Economic Value Added (EVA)
EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.
Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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- Income Statement
- Statement of Comprehensive Income
- Common-Size Balance Sheet: Assets
- Analysis of Liquidity Ratios
- Analysis of Reportable Segments
- Selected Financial Data since 2011
- Current Ratio since 2011
- Price to Earnings (P/E) since 2011
- Price to Book Value (P/BV) since 2011
- Price to Sales (P/S) since 2011
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Economic Profit
Marathon Petroleum Corp., economic profit calculation
US$ in millions
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
The analysis of the financial data reveals notable fluctuations and trends across the five-year period from 2019 to 2023.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT exhibited significant volatility during the period. Starting at $6,182 million in 2019, it sharply declined to a negative $10,978 million in 2020. Subsequently, it recovered to approximately the same level as 2019 in 2021 at $6,187 million, followed by a substantial increase to $17,951 million in 2022. However, in 2023, NOPAT decreased to $10,783 million, indicating a partial retreat from the peak observed in 2022.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital demonstrated a consistent upward trend over the five years, rising steadily from 11.62% in 2019 to 15.04% in 2023. This steady increase suggests a gradual rise in the company's required rate of return, potentially reflecting changing market conditions or increased perceived risk.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital showed a general decline from $82,004 million in 2019 to $63,897 million in 2023. There was a slight reduction each year, with a minor uptick in 2022 to $69,547 million before falling again in 2023. This trend indicates a gradual contraction or more efficient use of capital employed in the business.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit, which measures value creation over and above the cost of capital, was negative in 2019 and 2020, with a marked deepening of losses in 2020 totaling -$19,172 million. The figure improved significantly in 2021 to a loss of -$2,217 million and turned positive in 2022 at $7,557 million, indicating value creation. In 2023, economic profit declined but remained positive at $1,174 million, suggesting that despite reduced profitability compared to 2022, the company continued to generate economic value.
Overall, the company experienced a challenging period in 2020 with negative profitability and value destruction, followed by a recovery phase in subsequent years. The rising cost of capital imposes higher hurdles for returns, while invested capital has generally decreased, possibly reflecting strategic adjustments. The positive economic profit in recent years suggests improved operational efficiency and profitability exceeding the cost of capital, albeit with some decline from peak performance in 2022.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Marathon Petroleum Corp., NOPAT calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring reserve.
5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to MPC.
6 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
7 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense, net of interest capitalized = Adjusted interest expense, net of interest capitalized × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to MPC.
9 2023 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
11 Elimination of discontinued operations.
The analyzed financial data reveals significant fluctuations in key profitability indicators over the five-year period ending December 31, 2023.
- Net Income (Loss) Attributable to MPC
- Net income exhibited pronounced volatility. The figure fell from a positive $2,637 million in 2019 to a substantial loss of $9,826 million in 2020, indicating a severe downturn, likely driven by adverse market or operational factors during that year. Recovery occurred in 2021 with net income rising sharply to $9,738 million, surpassing the 2019 level. This upward momentum continued into 2022, reaching a peak of $14,516 million, followed by a decline in 2023 to $9,681 million. Overall, the net income reflected substantial cyclical variation, with a drastic loss followed by strong recovery and subsequent moderation.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT mirrored the pattern shown by net income, experiencing a significant negative shift in 2020 where it dropped to -$10,978 million from $6,182 million in 2019. The following years saw a robust recovery with NOPAT increasing to $6,187 million in 2021, nearly returning to the 2019 level, and then peaking at $17,951 million in 2022, which notably exceeded prior peaks in both net income and NOPAT. In 2023, NOPAT decreased to $10,783 million, indicating a moderation but remaining well above pre-2020 levels.
These trends suggest that the company was affected by a significant adverse event or market condition in 2020 leading to large losses and negative operating profit. However, the subsequent two years showed a robust rebound and profitability expansion beyond pre-2020 figures, implying possible operational improvements or favorable market conditions. The slight decline in both net income and NOPAT in 2023 could indicate some normalization or emerging challenges following exceptional performance in 2022.
Cash Operating Taxes
Marathon Petroleum Corp., cash operating taxes calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
- Income Tax Provision (Benefit)
- The income tax provision experienced significant volatility over the analyzed period. It started with a positive provision of 1,074 million USD at the end of 2019, followed by a substantial tax benefit of -2,430 million USD in 2020, indicating a reversal or tax credit situation. In 2021, the provision reverted to a modest positive value of 264 million USD. A notable increase occurred in 2022, reaching 4,491 million USD, before declining to 2,817 million USD at the end of 2023. This pattern suggests considerable fluctuations in taxable income or tax planning strategies leading to large swings in tax expense provisions.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes mirrored the overall trend of the income tax provision but with more pronounced changes. The 2019 figure stood at 324 million USD, then sharply decreased to a cash inflow (negative tax payment) of -1,899 million USD in 2020, reflecting adjustments or refunds. In 2021, cash taxes surged to 705 million USD, climbed dramatically to 4,421 million USD in 2022—the peak value in the period—and subsequently dropped to 3,010 million USD in 2023. These fluctuations align with variations in operational profitability and tax settlement timings, indicating an erratic but generally increasing cash tax burden post-2020.
Invested Capital
Marathon Petroleum Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »
5 Addition of restructuring reserve.
6 Addition of equity equivalents to total MPC stockholders’ equity.
7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
8 Subtraction of short-term investments.
The financial data reveals several key trends in the capital structure and investment base over the five-year period ending in 2023.
- Total reported debt & leases
- The total reported debt and leases experienced some fluctuations. Initially, it increased from 31,317 million USD in 2019 to a peak of 33,095 million USD in 2020. This was followed by a notable decline in 2021 to 26,904 million USD. Subsequently, a moderate rise occurred over the next two years, reaching 28,501 million USD in 2023. Overall, the debt levels show some volatility but remained below the 2019 level by the end of 2023.
- Total MPC stockholders’ equity
- Stockholders’ equity showed a declining trend over the period. Starting at 33,694 million USD in 2019, equity sharply decreased to 22,199 million USD in 2020. Although it buoyantly recovered to 26,206 million USD in 2021 and further increased to 27,715 million USD in 2022, equity declined again to 24,404 million USD in 2023. Despite recovery attempts, equity in 2023 remained significantly below the 2019 level, indicating possible challenges affecting retained earnings or other components of equity.
- Invested capital
- The invested capital consistently trended downward from 82,004 million USD in 2019 to 63,897 million USD in 2023, with intermediate fluctuations. It dropped to 70,186 million USD in 2020 and further to 63,579 million USD in 2021. A recovery occurred in 2022, reaching 69,547 million USD, followed by a decline again to 63,897 million USD in 2023. This pattern suggests variability in capital investment levels or changes in capital employed over the timeframe.
In summary, the data indicates that the company experienced a general reduction in invested capital and equity levels over the five years, paired with fluctuating debt levels that ultimately ended slightly below the initial value. The changes in equity and invested capital might reflect operational or strategic adjustments impacting the capital structure.
Cost of Capital
Marathon Petroleum Corp., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Marathon Petroleum Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| Chevron Corp. | ||||||
| ConocoPhillips | ||||||
| Exxon Mobil Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit Trends
- The economic profit exhibited a fluctuating pattern over the analyzed periods. It started with a negative value of -3,344 million USD, deepened substantially to -19,172 million USD in the following year, indicating significant losses. Subsequently, there was an improvement in 2021 with a reduction in losses to -2,217 million USD. In 2022, there was a notable positive turnaround to 7,557 million USD, suggesting improved profitability. However, in 2023, the economic profit decreased again to 1,174 million USD, maintaining positivity but indicating some decline in profitability relative to the previous year.
- Invested Capital Dynamics
- The invested capital showed a downward trend overall with some fluctuations. It started at 82,004 million USD and declined to 70,186 million USD in 2020. The capital further decreased to 63,579 million USD in 2021, indicating a reduction in the asset base or capital employed. There was a partial recovery in 2022, rising to 69,547 million USD, followed by another decrease to 63,897 million USD in 2023. This suggests a strategic adjustment or changes in capital allocation over the years.
- Economic Spread Ratio Behavior
- The economic spread ratio mirrored the trend in economic profit, starting from a negative -4.08% in 2019 and sharply declining to -27.32% in 2020, reflecting worsening returns relative to cost of capital. In 2021, the economic spread ratio improved to -3.49%, indicating a narrowing of the negative spread. The most significant change occurred in 2022 when the ratio turned positive to 10.87%, highlighting a period of strong economic returns. In 2023, the ratio declined to 1.84%, remaining positive but showing reduced economic profitability compared to the prior year.
Economic Profit Margin
Marathon Petroleum Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Sales and other operating revenues | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| Chevron Corp. | ||||||
| ConocoPhillips | ||||||
| Exxon Mobil Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Sales and other operating revenues
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Sales and Other Operating Revenues
- The sales and operating revenues displayed significant volatility over the five-year period. Revenues decreased markedly from about $124 billion in 2019 to approximately $69.8 billion in 2020, reflecting a sharp downturn. This was followed by a robust recovery in 2021, pushing revenues back near the 2019 level at approximately $120 billion. The upward trend accelerated further in 2022, reaching a peak of about $177.5 billion. However, in 2023, revenues declined to around $148.4 billion, indicating some contraction but still remaining above pre-2020 levels.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit figures exhibited a considerable degree of fluctuation alongside the revenue changes. In 2019, the economic profit was negative at approximately -$3.3 billion, which drastically worsened in 2020 to nearly -$19.2 billion, aligning with the significant revenue drop that year. Improvement occurred in 2021 as economic profit approached -$2.2 billion, showing a recovery trend. In 2022, economic profit became positive, reaching about $7.6 billion, suggesting enhanced profitability and operational efficiency. However, this positive momentum weakened in 2023 with economic profit declining but remaining above zero at roughly $1.2 billion.
- Economic Profit Margin
- The economic profit margin mirrored the swings in profitability, starting at -2.7% in 2019 and deteriorating substantially to -27.48% in 2020, indicative of very low profitability or losses relative to sales. A gradual recovery took place in 2021 as the margin improved to -1.85%. By 2022, the margin turned positive at 4.26%, reflecting the company's successful transition to generating economic profit relative to sales. In 2023, the margin decreased to 0.79%, still positive but signaling a reduction in the profitability ratio relative to sales compared to the prior year.
- Overall Trends and Insights
- The data indicates that the company experienced a severe downturn in both revenue and economic profit during 2020, likely related to external economic or industry-specific challenges. From 2021 onward, both revenues and profitability metrics showed significant recovery, with 2022 marking a peak in operating scale and positive economic profit margins. The subsequent decline in 2023 suggests some reversal or moderation in performance gains but the company maintained a positive economic profit and margin, indicating sustainability of the recovery at a lower scale. The trends highlight substantial volatility with eventual recovery, signaling resilience but also exposure to variable market conditions.