Stock Analysis on Net

Expedia Group Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPE)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since May 3, 2022.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Expedia Group Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2021 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT showed an increasing trend from 2017 to 2019, rising from 1,026 million USD to 1,922 million USD. However, there was a sharp decline in 2020, resulting in a significant negative figure of -5,503 million USD. In 2021, the NOPAT recovered to 2,614 million USD, indicating improvement but still not reaching the peak level seen in 2019.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital fluctuated slightly over the five-year period, starting at 16.79% in 2017 and peaking at 17.9% in 2018. It then decreased to 15.43% in 2020 before rising again to 16.78% in 2021. Overall, the cost of capital remained relatively stable, with minor variations year-to-year.
Invested Capital
Invested capital exhibited a steady upward trend, increasing from 14,039 million USD in 2017 to 17,498 million USD in 2021. There was consistent growth each year, except for a slight dip in 2020 where invested capital decreased marginally from 16,161 million USD to 15,765 million USD.
Economic Profit
Economic profit remained negative throughout the period, indicating the company did not generate returns above its cost of capital. The losses narrowed from -1,331 million USD in 2017 to -780 million USD in 2019 but dramatically deteriorated in 2020 to -7,936 million USD, aligning with the NOPAT decline that year. By 2021, economic profit improved substantially to -321 million USD, suggesting progress toward generating value but still negative.
Summary of Trends
The data reflects a positive trend in operating profit and invested capital until 2019, followed by a substantial downturn in 2020 likely related to extraordinary circumstances affecting profitability. Recovery began in 2021, with improved NOPAT and reduced negative economic profit. Despite this, the persistent negative economic profit indicates challenges in exceeding the cost of capital over the period. The relatively stable cost of capital suggests external financing conditions remained consistent, while fluctuations in profitability and economic profit highlight operational and market challenges faced in the recent years.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Expedia Group Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net income (loss) attributable to Expedia Group, Inc.
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue3
Increase (decrease) in restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability4
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability6
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense7
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income9
Investment income, after taxes10
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to Expedia Group, Inc..

6 2021 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

7 2021 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to Expedia Group, Inc..

9 2021 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial data reveals significant fluctuations in profitability over the analyzed periods.

Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Expedia Group, Inc.
The company experienced positive net income from 2017 through 2019, with values steadily increasing from 378 million USD in 2017 to 565 million USD in 2019. In 2020, there was a sharp and substantial loss of 2,612 million USD, indicating a major adverse impact on profitability. The net income slightly recovered in 2021, recording a marginal profit of 12 million USD, which suggests a fragile rebound but still far below pre-2020 levels.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
This metric exhibits a similar trend to net income, with continuous growth from 1,026 million USD in 2017 to 1,922 million USD in 2019. The year 2020 marked a deep negative NOPAT of 5,503 million USD, underscoring the operational difficulties faced during this period. In 2021, there was a notable improvement with NOPAT returning to a positive figure of 2,614 million USD, surpassing pre-pandemic levels, which may reflect operational recovery and enhanced efficiency or cost management.

Overall, the data illustrates strong growth in profitability through 2019, a severe downturn in 2020 presumably linked to extraordinary circumstances, followed by partial to full recovery across key profit measures in 2021. The divergence in magnitude of loss between net income and NOPAT in 2020 highlights the scale of operational and possibly non-operational challenges during that year.


Cash Operating Taxes

Expedia Group Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Income tax expense (benefit)
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).


The analysis of the provided financial data indicates noteworthy fluctuations in the income tax expense (benefit) and cash operating taxes over the observed five-year period.

Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
The income tax expense exhibits a rising trend from 2017 through 2019, increasing from 45 million USD to 203 million USD. However, this trend reverses strongly in 2020, with the figure turning negative to -423 million USD, indicating a tax benefit rather than an expense. In 2021, the amount remains negative but with a reduced benefit of -53 million USD. This significant shift in 2020 and 2021 reflects either substantial tax credits, loss carrybacks, or other tax relief measures impacting the income tax recorded.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes increase sharply from 212 million USD in 2017 to 427 million USD in 2018, followed by a decline to 323 million USD in 2019. The downward trend continues in 2020, dropping to 142 million USD, and then slightly recovers to 167 million USD in 2021. This pattern suggests a peak in cash outflows related to taxes in 2018, with subsequent moderation likely due to operational changes or tax planning strategies.

Overall, the data reveals contrasting movements between reported income tax expense and actual cash tax payments, especially notable in 2020 when the income tax expense turns into a substantial benefit while cash taxes paid decrease markedly. This divergence may indicate changes in accounting treatment or timing differences between tax expense recognition and cash tax payments.


Invested Capital

Expedia Group Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Current maturities of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Expedia Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for expected credit losses3
Deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue4
Restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability5
Equity equivalents6
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7
Redeemable non-controlling interests
Non-redeemable non-controlling interests
Adjusted total Expedia Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity
Projects in progress8
Investments9
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue.

5 Addition of restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to total Expedia Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity.

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of projects in progress.

9 Subtraction of investments.


The presented financial data reveals several notable trends over the five-year period from 2017 to 2021.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
There is an overall increasing trend in total reported debt and leases, rising from $4,941 million in 2017 to $8,887 million by the end of 2021. Notably, the increase between 2019 ($5,589 million) and 2020 ($8,855 million) is substantial, indicating a significant rise in leverage during that period, which then stabilizes into 2021.
Total Stockholders’ Equity
Total stockholders' equity shows a declining trend over the same period. Starting at $4,522 million in 2017, it decreases somewhat gradually to $3,967 million in 2019, followed by a sharper decline to $2,532 million in 2020 and then further to $2,057 million in 2021. This decreasing equity trend suggests potential erosion of shareholder value or increased liabilities relative to assets.
Invested Capital
Invested capital remains relatively steady between 2017 and 2020, fluctuating mildly from $14,039 million in 2017 to $15,765 million in 2020. However, a noticeable increase occurs in 2021, reaching $17,498 million. This rise may reflect accumulated investments, retained earnings, or other capital inputs despite the reduction in equity.

In summary, the financial structure indicates rising debt levels alongside falling equity, which could imply increased financial risk or strategic leveraging. The increase in invested capital alongside these changes indicates ongoing commitments to assets or operations. These trends warrant further investigation into the underlying causes, such as capital expenditures, income performance, or financing activities, to comprehensively assess financial health and risk exposure.


Cost of Capital

Expedia Group Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Expedia Group Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2021 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit demonstrated a generally negative trend throughout the analyzed period. Starting at -$1,331 million in 2017, the loss slightly improved to -$1,231 million in 2018 and further to -$780 million in 2019. However, 2020 saw a sharp deterioration to -$7,936 million, likely due to extraordinary circumstances affecting the business. In 2021, the economic loss significantly decreased to -$321 million, indicating a substantial recovery from the previous year's downturn.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed a consistent upward trend over the five years. It increased from $14,039 million at the end of 2017 to $17,498 million by the end of 2021. The growth was steady, with minor fluctuations, reflecting an ongoing investment in the company's assets or operations despite economic profit challenges.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio remained negative throughout, signaling that the returns on invested capital were below the cost of capital. It improved slightly from -9.48% in 2017 to -4.83% in 2019 but experienced a drastic decline to -50.34% in 2020, aligning with the steep economic profit loss that year. The ratio then improved markedly to -1.84% in 2021, indicating a recovery in returns relative to capital costs.
Overall Insights
The company faced persistent negative economic profit during the period, with a significant setback in 2020, likely influenced by external factors adversely impacting financial performance. Despite this, invested capital steadily increased, suggesting ongoing commitment to business expansion or maintenance. The economic spread ratio's volatility highlights fluctuating efficiency in generating returns above costs, with noteworthy recovery in the latest year observed.

Economic Profit Margin

Expedia Group Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Revenue
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue
Adjusted revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2021 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Adjusted Revenue
The adjusted revenue showed a general increasing trend from 2017 to 2019, rising from $10,705 million to $13,376 million. However, a significant decline occurred in 2020, where revenue dropped sharply to $2,478 million. The following year, 2021, witnessed a partial recovery in revenue, increasing to $11,173 million, though it did not reach pre-2020 levels.
Economic Profit
The economic profit consistently remained negative throughout the period, indicating that the company did not generate economic profits in any of the years analyzed. From 2017 to 2019, the economic losses decreased, improving from -$1,331 million to -$780 million. In 2020, there was a significant deterioration in economic profit to -$7,936 million, coinciding with the sharp revenue decline. In 2021, economic profit improved to -$321 million, indicating a partial recovery.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin followed a trajectory consistent with economic profit. From -12.43% in 2017, there was an improvement to -5.83% in 2019. In 2020, this margin drastically worsened to -320.24%, reflecting the severe downturn in earnings relative to revenue. The margin improved substantially in 2021 to -2.88%, demonstrating a return toward profitability margins comparable to the earlier years.
Overall Analysis
The data indicate that the company experienced growth in revenue and improvement in economic profitability from 2017 through 2019. The year 2020 marked a significant disruption, likely due to an external shock, resulting in a pronounced drop in revenue and a marked increase in economic losses. The year 2021 saw a notable recovery in revenue and economic profit margins, though the company had not fully returned to the pre-2020 levels by the end of the period analyzed.