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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
Economic Profit
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2020 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 2,189,491 – 14.12% × 20,884,500 = -758,539
The financial performance from 2015 to 2020 is characterized by a consistent inability to generate positive economic profit, indicating that the returns on invested capital remained below the weighted average cost of capital throughout the analyzed period.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- A general upward trajectory is observed in NOPAT, which grew from 1,418,609 thousand US$ in 2015 to 2,189,491 thousand US$ in 2020. Although a notable contraction occurred in 2017, the subsequent recovery and growth through 2020 demonstrate an improvement in the scale of operational profitability.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital exhibited relative stability with a gradual increase from 13.35% in 2015 to a peak of 15.04% in 2019, before moderating to 14.12% in 2020. This upward pressure on the required rate of return increased the threshold for achieving positive economic value added.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital showed a continuous increase over the six-year period, rising from 14,344,261 thousand US$ in 2015 to 20,884,500 thousand US$ in 2020. A significant acceleration in capital deployment is evident in 2020, where invested capital increased by approximately 3.96 billion US$ compared to the previous year.
- Economic Profit Analysis
- Economic profit remained negative throughout the entire period, signifying a persistent destruction of shareholder value. The most significant deficits were recorded in 2017 and 2018, with losses exceeding 900 million US$. Despite the growth in NOPAT, the substantial expansion of the invested capital base in 2020 contributed to a widening of the economic profit deficit to 758,539 thousand US$, suggesting that the returns generated from the increased capital investment were insufficient to cover the associated cost of capital.
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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrual for cost reduction actions.
5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Air Products.
6 2020 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 406,500 × 2.10% = 8,537
7 2020 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 117,837 × 21.00% = 24,746
8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Air Products.
9 Elimination of discontinued operations.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30).
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »
5 Addition of accrual for cost reduction actions.
6 Addition of equity equivalents to total Air Products shareholders’ equity.
7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
8 Subtraction of construction in progress.
9 Subtraction of short-term investments.
Cost of Capital
Air Products & Chemicals Inc., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 59,756,749) | 59,756,749) | ÷ | 68,449,349) | = | 0.87 | 0.87 | × | 15.94% | = | 13.92% | ||
| Debt3 | 8,286,100) | 8,286,100) | ÷ | 68,449,349) | = | 0.12 | 0.12 | × | 1.98% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.19% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 406,500) | 406,500) | ÷ | 68,449,349) | = | 0.01 | 0.01 | × | 2.10% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.01% | ||
| Total: | 68,449,349) | 1.00 | 14.12% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30).
1 US$ in thousands
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 51,669,712) | 51,669,712) | ÷ | 55,342,851) | = | 0.93 | 0.93 | × | 15.94% | = | 14.88% | ||
| Debt3 | 3,409,100) | 3,409,100) | ÷ | 55,342,851) | = | 0.06 | 0.06 | × | 2.48% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.12% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 264,039) | 264,039) | ÷ | 55,342,851) | = | 0.00 | 0.00 | × | 10.92% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.04% | ||
| Total: | 55,342,851) | 1.00 | 15.04% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30).
1 US$ in thousands
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 34,589,703) | 34,589,703) | ÷ | 38,643,920) | = | 0.90 | 0.90 | × | 15.94% | = | 14.27% | ||
| Debt3 | 3,842,500) | 3,842,500) | ÷ | 38,643,920) | = | 0.10 | 0.10 | × | 2.71% × (1 – 24.50%) | = | 0.20% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 211,716) | 211,716) | ÷ | 38,643,920) | = | 0.01 | 0.01 | × | 11.83% × (1 – 24.50%) | = | 0.05% | ||
| Total: | 38,643,920) | 1.00 | 14.52% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30).
1 US$ in thousands
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 35,236,905) | 35,236,905) | ÷ | 39,481,900) | = | 0.89 | 0.89 | × | 15.94% | = | 14.23% | ||
| Debt3 | 4,072,200) | 4,072,200) | ÷ | 39,481,900) | = | 0.10 | 0.10 | × | 2.22% × (1 – 35.00%) | = | 0.15% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 172,795) | 172,795) | ÷ | 39,481,900) | = | 0.00 | 0.00 | × | 15.34% × (1 – 35.00%) | = | 0.04% | ||
| Total: | 39,481,900) | 1.00 | 14.42% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30).
1 US$ in thousands
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 30,375,996) | 30,375,996) | ÷ | 36,973,472) | = | 0.82 | 0.82 | × | 15.94% | = | 13.10% | ||
| Debt3 | 6,403,000) | 6,403,000) | ÷ | 36,973,472) | = | 0.17 | 0.17 | × | 2.42% × (1 – 35.00%) | = | 0.27% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 194,476) | 194,476) | ÷ | 36,973,472) | = | 0.01 | 0.01 | × | 19.16% × (1 – 35.00%) | = | 0.07% | ||
| Total: | 36,973,472) | 1.00 | 13.43% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30).
1 US$ in thousands
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 30,045,544) | 30,045,544) | ÷ | 36,519,904) | = | 0.82 | 0.82 | × | 15.94% | = | 13.11% | ||
| Debt3 | 6,140,000) | 6,140,000) | ÷ | 36,519,904) | = | 0.17 | 0.17 | × | 2.04% × (1 – 35.00%) | = | 0.22% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 334,361) | 334,361) | ÷ | 36,519,904) | = | 0.01 | 0.01 | × | 2.04% × (1 – 35.00%) | = | 0.01% | ||
| Total: | 36,519,904) | 1.00 | 13.35% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30).
1 US$ in thousands
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
| Sep 30, 2020 | Sep 30, 2019 | Sep 30, 2018 | Sep 30, 2017 | Sep 30, 2016 | Sep 30, 2015 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands) | |||||||
| Economic profit1 | (758,539) | (505,251) | (948,529) | (984,048) | (382,951) | (496,360) | |
| Invested capital2 | 20,884,500) | 16,921,739) | 16,696,916) | 15,661,095) | 15,185,876) | 14,344,261) | |
| Performance Ratio | |||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | -3.63% | -2.99% | -5.68% | -6.28% | -2.52% | -3.46% | |
| Benchmarks | |||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | |||||||
| Linde plc | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sherwin-Williams Co. | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2020 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -758,539 ÷ 20,884,500 = -3.63%
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The financial data from 2015 to 2020 indicates a consistent period of value destruction, as economic profit remained negative throughout the entire six-year duration. Despite a steady increase in the capital base, the company failed to generate returns exceeding its cost of capital, resulting in a persistently negative economic spread ratio.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit was consistently negative, reflecting a failure to create economic value. The most significant loss occurred in 2017, reaching negative 984.05 million USD. While there was a notable recovery in 2019, where the loss narrowed to negative 505.25 million USD, the trend reversed in 2020 with the loss widening again to negative 758.54 million USD.
- Invested Capital
- A consistent upward trend is observed in invested capital, which grew from 14.34 billion USD in 2015 to 20.88 billion USD in 2020. This steady expansion of the capital base suggests ongoing investment in assets or operations; however, this growth did not translate into positive economic profit.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio remained in negative territory for the entire period, confirming that the return on invested capital stayed below the weighted average cost of capital. The ratio reached its lowest point in 2017 at negative 6.28%, representing the peak of value erosion. A relative improvement was noted in 2016 and 2019, with the ratio rising to negative 2.52% and negative 2.99%, respectively, before declining again to negative 3.63% by 2020.
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Economic Profit Margin
| Sep 30, 2020 | Sep 30, 2019 | Sep 30, 2018 | Sep 30, 2017 | Sep 30, 2016 | Sep 30, 2015 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands) | |||||||
| Economic profit1 | (758,539) | (505,251) | (948,529) | (984,048) | (382,951) | (496,360) | |
| Sales | 8,856,300) | 8,918,900) | 8,930,200) | 8,187,600) | 9,524,400) | 9,894,900) | |
| Performance Ratio | |||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | -8.56% | -5.66% | -10.62% | -12.02% | -4.02% | -5.02% | |
| Benchmarks | |||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | |||||||
| Linde plc | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sherwin-Williams Co. | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2020 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Sales
= 100 × -758,539 ÷ 8,856,300 = -8.56%
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The analysis of economic value added metrics from 2015 to 2020 reveals a consistent failure to generate positive economic profit, indicating that returns remained below the cost of capital throughout the entire observed period.
- Economic Profit Performance
- Economic profit remained negative for all six years, characterized by significant volatility. After a slight improvement in 2016, a substantial decline occurred in 2017, reaching a peak deficit of 984,048 thousand USD. Although a recovery trend was evident through 2019, where losses narrowed to 505,251 thousand USD, the deficit widened again in 2020 to 758,539 thousand USD.
- Sales Trajectory
- Revenue showed a general downward trend, decreasing from 9,894,900 thousand USD in 2015 to 8,856,300 thousand USD in 2020. A sharp contraction was observed in 2017, with sales falling to 8,187,600 thousand USD, which correlates with the period of highest economic loss. Sales subsequently stabilized between 2018 and 2020, fluctuating within a narrow range around 8.9 billion USD.
- Economic Profit Margin Analysis
- The economic profit margin remained consistently negative, reflecting a persistent inability to create economic value relative to sales. The margin reached its most critical point in 2017 at -12.02%, representing the lowest efficiency in the period. The best performance was recorded in 2016 with a margin of -4.02%. The period concluded with a margin of -8.56% in 2020, suggesting that the volatility in economic profit was driven more by costs or capital charges than by fluctuations in sales volume.
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