Stock Analysis on Net

United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:UAL)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

United Airlines Holdings Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 4,830 2,665 (847) (7,072) 4,800
Cost of capital2 9.53% 9.45% 8.48% 10.16% 10.71%
Invested capital3 43,228 40,501 50,865 45,358 37,538
 
Economic profit4 710 (1,161) (5,158) (11,681) 780

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 4,8309.53% × 43,228 = 710

Item Description The company
Economic profit Economic profit is a measure of corporate performance computed by taking the spread between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, and multiplying by the invested capital. United Airlines Holdings Inc. economic profit increased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

United Airlines Holdings Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net income (loss) 2,618 737 (1,964) (7,069) 3,009
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 756 248 (583) (1,741) 882
Increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses2 7 (17) (50) 69 1
Increase (decrease) in frequent flyer deferred revenue3 468 393 307 699 271
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4 1,231 624 (326) (973) 1,154
Interest expense, net of interest capitalized 1,774 1,673 1,577 992 646
Interest expense, operating lease liability5 295 276 285 285 293
Adjusted interest expense, net of interest capitalized 2,069 1,949 1,862 1,277 939
Tax benefit of interest expense, net of interest capitalized6 (434) (409) (391) (268) (197)
Adjusted interest expense, net of interest capitalized, after taxes7 1,634 1,540 1,471 1,009 742
Interest income (827) (298) (36) (50) (133)
Investment income, before taxes (827) (298) (36) (50) (133)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8 174 63 8 11 28
Investment income, after taxes9 (653) (235) (28) (40) (105)
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 4,830 2,665 (847) (7,072) 4,800

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in frequent flyer deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss).

5 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 5,079 × 5.80% = 295

6 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense, net of interest capitalized = Adjusted interest expense, net of interest capitalized × Statutory income tax rate
= 2,069 × 21.00% = 434

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss).

8 2023 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 827 × 21.00% = 174

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

Item Description The company
NOPAT Net operating profit after taxes is income from operations, but after removement of taxes calculated on cash basis that are relevant to operating income. United Airlines Holdings Inc. NOPAT increased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Cash Operating Taxes

United Airlines Holdings Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Income tax expense (benefit) 769 253 (593) (1,753) 905
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) 756 248 (583) (1,741) 882
Add: Tax savings from interest expense, net of interest capitalized 434 409 391 268 197
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 174 63 8 11 28
Cash operating taxes 274 352 374 246 192

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

Item Description The company
Cash operating taxes Cash operating taxes are estimated by adjusting income tax expense for changes in deferred taxes and tax benefit from the interest deduction. United Airlines Holdings Inc. cash operating taxes decreased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Invested Capital

United Airlines Holdings Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Current maturities of long-term debt 4,018 2,911 3,002 1,911 1,407
Current maturities of finance leases 172 104 76 182 46
Long-term debt, less current portion 25,057 28,283 30,361 24,836 13,145
Long-term obligations under finance leases 91 115 219 224 220
Operating lease liability1 5,079 5,020 5,708 5,598 5,632
Total reported debt & leases 34,417 36,433 39,366 32,751 20,450
Stockholders’ equity 9,324 6,896 5,029 5,960 11,531
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 594 (91) (659) (131) 1,736
Allowance for credit losses3 18 11 28 78 9
Frequent flyer deferred revenue4 7,143 6,675 6,282 5,975 5,276
Equity equivalents5 7,755 6,595 5,651 5,922 7,021
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6 62 (175) 942 1,139 718
Adjusted stockholders’ equity 17,141 13,316 11,622 13,021 19,270
Short-term investments7 (8,330) (9,248) (123) (414) (2,182)
Invested capital 43,228 40,501 50,865 45,358 37,538

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of frequent flyer deferred revenue.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of short-term investments.

Item Description The company
Invested capital Capital is an approximation of the economic book value of all cash invested in going-concern business activities. United Airlines Holdings Inc. invested capital decreased from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly increased from 2022 to 2023.

Cost of Capital

United Airlines Holdings Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 14,922 14,922 ÷ 48,566 = 0.31 0.31 × 19.43% = 5.97%
Long-term debt and finance leases3 28,565 28,565 ÷ 48,566 = 0.59 0.59 × 6.63% × (1 – 21.00%) = 3.08%
Operating lease liability4 5,079 5,079 ÷ 48,566 = 0.10 0.10 × 5.80% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.48%
Total: 48,566 1.00 9.53%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 16,024 16,024 ÷ 50,634 = 0.32 0.32 × 19.43% = 6.15%
Long-term debt and finance leases3 29,590 29,590 ÷ 50,634 = 0.58 0.58 × 6.21% × (1 – 21.00%) = 2.87%
Operating lease liability4 5,020 5,020 ÷ 50,634 = 0.10 0.10 × 5.50% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.43%
Total: 50,634 1.00 9.45%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 15,397 15,397 ÷ 55,950 = 0.28 0.28 × 19.43% = 5.35%
Long-term debt and finance leases3 34,845 34,845 ÷ 55,950 = 0.62 0.62 × 5.54% × (1 – 21.00%) = 2.73%
Operating lease liability4 5,708 5,708 ÷ 55,950 = 0.10 0.10 × 5.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.40%
Total: 55,950 1.00 8.48%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 16,978 16,978 ÷ 50,423 = 0.34 0.34 × 19.43% = 6.54%
Long-term debt and finance leases3 27,847 27,847 ÷ 50,423 = 0.55 0.55 × 7.27% × (1 – 21.00%) = 3.17%
Operating lease liability4 5,598 5,598 ÷ 50,423 = 0.11 0.11 × 5.10% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.45%
Total: 50,423 1.00 10.16%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 17,498 17,498 ÷ 38,599 = 0.45 0.45 × 19.43% = 8.81%
Long-term debt and finance leases3 15,469 15,469 ÷ 38,599 = 0.40 0.40 × 4.11% × (1 – 21.00%) = 1.30%
Operating lease liability4 5,632 5,632 ÷ 38,599 = 0.15 0.15 × 5.20% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.60%
Total: 38,599 1.00 10.71%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

United Airlines Holdings Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 710 (1,161) (5,158) (11,681) 780
Invested capital2 43,228 40,501 50,865 45,358 37,538
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 1.64% -2.87% -10.14% -25.75% 2.08%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
FedEx Corp. -4.31% -4.05% -1.30% -6.17% -8.84%
Uber Technologies Inc. -1.50% -71.64% -20.81% -47.99% -56.47%
Union Pacific Corp. -1.39% 0.46% -0.39% -1.96% -0.57%
United Parcel Service Inc. 3.85% 15.00% 20.78% -9.28% 2.21%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 710 ÷ 43,228 = 1.64%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic spread ratio The ratio of economic profit to invested capital, also equal to the difference between return on invested capital (ROIC) and cost of capital. United Airlines Holdings Inc. economic spread ratio improved from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Economic Profit Margin

United Airlines Holdings Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 710 (1,161) (5,158) (11,681) 780
 
Operating revenue 53,717 44,955 24,634 15,355 43,259
Add: Increase (decrease) in frequent flyer deferred revenue 468 393 307 699 271
Adjusted operating revenue 54,185 45,348 24,941 16,054 43,530
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 1.31% -2.56% -20.68% -72.76% 1.79%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
FedEx Corp. -3.32% -2.88% -1.00% -5.13% -6.73%
Uber Technologies Inc. -0.63% -36.72% -19.17% -90.63% -81.71%
Union Pacific Corp. -3.55% 1.11% -1.03% -5.85% -1.50%
United Parcel Service Inc. 1.92% 6.69% 9.48% -3.64% 1.08%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted operating revenue
= 100 × 710 ÷ 54,185 = 1.31%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic profit margin The ratio of economic profit to sales. It is the company profit margin covering income efficiency and asset management. Economic profit margin is not biased in favor of capital-intensive business models, because any added capital is a cost to the economic profit margin. United Airlines Holdings Inc. economic profit margin improved from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.