Stock Analysis on Net

Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO) 

Financial Reporting Quality: Aggregate Accruals

Microsoft Excel

Earnings can be decomposed into cash and accrual components. The accrual component (aggregate accruals) has been found to have less persistence than the cash component, and therefore (1) earnings with higher accrual component are less persistent than earnings with smaller accrual component, all else equal; and (2) the cash component of earnings should receive a higher weighting evaluating company performance.


Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio

Cisco Systems Inc., balance sheet computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Jul 27, 2024 Jul 29, 2023 Jul 30, 2022 Jul 31, 2021 Jul 25, 2020 Jul 27, 2019
Operating Assets
Total assets 124,413 101,852 94,002 97,497 94,853 97,793
Less: Cash and cash equivalents 7,508 10,123 7,079 9,175 11,809 11,750
Less: Investments 10,346 16,023 12,188 15,343 17,610 21,663
Operating assets 106,559 75,706 74,735 72,979 65,434 64,380
Operating Liabilities
Total liabilities 78,956 57,499 54,229 56,222 56,933 64,222
Less: Short-term debt 11,341 1,733 1,099 2,508 3,005 10,191
Less: Long-term debt, excluding current portion 19,621 6,658 8,416 9,018 11,578 14,475
Operating liabilities 47,994 49,108 44,714 44,696 42,350 39,556
 
Net operating assets1 58,565 26,598 30,021 28,283 23,084 24,824
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals2 31,967 (3,423) 1,738 5,199 (1,740)
Financial Ratio
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio3 75.07% -12.09% 5.96% 20.24% -7.26%
Benchmarks
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Competitors4
Apple Inc. -12.64% -9.04% -2.12% 36.09% -11.31%
Arista Networks Inc. -26.64% 17.14% 106.22% 24.14%
Dell Technologies Inc. -9.55% 12.16% -89.81% -10.71%
Super Micro Computer Inc. 105.88% 3.74% 58.35% 8.42% 20.97%
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Sector
Technology Hardware & Equipment 11.96% -6.96% -13.35% 22.01% 200.00%
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Information Technology 21.42% 8.98% 18.09% 19.16% 200.00%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-07-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-07-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-07-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-07-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-07-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-07-27).

1 2024 Calculation
Net operating assets = Operating assets – Operating liabilities
= 106,55947,994 = 58,565

2 2024 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals = Net operating assets2024 – Net operating assets2023
= 58,56526,598 = 31,967

3 2024 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio = 100 × Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × 31,967 ÷ [(58,565 + 26,598) ÷ 2] = 75.07%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Net Operating Assets
The net operating assets showed a growth trend from 23,084 million US dollars in 2020 to 30,021 million US dollars in 2022. However, in 2023, a decline to 26,598 million US dollars was observed, followed by a significant increase to 58,565 million US dollars in 2024. This sharp rise in the latest period indicates considerable changes in asset utilization or investment strategies.
Balance-Sheet-Based Aggregate Accruals
Aggregate accruals exhibited considerable volatility over the analyzed periods. In 2020, the accruals were negative at -1,740 million US dollars, turning positive in 2021 reaching 5,199 million US dollars. The figure slightly decreased but remained positive in 2022 at 1,738 million US dollars. A reversal to negative occurred in 2023 with -3,423 million US dollars, followed by an exceptional increase to 31,967 million US dollars in 2024, indicating substantial fluctuations in accrual accounting components.
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio
The accruals ratio mirrored the behavior of the aggregate accruals but expressed as a percentage relative to net operating assets. It started at -7.26% in 2020, increased dramatically to 20.24% in 2021, and then decreased to 5.96% in 2022. In 2023, it dipped to a negative ratio of -12.09%, followed by a pronounced surge to 75.07% in 2024. Such high variability and the notably elevated ratio in 2024 reflect significant changes in the proportion of accruals relative to operating assets, which may imply shifts in earnings quality or timing of revenue and expense recognition.

Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio

Cisco Systems Inc., cash flow statement computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Jul 27, 2024 Jul 29, 2023 Jul 30, 2022 Jul 31, 2021 Jul 25, 2020 Jul 27, 2019
Net income 10,320 12,613 11,812 10,591 11,214 11,621
Less: Net cash provided by operating activities 10,880 19,886 13,226 15,454 15,426 15,831
Less: Net cash (used in) provided by investing activities (20,478) (5,107) 1,553 (5,285) 3,500 14,837
Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals 19,918 (2,166) (2,967) 422 (7,712) (19,047)
Financial Ratio
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio1 46.78% -7.65% -10.18% 1.64% -32.20%
Benchmarks
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Competitors2
Apple Inc. -25.90% -14.62% 0.00% 4.86% -20.46%
Arista Networks Inc. 82.06% 36.37% 52.90% 147.50%
Dell Technologies Inc. -15.65% 11.23% -20.97% -17.42%
Super Micro Computer Inc. 98.99% 0.89% 56.84% 5.08% 19.76%
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Sector
Technology Hardware & Equipment -2.79% -10.03% -4.10% -0.72% -32.83%
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Information Technology 6.29% 1.46% 2.91% 8.62% -15.54%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-07-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-07-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-07-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-07-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-07-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-07-27).

1 2024 Calculation
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio = 100 × Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × 19,918 ÷ [(58,565 + 26,598) ÷ 2] = 46.78%

2 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Net Operating Assets
The net operating assets exhibited an overall increasing trend over the five-year period. Starting at approximately 23,084 million USD in 2020, the value rose steadily to 28,283 million USD in 2021 and further to 30,021 million USD in 2022. However, there was a slight decline observed in 2023, dropping to 26,598 million USD. This was followed by a significant surge in 2024, reaching 58,565 million USD, which is the highest value recorded during the period. This pattern suggests a considerable expansion in the company's operational asset base in the most recent year.
Cash-flow-statement-based Aggregate Accruals
The aggregate accruals demonstrated notable volatility across the years. The figure was negative in 2020 at -7,712 million USD, indicating a potential reduction in accruals or adjustments against cash flows. In 2021, the number sharply shifted to a positive value of 422 million USD, representing a reversal of the prior trend. Subsequently, the accruals reverted back to negative values in 2022 and 2023, at -2,967 million USD and -2,166 million USD respectively. In 2024, the accruals again reversed dramatically, reaching a substantially positive figure of 19,918 million USD. The fluctuations suggest significant changes in the accounting accruals component in relation to the cash flow statement, particularly with the extraordinary jump in 2024.
Cash-flow-statement-based Accruals Ratio
The accruals ratio, expressed as a percentage, closely mirrors the volatility seen in aggregate accruals. Beginning at -32.2% in 2020, the ratio then rose markedly to a positive 1.64% in 2021. This improvement was followed by a decline into negative territory, with -10.18% in 2022 and -7.65% in 2023. The year 2024 again saw a pronounced positive shift to 46.78%, indicating a high proportion of accruals relative to cash flows. This sharp increase in the final period may signal changes in earnings quality or accounting policy impacting the relationship between accruals and cash flows.