightly decreased to around 13.07% in 2023 and remained near that level through 2025. These variations suggest modest changes in the firm's risk profile or capital structure over time.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital initially increased from 26,717 million US dollars in 2020 to 28,534 million US dollars in 2021. Subsequently, there was a consistent decline to 24,710 million US dollars by 2023, indicating a reduction in the capital employed. In the last two years, invested capital showed a slight increase, ending at 26,276 million US dollars in 2025, though not recovering to prior peak levels. This pattern suggests a strategic adjustment or asset optimization over the period examined.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit, which represents the value created beyond the cost of capital, exhibited significant growth early in the period, rising from 1,951 million US dollars in 2020 to 6,168 million US dollars in 2022. This peak aligns with the highest NOPAT and cost of capital figures. After 2022, economic profit declined to 3,790 million US dollars in 2023 but rebounded to 5,288 million US dollars in 2024, before declining again to 4,628 million US dollars in 2025. These movements reflect the fluctuations in operating performance relative to the cost of capital.
In summary, the data highlights a growth phase up to 2022 followed by a period of volatility and partial recovery in the subsequent years. The company's profitability, measured by NOPAT and economic profit, peaked in 2022 but did not maintain those levels. Changes in invested capital suggest a strategic shift in resource allocation. The relatively stable but slightly increasing cost of capital indicates steady financial conditions with mild variations in risk or capital costs.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings.
4 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
5 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense, net of amount capitalized = Adjusted interest expense, net of amount capitalized × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings.
7 2025 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
- Net Earnings
- The net earnings of the company demonstrated a significant upward trend from 2020 to 2022, rising from 4,281 million US dollars to 8,442 million US dollars. This almost doubled the net earnings within a two-year period, indicating robust profitability. However, in 2023, there was a noticeable decline to 6,437 million US dollars, followed by a partial recovery in 2024 to 7,726 million US dollars. The most recent data for 2025 shows a decrease again to 6,957 million US dollars, suggesting some volatility or challenges impacting net earnings in the latter period.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- The NOPAT figures align with the general trend observed in net earnings. Starting at 5,097 million US dollars in 2020, NOPAT increased steadily through 2021 and peaked at 9,827 million US dollars in 2022. This indicates improved operational efficiency and profitability. Following the peak, NOPAT decreased to 7,020 million US dollars in 2023, then rose again to 8,789 million US dollars in 2024, before declining to 8,137 million US dollars in 2025. Although the fluctuations in NOPAT mirror those in net earnings, the values still reflect a relatively strong operating performance over the years.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31).
The data reflects the annual figures for income tax provision and cash operating taxes over a six-year period. Both financial items show a general upward trend from 2020 to 2023, followed by a noticeable decline in the later years.
- Income Tax Provision
- The income tax provision increased significantly from 1,342 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 2,766 million USD in 2022. After 2022, the provision declined steadily to 2,196 million USD by 2025. This pattern suggests a rise in taxable income or tax liabilities initially, followed by effective tax management or reduced taxable income in the later years.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes also exhibit consistent growth, increasing from 1,386 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 3,055 million USD in 2023. Post-2023, these taxes decreased to 2,501 million USD by 2025. This trend aligns closely with the income tax provision pattern, indicating cash tax payments followed similar dynamics, perhaps influenced by timing differences or changes in tax regulations.
Overall, the data shows strong growth in tax-related expenses through early years, peaking around 2022-2023, with subsequent reductions suggesting strategic tax planning, fluctuations in earnings, or changes in tax rules that impacted both provision and cash taxes similarly.
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of deferred revenue.
4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity (deficit).
5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
6 Subtraction of construction in progress.
7 Subtraction of investments.
The financial data reveals several notable trends over the periods analyzed. One prominent pattern is the consistent increase in total reported debt and leases from 23,750 million US dollars in early 2020 to a peak of 40,145 million US dollars in early 2024, followed by a slight reduction to 39,678 million US dollars in early 2025. This indicates a significant rise in the company's leverage over the five-year period, particularly between 2021 and 2024.
Shareholders' equity shows a concerning downward trajectory, decreasing from 1,972 million US dollars in early 2020 to a negative value starting in 2022. The deficit deepens sharply from -4,816 million US dollars in early 2022 to a low point around -15,050 million US dollars in early 2024, with a minor improvement to -14,231 million US dollars in early 2025. This negative equity position suggests substantial accumulated losses or other equity-reducing events, which may impact the company’s financial stability and shareholder confidence.
Invested capital fluctuates throughout the period, starting at 26,717 million US dollars in early 2020 and peaking at 28,534 million US dollars in early 2021. Subsequently, it declines to a low of 24,710 million US dollars in early 2023 before gradually increasing again to 26,276 million US dollars by early 2025. These movements reflect variations in the company’s long-term investments and financing structure, possibly influenced by the changes in debt and equity.
- Total Reported Debt & Leases
- Shows a strong upward trend from 2020 through 2024, increasing by approximately 69%, followed by a slight decrease in 2025.
- Shareholders’ Equity (Deficit)
- Transitions from positive equity into a growing deficit starting in 2022, with the deficit nearly tripling by 2024 and remaining substantial in 2025.
- Invested Capital
- Peaks in 2021, declines through 2023, then recovers modestly by 2025, suggesting adjustments in capital investment and financing.
Overall, the company exhibits increasing financial leverage and deteriorating equity over the analyzed period, which may reflect operational challenges, increased borrowing, or sustained losses. The minor recovery in invested capital in the later periods could indicate attempts to stabilize or improve financial structure. Close attention to the relationship between debt levels and equity is warranted to assess ongoing financial health and risk exposure.
Cost of Capital
Lowe’s Cos. Inc., cost of capital calculations
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Debt, including finance lease obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-01-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Debt, including finance lease obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-02).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Debt, including finance lease obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-02-03).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Debt, including finance lease obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-28).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Debt, including finance lease obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-29).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Debt, including finance lease obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Jan 31, 2025 | Feb 2, 2024 | Feb 3, 2023 | Jan 28, 2022 | Jan 29, 2021 | Jan 31, 2020 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | |||||||
Economic profit1 | |||||||
Invested capital2 | |||||||
Performance Ratio | |||||||
Economic spread ratio3 | |||||||
Benchmarks | |||||||
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | |||||||
Amazon.com Inc. | |||||||
Home Depot Inc. | |||||||
TJX Cos. Inc. |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The analysis of the financial data reveals several notable trends over the observed periods.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit shows considerable fluctuations across the years. It increased substantially from 1,951 million US dollars in January 2020 to a peak of 6,168 million in January 2022. Following this peak, there was a decline in February 2023 to 3,790 million, then a rise again in February 2024 to 5,288 million. The figure decreases once more to 4,628 million by January 2025. This pattern suggests some volatility in the company’s profit generation beyond its cost of capital.
- Invested Capital
- The invested capital exhibits a general decreasing trend from January 2020 to February 2023, dropping from 26,717 million US dollars to 24,710 million in that period. However, after this low point, there is a slight upward movement, increasing to 26,276 million by January 2025. This indicates some reduction in capital investment initially, followed by a stabilization and moderate growth thereafter.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio, measured as a percentage, shows significant variation that correlates somewhat with economic profit changes. It started at 7.3% in 2020, increased sharply to 23.46% in 2022, indicating improved efficiency or profitability relative to invested capital. Though the ratio declined to 15.34% in 2023, it rebounded to 20.41% in 2024 and then slightly decreased to 17.61% by 2025. Overall, the ratio trend suggests periods of heightened economic value creation intermixed with some contraction.
In summary, the company experienced peak economic profit and spread ratio in the fiscal year ending 2022, followed by some volatility in subsequent years. The invested capital slightly contracted before stabilizing and showing mild growth, which may be influencing the fluctuations observed in profitability metrics. The data indicates a generally positive ability to generate economic profit relative to invested capital, despite interim declines.
Economic Profit Margin
Jan 31, 2025 | Feb 2, 2024 | Feb 3, 2023 | Jan 28, 2022 | Jan 29, 2021 | Jan 31, 2020 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | |||||||
Economic profit1 | |||||||
Net sales | |||||||
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue | |||||||
Adjusted net sales | |||||||
Performance Ratio | |||||||
Economic profit margin2 | |||||||
Benchmarks | |||||||
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | |||||||
Amazon.com Inc. | |||||||
Home Depot Inc. | |||||||
TJX Cos. Inc. |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted net sales
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The analysis of the annual financial data reveals several key trends over the reported periods.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit experienced a notable increase from 1,951 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 6,168 million US dollars in 2022. Following this peak, there was a decline in 2023 to 3,790 million US dollars, though it rebounded somewhat to 5,288 million in 2024 before decreasing again to 4,628 million in 2025. This pattern indicates volatility with periods of significant growth followed by contraction.
- Adjusted Net Sales
- Adjusted net sales showed an overall upward trend between 2020 and 2023, rising from 72,135 million US dollars to 96,822 million US dollars. However, there was a subsequent decline in 2024 and 2025, with sales falling to 86,206 million and then to 83,667 million US dollars respectively. The decline in sales in the last two years contrasts with the earlier growth and suggests potential challenges in revenue generation or market conditions.
- Economic Profit Margin
- The economic profit margin followed a similar trajectory to economic profit. It increased steadily from 2.7% in 2020 to a high of 6.38% in 2022, then dropped to 3.91% in 2023. Margins improved again to 6.13% in 2024 but declined slightly to 5.53% in 2025. This pattern suggests fluctuating profitability relative to sales, reflecting changes in cost management, pricing strategies, or market dynamics.
In summary, the financial performance exhibits growth phases up to 2022, followed by variability in profitability and sales. The fluctuations in economic profit and margin, coupled with recent declines in adjusted net sales, indicate periods of both opportunity and challenge within the observed timeframe.