Stock Analysis on Net

Time Warner Inc. (NYSE:TWX)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since April 26, 2018.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Time Warner Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2017 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT exhibits slight fluctuations over the observed period. It starts at 5,150 million USD in 2013, increases marginally to 5,167 million USD in 2014, but then declines to 4,751 million USD in 2015. It recovers somewhat with increases to 4,943 million USD in 2016 and 5,040 million USD in 2017. Overall, the NOPAT remains in a relatively narrow range, showing some volatility but no substantial growth trend.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remains relatively stable, fluctuating slightly around 11% throughout the period. It starts at 11.21% in 2013, sees a minor increase to 11.23% in 2014, decreases to 10.66% in 2015, then rises again to 11.31% in 2016, and slightly decreases to 11.26% in 2017. These variations suggest a relatively consistent capital cost environment with minor yearly adjustments.
Invested Capital
Invested capital shows a downward trend from 56,262 million USD in 2013 to 52,455 million USD in 2014. It then rises moderately to 53,163 million USD in 2015, followed by continuous increases to 54,961 million USD in 2016 and 57,150 million USD in 2017. This indicates an initial reduction in capital invested, succeeded by a steady increase over the subsequent years, potentially reflecting changes in asset allocation or capital investment strategies.
Economic Profit
Economic profit remains negative throughout the observed period, indicating that the returns generated do not cover the cost of capital. It starts with a loss of 1,157 million USD in 2013, improves slightly to -724 million USD in 2014, then deteriorates to -915 million USD in 2015. The negative values deepen further to -1,274 million USD in 2016 and -1,398 million USD in 2017. This worsening economic profit trend signals increasing value destruction despite relatively stable NOPAT and invested capital figures.
Summary Insights
The data reveals a company maintaining stable operating profit levels against a backdrop of steady cost of capital. Invested capital experiences an initial decrease followed by growth. However, economic profit consistently remains negative and shows a deteriorating trend, suggesting that the company’s returns fail to meet its capital costs and that value creation is lacking or declining during these years. This trend merits further investigation into operational efficiency, capital allocation, and potential strategic adjustments.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Time Warner Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Net income attributable to Time Warner Inc. shareholders
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue3
Increase (decrease) in accrued restructuring and severance costs4
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability6
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense7
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income9
Investment income, after taxes10
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax11
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued restructuring and severance costs.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Time Warner Inc. shareholders.

6 2017 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

7 2017 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 35.00% =

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Time Warner Inc. shareholders.

9 2017 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 35.00% =

10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

11 Elimination of discontinued operations.


Net Income Attributable to Time Warner Inc. Shareholders
A consistent upward trend in net income is observable over the five-year period. Starting at $3,691 million in 2013, net income increased marginally each year, reaching $3,927 million in 2016. A notable rise occurred in 2017, with net income sharply increasing to $5,247 million, indicating a significant enhancement in profitability in that year.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT shows a relatively stable but slightly fluctuating pattern. From $5,150 million in 2013, it increased slightly to $5,167 million in 2014, followed by a decline to $4,751 million in 2015. The figure then recovered somewhat in 2016 and 2017, reaching $5,040 million by the end of 2017. Overall, NOPAT remained within a narrow range, suggesting moderate operational profit stability with some variation over the years.
Comparative Observations
While net income demonstrated a robust growth trajectory, especially in the final year, NOPAT displayed greater stability but without a clear upward trend. The divergence between the increasing net income and relatively stable NOPAT in the last year might indicate changes in non-operating factors such as financing activities, tax adjustments, or other income components contributing positively to net income.

Cash Operating Taxes

Time Warner Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Current and deferred income taxes provided on Income from continuing operations
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).


Current and Deferred Income Taxes on Income from Continuing Operations
The amount of current and deferred income taxes provided on income from continuing operations exhibited a fluctuating trend over the five-year period. In 2013, the value was 1,749 million US dollars, which decreased significantly to 785 million in 2014. It then increased again to 1,651 million in 2015, followed by a decline to 1,281 million in 2016. By the end of 2017, this measure further dropped to 701 million US dollars, marking the lowest point in the observed range. Overall, the data suggest variability with no clear upward or downward long-term trend, but a general reduction from the starting value.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes showed a more consistent upward trend compared to the income taxes provided on continuing operations. Starting at 1,442 million US dollars in 2013, there was a notable increase to 1,048 million in 2014, which appears to be a decline; however, the following years reversed this pattern with values rising to 1,757 million in 2015 and then slightly decreasing to 1,465 million in 2016. The amount surged substantially in 2017 to 2,078 million US dollars, representing the highest value within the period. This trend indicates growing cash tax liabilities over time, with some minor fluctuations in the middle years.
Comparison Insights
Comparing both tax-related measures reveals divergent patterns: while current and deferred income taxes showed a volatile yet generally declining trend, cash operating taxes tended to increase, especially markedly in the final year. This divergence may indicate changes in tax accounting, timing differences, or shifts in taxable income and cash tax payment obligations across the reporting years.

Invested Capital

Time Warner Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Debt due within one year
Long-term debt, excluding due within one year
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Time Warner Inc. shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for doubtful accounts3
Deferred revenue4
Accrued restructuring and severance costs5
Equity equivalents6
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7
Redeemable noncontrolling interest
Noncontrolling interest
Adjusted total Time Warner Inc. shareholders’ equity
Construction in progress8
Marketable securities9
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue.

5 Addition of accrued restructuring and severance costs.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to total Time Warner Inc. shareholders’ equity.

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of construction in progress.

9 Subtraction of marketable securities.


Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibited a generally increasing trend from 2013 to 2016, rising from $21,765 million to $25,355 million. However, in 2017, there was a slight decrease to $24,720 million. This indicates an overall growth in debt commitments over the period, with a minor reduction in the final year.
Total Time Warner Inc. Shareholders’ Equity
Shareholders’ equity showed a declining trend from 2013 through 2015, decreasing from $29,904 million to $23,619 million. In 2016, the equity slightly increased to $24,335 million and further rebounded more significantly in 2017 to $28,375 million. This pattern suggests a period of equity contraction followed by recovery toward the end of the analyzed timeframe.
Invested Capital
Invested capital declined from $56,262 million in 2013 to $52,455 million in 2014, followed by a modest increase in subsequent years, reaching $57,150 million in 2017. The leveling and eventual rise in invested capital imply a stabilization and renewed investment activities after an initial drop.
Overall Observations
Over the five-year period, the company’s financial structure demonstrated changes characterized by an initial increase in debt and decrease in equity and invested capital, followed by a stabilization and partial recovery. The reduction in shareholders’ equity between 2013 and 2015 could be indicative of challenges faced, while the subsequent increases in equity and invested capital suggest restored confidence and investment. The relatively stable debt levels near the end of the period highlight a controlled leverage approach.

Cost of Capital

Time Warner Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Time Warner Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Alphabet Inc.
Comcast Corp.
Meta Platforms Inc.
Netflix Inc.
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc.
Walt Disney Co.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2017 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit displayed a negative trend over the five-year period from 2013 to 2017. Although it improved in 2014 compared to 2013, reducing the loss from -1,157 million to -724 million US dollars, this improvement was not sustained. From 2015 onwards, economic profit deteriorated again, reaching -1,398 million US dollars in 2017, the lowest point in the observed timeframe.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed a generally increasing trend over the analyzed years. Starting from 56,262 million US dollars in 2013, it decreased slightly in 2014 and 2015, reaching a low of 52,455 million in 2014. However, from 2015 onwards, invested capital steadily increased, peaking at 57,150 million US dollars in 2017.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio remained negative throughout the period, reflecting a consistent shortfall in returns relative to the cost of capital. The ratio improved slightly in 2014 (-1.38%) compared to 2013 (-2.06%), but then declined steadily from 2015 to 2017. By 2017, the economic spread ratio reached its lowest point at -2.45%, indicating a widening negative spread and increasing inefficiency in value creation.
Summary
Overall, the data indicates that the company experienced persistent challenges in generating positive economic profit over the period. Despite fluctuations, the economic profit remained negative each year, deteriorating towards the end of the period. At the same time, invested capital increased moderately, signaling expanding asset base or commitments. The economic spread ratio's consistent negativity and downward trend imply that returns on invested capital failed to cover the cost of capital, worsening over time. This combination suggests declining economic value creation despite greater capital investment.

Economic Profit Margin

Time Warner Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Revenues
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue
Adjusted revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Alphabet Inc.
Comcast Corp.
Meta Platforms Inc.
Netflix Inc.
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc.
Walt Disney Co.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2017 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Adjusted Revenues
Adjusted revenues displayed a general upward trend from 2013 to 2017. Starting at 29,738 million US dollars in 2013, revenues dipped slightly in 2014 to 27,360 million US dollars but recovered in subsequent years. By 2017, adjusted revenues reached 31,400 million US dollars, indicating growth after an initial decline.
Economic Profit
Economic profit remained negative across all five years, highlighting persistent challenges in value creation. Although there was an improvement from -1,157 million US dollars in 2013 to -724 million in 2014, the economic profit deteriorated again in later years, falling to -1,398 million by the end of 2017. This suggests that despite revenue increases, profitability pressures intensified.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin followed a similar pattern to economic profit, being negative throughout the period. Margins improved from -3.89% in 2013 to -2.65% in 2014 but worsened progressively thereafter, dropping to -4.45% in 2017. The decline after 2014 indicates increasing inefficiencies or cost pressures relative to revenues.
Summary
Overall, the data reveals growth in revenue but a consistent struggle to generate positive economic profit. The initial improvement in economic profit and margin in 2014 was not sustained, with both metrics deteriorating over the last three years. This trend suggests that rising revenues were not sufficient to overcome underlying cost or capital challenges, leading to sustained negative economic profitability.