Stock Analysis on Net

T-Mobile US Inc. (NASDAQ:TMUS)

Stock Price Trends


Summary

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 48.71% per annum.
  • TMUS price at the close of March 28, 2025 was $264.93 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 70.89% per annum.
  • TMUS price at the close of March 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of TMUS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: June 2, 2023
End date: March 28, 2025

a = 3.5392

b = 0.0011

s = 0.0516

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0011) – 1
= 48.71%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0516) – 1
= 22.91%

June 2, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y800)
= Exp(a + b × X800 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,159 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5392 + 0.0011 × 1,159 + 2 × 0.0516)
= Exp(4.9023)
= $134.59

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y800)
= Exp(a + b × X800 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,159 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5392 + 0.0011 × 1,159 – 2 × 0.0516)
= Exp(4.6960)
= $109.51

March 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5392 + 0.0011 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0516)
= Exp(5.6252)
= $277.33

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5392 + 0.0011 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0516)
= Exp(5.4189)
= $225.63

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 48.71% per annum.
  • TMUS price at the close of March 28, 2025 was $264.93 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: March 18, 2024
End date: March 28, 2025

a = 2.9053

b = 0.0015

s = 0.0445

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0015) – 1
= 70.89%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0445) – 1
= 19.46%

March 18, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y998)
= Exp(a + b × X998 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,449 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9053 + 0.0015 × 1,449 + 2 × 0.0445)
= Exp(5.1215)
= $167.58

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y998)
= Exp(a + b × X998 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,449 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9053 + 0.0015 × 1,449 – 2 × 0.0445)
= Exp(4.9436)
= $140.28

March 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9053 + 0.0015 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0445)
= Exp(5.6720)
= $290.62

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9053 + 0.0015 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0445)
= Exp(5.4942)
= $243.27

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 70.89% per annum.
  • TMUS price at the close of March 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Stock Price Trends
  • Discover a new approach to trend analysis.
  • Check the power of mathematical statistics.
  • Price channels have never been so accurately estimated.

Check out TMUS and 1,499 other stocks on our new website