Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

YUM! Brands Inc. (NYSE:YUM)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since October 11, 2016.

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

Microsoft Excel

In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) is generally described as cash flows available to the equity holder after payments to debt holders and after allowing for expenditures to maintain the company asset base.

Paying user area

Try for free

YUM! Brands Inc. pages available for free this week:

The data is hidden behind: . Unhide it.

Get access

This is a one-time payment. There is no automatic renewal.

We accept:

Visa Mastercard American Express Maestro Discover JCB PayPal Apple Pay Google Pay
Visa Secure Mastercard Identity Check American Express SafeKey

Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

YUM! Brands Inc., free cash flow to equity (FCFE) forecast

US$ in millions, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFEt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at
01 FCFE0
1 FCFE1 = × (1 + )
2 FCFE2 = × (1 + )
3 FCFE3 = × (1 + )
4 FCFE4 = × (1 + )
5 FCFE5 = × (1 + )
5 Terminal value (TV5) = × (1 + ) ÷ ( – )
Intrinsic value of YUM! Brands Inc. common stock
 
Intrinsic value of YUM! Brands Inc. common stock (per share)
Current share price

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-26).

1 See details »

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.

Required Rate of Return (r)

Microsoft Excel
Assumptions
Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite1 RF
Expected rate of return on market portfolio2 E(RM)
Systematic risk of YUM! Brands Inc. common stock βYUM
 
Required rate of return on YUM! Brands Inc. common stock3 rYUM

1 Unweighted average of bid yields on all outstanding fixed-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds neither due or callable in less than 10 years (risk-free rate of return proxy).

2 See details »

3 rYUM = RF + βYUM [E(RM) – RF]
= + [ – ]
=

FCFE Growth Rate (g)

FCFE growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

YUM! Brands Inc., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average Dec 26, 2015 Dec 27, 2014 Dec 28, 2013 Dec 29, 2012 Dec 31, 2011
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Dividends declared
Net income, YUM! Brands, Inc.
Revenues
Total assets
Shareholders’ equity, YUM! Brands, Inc.
Financial Ratios
Retention rate1
Profit margin2
Asset turnover3
Financial leverage4
Averages
Retention rate
Profit margin
Asset turnover
Financial leverage
 
FCFE growth rate (g)5

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-26), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2011-12-31).

2015 Calculations

1 Retention rate = (Net income, YUM! Brands, Inc. – Dividends declared) ÷ Net income, YUM! Brands, Inc.
= ( – ) ÷
=

2 Profit margin = 100 × Net income, YUM! Brands, Inc. ÷ Revenues
= 100 × ÷
=

3 Asset turnover = Revenues ÷ Total assets
= ÷
=

4 Financial leverage = Total assets ÷ Shareholders’ equity, YUM! Brands, Inc.
= ÷
=

5 g = Retention rate × Profit margin × Asset turnover × Financial leverage
= × × ×
=

FCFE growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Equity market value0 × r – FCFE0) ÷ (Equity market value0 + FCFE0)
= 100 × ( × – ) ÷ ( + )
=

where:
Equity market value0 = current market value of YUM! Brands Inc. common stock (US$ in millions)
FCFE0 = the last year YUM! Brands Inc. free cash flow to equity (US$ in millions)
r = required rate of return on YUM! Brands Inc. common stock

FCFE growth rate (g) forecast

YUM! Brands Inc., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1
2 g2
3 g3
4 g4
5 and thereafter g5

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=

g3 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=

g4 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=