Stock Analysis on Net

Expedia Group Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPE)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since May 3, 2022.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Expedia Group Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2021 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
There is a notable upward trend in NOPAT from 2017 to 2019, with values increasing from 1,026 million USD to 1,922 million USD, indicating improved profitability. However, in 2020, there is a significant decline to a negative figure of -5,503 million USD, reflecting a substantial loss. This negative performance recovers in 2021 with a positive value of 2,614 million USD, suggesting a strong rebound in operating profit post-2020.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital exhibits moderate fluctuations over the period analyzed. It starts at 16.45% in 2017, rises slightly to a peak of 17.53% in 2018, then declines to 16.38% in 2019 and further decreases to 15.14% in 2020, before increasing again to 16.44% in 2021. These variations suggest some adjustments in the capital structure or market conditions affecting the company's required return on investment.
Invested Capital
Invested capital shows a steady upward trend across the five years, growing from 14,039 million USD in 2017 to 17,498 million USD in 2021. This increase indicates ongoing investment in assets or operational capacity, with a slight dip from 16,161 million USD in 2019 to 15,765 million USD in 2020, which might be related to the adverse conditions experienced in 2020.
Economic Profit
The economic profit remains negative throughout the entire period, indicating a consistent shortfall in generated profit relative to the cost of capital. Although the deficit narrows from -1,283 million USD in 2017 to -726 million USD in 2019, there is a marked deterioration in 2020, with economic profit plunging to -7,889 million USD. This worsened position improves in 2021 to -262 million USD, suggesting recovery but still reflecting a failure to exceed the cost of capital.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Expedia Group Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net income (loss) attributable to Expedia Group, Inc.
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue3
Increase (decrease) in restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability4
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability6
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense7
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income9
Investment income, after taxes10
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to Expedia Group, Inc..

6 2021 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

7 2021 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to Expedia Group, Inc..

9 2021 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial data reveals significant fluctuations in profitability over the analyzed periods.

Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Expedia Group, Inc.
The company experienced positive net income from 2017 through 2019, with values steadily increasing from 378 million USD in 2017 to 565 million USD in 2019. In 2020, there was a sharp and substantial loss of 2,612 million USD, indicating a major adverse impact on profitability. The net income slightly recovered in 2021, recording a marginal profit of 12 million USD, which suggests a fragile rebound but still far below pre-2020 levels.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
This metric exhibits a similar trend to net income, with continuous growth from 1,026 million USD in 2017 to 1,922 million USD in 2019. The year 2020 marked a deep negative NOPAT of 5,503 million USD, underscoring the operational difficulties faced during this period. In 2021, there was a notable improvement with NOPAT returning to a positive figure of 2,614 million USD, surpassing pre-pandemic levels, which may reflect operational recovery and enhanced efficiency or cost management.

Overall, the data illustrates strong growth in profitability through 2019, a severe downturn in 2020 presumably linked to extraordinary circumstances, followed by partial to full recovery across key profit measures in 2021. The divergence in magnitude of loss between net income and NOPAT in 2020 highlights the scale of operational and possibly non-operational challenges during that year.


Cash Operating Taxes

Expedia Group Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Income tax expense (benefit)
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).


The analysis of the provided financial data indicates noteworthy fluctuations in the income tax expense (benefit) and cash operating taxes over the observed five-year period.

Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
The income tax expense exhibits a rising trend from 2017 through 2019, increasing from 45 million USD to 203 million USD. However, this trend reverses strongly in 2020, with the figure turning negative to -423 million USD, indicating a tax benefit rather than an expense. In 2021, the amount remains negative but with a reduced benefit of -53 million USD. This significant shift in 2020 and 2021 reflects either substantial tax credits, loss carrybacks, or other tax relief measures impacting the income tax recorded.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes increase sharply from 212 million USD in 2017 to 427 million USD in 2018, followed by a decline to 323 million USD in 2019. The downward trend continues in 2020, dropping to 142 million USD, and then slightly recovers to 167 million USD in 2021. This pattern suggests a peak in cash outflows related to taxes in 2018, with subsequent moderation likely due to operational changes or tax planning strategies.

Overall, the data reveals contrasting movements between reported income tax expense and actual cash tax payments, especially notable in 2020 when the income tax expense turns into a substantial benefit while cash taxes paid decrease markedly. This divergence may indicate changes in accounting treatment or timing differences between tax expense recognition and cash tax payments.


Invested Capital

Expedia Group Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Current maturities of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Expedia Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for expected credit losses3
Deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue4
Restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability5
Equity equivalents6
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7
Redeemable non-controlling interests
Non-redeemable non-controlling interests
Adjusted total Expedia Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity
Projects in progress8
Investments9
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue.

5 Addition of restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to total Expedia Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity.

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of projects in progress.

9 Subtraction of investments.


The presented financial data reveals several notable trends over the five-year period from 2017 to 2021.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
There is an overall increasing trend in total reported debt and leases, rising from $4,941 million in 2017 to $8,887 million by the end of 2021. Notably, the increase between 2019 ($5,589 million) and 2020 ($8,855 million) is substantial, indicating a significant rise in leverage during that period, which then stabilizes into 2021.
Total Stockholders’ Equity
Total stockholders' equity shows a declining trend over the same period. Starting at $4,522 million in 2017, it decreases somewhat gradually to $3,967 million in 2019, followed by a sharper decline to $2,532 million in 2020 and then further to $2,057 million in 2021. This decreasing equity trend suggests potential erosion of shareholder value or increased liabilities relative to assets.
Invested Capital
Invested capital remains relatively steady between 2017 and 2020, fluctuating mildly from $14,039 million in 2017 to $15,765 million in 2020. However, a noticeable increase occurs in 2021, reaching $17,498 million. This rise may reflect accumulated investments, retained earnings, or other capital inputs despite the reduction in equity.

In summary, the financial structure indicates rising debt levels alongside falling equity, which could imply increased financial risk or strategic leveraging. The increase in invested capital alongside these changes indicates ongoing commitments to assets or operations. These trends warrant further investigation into the underlying causes, such as capital expenditures, income performance, or financing activities, to comprehensively assess financial health and risk exposure.


Cost of Capital

Expedia Group Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Expedia Group Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2021 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit exhibited a generally negative trend over the analyzed periods. From 2017 to 2019, there was an improvement with losses decreasing from -1,283 million USD to -726 million USD. However, in 2020, economic profit sharply declined to -7,889 million USD, indicating a significant deterioration, before partially recovering in 2021 to -262 million USD.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed a consistent upward trend throughout the periods, increasing from 14,039 million USD in 2017 to 17,498 million USD in 2021. The increase was steady and moderate year over year with no apparent reversals or stagnation.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio was persistently negative, reflecting challenges in generating returns above the cost of capital. The ratio improved from -9.14% in 2017 to -4.49% in 2019, suggesting some improvement in operational efficiency or returns. In 2020, there was a drastic decline to -50.04%, signaling a sharp erosion in economic value creation, which aligns with the steep drop in economic profit that year. By 2021, the ratio recovered significantly to -1.5%, indicating a near return to breakeven with regard to economic returns.

Economic Profit Margin

Expedia Group Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Revenue
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue
Adjusted revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2021 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
There is a consistent negative economic profit across the periods analyzed, indicating that the company operated at an economic loss throughout. From 2017 to 2019, the economic loss decreased, moving from -1283 million US dollars to -726 million US dollars. However, in 2020, there was a sharp deterioration, with economic profit plummeting to -7889 million US dollars. By 2021, a significant recovery is observed with the figure improving to -262 million US dollars, which is the smallest loss in the time frame except for 2019.
Adjusted Revenue
Adjusted revenue showed growth between 2017 and 2019, rising from 10705 million US dollars to 13376 million US dollars. In 2020, there was a drastic drop to 2478 million US dollars, representing a substantial decline likely influenced by external factors affecting revenue generation. In 2021, adjusted revenue rebounded significantly to 11173 million US dollars, approaching levels recorded prior to 2020 but still below the peak of 2019.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin trend mirrors the economic profit pattern, with negative margins throughout the period. From -11.99% in 2017, the margin improved to -5.43% in 2019. In 2020, the margin deteriorated sharply to -318.36%, which suggests a dramatic reduction in profitability relative to revenue. By 2021, the margin improved substantially to -2.35%, reflecting recovery, although remaining negative.
Overall Insights
The data indicates a period of worsening economic performance in 2020, characterized by sharp falling revenues and dramatically increased economic losses and margin contraction. This is followed by a notable recovery in 2021, where both revenue and economic profit margin improved substantially but did not fully return to pre-2020 peak levels. The period before 2020 showed steady improvement in economic metrics. The overall pattern suggests that 2020 was an exceptional year likely affected by extraordinary external factors, with partial normalization occurring in the subsequent year.