Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Palo Alto Networks Inc. (NASDAQ:PANW)

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

Microsoft Excel

Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

Palo Alto Networks Inc., free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) forecast

US$ in millions, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFFt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at 18.17%
01 FCFF0 4,113
1 FCFF1 4,479 = 4,113 × (1 + 8.91%) 3,791
2 FCFF2 4,966 = 4,479 × (1 + 10.86%) 3,556
3 FCFF3 5,602 = 4,966 × (1 + 12.81%) 3,395
4 FCFF4 6,429 = 5,602 × (1 + 14.77%) 3,298
5 FCFF5 7,504 = 6,429 × (1 + 16.72%) 3,257
5 Terminal value (TV5) 605,052 = 7,504 × (1 + 16.72%) ÷ (18.17% – 16.72%) 262,622
Intrinsic value of Palo Alto Networks Inc. capital 279,920
Less: Convertible senior notes (fair value) 1,774
Intrinsic value of Palo Alto Networks Inc. common stock 278,146
 
Intrinsic value of Palo Alto Networks Inc. common stock (per share) $340.03
Current share price $403.24

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-07-31).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.


Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

Palo Alto Networks Inc., cost of capital

Microsoft Excel
Value1 Weight Required rate of return2 Calculation
Equity (fair value) 329,850 0.99 18.26%
Convertible senior notes (fair value) 1,774 0.01 0.00% = 0.00% × (1 – 22.86%)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-07-31).

1 US$ in millions

   Equity (fair value) = No. shares of common stock outstanding × Current share price
= 818,000,000 × $403.24
= $329,850,320,000.00

   Convertible senior notes (fair value). See details »

2 Required rate of return on equity is estimated by using CAPM. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt is after tax.

   Estimated (average) effective income tax rate
= (42.70% + 28.90% + 21.00% + 22.40% + 21.00% + 21.00%) ÷ 6
= 22.86%

WACC = 18.17%


FCFF Growth Rate (g)

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

Palo Alto Networks Inc., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average Jul 31, 2026 Jul 31, 2025 Jul 31, 2024 Jul 31, 2023 Jul 31, 2022 Jul 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Interest expense — 3 8 27 27 163
Net income (loss) 307 1,134 2,578 440 (267) (499)
 
Effective income tax rate (EITR)1 42.70% 28.90% 21.00% 22.40% 21.00% 21.00%
 
Interest expense, after tax2 — 2 7 21 22 129
Interest expense (after tax) and dividends — 2 7 21 22 129
 
EBIT(1 – EITR)3 307 1,136 2,584 461 (245) (370)
 
Short-term convertible senior notes — — 964 1,992 3,677 1,558
Long-term convertible senior notes 1,774 — — — — 1,668
Stockholders’ equity 27,492 7,824 5,170 1,748 210 635
Total capital 29,266 7,824 6,134 3,740 3,887 3,861
Financial Ratios
Retention rate (RR)4 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.95 — —
Return on invested capital (ROIC)5 1.05% 14.52% 42.13% 12.32% -6.31% -9.58%
Averages
RR 0.99
ROIC 9.02%
 
FCFF growth rate (g)6 8.91%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-07-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-07-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-07-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-07-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-07-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-07-31).

1 See details »

2026 Calculations

2 Interest expense, after tax = Interest expense × (1 – EITR)
= 0 × (1 – 42.70%)
= 0

3 EBIT(1 – EITR) = Net income (loss) + Interest expense, after tax
= 307 + 0
= 307

4 RR = [EBIT(1 – EITR) – Interest expense (after tax) and dividends] ÷ EBIT(1 – EITR)
= [307 – 0] ÷ 307
= 1.00

5 ROIC = 100 × EBIT(1 – EITR) ÷ Total capital
= 100 × 307 ÷ 29,266
= 1.05%

6 g = RR × ROIC
= 0.99 × 9.02%
= 8.91%


FCFF growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Total capital, fair value0 × WACC – FCFF0) ÷ (Total capital, fair value0 + FCFF0)
= 100 × (331,624 × 18.17% – 4,113) ÷ (331,624 + 4,113)
= 16.72%

where:

Total capital, fair value0 = current fair value of Palo Alto Networks Inc. debt and equity (US$ in millions)
FCFF0 = the last year Palo Alto Networks Inc. free cash flow to the firm (US$ in millions)
WACC = weighted average cost of Palo Alto Networks Inc. capital


FCFF growth rate (g) forecast

Palo Alto Networks Inc., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1 8.91%
2 g2 10.86%
3 g3 12.81%
4 g4 14.77%
5 and thereafter g5 16.72%

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpolation between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 8.91% + (16.72% – 8.91%) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 10.86%

g3 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 8.91% + (16.72% – 8.91%) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 12.81%

g4 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 8.91% + (16.72% – 8.91%) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 14.77%