Economic Value Added (EVA)
EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.
Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Marathon Petroleum Corp. pages available for free this week:
- Balance Sheet: Assets
- Common-Size Income Statement
- Common-Size Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
- Analysis of Profitability Ratios
- Analysis of Short-term (Operating) Activity Ratios
- DuPont Analysis: Disaggregation of ROE, ROA, and Net Profit Margin
- Present Value of Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
- Return on Equity (ROE) since 2011
- Current Ratio since 2011
- Debt to Equity since 2011
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Economic Profit
Marathon Petroleum Corp., economic profit calculation
US$ in millions
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- The net operating profit after taxes showed significant volatility over the analyzed period. Starting at $6,182 million, it declined sharply in 2020 resulting in a negative figure of -$10,978 million. The subsequent years exhibited a marked recovery, with NOPAT returning to positive levels in 2021 at $6,187 million, peaking in 2022 at $17,951 million before decreasing again in 2023 to $10,783 million. This pattern suggests the company faced considerable operational challenges in 2020 but managed to restore profitability in the following years, although the profit in 2023 did not sustain the 2022 peak.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital demonstrated a consistent upward trend, increasing from 11.6% in 2019 to 15.02% in 2023. This steady rise indicates growing costs related to financing the invested capital, which could reflect changes in market conditions, increased risk perceptions, or shifts in the company’s capital structure over time.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital showed a general downward trend with fluctuations: beginning at $82,004 million in 2019, it decreased to $70,186 million in 2020 and further to $63,579 million in 2021. There was a rebound in 2022 to $69,547 million, followed by another decline to $63,897 million in 2023. This trend may indicate divestments, asset sales, or reduced capital expenditures, with a brief increase in 2022 suggesting some reinvestment or acquisition activities during that year.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit, which reflects value creation above the cost of capital, was negative for the first three years, showing -$3,333 million in 2019 and worsening considerably to -$19,162 million in 2020 and -$2,206 million in 2021. Notably, this metric turned positive in 2022 with $7,571 million, indicating strong value creation that year but decreased to a modest $1,187 million in 2023. The trajectory of economic profit aligns with the trends observed in NOPAT and invested capital, suggesting that the company’s value generation capacity improved significantly post-2020 but faced pressure again in the most recent year.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Marathon Petroleum Corp., NOPAT calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring reserve.
5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to MPC.
6 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
7 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense, net of interest capitalized = Adjusted interest expense, net of interest capitalized × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to MPC.
9 2023 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
11 Elimination of discontinued operations.
The analyzed financial data reveals significant fluctuations in key profitability indicators over the five-year period ending December 31, 2023.
- Net Income (Loss) Attributable to MPC
- Net income exhibited pronounced volatility. The figure fell from a positive $2,637 million in 2019 to a substantial loss of $9,826 million in 2020, indicating a severe downturn, likely driven by adverse market or operational factors during that year. Recovery occurred in 2021 with net income rising sharply to $9,738 million, surpassing the 2019 level. This upward momentum continued into 2022, reaching a peak of $14,516 million, followed by a decline in 2023 to $9,681 million. Overall, the net income reflected substantial cyclical variation, with a drastic loss followed by strong recovery and subsequent moderation.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT mirrored the pattern shown by net income, experiencing a significant negative shift in 2020 where it dropped to -$10,978 million from $6,182 million in 2019. The following years saw a robust recovery with NOPAT increasing to $6,187 million in 2021, nearly returning to the 2019 level, and then peaking at $17,951 million in 2022, which notably exceeded prior peaks in both net income and NOPAT. In 2023, NOPAT decreased to $10,783 million, indicating a moderation but remaining well above pre-2020 levels.
These trends suggest that the company was affected by a significant adverse event or market condition in 2020 leading to large losses and negative operating profit. However, the subsequent two years showed a robust rebound and profitability expansion beyond pre-2020 figures, implying possible operational improvements or favorable market conditions. The slight decline in both net income and NOPAT in 2023 could indicate some normalization or emerging challenges following exceptional performance in 2022.
Cash Operating Taxes
Marathon Petroleum Corp., cash operating taxes calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
- Income Tax Provision (Benefit)
- The income tax provision experienced significant volatility over the analyzed period. It started with a positive provision of 1,074 million USD at the end of 2019, followed by a substantial tax benefit of -2,430 million USD in 2020, indicating a reversal or tax credit situation. In 2021, the provision reverted to a modest positive value of 264 million USD. A notable increase occurred in 2022, reaching 4,491 million USD, before declining to 2,817 million USD at the end of 2023. This pattern suggests considerable fluctuations in taxable income or tax planning strategies leading to large swings in tax expense provisions.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes mirrored the overall trend of the income tax provision but with more pronounced changes. The 2019 figure stood at 324 million USD, then sharply decreased to a cash inflow (negative tax payment) of -1,899 million USD in 2020, reflecting adjustments or refunds. In 2021, cash taxes surged to 705 million USD, climbed dramatically to 4,421 million USD in 2022—the peak value in the period—and subsequently dropped to 3,010 million USD in 2023. These fluctuations align with variations in operational profitability and tax settlement timings, indicating an erratic but generally increasing cash tax burden post-2020.
Invested Capital
Marathon Petroleum Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »
5 Addition of restructuring reserve.
6 Addition of equity equivalents to total MPC stockholders’ equity.
7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
8 Subtraction of short-term investments.
The financial data reveals several key trends in the capital structure and investment base over the five-year period ending in 2023.
- Total reported debt & leases
- The total reported debt and leases experienced some fluctuations. Initially, it increased from 31,317 million USD in 2019 to a peak of 33,095 million USD in 2020. This was followed by a notable decline in 2021 to 26,904 million USD. Subsequently, a moderate rise occurred over the next two years, reaching 28,501 million USD in 2023. Overall, the debt levels show some volatility but remained below the 2019 level by the end of 2023.
- Total MPC stockholders’ equity
- Stockholders’ equity showed a declining trend over the period. Starting at 33,694 million USD in 2019, equity sharply decreased to 22,199 million USD in 2020. Although it buoyantly recovered to 26,206 million USD in 2021 and further increased to 27,715 million USD in 2022, equity declined again to 24,404 million USD in 2023. Despite recovery attempts, equity in 2023 remained significantly below the 2019 level, indicating possible challenges affecting retained earnings or other components of equity.
- Invested capital
- The invested capital consistently trended downward from 82,004 million USD in 2019 to 63,897 million USD in 2023, with intermediate fluctuations. It dropped to 70,186 million USD in 2020 and further to 63,579 million USD in 2021. A recovery occurred in 2022, reaching 69,547 million USD, followed by a decline again to 63,897 million USD in 2023. This pattern suggests variability in capital investment levels or changes in capital employed over the timeframe.
In summary, the data indicates that the company experienced a general reduction in invested capital and equity levels over the five years, paired with fluctuating debt levels that ultimately ended slightly below the initial value. The changes in equity and invested capital might reflect operational or strategic adjustments impacting the capital structure.
Cost of Capital
Marathon Petroleum Corp., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Marathon Petroleum Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| Chevron Corp. | ||||||
| ConocoPhillips | ||||||
| Exxon Mobil Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The financial analysis over the five-year period reveals significant fluctuations in key performance indicators, notably economic profit, invested capital, and economic spread ratio.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit exhibited a marked deterioration from 2019 to 2020, declining sharply from -$3,333 million to -$19,162 million. This suggests a substantial decrease in value creation during 2020. However, there was a strong recovery in 2021, where the economic loss was reduced to -$2,206 million. In 2022, economic profit turned positive, reaching $7,571 million, indicating a significant improvement in profitability and value generation. In 2023, economic profit decreased again but remained positive at $1,187 million, showing some consolidation after the peak in the previous year.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital demonstrated a general declining trend over the period. Starting at $82,004 million in 2019, it decreased in 2020 and continued to decline through 2021 to $63,579 million. There was a moderate increase in 2022 to $69,547 million, followed by another decrease to $63,897 million in 2023. This overall downward trend in invested capital could reflect asset divestitures, efficiency improvements, or shifts in strategic investment policy.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio, reflecting the relationship between return on invested capital and cost of capital, showed considerable volatility. It was negative throughout 2019 (-4.06%) and dropped further in 2020 to -27.3%, indicating returns substantially below the cost of capital. A recovery phase began in 2021 with the ratio improving to -3.47%. In 2022, the ratio became strongly positive at 10.89%, underlying the improvement in economic profit for that year. In 2023, it moderated to 1.86%, still positive but showing a reduction from the previous year's high.
In summary, the period under review is characterized by a sharp economic downturn in 2020, with considerable losses and negative economic spreads, followed by a gradual recovery starting in 2021. The peak in economic profitability and spread ratio in 2022 indicates a favorable shift in operational efficiency or market conditions. Meanwhile, invested capital steadily decreased, which may correspond to strategic realignments or capital management efforts. The positive economic profit and spread ratio in 2023, although diminished from the 2022 peak, suggest sustained but cautious progress.
Economic Profit Margin
Marathon Petroleum Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Sales and other operating revenues | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| Chevron Corp. | ||||||
| ConocoPhillips | ||||||
| Exxon Mobil Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Sales and other operating revenues
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The financial data reveals notable fluctuations in economic profit and sales performance over the analyzed periods. The company's economic profit demonstrated considerable volatility, beginning with a negative value of -3,333 million USD at the end of 2019 and worsening significantly in 2020 to -19,162 million USD. This sharp decline was followed by a recovery in 2021, with economic profit improving to -2,206 million USD and then turning positive in 2022 with 7,571 million USD. However, in 2023, the economic profit decreased somewhat to 1,187 million USD, indicating some challenges in maintaining the upward trend.
Sales and other operating revenues also displayed significant variability. After reaching nearly 124 billion USD at the end of 2019, revenues dropped sharply in 2020 to approximately 69.8 billion USD. This decline could reflect adverse market conditions or operational disruptions during that year. The subsequent years saw a strong rebound, with revenues climbing to nearly 120 billion USD in 2021 and peaking at 177.5 billion USD in 2022. Nevertheless, 2023 recorded a decrease in revenues to about 148.4 billion USD, suggesting a correction or a reduction in demand or prices.
The economic profit margin, expressed as a percentage, mirrored the trends observed in economic profit. It was negative and deteriorated drastically from -2.69% in 2019 to -27.46% in 2020, highlighting poor profitability relative to sales. A recovery occurred in 2021 when the margin improved to -1.84%, turning positive in 2022 with 4.27%, signifying increased profitability and operational efficiency. The margin declined to 0.8% in 2023, suggesting decreased profitability compared to the previous year but remaining in positive territory.
Overall, the data suggests that the company faced challenging economic conditions in 2020, impacting both profitability and revenues. The rebound in 2021 and 2022 indicates successful recovery efforts and improved financial performance. However, the declines observed in 2023 warn of potential risks or market pressures that could affect future earnings and operational results. Continuous monitoring of these trends will be important for evaluating ongoing financial health and strategic adjustments.
- Economic Profit Trends
- Volatile with a significant downturn in 2020 followed by recovery and eventual slight decline in 2023.
- Sales and Operating Revenues Trends
- Sharp drop in 2020, strong recovery in 2021 and peak in 2022, with a moderate decline in 2023.
- Economic Profit Margin Trends
- Negative and worsened substantially in 2020; recovery and positive margins achieved in 2022; slight decrease in profitability margin in 2023.