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Nike Inc. (NYSE:NKE)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Nike Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2026 May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 3,060 2,921 5,146 5,012 5,616 5,611
Cost of capital2 16.26% 17.07% 16.94% 17.37% 17.34% 17.56%
Invested capital3 21,555 19,851 22,088 20,353 21,093 20,927
 
Economic profit4 (444) (468) 1,404 1,476 1,958 1,936

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2026 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 3,060 – 16.26% × 21,555 = -444


The financial trajectory over the observed period reveals a significant erosion of economic value, characterized by a transition from consistent value creation to a state of value destruction in the final two years.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
A pronounced downward trend is evident in operational profitability. After maintaining stability between 2021 and 2022 at approximately US$ 5.6 billion, NOPAT experienced a gradual decline through 2024, followed by a severe contraction in 2025 to US$ 2,921 million. A marginal recovery is noted in 2026, though profitability remains substantially lower than the levels recorded at the start of the period.
Capital Utilization and Cost of Capital
Invested capital has fluctuated within a range of US$ 19.8 billion to US$ 22.1 billion, displaying no clear long-term growth or contraction trend. Simultaneously, the cost of capital has remained relatively stable, showing a slight downward trajectory from 17.56% in 2021 to 16.26% in 2026. The consistency of these figures suggests that the volatility in economic profit is primarily driven by operational earnings rather than shifts in the cost of funding or capital investment levels.
Economic Profit and Value Creation
The economic profit reflects a critical shift in the capacity to generate returns exceeding the cost of capital. From 2021 to 2024, the entity maintained positive economic profit, peaking at US$ 1,958 million in 2022. However, by May 31, 2025, economic profit turned negative to -US$ 468 million, and remained negative in 2026 at -US$ 444 million. This indicates that the return on invested capital fell below the required hurdle rate, leading to a period of economic value destruction.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Nike Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2026 May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021
Net income 3,108 3,219 5,700 5,070 6,046 5,727
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (96) (288) (497) (117) (650) (385)
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents2 (96) (288) (497) (117) (650) (385)
Interest expense 228 297 269 291 299 296
Interest expense, operating lease liability3 111 95 88 80 74 78
Adjusted interest expense 339 392 357 371 373 374
Tax benefit of interest expense4 (71) (82) (75) (78) (78) (79)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes5 268 309 282 293 294 296
Interest income (278) (404) (430) (297) (94) (34)
Investment income, before taxes (278) (404) (430) (297) (94) (34)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income6 58 85 90 62 20 7
Investment income, after taxes7 (220) (319) (340) (235) (74) (27)
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 3,060 2,921 5,146 5,012 5,616 5,611

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

3 2026 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 3,091 × 3.60% = 111

4 2026 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 339 × 21.00% = 71

5 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

6 2026 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 278 × 21.00% = 58

7 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial performance exhibits a distinct bifurcation between a period of relative stability from 2021 to 2024 and a significant contraction in profitability starting in 2025. While the initial four-year window shows fluctuation, the subsequent years indicate a substantial reduction in both bottom-line earnings and core operational profitability.

Net Income Trends
Net income peaked in 2022 at 6,046 million US$, followed by a period of volatility. A sharp decline is observed beginning in 2025, where net income dropped to 3,219 million US$, representing a reduction of approximately 43.7% from the 2024 level. This downward trend persisted into 2026, with a further slight decrease to 3,108 million US$.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) Analysis
NOPAT remained relatively consistent between 2021 and 2022, followed by a decline in 2023 and a marginal recovery in 2024 to 5,146 million US$. Similar to net income, NOPAT experienced a severe contraction in 2025, falling to 2,921 million US$. A slight recovery is noted in 2026, with NOPAT rising to 3,060 million US$, suggesting a potential stabilization of operational profitability.
Operational Correlation and Insights
A strong positive correlation is observed between net income and NOPAT throughout the analyzed period. The simultaneous decline in both metrics starting in 2025 indicates that the erosion of profitability is driven primarily by operational factors rather than non-operating expenses or financial structuring. The proximity of NOPAT to net income suggests that operating performance is the dominant driver of the overall financial outcome.

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Cash Operating Taxes

Nike Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2026 May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021
Income tax expense 792 666 1,000 1,131 605 934
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (96) (288) (497) (117) (650) (385)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 71 82 75 78 78 79
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 58 85 90 62 20 7
Cash operating taxes 901 951 1,482 1,264 1,313 1,390

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31).


The analysis of tax-related outflows reveals a consistent divergence between accrual-based income tax expenses and actual cash operating taxes paid. While income tax expenses exhibit significant volatility, cash operating taxes remained relatively stable through the mid-period before experiencing a marked contraction in the final two years.

Income Tax Expense Trends
Income tax expenses demonstrate a non-linear trajectory, starting at US$ 934 million in 2021, dipping to US$ 605 million in 2022, and peaking at US$ 1,131 million in 2023. A subsequent downward trend is observed, with the expense falling to US$ 666 million by 2025 before a slight recovery to US$ 792 million in 2026.
Cash Operating Tax Patterns
Cash operating taxes remained elevated and relatively stable between 2021 and 2024, fluctuating between US$ 1,264 million and US$ 1,482 million. However, a significant reduction occurred starting in 2025, where cash payments dropped to US$ 951 million and further declined to US$ 901 million in 2026, representing a substantial decrease in actual cash outflows for taxes.
Variance Between Accrual and Cash Taxes
Throughout the analyzed period, cash operating taxes consistently exceeded the recorded income tax expense. This gap was most prominent in 2022, where cash payments were more than double the accounting expense. This recurring discrepancy suggests the presence of significant timing differences, the settlement of deferred tax liabilities, or specific tax jurisdictions where cash remittances do not align with the periodic income statement recognition.

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Invested Capital

Nike Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2026 May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021
Current portion of long-term debt 2,000 — 1,000 — 500 —
Long-term debt, excluding current portion 5,942 7,961 7,903 8,927 8,920 9,413
Operating lease liability1 3,091 3,052 3,043 3,211 3,197 3,398
Total reported debt & leases 11,033 11,013 11,946 12,138 12,617 12,811
Shareholders’ equity 14,865 13,213 14,430 14,004 15,281 12,767
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (2,593) (2,542) (2,320) (1,799) (1,665) (1,133)
Equity equivalents3 (2,593) (2,542) (2,320) (1,799) (1,665) (1,133)
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax4 141 258 (53) (231) (318) 380
Adjusted shareholders’ equity 12,413 10,929 12,057 11,974 13,298 12,014
Construction in process5 (427) (404) (193) (525) (399) (311)
Short-term investments6 (1,464) (1,687) (1,722) (3,234) (4,423) (3,587)
Invested capital 21,555 19,851 22,088 20,353 21,093 20,927

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity.

4 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

5 Subtraction of construction in process.

6 Subtraction of short-term investments.


The analysis of invested capital and its components from May 31, 2021, to May 31, 2026, reveals a strategic shift in the financing mix, characterized by a steady reduction in liabilities and fluctuations in equity levels. The overall invested capital exhibits a non-linear trend, reflecting the interplay between decreasing debt and variable shareholder equity.

Total Reported Debt and Leases
A consistent downward trajectory is observed in total reported debt and leases, declining from 12,811 million US$ in 2021 to 11,013 million US$ by 2025. This represents a sustained reduction in leverage and lease obligations over a five-year period, with a marginal stabilization occurring in 2026 at 11,033 million US$.
Shareholders’ Equity
Shareholders' equity demonstrates significant volatility. An initial increase is noted between 2021 and 2022, peaking at 15,281 million US$. This was followed by a period of fluctuation, including a decline to 13,213 million US$ in 2025, before rebounding to 14,865 million US$ in 2026. This variability suggests periodic shifts in retained earnings or capital distribution strategies.
Total Invested Capital
The total invested capital remains relatively stable between 2021 and 2023, before reaching a peak of 22,088 million US$ in 2024. A notable contraction occurs in 2025, where invested capital drops to its lowest point in the period at 19,851 million US$, driven by simultaneous lows in both debt and equity. A recovery is evident by 2026, with the figure rising to 21,555 million US$.

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Cost of Capital

Nike Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 63,449 63,449 ÷ 73,345 = 0.87 0.87 × 18.39% = 15.91%
Long-term debt, including current portion3 6,805 6,805 ÷ 73,345 = 0.09 0.09 × 3.14% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.23%
Operating lease liability4 3,091 3,091 ÷ 73,345 = 0.04 0.04 × 3.60% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.12%
Total: 73,345 1.00 16.26%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 107,784 107,784 ÷ 117,509 = 0.92 0.92 × 18.39% = 16.87%
Long-term debt, including current portion3 6,673 6,673 ÷ 117,509 = 0.06 0.06 × 3.14% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.14%
Operating lease liability4 3,052 3,052 ÷ 117,509 = 0.03 0.03 × 3.10% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.06%
Total: 117,509 1.00 17.07%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 107,069 107,069 ÷ 117,743 = 0.91 0.91 × 18.39% = 16.72%
Long-term debt, including current portion3 7,631 7,631 ÷ 117,743 = 0.06 0.06 × 3.05% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.16%
Operating lease liability4 3,043 3,043 ÷ 117,743 = 0.03 0.03 × 2.90% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.06%
Total: 117,743 1.00 16.94%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 164,518 164,518 ÷ 175,618 = 0.94 0.94 × 18.39% = 17.23%
Long-term debt, including current portion3 7,889 7,889 ÷ 175,618 = 0.04 0.04 × 3.05% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.11%
Operating lease liability4 3,211 3,211 ÷ 175,618 = 0.02 0.02 × 2.50% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Total: 175,618 1.00 17.37%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 175,082 175,082 ÷ 187,212 = 0.94 0.94 × 18.39% = 17.20%
Long-term debt, including current portion3 8,933 8,933 ÷ 187,212 = 0.05 0.05 × 3.03% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.11%
Operating lease liability4 3,197 3,197 ÷ 187,212 = 0.02 0.02 × 2.30% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 187,212 1.00 17.34%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 252,677 252,677 ÷ 266,350 = 0.95 0.95 × 18.39% = 17.45%
Long-term debt, including current portion3 10,275 10,275 ÷ 266,350 = 0.04 0.04 × 3.02% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.09%
Operating lease liability4 3,398 3,398 ÷ 266,350 = 0.01 0.01 × 2.30% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 266,350 1.00 17.56%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Nike Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2026 May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (444) (468) 1,404 1,476 1,958 1,936
Invested capital2 21,555 19,851 22,088 20,353 21,093 20,927
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 -2.06% -2.36% 6.36% 7.25% 9.28% 9.25%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
lululemon athletica inc. 4.84% 10.63% 7.91% 1.46% 7.35% -0.77%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2026 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -444 ÷ 21,555 = -2.06%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


A significant deterioration in economic performance is observed over the analyzed period ending May 31, 2026. While the initial years demonstrated a capacity to generate value exceeding the cost of capital, the latter portion of the period is characterized by a transition into economic value destruction.

Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio exhibited a consistent downward trajectory after peaking at 9.28% in 2022. A marked contraction occurred between 2022 and 2024, with the ratio falling to 6.36%, followed by a sharp decline into negative territory in 2025 (-2.36%) and 2026 (-2.06%). This trend indicates that the return on invested capital has fallen below the weighted average cost of capital.
Economic Profit
Economic profit mirrored the decline of the spread ratio. Positive value creation peaked at 1,958 million USD in 2022 but entered a steady decline thereafter. The transition to negative economic profit in 2025 (-468 million USD) and 2026 (-444 million USD) confirms that the company ceased creating economic value for its shareholders during the final two years of the period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable, fluctuating within a range between 19,851 million USD and 22,088 million USD. The absence of a strong linear trend in the capital base suggests that the erosion of the economic spread ratio is primarily driven by a decrease in operational profitability rather than significant changes in the volume of capital deployed.

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Economic Profit Margin

Nike Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2026 May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (444) (468) 1,404 1,476 1,958 1,936
Revenues 46,398 46,309 51,362 51,217 46,710 44,538
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 -0.96% -1.01% 2.73% 2.88% 4.19% 4.35%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
lululemon athletica inc. 3.03% 6.53% 4.89% 0.81% 4.55% -0.63%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2026 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenues
= 100 × -444 ÷ 46,398 = -0.96%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial trajectory from May 31, 2021, to May 31, 2026, exhibits a significant deterioration in value creation, characterized by a transition from positive economic profit to a state of economic loss.

Economic Profit Margin Trends
A consistent downward trend is observed in the economic profit margin, which declined from a peak of 4.35% in 2021 to -0.96% by 2026. The most acute contraction occurred between 2024 and 2025, where the margin shifted from a positive 2.73% to a negative 1.01%, signaling a shift from value creation to value destruction.
Revenue and Profitability Divergence
Between 2021 and 2024, revenues grew from 44,538 million US$ to a peak of 51,362 million US$. However, this revenue growth did not translate into increased economic profit, which fell from 1,936 million US$ in 2021 to 1,404 million US$ in 2024. This divergence suggests that the cost of capital or operating inefficiencies outpaced the gains from top-line expansion during this period.
Analysis of Value Erosion
The period ending May 31, 2025, marks a critical inflection point where both revenues and economic profit contracted sharply. Revenues fell to 46,309 million US$, and economic profit plummeted to -468 million US$. While 2026 shows a marginal recovery in both revenue (46,398 million US$) and economic profit (-444 million US$), the organization remains in a negative economic profit position, indicating that returns are insufficient to cover the cost of invested capital.

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