Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Palo Alto Networks Inc. (NASDAQ:PANW)

$24.99

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

Microsoft Excel

In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) is generally described as cash flows after direct costs and before any payments to capital suppliers.

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Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

Palo Alto Networks Inc., free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) forecast

US$ in thousands, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFFt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at
01 FCFF0
1 FCFF1 = × (1 + )
2 FCFF2 = × (1 + )
3 FCFF3 = × (1 + )
4 FCFF4 = × (1 + )
5 FCFF5 = × (1 + )
5 Terminal value (TV5) = × (1 + ) ÷ ( – )
Intrinsic value of Palo Alto Networks Inc. capital
Less: Convertible Senior Notes (fair value)
Intrinsic value of Palo Alto Networks Inc. common stock
 
Intrinsic value of Palo Alto Networks Inc. common stock (per share)
Current share price

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-07-31).

1 See details »

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

Palo Alto Networks Inc., cost of capital

Microsoft Excel
Value1 Weight Required rate of return2 Calculation
Equity (fair value)
Convertible Senior Notes (fair value) = × (1 – )

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-07-31).

1 US$ in thousands

   Equity (fair value) = No. shares of common stock outstanding × Current share price
= ×
=

   Convertible Senior Notes (fair value). See details »

2 Required rate of return on equity is estimated by using CAPM. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt is after tax.

   Estimated (average) effective income tax rate
= ( + + + + + ) ÷ 6
=

WACC =

FCFF Growth Rate (g)

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

Palo Alto Networks Inc., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average Jul 31, 2024 Jul 31, 2023 Jul 31, 2022 Jul 31, 2021 Jul 31, 2020 Jul 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Interest expense
Net income (loss)
 
Effective income tax rate (EITR)1
 
Interest expense, after tax2
Interest expense (after tax) and dividends
 
EBIT(1 – EITR)3
 
Current portion of convertible senior notes, net
Convertible senior notes, net, excluding current portion
Stockholders’ equity
Total capital
Financial Ratios
Retention rate (RR)4
Return on invested capital (ROIC)5
Averages
RR
ROIC
 
FCFF growth rate (g)6

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-07-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-07-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-07-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-07-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-07-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-07-31).

1 See details »

2024 Calculations

2 Interest expense, after tax = Interest expense × (1 – EITR)
= × (1 – )
=

3 EBIT(1 – EITR) = Net income (loss) + Interest expense, after tax
= +
=

4 RR = [EBIT(1 – EITR) – Interest expense (after tax) and dividends] ÷ EBIT(1 – EITR)
= [ – ] ÷
=

5 ROIC = 100 × EBIT(1 – EITR) ÷ Total capital
= 100 × ÷
=

6 g = RR × ROIC
= ×
=

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Total capital, fair value0 × WACC – FCFF0) ÷ (Total capital, fair value0 + FCFF0)
= 100 × ( × – ) ÷ ( + )
=

where:

Total capital, fair value0 = current fair value of Palo Alto Networks Inc. debt and equity (US$ in thousands)
FCFF0 = the last year Palo Alto Networks Inc. free cash flow to the firm (US$ in thousands)
WACC = weighted average cost of Palo Alto Networks Inc. capital

FCFF growth rate (g) forecast

Palo Alto Networks Inc., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1
2 g2
3 g3
4 g4
5 and thereafter g5

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=

g3 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=

g4 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=