Stock Analysis on Net

Chevron Corp. (NYSE:CVX)

Financial Reporting Quality: Aggregate Accruals 

Microsoft Excel

Earnings can be decomposed into cash and accrual components. The accrual component (aggregate accruals) has been found to have less persistence than the cash component, and therefore (1) earnings with higher accrual component are less persistent than earnings with smaller accrual component, all else equal; and (2) the cash component of earnings should receive a higher weighting evaluating company performance.


Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio

Chevron Corp., balance sheet computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in millions

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Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Operating Assets
Total assets 256,938 261,632 257,709 239,535 239,790
Less: Cash and cash equivalents 6,781 8,178 17,678 5,640 5,596
Less: Time deposits 4
Less: Marketable securities 45 223 35 31
Operating assets 250,153 253,409 239,808 233,860 234,163
Operating Liabilities
Total liabilities 103,781 99,703 97,467 99,595 107,064
Less: Short-term debt 4,406 529 1,964 256 1,548
Less: Long-term debt, excluding debt due within one year 20,135 20,307 21,375 31,113 42,767
Operating liabilities 79,240 78,867 74,128 68,226 62,749
 
Net operating assets1 170,913 174,542 165,680 165,634 171,414
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals2 (3,629) 8,862 46 (5,780)
Financial Ratio
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio3 -2.10% 5.21% 0.03% -3.43%
Benchmarks
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Competitors4
ConocoPhillips 29.59% 10.61% -5.86% 44.50%
Exxon Mobil Corp. 26.07% 3.91% -1.19% -4.87%
Occidental Petroleum Corp. 18.30% -0.56% 3.65% -11.15%
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Sector
Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels 17.00% 4.71% -0.84% -0.16%
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Energy 16.21% 4.84% -0.61% -0.16%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 2024 Calculation
Net operating assets = Operating assets – Operating liabilities
= 250,15379,240 = 170,913

2 2024 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals = Net operating assets2024 – Net operating assets2023
= 170,913174,542 = -3,629

3 2024 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio = 100 × Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × -3,629 ÷ [(170,913 + 174,542) ÷ 2] = -2.10%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of the annual financial reporting quality measures reveals fluctuating trends over the four-year period ending in 2024.

Net Operating Assets
Net operating assets demonstrated a generally increasing pattern from 2021 to 2023, rising from 165,634 million US dollars to 174,542 million US dollars. However, a slight decline is observed in 2024, where the figure decreased to 170,913 million US dollars. This indicates a peak in asset accumulation in 2023 followed by a moderation in the following year.
Balance-Sheet-Based Aggregate Accruals
This measure shows considerable volatility over the period. In 2021, there was a negative value of -5,780 million US dollars, minimal positive accruals in 2022 at 46 million US dollars, followed by a substantial increase to 8,862 million US dollars in 2023. The year 2024 saw a reversal back into negative territory at -3,629 million US dollars. Such fluctuations suggest varying levels of earnings management or operational adjustments affecting accruals.
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio
The accruals ratio, expressed as a percentage, mirrors the aggregate accruals' volatility. It started with a negative ratio of -3.43% in 2021, barely positive at 0.03% in 2022, sharply increasing to 5.21% in 2023, and again declining to -2.1% in 2024. The sharp increase in 2023 potentially indicates increased accruals relative to net operating assets, which may affect the quality of earnings. The subsequent decline in 2024 suggests a return to lower or negative accrual levels relative to operating assets.

In summary, the data suggest a period marked by significant shifts in accrual-based measures, highlighting potential changes in earnings quality or operational dynamics over the four years. The peak in accruals and accrual ratio in 2023 followed by a decline in 2024 could warrant further investigation into the underlying operational or accounting events during these years.


Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio

Chevron Corp., cash flow statement computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in millions

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Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income (loss) attributable to Chevron Corporation 17,661 21,369 35,465 15,625 (5,543)
Less: Net cash provided by operating activities 31,492 35,609 49,602 29,187 10,577
Less: Net cash used for investing activities (8,936) (15,232) (12,108) (5,865) (6,965)
Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals (4,895) 992 (2,029) (7,697) (9,155)
Financial Ratio
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio1 -2.83% 0.58% -1.22% -4.57%
Benchmarks
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Competitors2
ConocoPhillips 0.37% 5.11% -1.56% -0.78%
Exxon Mobil Corp. -0.55% -0.04% -2.93% -6.69%
Occidental Petroleum Corp. 11.03% -1.30% 2.84% -13.52%
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Sector
Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels -0.02% 0.66% -1.62% -6.08%
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Energy 0.15% 0.69% -1.32% -6.12%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 2024 Calculation
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio = 100 × Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × -4,895 ÷ [(170,913 + 174,542) ÷ 2] = -2.83%

2 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of the financial reporting quality measures over the four-year period reveals several notable trends.

Net operating assets
The net operating assets increased marginally from 165,634 million US dollars in 2021 to 165,680 million US dollars in 2022, indicating stability during that period. A more noticeable rise occurred in 2023, reaching 174,542 million US dollars, suggesting expansion or accumulation of operating assets. The figure then slightly decreased in 2024 to 170,913 million US dollars, which may reflect some asset disposition or revaluation but still remains higher than the initial years.
Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals
This measure showed considerable volatility over the time span. In 2021, the aggregate accruals were significantly negative at -7,697 million US dollars, indicating a large disconnect between earnings and cash flows, which decreased in magnitude to -2,029 million in 2022. Interestingly, in 2023, the accruals turned positive at 992 million US dollars, suggesting a reversal or correction in accrual accounting. However, in 2024, they reverted to negative at -4,895 million US dollars, implying renewed divergence between accruals and cash flows. This fluctuation suggests variability in earnings quality or timing differences in cash recognition.
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio
The accruals ratio aligns with the pattern of aggregate accruals, starting at -4.57% in 2021, moving closer to zero at -1.22% in 2022, and becoming positive at 0.58% in 2023. By 2024, it declined again to -2.83%. The movement of this ratio toward zero suggests temporary improvement in the quality of earnings relative to cash flows in 2022 and 2023, but the drop in 2024 indicates a reversal back to poorer alignment. The negative values generally indicate that accruals reduce the quality of earnings due to higher estimated non-cash components.

Overall, the trends indicate relative stability in operating asset levels with some growth in 2023, while the accrual figures and related ratios show fluctuations that may affect the consistency of earnings quality. The oscillations in accruals suggest that careful attention should be paid to the underlying accounting policies or external factors influencing revenue and expense recognition timing during this period.