Stock Analysis on Net

GameStop Corp. (NYSE:GME)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since June 11, 2024.

Dividend Discount Model (DDM) 

Microsoft Excel

In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Dividends are the cleanest and most straightforward measure of cash flow because these are clearly cash flows that go directly to the investor.


Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

GameStop Corp., dividends per share (DPS) forecast

US$

Microsoft Excel
Year Value DPSt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at 3.35%
0 DPS01 0.09
1 DPS1 0.06 = 0.09 × (1 + -41.28%) 0.05
2 DPS2 0.04 = 0.06 × (1 + -30.21%) 0.04
3 DPS3 0.03 = 0.04 × (1 + -19.13%) 0.03
4 DPS4 0.03 = 0.03 × (1 + -8.05%) 0.03
5 DPS5 0.03 = 0.03 × (1 + 3.03%) 0.03
5 Terminal value (TV5) 9.57 = 0.03 × (1 + 3.03%) ÷ (3.35%3.03%) 8.12
Intrinsic value of GameStop Corp. common stock (per share) $8.29
Current share price $30.49

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-03).

1 DPS0 = Sum of the last year dividends per share of GameStop Corp. common stock. See details »

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.


Required Rate of Return (r)

Microsoft Excel
Assumptions
Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite1 RF 4.79%
Expected rate of return on market portfolio2 E(RM) 13.79%
Systematic risk of GameStop Corp. common stock βGME -0.16
 
Required rate of return on GameStop Corp. common stock3 rGME 3.35%

1 Unweighted average of bid yields on all outstanding fixed-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds neither due or callable in less than 10 years (risk-free rate of return proxy).

2 See details »

3 rGME = RF + βGME [E(RM) – RF]
= 4.79% + -0.16 [13.79%4.79%]
= 3.35%


Dividend Growth Rate (g)

Dividend growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

GameStop Corp., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average Feb 3, 2024 Jan 28, 2023 Jan 29, 2022 Jan 30, 2021 Feb 1, 2020 Feb 2, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Dividends declared 38,500 155,900
Net income (loss) 6,700 (313,100) (381,300) (215,300) (470,900) (673,000)
Net sales 5,272,800 5,927,200 6,010,700 5,089,800 6,466,000 8,285,300
Total assets 2,709,000 3,113,400 3,499,300 2,472,600 2,819,700 4,044,300
Stockholders’ equity 1,338,600 1,322,300 1,602,500 436,700 611,500 1,336,200
Financial Ratios
Retention rate1 1.00
Profit margin2 0.13% -5.28% -6.34% -4.23% -7.28% -8.12%
Asset turnover3 1.95 1.90 1.72 2.06 2.29 2.05
Financial leverage4 2.02 2.35 2.18 5.66 4.61 3.03
Averages
Retention rate 1.00
Profit margin -6.25%
Asset turnover 1.99
Financial leverage 3.31
 
Dividend growth rate (g)5 -41.28%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02).

2024 Calculations

1 Retention rate = (Net income (loss) – Dividends declared) ÷ Net income (loss)
= (6,7000) ÷ 6,700
= 1.00

2 Profit margin = 100 × Net income (loss) ÷ Net sales
= 100 × 6,700 ÷ 5,272,800
= 0.13%

3 Asset turnover = Net sales ÷ Total assets
= 5,272,800 ÷ 2,709,000
= 1.95

4 Financial leverage = Total assets ÷ Stockholders’ equity
= 2,709,000 ÷ 1,338,600
= 2.02

5 g = Retention rate × Profit margin × Asset turnover × Financial leverage
= 1.00 × -6.25% × 1.99 × 3.31
= -41.28%


Dividend growth rate (g) implied by Gordon growth model

g = 100 × (P0 × rD0) ÷ (P0 + D0)
= 100 × ($30.49 × 3.35%$0.09) ÷ ($30.49 + $0.09)
= 3.03%

where:
P0 = current price of share of GameStop Corp. common stock
D0 = the last year dividends per share of GameStop Corp. common stock
r = required rate of return on GameStop Corp. common stock


Dividend growth rate (g) forecast

GameStop Corp., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1 -41.28%
2 g2 -30.21%
3 g3 -19.13%
4 g4 -8.05%
5 and thereafter g5 3.03%

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by Gordon growth model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= -41.28% + (3.03%-41.28%) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= -30.21%

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= -41.28% + (3.03%-41.28%) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= -19.13%

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= -41.28% + (3.03%-41.28%) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= -8.05%