Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Carnival Corp. & plc (NYSE:CCL)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since March 27, 2024.

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

Microsoft Excel

In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) is generally described as cash flows after direct costs and before any payments to capital suppliers.

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Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

Carnival Corp. & plc, free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) forecast

US$ in millions, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFFt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at
01 FCFF0
1 FCFF1 = × (1 + )
2 FCFF2 = × (1 + )
3 FCFF3 = × (1 + )
4 FCFF4 = × (1 + )
5 FCFF5 = × (1 + )
5 Terminal value (TV5) = × (1 + ) ÷ ( – )
Intrinsic value of Carnival Corp. & plc capital
Less: Debt (fair value)
Intrinsic value of Carnival Corp. & plc common stock
 
Intrinsic value of Carnival Corp. & plc common stock (per share)
Current share price

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-11-30).

1 See details »

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

Carnival Corp. & plc, cost of capital

Microsoft Excel
Value1 Weight Required rate of return2 Calculation
Equity (fair value)
Debt (fair value) = × (1 – )

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-11-30).

1 US$ in millions

   Equity (fair value) = No. shares of common stock outstanding × Current share price
= ×
=

   Debt (fair value). See details »

2 Required rate of return on equity is estimated by using CAPM. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt is after tax.

   Estimated (average) effective income tax rate
= ( + + + + + ) ÷ 6
=

WACC =

FCFF Growth Rate (g)

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

Carnival Corp. & plc, PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average Nov 30, 2023 Nov 30, 2022 Nov 30, 2021 Nov 30, 2020 Nov 30, 2019 Nov 30, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Interest expense, net of capitalized interest
Net income (loss)
 
Effective income tax rate (EITR)1
 
Interest expense, net of capitalized interest, after tax2
Add: Cash dividends declared
Interest expense (after tax) and dividends
 
EBIT(1 – EITR)3
 
Short-term borrowings
Current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Shareholders’ equity
Total capital
Financial Ratios
Retention rate (RR)4
Return on invested capital (ROIC)5
Averages
RR
ROIC
 
FCFF growth rate (g)6

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-11-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-11-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-11-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-11-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-11-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-11-30).

1 See details »

2023 Calculations

2 Interest expense, net of capitalized interest, after tax = Interest expense, net of capitalized interest × (1 – EITR)
= × (1 – )
=

3 EBIT(1 – EITR) = Net income (loss) + Interest expense, net of capitalized interest, after tax
= +
=

4 RR = [EBIT(1 – EITR) – Interest expense (after tax) and dividends] ÷ EBIT(1 – EITR)
= [ – ] ÷
=

5 ROIC = 100 × EBIT(1 – EITR) ÷ Total capital
= 100 × ÷
=

6 g = RR × ROIC
= ×
=

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Total capital, fair value0 × WACC – FCFF0) ÷ (Total capital, fair value0 + FCFF0)
= 100 × ( × – ) ÷ ( + )
=

where:

Total capital, fair value0 = current fair value of Carnival Corp. & plc debt and equity (US$ in millions)
FCFF0 = the last year Carnival Corp. & plc free cash flow to the firm (US$ in millions)
WACC = weighted average cost of Carnival Corp. & plc capital

FCFF growth rate (g) forecast

Carnival Corp. & plc, H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1
2 g2
3 g3
4 g4
5 and thereafter g5

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=

g3 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=

g4 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=