Economic Value Added (EVA)
EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.
Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Economic Profit
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc., economic profit calculation
US$ in millions
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | |||||
| Cost of capital2 | |||||
| Invested capital3 | |||||
| Economic profit4 | |||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2021 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
The financial performance from 2018 to 2021 is characterized by a consistent improvement in operating profitability despite a sustained negative economic profit. While the entity failed to generate returns exceeding its cost of capital throughout the period, the magnitude of value destruction diminished significantly over the four-year trajectory.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- A strong upward trend is observed in NOPAT, which rose from US$ 903 million in 2018 to US$ 2,588 million in 2021. This substantial growth indicates a significant expansion in the company's ability to generate operating earnings after tax.
- Cost of Capital and Invested Capital
- The cost of capital shifted upward incrementally, increasing from 10.00% in 2018 to 10.88% in 2021. During the same period, invested capital remained relatively stagnant, fluctuating between US$ 43.8 billion and US$ 44.6 billion, suggesting a period of capital stability without significant new large-scale investments.
- Economic Profit Analysis
- Economic profit remained negative for all reported years, indicating that the return on invested capital did not meet the required cost of capital. However, there is a clear trend of recovery; the economic loss narrowed from US$ 3,560 million in 2018 to US$ 2,212 million in 2021. This improvement is directly linked to the rapid growth of NOPAT, which effectively offset the rising cost of capital and the high level of invested capital.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc., NOPAT calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in product warranties.
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring liabilities.
5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to KDP.
6 2021 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
7 2021 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to KDP.
The financial performance over the four-year period demonstrates a notably positive trend in profitability measures.
- Net Income Attributable to KDP
- The net income attributable to the company increased substantially, starting at 586 million US dollars in 2018 and rising to 2,146 million US dollars by the end of 2021. This represents a more than threefold increase over the period, with a particularly strong jump between 2020 and 2021, where net income grew by approximately 62%. The steady increases in the prior years reflect consistent growth in profitability.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT also exhibited strong growth, increasing from 903 million US dollars in 2018 to 2,588 million US dollars in 2021. The year-over-year increases indicate robust operating profitability improvements, with the most significant rise observed in the last year, mirroring the trend seen in net income. The growth rate from 2020 to 2021 was approximately 45%, demonstrating enhanced operational efficiency and effective tax management contributing to increased net operating profits.
Overall, the data indicates significant and sustained financial improvement in key profitability metrics, with the largest gains occurring in the most recent year. This suggests successful management strategies and operational execution leading to stronger earnings and operational results over time.
Cash Operating Taxes
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc., cash operating taxes calculation
US$ in millions
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Provision for income taxes | |||||
| Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) | |||||
| Add: Tax savings from interest expense | |||||
| Cash operating taxes |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
The financial data reveals the trends in tax-related expenses over the four-year period ending December 31, 2021. There is an upward trajectory in both the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes, though the growth rates and amounts vary between these two categories.
- Provision for Income Taxes
- This figure rose from 202 million US dollars in 2018 to 653 million US dollars in 2021. The largest year-over-year increase occurred between 2020 and 2021, with an increase of 225 million US dollars. The provision more than tripled over the four years, indicating a substantial increase in income tax expenses recognized during this period.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes demonstrated a consistent upward trend, increasing from 381 million US dollars in 2018 to 733 million US dollars in 2021. The increase across the period was approximately 92%, with the most significant jump occurring between 2018 and 2019 (224 million US dollars). The growth in cash taxes paid suggests rising tax obligations or improved tax payment alignments within the company.
Overall, the data reflects a significant increase in both accrued income tax provisions and actual cash tax payments over the examined period. The increases may be indicative of growing profitability, changes in tax regulation, or alterations in financial strategies related to tax expenses. The sharper rise in the provision for income taxes in the final year suggests a possible anticipation of higher tax liability.
Invested Capital
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of product warranties.
5 Addition of restructuring liabilities.
6 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.
7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
8 Subtraction of construction-in-progress.
The financial data reveals a consistent trend in the company's capital structure over the analyzed period from 2018 to 2021. There is a clear decline in the total reported debt and leases, indicating a steady reduction in liabilities.
- Total reported debt & leases
- Starting at 16,236 million US dollars in 2018, this figure decreases each year, reaching 13,266 million US dollars by the end of 2021. This downward trend suggests a strategic effort to reduce financial leverage or improve the balance sheet strength.
- Stockholders’ equity
- Stockholders' equity shows a gradual increase across the same timeframe, moving from 22,533 million US dollars in 2018 to 24,972 million US dollars in 2021. This incremental rise indicates growth in the company’s net assets, which may reflect retained earnings accumulation or capital infusions.
- Invested capital
- Invested capital remains relatively stable, fluctuating slightly without a clear upward or downward trajectory. It begins at 44,635 million US dollars in 2018, decreases marginally to 43,835 million US dollars in 2020, and recovers slightly to 44,109 million US dollars in 2021. This stability may imply consistent investment levels despite changing debt and equity components.
Overall, the reduction in debt combined with the increase in equity suggests an improvement in the financial robustness and potentially a lower risk profile. The steadiness of invested capital implies that the company maintained its asset base, possibly reflecting controlled investment or capital expenditure activities balanced by depreciation or disposals.
Cost of Capital
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Short-term borrowings, long-term obligations (including current portion), and finance lease liability3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Short-term borrowings, long-term obligations (including current portion), and finance lease liability. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Short-term borrowings, long-term obligations (including current portion), and finance lease liability3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Short-term borrowings, long-term obligations (including current portion), and finance lease liability. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Short-term borrowings, long-term obligations (including current portion), and finance lease liability3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Short-term borrowings, long-term obligations (including current portion), and finance lease liability. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Short-term borrowings, long-term obligations (including current portion), and finance lease liability3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Short-term borrowings, long-term obligations (including current portion), and finance lease liability. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | |||||
| Economic profit1 | |||||
| Invested capital2 | |||||
| Performance Ratio | |||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | |||||
| Benchmarks | |||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | |||||
| Coca-Cola Co. | |||||
| Mondelēz International Inc. | |||||
| PepsiCo Inc. | |||||
| Philip Morris International Inc. | |||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2021 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The financial performance from 2018 to 2021 indicates a consistent trend of recovery in economic value generation, although the company remained in a position of negative economic profit throughout the observed period.
- Economic Profit Trends
- Economic profit exhibited a general trajectory of improvement. The initial loss of 3,560 million US dollars in 2018 was reduced to 2,212 million US dollars by 2021. While a marginal stagnation occurred in 2020, where the loss stood at 2,754 million US dollars compared to 2,751 million US dollars in 2019, the overall four-year trend reflects a significant reduction in the shortfall relative to the cost of capital.
- Invested Capital Stability
- Invested capital remained relatively stable, fluctuating within a narrow range between 43,835 million US dollars and 44,635 million US dollars. This consistency suggests that the improvements in economic profit were not the result of significant divestitures or reductions in the capital base, but rather a result of operational improvements or shifts in the cost of capital.
- Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
- The economic spread ratio remained negative across all four years, confirming that the return on invested capital did not exceed the cost of capital. However, the ratio improved from -7.98% in 2018 to -5.02% in 2021. This narrowing of the negative spread indicates a steady progression toward value creation, with the most notable improvement occurring between 2018 and 2019.
Economic Profit Margin
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | |||||
| Economic profit1 | |||||
| Net sales | |||||
| Performance Ratio | |||||
| Economic profit margin2 | |||||
| Benchmarks | |||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | |||||
| Coca-Cola Co. | |||||
| Mondelēz International Inc. | |||||
| PepsiCo Inc. | |||||
| Philip Morris International Inc. | |||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2021 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net sales
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
An analysis of the financial performance between 2018 and 2021 reveals a consistent trajectory of growth in top-line revenue alongside a steady reduction in economic losses. While the company has not yet achieved positive economic value added, the trend indicates a progressive movement toward economic profitability.
- Net Sales Performance
- A strong upward trend in net sales is observed, increasing from 7,442 million US dollars in 2018 to 12,683 million US dollars by 2021. The most significant growth occurred between 2018 and 2019, representing a substantial expansion in market scale that continued at a steadier pace through 2021.
- Economic Profit Trends
- Economic profit remained negative throughout the four-year period, indicating that the net operating profit after tax was insufficient to cover the cost of capital. However, the magnitude of these losses decreased over time, moving from a deficit of 3,560 million US dollars in 2018 to 2,212 million US dollars in 2021. This reduction suggests an improvement in the company's ability to cover its cost of capital.
- Economic Profit Margin Analysis
- The economic profit margin demonstrates a significant and consistent recovery. The margin improved from -47.84% in 2018 to -17.44% in 2021. This compression of the negative margin is a result of the simultaneous increase in net sales and the reduction in absolute economic losses, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency and a narrowing gap between actual returns and the required rate of return.
Overall, the period is characterized by an expansion of the revenue base and a systematic reduction in value erosion. The consistent improvement in the economic profit margin suggests a positive convergence toward a break-even point in economic value creation.