Stock Analysis on Net

Expedia Group Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPE)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since May 3, 2022.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Expedia Group Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2021 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
The net operating profit after taxes shows an increasing trend from 2017 to 2019, rising from $1,026 million to $1,922 million. However, in 2020, there is a significant decline to a negative value of -$5,503 million, indicating a substantial loss during that year. The profit recovers in 2021 to $2,614 million, surpassing the 2019 profit level.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital fluctuates moderately over the five-year period, starting at 16.81% in 2017 and reaching a peak of 17.92% in 2018. It then decreases to 15.45% in 2020 before rising again to 16.8% in 2021. Overall, the cost of capital remains within a relatively narrow range around 16-18%.
Invested Capital
Invested capital shows a gradual upward trend throughout the period, increasing from $14,039 million in 2017 to $17,498 million in 2021. Despite a slight decline in 2020 to $15,765 million, the general trajectory is growth, suggesting ongoing investment in the firm’s operations or assets.
Economic Profit
Economic profit is negative in every year reported, reflecting that the company did not generate returns above its cost of capital during this period. The losses decrease in magnitude from -$1,334 million in 2017 to -$783 million in 2019, but then worsen sharply to -$7,938 million in 2020. There is a recovery in 2021 reducing the negative economic profit to -$325 million, indicating improved operational efficiency or profitability relative to capital costs.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Expedia Group Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net income (loss) attributable to Expedia Group, Inc.
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue3
Increase (decrease) in restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability4
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability6
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense7
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income9
Investment income, after taxes10
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to Expedia Group, Inc..

6 2021 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

7 2021 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to Expedia Group, Inc..

9 2021 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial data reveals significant fluctuations in profitability over the analyzed periods.

Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Expedia Group, Inc.
The company experienced positive net income from 2017 through 2019, with values steadily increasing from 378 million USD in 2017 to 565 million USD in 2019. In 2020, there was a sharp and substantial loss of 2,612 million USD, indicating a major adverse impact on profitability. The net income slightly recovered in 2021, recording a marginal profit of 12 million USD, which suggests a fragile rebound but still far below pre-2020 levels.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
This metric exhibits a similar trend to net income, with continuous growth from 1,026 million USD in 2017 to 1,922 million USD in 2019. The year 2020 marked a deep negative NOPAT of 5,503 million USD, underscoring the operational difficulties faced during this period. In 2021, there was a notable improvement with NOPAT returning to a positive figure of 2,614 million USD, surpassing pre-pandemic levels, which may reflect operational recovery and enhanced efficiency or cost management.

Overall, the data illustrates strong growth in profitability through 2019, a severe downturn in 2020 presumably linked to extraordinary circumstances, followed by partial to full recovery across key profit measures in 2021. The divergence in magnitude of loss between net income and NOPAT in 2020 highlights the scale of operational and possibly non-operational challenges during that year.


Cash Operating Taxes

Expedia Group Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Income tax expense (benefit)
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).


The analysis of the provided financial data indicates noteworthy fluctuations in the income tax expense (benefit) and cash operating taxes over the observed five-year period.

Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
The income tax expense exhibits a rising trend from 2017 through 2019, increasing from 45 million USD to 203 million USD. However, this trend reverses strongly in 2020, with the figure turning negative to -423 million USD, indicating a tax benefit rather than an expense. In 2021, the amount remains negative but with a reduced benefit of -53 million USD. This significant shift in 2020 and 2021 reflects either substantial tax credits, loss carrybacks, or other tax relief measures impacting the income tax recorded.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes increase sharply from 212 million USD in 2017 to 427 million USD in 2018, followed by a decline to 323 million USD in 2019. The downward trend continues in 2020, dropping to 142 million USD, and then slightly recovers to 167 million USD in 2021. This pattern suggests a peak in cash outflows related to taxes in 2018, with subsequent moderation likely due to operational changes or tax planning strategies.

Overall, the data reveals contrasting movements between reported income tax expense and actual cash tax payments, especially notable in 2020 when the income tax expense turns into a substantial benefit while cash taxes paid decrease markedly. This divergence may indicate changes in accounting treatment or timing differences between tax expense recognition and cash tax payments.


Invested Capital

Expedia Group Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Current maturities of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Expedia Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for expected credit losses3
Deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue4
Restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability5
Equity equivalents6
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7
Redeemable non-controlling interests
Non-redeemable non-controlling interests
Adjusted total Expedia Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity
Projects in progress8
Investments9
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue.

5 Addition of restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to total Expedia Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity.

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of projects in progress.

9 Subtraction of investments.


The presented financial data reveals several notable trends over the five-year period from 2017 to 2021.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
There is an overall increasing trend in total reported debt and leases, rising from $4,941 million in 2017 to $8,887 million by the end of 2021. Notably, the increase between 2019 ($5,589 million) and 2020 ($8,855 million) is substantial, indicating a significant rise in leverage during that period, which then stabilizes into 2021.
Total Stockholders’ Equity
Total stockholders' equity shows a declining trend over the same period. Starting at $4,522 million in 2017, it decreases somewhat gradually to $3,967 million in 2019, followed by a sharper decline to $2,532 million in 2020 and then further to $2,057 million in 2021. This decreasing equity trend suggests potential erosion of shareholder value or increased liabilities relative to assets.
Invested Capital
Invested capital remains relatively steady between 2017 and 2020, fluctuating mildly from $14,039 million in 2017 to $15,765 million in 2020. However, a noticeable increase occurs in 2021, reaching $17,498 million. This rise may reflect accumulated investments, retained earnings, or other capital inputs despite the reduction in equity.

In summary, the financial structure indicates rising debt levels alongside falling equity, which could imply increased financial risk or strategic leveraging. The increase in invested capital alongside these changes indicates ongoing commitments to assets or operations. These trends warrant further investigation into the underlying causes, such as capital expenditures, income performance, or financing activities, to comprehensively assess financial health and risk exposure.


Cost of Capital

Expedia Group Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Series A Preferred Stock ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Expedia Group Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2021 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit exhibited a fluctuating trend over the five-year period. Initially, it showed a negative value of -1334 million US dollars in 2017, decreasing in magnitude to -1235 million in 2018 and further improving to -783 million in 2019. However, 2020 saw a significant deterioration with economic profit plummeting to -7938 million, followed by a substantial recovery to -325 million in 2021. Despite the improvement in 2021, the economic profit remained negative throughout the period, indicating consistent challenges in generating value above the cost of capital.
Invested Capital
Invested capital demonstrated a general upward trajectory, starting at 14039 million US dollars in 2017 and increasing steadily through the years to 17498 million in 2021. This reflects continuous capital commitments toward business operations and growth, with a slight decrease observed in 2020 compared to 2019, possibly indicating reduced investment or asset disposals during that year before rising again in 2021.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio, which measures the return on invested capital relative to the cost of capital, was negative throughout the period, highlighting ongoing value destruction. Beginning at -9.5% in 2017, it improved marginally to -8.56% in 2018 and -4.85% in 2019, indicating a narrowing of the negative spread. However, the ratio sharply declined to -50.35% in 2020, reflecting severe underperformance, before partially recovering to -1.86% in 2021. Despite this partial recovery, the ratio remained below zero, underscoring persistent difficulties in covering the cost of capital.
Summary
Overall, the data reflects a persistent struggle to achieve positive economic profit and returns above the capital cost. While invested capital grew steadily, the sharp decline in economic profit and economic spread ratio during 2020 suggests significant challenges, likely tied to external market conditions or operational disruptions. The subsequent partial recovery in 2021 is notable but insufficient to reach profitability or positive economic margins. The company’s strategic focus may need to address improving returns on invested capital and tightening cost management to enhance economic profit going forward.

Economic Profit Margin

Expedia Group Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Revenue
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue
Adjusted revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2021 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Revenue Trends
The adjusted revenue demonstrated a rising trend from 2017 through 2019, increasing from approximately 10.7 billion USD to around 13.4 billion USD. However, there was a sharp decline in 2020 to roughly 2.5 billion USD, likely attributable to extraordinary external factors impacting the business environment. In 2021, revenue partially recovered to approximately 11.2 billion USD but did not reach pre-2020 levels.
Economic Profit Analysis
Economic profit was negative throughout the entire period, indicating that the company operated at an economic loss. From 2017 to 2019, the economic loss decreased in magnitude, improving from -1.33 billion USD to about -0.78 billion USD. The year 2020 saw a drastic worsening, with economic profit plunging to nearly -7.94 billion USD. By 2021, economic profit improved significantly, reducing the loss to approximately -0.33 billion USD.
Economic Profit Margin Insights
The economic profit margin, expressed as a percentage, followed a similar pattern to the absolute economic profit figures. Initially, the margin improved from -12.46% in 2017 to -5.86% in 2019 but deteriorated sharply in 2020, falling to -320.36%. This extremely large negative margin aligns with the sharp revenue decrease and increased economic losses that year. In 2021, the margin improved to -2.91%, signifying a move toward a more sustainable profitability level, although still negative.
Overall Observations
The data reflects significant volatility in the company's financial performance over the five-year span. A trend of gradual improvement in both revenue and economic profit from 2017 to 2019 was disrupted severely in 2020. The notable recovery in 2021, while substantial, did not fully restore the company's financial performance to previous levels. The economic loss and margin data highlight persistent challenges in achieving positive economic profitability despite recovering revenues.