Stock Analysis on Net

Coca-Cola Co. (NYSE:KO)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Coca-Cola Co., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
The net operating profit after taxes exhibited an overall upward trend from 2020 to 2024. Starting at $8,649 million in 2020, it increased significantly to $11,202 million in 2021. However, there was a slight dip in 2022 to $10,120 million, followed by a recovery in 2023 and 2024, reaching $10,884 million and $10,945 million respectively. This indicates generally strong and stable profitability with minor fluctuations.
Cost of capital
The cost of capital showed a steady increase throughout the five-year period, rising from 9.25% in 2020 to 9.99% in 2024. This gradual increase suggests a rising risk perception or higher capital market costs faced by the company, potentially impacting investment and financing decisions.
Invested capital
The invested capital grew consistently over the years, from $75,674 million in 2020 to $86,857 million in 2024. This steady increase reflects ongoing investment in the company’s asset base or operating capacity, which could be aligned with growth strategies or maintenance of competitive positioning.
Economic profit
Economic profit, representing value creation beyond the cost of capital, showed volatility. It rose sharply from $1,650 million in 2020 to a peak of $3,497 million in 2021. Subsequently, it declined to $2,239 million in 2022, increased modestly to $2,602 million in 2023, and decreased again to $2,265 million in 2024. Despite fluctuations, economic profit remained positive, indicating consistent value generation above capital costs but with variability that might warrant attention.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Coca-Cola Co., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income attributable to shareowners of The Coca-Cola Company
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowances2
Increase (decrease) in accrued expenses related to restructuring3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8
Investment income, after taxes9
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued expenses related to restructuring.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to shareowners of The Coca-Cola Company.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to shareowners of The Coca-Cola Company.

8 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net Income Attributable to Shareowners

The net income attributable to shareowners shows a generally positive trend over the five-year period. Starting at 7,747 million US dollars at the end of 2020, there was a significant increase to 9,771 million in 2021. Although the net income slightly declined to 9,542 million in 2022, it rebounded in 2023 to reach the highest value of 10,714 million. A marginal decrease occurred again in 2024, with net income at 10,631 million, which still represents a notable improvement compared to the initial figure in 2020.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)

The NOPAT figures also demonstrate an upward trajectory with some fluctuations. Beginning at 8,649 million US dollars in 2020, there was an increase to 11,202 million in 2021. This was followed by a decline to 10,120 million in 2022. Subsequently, NOPAT rose again to 10,884 million in 2023 and continued to increase slightly to 10,945 million by the end of 2024. Overall, the NOPAT values reflect growth over the period, despite the intermittent decreases.

Comparative Insights

Both net income and NOPAT exhibited growth from 2020 through 2024, though neither metric maintained a strictly linear progression. The year 2021 marked a peak for both measures within the period, followed by declines in 2022. Recovery occurred in subsequent years, with net income reaching a maximum in 2023 before a slight drop in 2024, whereas NOPAT progressed to its highest point at the end of 2024. These trends suggest volatility but overall improved profitability and operational efficiency over the five-year span.


Cash Operating Taxes

Coca-Cola Co., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


Income Taxes
Income taxes show a fluctuating trend over the reported periods. The value increased significantly from 1981 million US dollars in 2020 to 2621 million in 2021, indicating a rise in tax expenses. However, in 2022, there was a notable decrease to 2115 million US dollars. From 2022 onward, the income taxes resumed an upward trajectory, reaching 2249 million in 2023 and further increasing to 2437 million in 2024. Overall, the trend exhibits variability with a dip in 2022 amid a general tendency to increase.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrated a somewhat irregular pattern over the five-year span. Starting at 2201 million US dollars in 2020, there was a decline to 1907 million in 2021, suggesting reduced cash tax payments despite the prior increase in income taxes. The figure rebounded sharply in 2022 to 2414 million, surpassing the initial 2020 value. Slight reductions followed in 2023 to 2314 million, but the amount rose again in 2024, reaching the highest point of 2529 million US dollars. These fluctuations may reflect changes in taxable income, timing differences, or tax planning actions affecting cash tax outflows.

Invested Capital

Coca-Cola Co., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Loans and notes payable
Current maturities of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Equity attributable to shareowners of The Coca-Cola Company
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowances3
Accrued expenses related to restructuring4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Equity attributable to noncontrolling interests
Adjusted equity attributable to shareowners of The Coca-Cola Company
Marketable securities7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of accrued expenses related to restructuring.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to equity attributable to shareowners of The Coca-Cola Company.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of marketable securities.


Total reported debt & leases

This financial metric experienced a general decline from 44,415 million US dollars in 2020 to 40,603 million US dollars in 2022. However, a reversal of this trend is observed in the subsequent years, with debt rising to 43,426 million US dollars in 2023 and continuing to increase to 45,735 million US dollars in 2024. This indicates an initial reduction in the company's leverage followed by a renewed accumulation of debt and lease obligations in the last two reported periods.

Equity attributable to shareowners of The Coca-Cola Company

Equity shows a consistent upward trend from 19,299 million US dollars in 2020, rising to 22,999 million in 2021, further increasing to 24,105 million in 2022, and reaching its peak at 25,941 million in 2023. However, a slight decrease to 24,856 million occurs in 2024. Overall, the equity base has strengthened significantly over the period, reflecting potential retained earnings growth or capital infusions, despite a modest decline in the final year.

Invested capital

Invested capital generally increased over the entire period. Starting from 75,674 million US dollars in 2020, it grew steadily to 80,311 million in 2021. A slight dip followed in 2022 to 79,959 million, but the upward momentum resumed with figures rising to 83,542 million in 2023 and 86,857 million in 2024. This suggests ongoing investment activities, possibly including both debt and equity financing components, resulting in a growing capital base employed by the company.


Cost of Capital

Coca-Cola Co., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Coca-Cola Co., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Mondelēz International Inc.
PepsiCo Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
Economic profit experienced a significant increase from 1650 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 3497 million USD in 2021. However, it declined in 2022 to 2239 million USD, followed by a modest recovery in 2023 to 2602 million USD, and then a further decrease in 2024 to 2265 million USD. Despite fluctuations, the economic profit in 2024 remains higher than the initial 2020 figure, indicating some long-term value generation.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed a steady upward trend over the five-year period. Starting at 75,674 million USD in 2020, it gradually increased year over year to reach 86,857 million USD by the end of 2024. This consistent rise suggests ongoing investment or asset accumulation within the company.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio, which represents the return spread over invested capital, rose sharply from 2.18% in 2020 to a high of 4.35% in 2021. Subsequently, it declined to 2.8% in 2022, improved slightly to 3.11% in 2023, and then decreased again to 2.61% in 2024. The overall movement indicates variability in the company’s ability to generate returns above its cost of capital, with the highest efficiency in 2021 and more moderate performance in later years.

Economic Profit Margin

Coca-Cola Co., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net operating revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Mondelēz International Inc.
PepsiCo Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net operating revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Net Operating Revenues
There is a consistent upward trend in net operating revenues over the five-year period. From approximately $33.0 billion in 2020, revenues increased to about $38.7 billion in 2021, followed by continued growth to $43.0 billion in 2022, $45.8 billion in 2023, and reaching $47.1 billion in 2024. This represents a steady expansion in the company's top-line performance.
Economic Profit
The economic profit exhibits variability despite the growing revenues. It increased significantly from $1.65 billion in 2020 to $3.50 billion in 2021, indicating a substantial improvement in profitability for that year. However, economic profit declined to $2.24 billion in 2022, rose moderately again to $2.60 billion in 2023, and then decreased to $2.27 billion in 2024. This fluctuation suggests that profitability gains have not been consistently sustained in proportion to revenue growth.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin, expressing economic profit as a percentage of net operating revenues, reflects the changing efficiency in generating value above the cost of capital. The margin rose sharply from 5.00% in 2020 to 9.05% in 2021, corresponding with the economic profit increase. Subsequently, the margin declined to 5.21% in 2022, experienced a slight recovery to 5.69% in 2023, and dropped again to 4.81% in 2024. This pattern aligns with the economic profit trend, indicating variable efficiency in capital utilization despite growing revenues.
Summary
Over the observed period, the company demonstrated robust revenue growth, yet economic profit and its margin showed volatility. The sharp increase in 2021's economic profit and margin suggests temporary improvements in operational efficiency or cost management. However, subsequent years indicate challenges in consistently converting higher revenues into proportional economic profits. This points to potential pressures on profit margins or increased costs that may merit further investigation to understand their drivers and implications on long-term value creation.