Stock Analysis on Net

Mosaic Co. (NYSE:MOS)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since August 2, 2022.

Enterprise Value to FCFF (EV/FCFF) 

Microsoft Excel

Free Cash Flow to The Firm (FCFF)

Mosaic Co., FCFF calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net earnings (loss) attributable to Mosaic 1,630,600 666,100 (1,067,400) 470,000 (107,200)
Net (earnings) loss attributable to noncontrolling interests 4,300 (500) (23,400) (100) 3,000
Net noncash charges 1,181,800 390,100 2,255,400 1,105,100 1,356,600
Changes in assets and liabilities (629,700) 526,900 (69,200) (165,200) (316,900)
Net cash provided by operating activities 2,187,000 1,582,600 1,095,400 1,409,800 935,500
Cash paid during the period for interest, less amount capitalized, net of tax1 138,817 157,605 166,499 149,554 100,750
Capitalized interest on major construction projects, net of tax2 22,003 26,307 23,399 19,006 15,535
Capital expenditures (1,288,600) (1,170,600) (1,272,200) (954,500) (820,100)
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) 1,059,220 595,912 13,097 623,860 231,685

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).


The financial data reveals notable trends in operating cash flow and free cash flow to the firm over the five-year period from 2017 to 2021.

Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities

Operating cash flow demonstrates an overall upward trajectory. Starting at $935.5 million in 2017, it increased significantly to $1.41 billion in 2018. Although there was a decline in 2019 to approximately $1.1 billion, the figure recovered strongly in 2020, reaching $1.58 billion, and peaked in 2021 at $2.19 billion. This indicates improving operational efficiency or higher earnings generating cash inflows, especially evident in the post-2019 period.

Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

The FCFF presents a more volatile pattern. Beginning at around $231.7 million in 2017, it surged to $623.9 million in 2018 but then experienced a sharp decline in 2019 to roughly $13.1 million. Following this low point, FCFF rebounded to $595.9 million in 2020 and further increased to approximately $1.06 billion in 2021. The pronounced dip in 2019 may suggest increased capital expenditures, changes in working capital, or other investing activities that year, followed by a recovery in subsequent years.

In summary, while net operating cash flows increased steadily after a minor setback in 2019, the free cash flow to the firm showed higher volatility with a significant trough in 2019, before robust recovery. This pattern may imply variations in investment activities or capital deployment alongside improving operational cash generation capability.


Interest Paid, Net of Tax

Mosaic Co., interest paid, net of tax calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Effective Income Tax Rate (EITR)
EITR1 26.90% 21.00% 17.90% 14.00% 35.00%
Interest Paid, Net of Tax
Cash paid during the period for interest, less amount capitalized, before tax 189,900 199,500 202,800 173,900 155,000
Less: Cash paid during the period for interest, less amount capitalized, tax2 51,083 41,895 36,301 24,346 54,250
Cash paid during the period for interest, less amount capitalized, net of tax 138,817 157,605 166,499 149,554 100,750
Interest Costs Capitalized, Net of Tax
Capitalized interest on major construction projects, before tax 30,100 33,300 28,500 22,100 23,900
Less: Capitalized interest on major construction projects, tax3 8,097 6,993 5,102 3,094 8,365
Capitalized interest on major construction projects, net of tax 22,003 26,307 23,399 19,006 15,535

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 See details »

2 2021 Calculation
Cash paid during the period for interest, less amount capitalized, tax = Cash paid during the period for interest, less amount capitalized × EITR
= 189,900 × 26.90% = 51,083

3 2021 Calculation
Capitalized interest on major construction projects, tax = Capitalized interest on major construction projects × EITR
= 30,100 × 26.90% = 8,097


Effective Income Tax Rate (EITR)
The effective income tax rate shows a notable decline from 35% in 2017 to a low of 14% in 2018. Subsequently, it exhibits a gradual upward trend, increasing to 17.9% in 2019, then to 21% in 2020, and reaching 26.9% by the end of 2021. This indicates a period of reduced tax burden in 2018, followed by a steady return towards higher tax rates over the following years.
Cash Paid During the Period for Interest, Net of Tax
The cash paid for interest, after adjustments and tax considerations, rose significantly from approximately $100.8 million in 2017 to a peak of $166.5 million in 2019. In 2020, this amount slightly decreased to about $157.6 million, and further declined to $138.8 million by 2021. Despite the decline after 2019, the cash interest payments remain substantially higher than the 2017 baseline, suggesting increased debt servicing costs or higher borrowings during this period with a gradual easing in the last two years.
Capitalized Interest on Major Construction Projects, Net of Tax
Capitalized interest displayed a consistent upward trajectory from $15.5 million in 2017 to a peak of $26.3 million in 2020. In 2021, however, this figure decreased to $22.0 million. The increase until 2020 reflects growing investment in major construction projects, which requires capitalization of interest costs. The slight decline in 2021 may indicate a reduction or completion of such projects or a change in capitalization policy.

Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Current

Mosaic Co., current EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Enterprise value (EV) 22,430,053
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) 1,059,220
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF 21.18
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors1
Linde plc 45.14
Sherwin-Williams Co. 40.09
EV/FCFF, Sector
Chemicals 36.91
EV/FCFF, Industry
Materials 27.18

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Click competitor name to see calculations.

If the company EV/FCFF is lower then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company EV/FCFF is higher then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.


Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Historical

Mosaic Co., historical EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Enterprise value (EV)1 21,047,779 16,076,972 12,013,679 15,543,777 14,060,312
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF)2 1,059,220 595,912 13,097 623,860 231,685
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF3 19.87 26.98 917.26 24.92 60.69
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors4
Linde plc 23.60 34.03
Sherwin-Williams Co. 36.70 21.39
EV/FCFF, Sector
Chemicals 26.76 28.47
EV/FCFF, Industry
Materials 20.85 30.81

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 See details »

2 See details »

3 2021 Calculation
EV/FCFF = EV ÷ FCFF
= 21,047,779 ÷ 1,059,220 = 19.87

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Enterprise Value (EV) Trends
The enterprise value showed an overall upward trajectory from 2017 through 2021, increasing from approximately $14.1 billion to $21.0 billion. Notably, there was a decline in 2019 to about $12.0 billion, followed by a significant recovery and growth in 2020 and 2021, reaching its highest point in the five-year period.
Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) Movements
Free cash flow to the firm demonstrated fluctuating behavior with a large peak in 2018 at around $624 million, followed by a sharp decrease in 2019 to approximately $13 million. Subsequent years showed a marked recovery and growth to approximately $596 million in 2020 and $1.06 billion in 2021, representing the highest level observed.
EV to FCFF Ratio Analysis
The EV/FCFF ratio exhibited considerable volatility, with an exceptionally high ratio in 2019 (917.26), indicative of a significant disconnect between enterprise valuation and free cash flow generation that year. In other years, the ratio remained between roughly 20 and 61, decreasing overall from 60.69 in 2017 to 19.87 in 2021. This downward trend suggests improving valuation relative to cash flow in recent years, particularly as the ratio approaches more typical levels in 2020 and 2021.
Overall Insights
The data suggests a period of volatility around 2019, where free cash flow plummeted and the valuation metric spiked sharply, potentially signaling operational challenges or market revaluation. The strong recovery in cash flow and enterprise value during 2020 and 2021 reflects improved financial health or market confidence. The declining EV/FCFF ratio may indicate a more balanced and sustainable valuation in relation to cash generation capabilities.