Stock Analysis on Net

Nike Inc. (NYSE:NKE)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Nike Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The analysis of the financial data over the given periods reveals several key trends and insights concerning profitability, capital costs, invested capital, and economic profit.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT showed a significant increase from 2020 to 2021, more than doubling from 2,477 million USD to 5,490 million USD. This level was maintained with marginal growth in 2022, followed by a decline in 2023 and 2024, dropping to around 5,000 million USD. In 2025, there was a sharp decrease to 2,913 million USD, suggesting a potential downturn in operational effectiveness or market conditions impacting profitability.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained relatively stable with minor fluctuations across the periods. It slightly increased from 14.55% in 2020 to 15% in 2021, then experienced small variations between 14.49% and 15.68% in subsequent years. The highest cost of capital was observed in 2025 at 15.68%, which might have exerted more pressure on the company’s profitability and investment returns during that period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital demonstrated a generally increasing trend from 19,083 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 22,129 million USD in 2024, indicating ongoing investment or expansion activities. However, in 2025, invested capital decreased to 19,883 million USD, possibly reflecting divestitures or reductions in asset base.
Economic Profit
Economic profit transitioned from a negative value of -300 million USD in 2020 to strong positive figures from 2021 to 2024, peaking at 2,424 million USD in 2022 and maintaining close to 1,900 million USD in subsequent years. In 2025, economic profit turned negative again, at -204 million USD. This sharp reversal aligns with the decline in NOPAT and the increase in cost of capital, suggesting challenges in generating returns above the cost of capital.

Overall, the data indicates an initial phase of strong operational profitability and economic value creation from 2021 to 2024. However, the downturn witnessed in 2025 in both NOPAT and economic profit, coupled with a higher cost of capital and reduced invested capital, points to potential operational or market challenges impacting value generation during that latest period.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Nike Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Net income
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for uncollectible accounts receivable2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7
Investment income, after taxes8
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for uncollectible accounts receivable.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

4 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

7 2025 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net Income
Net income shows a significant increase from 2,539 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 6,046 million USD in 2022. However, this is followed by a decline to 5,070 million USD in 2023. There is a partial recovery to 5,700 million USD in 2024 before a sharp decrease to 3,219 million USD in 2025. Overall, net income demonstrates strong growth until 2022, but subsequent years indicate volatility and a downward trend by the final year.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT exhibits a similar pattern to net income, increasing from 2,477 million USD in 2020 to 5,557 million USD in 2022. After peaking, it declines to 5,013 million USD in 2023 and slightly improves to 5,146 million USD in 2024. However, in 2025, NOPAT decreases substantially to 2,913 million USD. This trend aligns closely with net income, illustrating parallel fluctuations in profitability after operating costs and taxes.
Overall Trends and Insights
Both net income and NOPAT show a growth phase peaking around 2022, followed by a period of decline and instability. The decrease in values in 2025 suggests challenges impacting profitability, potentially due to operational or market conditions. The close alignment between net income and NOPAT indicates consistent operational efficiency relative to income generation before the decline starts.

Cash Operating Taxes

Nike Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Income tax expense
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).


Income Tax Expense
The income tax expense shows a fluctuating trend over the six-year period. It increased significantly from 348 million US dollars in 2020 to 934 million US dollars in 2021, followed by a decline to 605 million in 2022. However, it spiked again to 1,131 million in 2023 before gradually decreasing over the next two years, reaching 666 million in 2025. This pattern indicates volatility in the company's tax obligations, potentially influenced by changes in profitability or tax regulations.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes have generally trended upward from 764 million US dollars in 2020 to peak at 1,482 million in 2024. Notably, there was rapid growth between 2020 and 2021, and a stabilization phase followed with values remaining above 1,200 million until 2024. A decline is observed in 2025, dropping to 951 million. This suggests variations in operational cash tax payments, potentially reflecting changes in taxable income, tax planning strategies, or cash management.
Comparative Insight
Comparing income tax expense with cash operating taxes reveals some divergence in trends. While income tax expense is more volatile with pronounced peaks and troughs, cash operating taxes show a more gradual rise and fall. This might indicate differing timing or recognition of tax liabilities versus actual cash outflows related to taxes over the years.

Invested Capital

Nike Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Current portion of long-term debt
Notes payable
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for uncollectible accounts receivable3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Adjusted shareholders’ equity
Construction in process6
Short-term investments7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in process.

7 Subtraction of short-term investments.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases demonstrate a consistent downward trend over the observed period. Starting at 13,015 million US dollars at the end of May 2020, the figure gradually decreases each year, reaching 11,018 million US dollars by May 2025. This reduction suggests a strategic effort toward lowering financial leverage or refinancing liabilities on possibly more favorable terms.
Shareholders’ equity
Shareholders' equity exhibits considerable growth from May 2020 through May 2022, increasing from 8,055 million to a peak of 15,281 million US dollars. However, post-2022, equity experiences a slight decline, settling at 13,213 million by May 2025. The initial increase may indicate retained earnings accumulation or capital infusions, while the subsequent decrease might reflect distributions such as dividends, share repurchases, or changes in retained earnings.
Invested capital
Invested capital shows a fluctuation pattern throughout the period observed. Starting at 19,083 million in May 2020, it rises to a high of 22,129 million by May 2024 before decreasing to 19,883 million in May 2025. This variability could be due to changes in operational asset base, capital expenditures, or working capital adjustments, indicating shifts in investment strategies or business cycles.

Cost of Capital

Nike Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Nike Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
lululemon athletica inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit demonstrates significant fluctuations over the analyzed periods. Initially, there was a considerable negative economic profit of -300 million USD in 2020. This shifted positively in 2021, reaching a peak of 2,424 million USD in 2022. However, after 2022, economic profit declined steadily to 1,940 million USD by 2024, and ultimately turned negative again with a loss of 204 million USD projected for 2025. This indicates volatility in profitability with a notable recovery followed by a downturn towards the end of the period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital generally increased from 19,083 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 22,129 million USD in 2024. However, there was a slight decline observed in 2025 to 19,883 million USD. This pattern suggests a modest expansion of capital resources over most years, with a reduction after 2024 which may reflect capital divestments or efficiency improvements.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio was negative at -1.57% in 2020, indicating the company was not generating returns above its cost of capital at that time. It improved markedly, peaking at 11.47% in 2022, confirming strong value generation during these middle years. Following the peak, there was a gradual decline in this ratio, falling to 8.77% in 2024 and further dropping to -1.02% in 2025. This trend aligns with the economic profit movements and suggests that by 2025, return on capital again undershot the cost of capital.

Economic Profit Margin

Nike Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
lululemon athletica inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Revenues
The revenue figures indicate a general upward trend from 2020 to 2024, increasing from $37,403 million to $51,362 million. However, in 2025, there is a noticeable decline to $46,309 million, reflecting a potential slowdown or restructuring phase.
Economic Profit
The economic profit exhibits significant volatility during the periods under review. It began with a substantial loss of $300 million in 2020 but turned positive in 2021, reaching a peak of $2,424 million in 2022. After this peak, economic profit gradually decreased, ending with a negative value of $204 million in 2025. This suggests challenges in maintaining profitable growth despite rising revenues until 2023.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin aligns with the changes in economic profit, starting negative at -0.8% in 2020, rising sharply to around 5.2% in 2021 and 2022, before declining steadily to 3.78% in 2024, and further dropping to -0.44% by 2025. This margin trend highlights a reduction in profitability efficiency relative to revenues in the latest period.
Summary
Overall, the data reflects a period of growth in revenues with correlated improvements in economic profitability from 2020 through 2022. Post-2022, both economic profit and its margin show signs of contraction despite continued revenue growth up to 2024, culminating in a negative economic profit and margin in 2025 alongside declining revenues. This pattern may signal emerging operational or market challenges affecting profitability sustainability.