Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Paying user area
Try for free
Paycom Software Inc. pages available for free this week:
- Income Statement
- Balance Sheet: Assets
- Analysis of Solvency Ratios
- Analysis of Short-term (Operating) Activity Ratios
- Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)
- Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
- Selected Financial Data since 2014
- Price to Earnings (P/E) since 2014
- Price to Operating Profit (P/OP) since 2014
- Price to Sales (P/S) since 2014
The data is hidden behind: . Unhide it.
Get full access to the entire website from $10.42/mo, or
get 1-month access to Paycom Software Inc. for $22.49.
This is a one-time payment. There is no automatic renewal.
We accept:
Summary
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 13.10% per annum.
- PAYC price at the close of November 2, 2023 was $162.66 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $53.14 (24.63%).
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 66.80% per annum.
- PAYC price at the close of November 2, 2023 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $53.65 (24.80%).
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PAYC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date:
End date:
a =
b =
s =
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=
October 12, 2020 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
October 31, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 13.10% per annum.
- PAYC price at the close of November 2, 2023 was $162.66 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $53.14 (24.63%).
Secondary Trend
Start date:
End date:
a =
b =
s =
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=
July 6, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
October 31, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 66.80% per annum.
- PAYC price at the close of November 2, 2023 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $53.65 (24.80%).
Check current PAYC price trends.
Visit our new 1,500-company website