Stock Analysis on Net

Humana Inc. (NYSE:HUM)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

Economic Profit

Humana Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 2,726 3,053 3,172 3,874 3,029
Cost of capital2 7.88% 8.14% 7.65% 8.17% 8.35%
Invested capital3 30,225 29,089 30,647 21,850 18,877
 
Economic profit4 344 686 827 2,089 1,453

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 2,7267.88% × 30,225 = 344

Item Description The company
Economic profit Economic profit is a measure of corporate performance computed by taking the spread between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, and multiplying by the invested capital. Humana Inc. economic profit decreased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Humana Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net income attributable to Humana 2,489 2,806 2,933 3,367 2,707
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (164) (100) 15 195 162
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2 18 (13) 11 3 (10)
Increase (decrease) in unearned revenues3 (20) 32 (64) 71 (36)
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4 (166) (81) (38) 269 116
Interest expense 493 401 326 283 242
Interest expense, operating lease liability5 23 19 23 18 18
Adjusted interest expense 516 420 349 301 260
Tax benefit of interest expense6 (108) (88) (73) (63) (55)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7 408 332 276 238 206
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest (5) (4) 1
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 2,726 3,053 3,172 3,874 3,029

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in unearned revenues.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Humana.

5 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 593 × 3.90% = 23

6 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 516 × 21.00% = 108

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Humana.

Item Description The company
NOPAT Net operating profit after taxes is income from operations, but after removement of taxes calculated on cash basis that are relevant to operating income. Humana Inc. NOPAT decreased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Cash Operating Taxes

Humana Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Provision for income taxes 836 762 485 1,307 763
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (164) (100) 15 195 162
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 108 88 73 63 55
Cash operating taxes 1,108 950 543 1,175 656

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

Item Description The company
Cash operating taxes Cash operating taxes are estimated by adjusting income tax expense for changes in deferred taxes and tax benefit from the interest deduction. Humana Inc. cash operating taxes increased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Invested Capital

Humana Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Book overdraft 353 298 326 320 225
Short-term debt 1,443 2,092 1,953 600 699
Long-term debt 10,213 9,034 10,541 6,060 4,967
Operating lease liability1 593 608 731 484 448
Total reported debt & leases 12,602 12,032 13,551 7,464 6,339
Stockholders’ equity 16,262 15,311 16,080 13,728 12,037
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (48) 27 698 659 341
Allowance for doubtful accounts3 88 70 83 72 69
Unearned revenues4 266 286 254 318 247
Equity equivalents5 306 383 1,035 1,049 657
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6 999 1,304 (42) (391) (156)
Noncontrolling interests 56 59 23
Adjusted stockholders’ equity 17,623 17,057 17,096 14,386 12,538
Invested capital 30,225 29,089 30,647 21,850 18,877

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of unearned revenues.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

Item Description The company
Invested capital Capital is an approximation of the economic book value of all cash invested in going-concern business activities. Humana Inc. invested capital decreased from 2021 to 2022 but then increased from 2022 to 2023 not reaching 2021 level.

Cost of Capital

Humana Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 43,915 43,915 ÷ 56,332 = 0.78 0.78 × 9.08% = 7.08%
Debt3 11,824 11,824 ÷ 56,332 = 0.21 0.21 × 4.63% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.77%
Operating lease liability4 593 593 ÷ 56,332 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.90% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 56,332 1.00 7.88%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 63,199 63,199 ÷ 74,600 = 0.85 0.85 × 9.08% = 7.69%
Debt3 10,793 10,793 ÷ 74,600 = 0.14 0.14 × 3.69% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.42%
Operating lease liability4 608 608 ÷ 74,600 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.20% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 74,600 1.00 8.14%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 53,783 53,783 ÷ 68,295 = 0.79 0.79 × 9.08% = 7.15%
Debt3 13,781 13,781 ÷ 68,295 = 0.20 0.20 × 2.97% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.47%
Operating lease liability4 731 731 ÷ 68,295 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.20% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 68,295 1.00 7.65%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 48,752 48,752 ÷ 57,508 = 0.85 0.85 × 9.08% = 7.70%
Debt3 8,272 8,272 ÷ 57,508 = 0.14 0.14 × 3.90% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.44%
Operating lease liability4 484 484 ÷ 57,508 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.70% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 57,508 1.00 8.17%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 49,010 49,010 ÷ 55,899 = 0.88 0.88 × 9.08% = 7.96%
Debt3 6,441 6,441 ÷ 55,899 = 0.12 0.12 × 3.94% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.36%
Operating lease liability4 448 448 ÷ 55,899 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.10% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 55,899 1.00 8.35%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Humana Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 344 686 827 2,089 1,453
Invested capital2 30,225 29,089 30,647 21,850 18,877
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 1.14% 2.36% 2.70% 9.56% 7.70%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Abbott Laboratories -1.99% 0.22% 0.66% -2.60% -3.92%
Cigna Group -2.26% 0.78% -0.20% 2.69% -0.52%
CVS Health Corp. 0.45% -4.00% -0.02% 0.43% -0.35%
Elevance Health Inc. -1.02% -0.20% 1.08% -0.90% -0.07%
Intuitive Surgical Inc. 5.26% 4.98% 20.59% 8.58% 25.26%
Medtronic PLC -4.12% -2.88% -4.48% -3.60% -2.51%
UnitedHealth Group Inc. 5.68% 4.72% 4.58% 5.15% 5.18%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 344 ÷ 30,225 = 1.14%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic spread ratio The ratio of economic profit to invested capital, also equal to the difference between return on invested capital (ROIC) and cost of capital. Humana Inc. economic spread ratio deteriorated from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Economic Profit Margin

Humana Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 344 686 827 2,089 1,453
 
External revenues 105,305 92,488 82,877 76,001 64,387
Add: Increase (decrease) in unearned revenues (20) 32 (64) 71 (36)
Adjusted external revenues 105,285 92,520 82,813 76,072 64,351
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 0.33% 0.74% 1.00% 2.75% 2.26%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Abbott Laboratories -2.96% 0.31% 0.96% -4.54% -7.15%
Cigna Group -1.00% 0.37% -0.11% 1.58% -0.32%
CVS Health Corp. 0.17% -1.54% -0.01% 0.22% -0.19%
Elevance Health Inc. -0.42% -0.09% 0.51% -0.42% -0.04%
Intuitive Surgical Inc. 5.25% 4.30% 16.20% 8.80% 18.72%
Medtronic PLC -9.30% -6.33% -10.75% -8.86% -5.97%
UnitedHealth Group Inc. 2.82% 2.42% 2.25% 2.63% 2.53%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted external revenues
= 100 × 344 ÷ 105,285 = 0.33%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic profit margin The ratio of economic profit to sales. It is the company profit margin covering income efficiency and asset management. Economic profit margin is not biased in favor of capital-intensive business models, because any added capital is a cost to the economic profit margin. Humana Inc. economic profit margin deteriorated from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.