Stock Analysis on Net

Expedia Group Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPE)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since May 3, 2022.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Expedia Group Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2021 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The net operating profit after taxes experienced an overall increase from 2017 through 2019, rising from 1,026 million to 1,922 million US dollars. However, in 2020, there was a significant decline resulting in a substantial loss of 5,503 million US dollars. In 2021, the company rebounded, achieving a positive NOPAT of 2,614 million US dollars, indicating a notable recovery but still below the 2019 peak.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital showed moderate fluctuations over the period. It started at 16.87% in 2017, increased to a peak of 17.99% in 2018, then declined to 15.51% in 2020, before slightly increasing again to 16.86% in 2021. This indicates some variability but within a relatively narrow range, with the lowest cost of capital coinciding with the year of most significant profit loss.
Invested Capital
Invested capital displayed a generally upward trend over the five-year period, growing from 14,039 million US dollars in 2017 to 17,498 million US dollars in 2021. Despite a small decrease from 16,161 million in 2019 to 15,765 million in 2020, the overall growth suggests continued investment in assets or operations.
Economic Profit
Economic profit remained negative throughout the period under review. It improved slightly from -1,343 million in 2017 to -793 million in 2019 but worsened dramatically to -7,947 million in 2020, reflecting the substantial impact of the low NOPAT in that year. In 2021, a recovery is evident as economic profit improved substantially to -336 million, approaching breakeven but still negative.

Overall, the financial performance showed resilience with growth in operating profits and invested capital through 2019, followed by a severe downturn in 2020 likely due to external factors impacting profit generation. The recovery in 2021 demonstrates improved profitability and better utilization of capital, although economic profit remains below zero, indicating that the company has yet to fully cover its cost of capital with its operating returns.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Expedia Group Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net income (loss) attributable to Expedia Group, Inc.
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue3
Increase (decrease) in restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability4
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability6
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense7
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income9
Investment income, after taxes10
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to Expedia Group, Inc..

6 2021 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

7 2021 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to Expedia Group, Inc..

9 2021 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial data reveals significant fluctuations in profitability over the analyzed periods.

Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Expedia Group, Inc.
The company experienced positive net income from 2017 through 2019, with values steadily increasing from 378 million USD in 2017 to 565 million USD in 2019. In 2020, there was a sharp and substantial loss of 2,612 million USD, indicating a major adverse impact on profitability. The net income slightly recovered in 2021, recording a marginal profit of 12 million USD, which suggests a fragile rebound but still far below pre-2020 levels.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
This metric exhibits a similar trend to net income, with continuous growth from 1,026 million USD in 2017 to 1,922 million USD in 2019. The year 2020 marked a deep negative NOPAT of 5,503 million USD, underscoring the operational difficulties faced during this period. In 2021, there was a notable improvement with NOPAT returning to a positive figure of 2,614 million USD, surpassing pre-pandemic levels, which may reflect operational recovery and enhanced efficiency or cost management.

Overall, the data illustrates strong growth in profitability through 2019, a severe downturn in 2020 presumably linked to extraordinary circumstances, followed by partial to full recovery across key profit measures in 2021. The divergence in magnitude of loss between net income and NOPAT in 2020 highlights the scale of operational and possibly non-operational challenges during that year.


Cash Operating Taxes

Expedia Group Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Income tax expense (benefit)
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).


The analysis of the provided financial data indicates noteworthy fluctuations in the income tax expense (benefit) and cash operating taxes over the observed five-year period.

Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
The income tax expense exhibits a rising trend from 2017 through 2019, increasing from 45 million USD to 203 million USD. However, this trend reverses strongly in 2020, with the figure turning negative to -423 million USD, indicating a tax benefit rather than an expense. In 2021, the amount remains negative but with a reduced benefit of -53 million USD. This significant shift in 2020 and 2021 reflects either substantial tax credits, loss carrybacks, or other tax relief measures impacting the income tax recorded.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes increase sharply from 212 million USD in 2017 to 427 million USD in 2018, followed by a decline to 323 million USD in 2019. The downward trend continues in 2020, dropping to 142 million USD, and then slightly recovers to 167 million USD in 2021. This pattern suggests a peak in cash outflows related to taxes in 2018, with subsequent moderation likely due to operational changes or tax planning strategies.

Overall, the data reveals contrasting movements between reported income tax expense and actual cash tax payments, especially notable in 2020 when the income tax expense turns into a substantial benefit while cash taxes paid decrease markedly. This divergence may indicate changes in accounting treatment or timing differences between tax expense recognition and cash tax payments.


Invested Capital

Expedia Group Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Current maturities of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Expedia Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for expected credit losses3
Deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue4
Restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability5
Equity equivalents6
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7
Redeemable non-controlling interests
Non-redeemable non-controlling interests
Adjusted total Expedia Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity
Projects in progress8
Investments9
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue.

5 Addition of restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to total Expedia Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity.

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of projects in progress.

9 Subtraction of investments.


The presented financial data reveals several notable trends over the five-year period from 2017 to 2021.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
There is an overall increasing trend in total reported debt and leases, rising from $4,941 million in 2017 to $8,887 million by the end of 2021. Notably, the increase between 2019 ($5,589 million) and 2020 ($8,855 million) is substantial, indicating a significant rise in leverage during that period, which then stabilizes into 2021.
Total Stockholders’ Equity
Total stockholders' equity shows a declining trend over the same period. Starting at $4,522 million in 2017, it decreases somewhat gradually to $3,967 million in 2019, followed by a sharper decline to $2,532 million in 2020 and then further to $2,057 million in 2021. This decreasing equity trend suggests potential erosion of shareholder value or increased liabilities relative to assets.
Invested Capital
Invested capital remains relatively steady between 2017 and 2020, fluctuating mildly from $14,039 million in 2017 to $15,765 million in 2020. However, a noticeable increase occurs in 2021, reaching $17,498 million. This rise may reflect accumulated investments, retained earnings, or other capital inputs despite the reduction in equity.

In summary, the financial structure indicates rising debt levels alongside falling equity, which could imply increased financial risk or strategic leveraging. The increase in invested capital alongside these changes indicates ongoing commitments to assets or operations. These trends warrant further investigation into the underlying causes, such as capital expenditures, income performance, or financing activities, to comprehensively assess financial health and risk exposure.


Cost of Capital

Expedia Group Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Expedia Group Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2021 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of the financial trends over the five-year period reveals significant fluctuations in key performance indicators related to economic profitability and capital investment.

Economic Profit
The company reported negative economic profits throughout the entire period, indicating that value creation did not cover the cost of capital. The economic profit improved slightly from -1,343 million US$ in 2017 to -793 million US$ in 2019. However, in 2020, there was a profound decline to -7,947 million US$, reflecting a substantial adverse impact likely associated with extraordinary circumstances. In 2021, the economic loss narrowed considerably to -336 million US$, suggesting a partial recovery but still reflecting a lack of economic profitability.
Invested Capital
The invested capital displayed a generally increasing trend from 14,039 million US$ in 2017 to 17,498 million US$ in 2021. The values grew steadily each year except for a minor decline observed from 16,161 million US$ in 2019 to 15,765 million US$ in 2020. This indicates ongoing investment activities and expansion, with a slight reduction during the year of economic profit deterioration, followed by renewal growth.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio, which measures the return spread over the cost of capital, remained negative throughout the period. From -9.56% in 2017, it consistently improved approaching -4.91% in 2019. However, it dropped sharply to -50.41% in 2020, signaling a drastic decline in returns relative to invested capital costs. By 2021, the ratio had recovered notably to -1.92%, demonstrating an improving but still unprofitable return profile.

Overall, the data indicates that while the company maintained or increased capital investments over time, it faced significant challenges in generating returns exceeding the cost of capital. The year 2020 was notably adverse, with a sharp deterioration in economic profit and spread, likely reflecting external shocks. A recovery trend is evident in 2021, although economic profit remains negative.


Economic Profit Margin

Expedia Group Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Revenue
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue
Adjusted revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2021 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data reveals several notable trends over the analyzed periods. Adjusted revenue displayed an overall growth trend from 2017 to 2019, increasing from approximately 10.7 billion USD to nearly 13.4 billion USD. However, there was a significant decline in 2020, dropping sharply to roughly 2.5 billion USD, likely reflecting extraordinary circumstances impacting the business environment during that year. In 2021, adjusted revenue rebounded strongly to about 11.2 billion USD, approaching pre-2020 levels but still below the 2019 peak.

In terms of economic profit, the figures were consistently negative throughout the entire period, indicating losses. From 2017 to 2019, there was a gradual improvement as losses narrowed from -1.3 billion USD to less than -0.8 billion USD. Nonetheless, 2020 marked a drastic deterioration with economic profit dropping to nearly -7.9 billion USD, coinciding with the substantial revenue decline. By 2021, economic profit improved substantially, climbing back to about -0.3 billion USD, approaching the better levels seen in earlier years but still reflecting a loss.

Analyzing the economic profit margin percentage reveals similar dynamics. The margin improved moderately from -12.54% in 2017 to -5.93% in 2019. The margin then plunged dramatically in 2020 to an extremely negative value around -320.71%, highlighting the disproportionately large loss compared to revenue. By 2021, the margin recovered considerably to -3.01%, nearing the margins recorded before the downturn.

Overall Observations
The company showed growth and gradual profitability improvement through 2019, followed by a severe decline in 2020 consistent with a significant external disruption. A recovery trend was evident in 2021, with revenue and economic profitability margins rebounding significantly but not yet achieving full recovery to pre-2020 levels.
Revenue Impact
The steep drop in adjusted revenue during 2020 was the primary driver of the financial performance deterioration, underscoring sensitivity to adverse market conditions during that period.
Profitability Trends
Although economic profit remained negative across all years, the narrowing losses before 2020 and the significant recovery after illustrate capacity for improvement amidst external challenges.