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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
Economic Profit
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2021 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 2,588 – 10.94% × 44,109 = -2,237
The financial performance from 2018 to 2021 indicates a consistent improvement in economic profit, although the company continued to operate below its cost of capital throughout the period. While the economic profit remained negative, the deficit narrowed from -3,582 million US$ in 2018 to -2,237 million US$ in 2021, reflecting a positive trajectory in value creation efficiency.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- A significant upward trend in NOPAT is evident, with values increasing from 903 million US$ in 2018 to 2,588 million US$ in 2021. This substantial growth suggests a marked improvement in operational profitability and core earnings generation over the four-year window.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital experienced a steady increase, rising from 10.05% in 2018 to 10.94% in 2021. This upward movement indicates a rising hurdle rate, which increases the financial threshold required to achieve a positive economic profit.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital remained relatively stable, fluctuating slightly around the 44 billion US$ mark. Following a slight decline from 44,635 million US$ in 2018 to 43,835 million US$ in 2020, it rose marginally to 44,109 million US$ by 2021. The stability of this metric suggests that the increase in NOPAT was driven by operational efficiencies rather than significant expansions in the capital base.
- Economic Profit Synthesis
- The combination of increasing NOPAT and stable invested capital resulted in a reduction of the overall economic loss. Despite the rising cost of capital acting as a headwind, the operational gains were sufficient to improve the economic profit position by approximately 1,345 million US$ over the period, narrowing the gap toward achieving positive economic value added.
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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in product warranties.
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring liabilities.
5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to KDP.
6 2021 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 684 × 4.30% = 29
7 2021 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 529 × 21.00% = 111
8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to KDP.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of product warranties.
5 Addition of restructuring liabilities.
6 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.
7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
8 Subtraction of construction-in-progress.
Cost of Capital
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 51,976) | 51,976) | ÷ | 66,587) | = | 0.78 | 0.78 | × | 13.19% | = | 10.30% | ||
| Short-term borrowings, long-term obligations (including current portion), and finance lease liability3 | 13,927) | 13,927) | ÷ | 66,587) | = | 0.21 | 0.21 | × | 3.67% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.61% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 684) | 684) | ÷ | 66,587) | = | 0.01 | 0.01 | × | 4.30% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.03% | ||
| Total: | 66,587) | 1.00 | 10.94% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Short-term borrowings, long-term obligations (including current portion), and finance lease liability. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 43,428) | 43,428) | ÷ | 60,119) | = | 0.72 | 0.72 | × | 13.19% | = | 9.53% | ||
| Short-term borrowings, long-term obligations (including current portion), and finance lease liability3 | 16,039) | 16,039) | ÷ | 60,119) | = | 0.27 | 0.27 | × | 4.00% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.84% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 652) | 652) | ÷ | 60,119) | = | 0.01 | 0.01 | × | 4.30% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.04% | ||
| Total: | 60,119) | 1.00 | 10.41% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Short-term borrowings, long-term obligations (including current portion), and finance lease liability. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 39,733) | 39,733) | ÷ | 56,055) | = | 0.71 | 0.71 | × | 13.19% | = | 9.35% | ||
| Short-term borrowings, long-term obligations (including current portion), and finance lease liability3 | 15,826) | 15,826) | ÷ | 56,055) | = | 0.28 | 0.28 | × | 3.90% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.87% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 496) | 496) | ÷ | 56,055) | = | 0.01 | 0.01 | × | 4.60% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.03% | ||
| Total: | 56,055) | 1.00 | 10.25% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Short-term borrowings, long-term obligations (including current portion), and finance lease liability. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 35,363) | 35,363) | ÷ | 51,421) | = | 0.69 | 0.69 | × | 13.19% | = | 9.07% | ||
| Short-term borrowings, long-term obligations (including current portion), and finance lease liability3 | 15,812) | 15,812) | ÷ | 51,421) | = | 0.31 | 0.31 | × | 3.92% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.95% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 246) | 246) | ÷ | 51,421) | = | 0.00 | 0.00 | × | 6.18% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.02% | ||
| Total: | 51,421) | 1.00 | 10.05% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Short-term borrowings, long-term obligations (including current portion), and finance lease liability. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
| Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | |||||
| Economic profit1 | (2,237) | (2,777) | (2,773) | (3,582) | |
| Invested capital2 | 44,109) | 43,835) | 44,138) | 44,635) | |
| Performance Ratio | |||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | -5.07% | -6.33% | -6.28% | -8.02% | |
| Benchmarks | |||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | |||||
| Coca-Cola Co. | 5.44% | — | — | — | |
| Mondelēz International Inc. | -0.70% | — | — | — | |
| PepsiCo Inc. | 4.97% | — | — | — | |
| Philip Morris International Inc. | 26.31% | — | — | — | |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2021 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -2,237 ÷ 44,109 = -5.07%
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The financial performance regarding economic value added indicates a consistent state of negative economic profit over the four-year period ending December 31, 2021. However, a progressive recovery trend is evident, as the magnitude of value destruction decreased steadily over the analyzed timeframe.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit remained negative throughout the period, though the deficit narrowed from -3,582 million USD in 2018 to -2,237 million USD by 2021. A period of relative stagnation occurred between 2019 and 2020, with values holding steady near -2,770 million USD before further improving in the final year.
- Invested Capital
- The invested capital base demonstrated significant stability, fluctuating within a narrow range between 43,835 million USD and 44,635 million USD. The lack of substantial volatility in the capital base suggests that the improvements in economic profit were not a result of significant deleveraging or capital reductions.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio exhibited a consistent upward trajectory, improving from -8.02% in 2018 to -5.07% in 2021. This trend indicates a narrowing gap between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, reflecting an overall improvement in the efficiency of capital utilization despite the ratio remaining in negative territory.
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Economic Profit Margin
| Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | |||||
| Economic profit1 | (2,237) | (2,777) | (2,773) | (3,582) | |
| Net sales | 12,683) | 11,618) | 11,120) | 7,442) | |
| Performance Ratio | |||||
| Economic profit margin2 | -17.64% | -23.90% | -24.93% | -48.13% | |
| Benchmarks | |||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | |||||
| Coca-Cola Co. | 11.29% | — | — | — | |
| Mondelēz International Inc. | -1.50% | — | — | — | |
| PepsiCo Inc. | 4.37% | — | — | — | |
| Philip Morris International Inc. | 24.42% | — | — | — | |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2021 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net sales
= 100 × -2,237 ÷ 12,683 = -17.64%
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
An analysis of the period from 2018 to 2021 reveals a consistent trajectory of improvement in economic performance. While the company operated with a negative economic profit throughout the interval, there is a clear trend of narrowing losses coupled with substantial revenue expansion, indicating a gradual recovery in capital efficiency.
- Economic Profit Trends
- Economic profit remained negative over the four-year period but showed a general trend of improvement. The deficit decreased from US$ 3,582 million in 2018 to US$ 2,237 million in 2021. This reduction suggests that the gap between the company's net operating profit after taxes and the required return on its invested capital is closing.
- Net Sales Growth
- A strong upward trend in net sales is observed, with values rising from US$ 7,442 million in 2018 to US$ 12,683 million in 2021. This represents significant top-line growth, providing a larger revenue base to support the coverage of the cost of capital.
- Economic Profit Margin Analysis
- The economic profit margin experienced a marked improvement, shifting from -48.13% in 2018 to -17.64% in 2021. The substantial contraction of this negative margin indicates that the company is becoming more effective at generating returns relative to the capital employed, moving closer to a point of economic value creation.
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