Stock Analysis on Net

Salesforce Inc. (NYSE:CRM)

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

Microsoft Excel

Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

Salesforce Inc., free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) forecast

US$ in millions, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFFt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at 17.18%
01 FCFF0 12,628
1 FCFF1 13,125 = 12,628 × (1 + 3.93%) 11,200
2 FCFF2 13,906 = 13,125 × (1 + 5.96%) 10,127
3 FCFF3 15,016 = 13,906 × (1 + 7.98%) 9,332
4 FCFF4 16,517 = 15,016 × (1 + 10.00%) 8,760
5 FCFF5 18,503 = 16,517 × (1 + 12.02%) 8,375
5 Terminal value (TV5) 401,849 = 18,503 × (1 + 12.02%) ÷ (17.18%12.02%) 181,875
Intrinsic value of Salesforce Inc. capital 229,670
Less: Debt and finance lease liabilities (fair value) 7,278
Intrinsic value of Salesforce Inc. common stock 222,392
 
Intrinsic value of Salesforce Inc. common stock (per share) $231.42
Current share price $277.81

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-01-31).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.


Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

Salesforce Inc., cost of capital

Microsoft Excel
Value1 Weight Required rate of return2 Calculation
Equity (fair value) 266,975 0.97 17.60%
Debt and finance lease liabilities (fair value) 7,278 0.03 1.80% = 2.78% × (1 – 35.08%)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-01-31).

1 US$ in millions

   Equity (fair value) = No. shares of common stock outstanding × Current share price
= 961,000,000 × $277.81
= $266,975,410,000.00

   Debt and finance lease liabilities (fair value). See details »

2 Required rate of return on equity is estimated by using CAPM. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt is after tax.

   Estimated (average) effective income tax rate
= (16.68% + 16.44% + 68.48% + 5.74% + 21.00% + 82.15%) ÷ 6
= 35.08%

WACC = 17.18%


FCFF Growth Rate (g)

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

Salesforce Inc., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average Jan 31, 2025 Jan 31, 2024 Jan 31, 2023 Jan 31, 2022 Jan 31, 2021 Jan 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Interest expense 272 283 300 221 125 130
Net income 6,197 4,136 208 1,444 4,072 126
 
Effective income tax rate (EITR)1 16.68% 16.44% 68.48% 5.74% 21.00% 82.15%
 
Interest expense, after tax2 227 236 95 208 99 23
Add: Cash dividends declared 1,549
Interest expense (after tax) and dividends 1,776 236 95 208 99 23
 
EBIT(1 – EITR)3 6,424 4,372 303 1,652 4,171 149
 
Finance lease liabilities, current 337 372 257 114 35 53
Debt, current 999 1,182 4 4 4
Noncurrent debt, excluding current portion 8,433 8,427 9,419 10,592 2,673 2,673
Noncurrent finance lease liabilities 341 602 534 271 93 332
Stockholders’ equity 61,173 59,646 58,359 58,131 41,493 33,885
Total capital 70,284 70,046 69,751 69,112 44,298 36,947
Financial Ratios
Retention rate (RR)4 0.72 0.95 0.69 0.87 0.98 0.84
Return on invested capital (ROIC)5 9.14% 6.24% 0.43% 2.39% 9.42% 0.40%
Averages
RR 0.84
ROIC 4.67%
 
FCFF growth rate (g)6 3.93%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31).

1 See details »

2025 Calculations

2 Interest expense, after tax = Interest expense × (1 – EITR)
= 272 × (1 – 16.68%)
= 227

3 EBIT(1 – EITR) = Net income + Interest expense, after tax
= 6,197 + 227
= 6,424

4 RR = [EBIT(1 – EITR) – Interest expense (after tax) and dividends] ÷ EBIT(1 – EITR)
= [6,4241,776] ÷ 6,424
= 0.72

5 ROIC = 100 × EBIT(1 – EITR) ÷ Total capital
= 100 × 6,424 ÷ 70,284
= 9.14%

6 g = RR × ROIC
= 0.84 × 4.67%
= 3.93%


FCFF growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Total capital, fair value0 × WACC – FCFF0) ÷ (Total capital, fair value0 + FCFF0)
= 100 × (274,253 × 17.18%12,628) ÷ (274,253 + 12,628)
= 12.02%

where:

Total capital, fair value0 = current fair value of Salesforce Inc. debt and equity (US$ in millions)
FCFF0 = the last year Salesforce Inc. free cash flow to the firm (US$ in millions)
WACC = weighted average cost of Salesforce Inc. capital


FCFF growth rate (g) forecast

Salesforce Inc., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1 3.93%
2 g2 5.96%
3 g3 7.98%
4 g4 10.00%
5 and thereafter g5 12.02%

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpolation between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 3.93% + (12.02%3.93%) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 5.96%

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 3.93% + (12.02%3.93%) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 7.98%

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 3.93% + (12.02%3.93%) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 10.00%