Stock Analysis on Net

Nike Inc. (NYSE:NKE)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Nike Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The analysis of the financial performance over the given periods reveals several notable trends and patterns related to profitability, invested capital, cost of capital, and economic profit.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT shows an initial strong upward trend from 2,477 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 5,557 million US dollars in 2022, nearly doubling over two years. Following this peak, there is a decline to 5,013 million in 2023 and a marginal recovery to 5,146 million in 2024. However, in 2025, NOPAT decreases significantly to 2,913 million, indicating a substantial contraction in operational profitability.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remains relatively stable over the years, fluctuating between 14.49% and 15.68%. It shows a slight increase from 14.56% in 2020 to a high of 15.01% in 2021, followed by minor variations thereafter. In 2025, the cost of capital rises to its highest value at 15.68%, which may exert additional pressure on profitability and economic profit.
Invested Capital
Invested capital trends upward initially, increasing from 19,083 million US dollars in 2020 to 22,129 million in 2024, reflecting additional investment or accumulation of assets. However, in 2025, invested capital declines to 19,883 million, suggesting a divestment or reduction in invested resources.
Economic Profit
Economic profit presents a noteworthy pattern. In 2020, it is negative at -301 million US dollars, indicating that returns did not cover the cost of capital. A significant turnaround occurs in 2021 and 2022, with economic profit surging to 2,335 million and 2,423 million respectively, consistent with improved operational profitability. Economic profit then declines somewhat in 2023 and 2024 but remains positive. In 2025, economic profit turns negative again to -204 million, corresponding with both decreased NOPAT and increased cost of capital, signaling that value creation was not achieved during that period.

Overall, the data shows a period of strong profitability and value creation followed by a phase of decline. The increase in invested capital and relatively stable but slightly rising cost of capital through 2024 supported increased economic profit. However, the sharp decrease in operating profit combined with the increased cost of capital in 2025 resulted in negative economic profit and a reduced invested capital base, reflecting challenges in maintaining previous performance levels.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Nike Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Net income
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for uncollectible accounts receivable2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7
Investment income, after taxes8
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for uncollectible accounts receivable.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

4 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

7 2025 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net Income
Net income shows a significant increase from 2,539 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 6,046 million USD in 2022. However, this is followed by a decline to 5,070 million USD in 2023. There is a partial recovery to 5,700 million USD in 2024 before a sharp decrease to 3,219 million USD in 2025. Overall, net income demonstrates strong growth until 2022, but subsequent years indicate volatility and a downward trend by the final year.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT exhibits a similar pattern to net income, increasing from 2,477 million USD in 2020 to 5,557 million USD in 2022. After peaking, it declines to 5,013 million USD in 2023 and slightly improves to 5,146 million USD in 2024. However, in 2025, NOPAT decreases substantially to 2,913 million USD. This trend aligns closely with net income, illustrating parallel fluctuations in profitability after operating costs and taxes.
Overall Trends and Insights
Both net income and NOPAT show a growth phase peaking around 2022, followed by a period of decline and instability. The decrease in values in 2025 suggests challenges impacting profitability, potentially due to operational or market conditions. The close alignment between net income and NOPAT indicates consistent operational efficiency relative to income generation before the decline starts.

Cash Operating Taxes

Nike Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Income tax expense
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).


Income Tax Expense
The income tax expense shows a fluctuating trend over the six-year period. It increased significantly from 348 million US dollars in 2020 to 934 million US dollars in 2021, followed by a decline to 605 million in 2022. However, it spiked again to 1,131 million in 2023 before gradually decreasing over the next two years, reaching 666 million in 2025. This pattern indicates volatility in the company's tax obligations, potentially influenced by changes in profitability or tax regulations.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes have generally trended upward from 764 million US dollars in 2020 to peak at 1,482 million in 2024. Notably, there was rapid growth between 2020 and 2021, and a stabilization phase followed with values remaining above 1,200 million until 2024. A decline is observed in 2025, dropping to 951 million. This suggests variations in operational cash tax payments, potentially reflecting changes in taxable income, tax planning strategies, or cash management.
Comparative Insight
Comparing income tax expense with cash operating taxes reveals some divergence in trends. While income tax expense is more volatile with pronounced peaks and troughs, cash operating taxes show a more gradual rise and fall. This might indicate differing timing or recognition of tax liabilities versus actual cash outflows related to taxes over the years.

Invested Capital

Nike Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Current portion of long-term debt
Notes payable
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for uncollectible accounts receivable3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Adjusted shareholders’ equity
Construction in process6
Short-term investments7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in process.

7 Subtraction of short-term investments.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases demonstrate a consistent downward trend over the observed period. Starting at 13,015 million US dollars at the end of May 2020, the figure gradually decreases each year, reaching 11,018 million US dollars by May 2025. This reduction suggests a strategic effort toward lowering financial leverage or refinancing liabilities on possibly more favorable terms.
Shareholders’ equity
Shareholders' equity exhibits considerable growth from May 2020 through May 2022, increasing from 8,055 million to a peak of 15,281 million US dollars. However, post-2022, equity experiences a slight decline, settling at 13,213 million by May 2025. The initial increase may indicate retained earnings accumulation or capital infusions, while the subsequent decrease might reflect distributions such as dividends, share repurchases, or changes in retained earnings.
Invested capital
Invested capital shows a fluctuation pattern throughout the period observed. Starting at 19,083 million in May 2020, it rises to a high of 22,129 million by May 2024 before decreasing to 19,883 million in May 2025. This variability could be due to changes in operational asset base, capital expenditures, or working capital adjustments, indicating shifts in investment strategies or business cycles.

Cost of Capital

Nike Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Nike Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
lululemon athletica inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit demonstrated a significant turnaround from a negative value of -301 million US dollars in 2020 to a positive peak of 2,423 million in 2022. Following this peak, it showed a declining trend over the next two years, reaching 1,939 million in 2024 and turning negative again at -204 million in 2025. This pattern suggests initial strong recovery and profitability, followed by weakening economic profit and a return to losses by 2025.
Invested Capital
Invested capital increased steadily from 19,083 million US dollars in 2020 to a high of 22,129 million in 2024. However, in 2025, a decline to 19,883 million was observed. This indicates an overall trend of growth in invested capital over the period, with a reduction in the most recent year.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio shifted from a negative ratio of -1.58% in 2020 to a substantial positive margin reaching 11.47% in 2022. Thereafter, it declined gradually to 8.76% in 2024 and fell sharply to -1.03% in 2025. The rise and fall of this ratio mirror the patterns seen in economic profit, showing improved profitability in the early years followed by declining returns on invested capital culminating in negative spread in the latest year.
Overall Analysis
The data reflects an initial period of financial recovery and strength following 2020, characterized by increasing economic profit and favorable returns on invested capital. Despite increasing invested capital, profitability indicators weakened from 2023 onward, with both economic profit and spread ratio declining and ultimately turning negative in 2025. This shift points to challenges in generating adequate returns from invested capital in the most recent period, suggesting possible issues in operational efficiency, market conditions, or cost management affecting financial performance.

Economic Profit Margin

Nike Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
lululemon athletica inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Revenues
The revenues show a generally upward trend from 37,403 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 51,362 million USD in 2024. There is a notable increase between 2020 and 2021, followed by consistent growth through 2023 and 2024. However, in 2025, revenues decline significantly to 46,309 million USD.
Economic Profit
Economic profit displayed notable volatility over the period. It started with a negative value of -301 million USD in 2020, then sharply increased to 2,335 million USD in 2021. This higher level was sustained with a slight increase to 2,423 million USD in 2022. From 2023 onward, economic profit saw a decline, decreasing to 1,984 million USD in 2023, 1,939 million USD in 2024, and eventually becoming negative again at -204 million USD in 2025. This indicates a deterioration in economic performance despite earlier gains.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin correlates with the economic profit trend, starting at a negative -0.8% in 2020, then increasing to over 5% in 2021 and 2022. After peaking in 2021, the margin gradually declined, dropping to 3.87% in 2023 and further to 3.78% in 2024. By 2025, the margin turned negative again at -0.44%, consistent with the negative economic profit observed in the same year.
Overall Insights
The company experienced strong growth in revenues from 2020 to 2024, accompanied by a recovery and peak in economic profit and margin during 2021-2022. However, from 2023 onwards, there is a clear sign of weakening economic profit despite relatively stable or increasing revenues up to 2024. The decline in revenues and return to negative economic profit margin in 2025 suggests potential operational challenges or increased costs impacting profitability, warranting further analysis into expense management or market conditions affecting the latest fiscal year.