Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA)

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Present Value of Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

Microsoft Excel

In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) is generally described as cash flows available to the equity holder after payments to debt holders and after allowing for expenditures to maintain the company asset base.

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Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

NVIDIA Corp., free cash flow to equity (FCFE) forecast

US$ in millions, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFEt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at
01 FCFE0
1 FCFE1 = × (1 + )
2 FCFE2 = × (1 + )
3 FCFE3 = × (1 + )
4 FCFE4 = × (1 + )
5 FCFE5 = × (1 + )
5 Terminal value (TV5) = × (1 + ) ÷ ( – )
Intrinsic value of NVIDIA Corp. common stock
 
Intrinsic value of NVIDIA Corp. common stock (per share)
Current share price

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-28).

1 See details »

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.

Required Rate of Return (r)

Microsoft Excel
Assumptions
Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite1 RF
Expected rate of return on market portfolio2 E(RM)
Systematic risk of NVIDIA Corp. common stock βNVDA
 
Required rate of return on NVIDIA Corp. common stock3 rNVDA

1 Unweighted average of bid yields on all outstanding fixed-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds neither due or callable in less than 10 years (risk-free rate of return proxy).

2 See details »

3 rNVDA = RF + βNVDA [E(RM) – RF]
= + [ – ]
=

FCFE Growth Rate (g)

FCFE growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

NVIDIA Corp., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average Jan 28, 2024 Jan 29, 2023 Jan 30, 2022 Jan 31, 2021 Jan 26, 2020 Jan 27, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Cash dividends declared and paid
Net income
Revenue
Total assets
Shareholders’ equity
Financial Ratios
Retention rate1
Profit margin2
Asset turnover3
Financial leverage4
Averages
Retention rate
Profit margin
Asset turnover
Financial leverage
 
FCFE growth rate (g)5

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-26), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-01-27).

2024 Calculations

1 Retention rate = (Net income – Cash dividends declared and paid) ÷ Net income
= ( – ) ÷
=

2 Profit margin = 100 × Net income ÷ Revenue
= 100 × ÷
=

3 Asset turnover = Revenue ÷ Total assets
= ÷
=

4 Financial leverage = Total assets ÷ Shareholders’ equity
= ÷
=

5 g = Retention rate × Profit margin × Asset turnover × Financial leverage
= × × ×
=

FCFE growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Equity market value0 × r – FCFE0) ÷ (Equity market value0 + FCFE0)
= 100 × ( × – ) ÷ ( + )
=

where:
Equity market value0 = current market value of NVIDIA Corp. common stock (US$ in millions)
FCFE0 = the last year NVIDIA Corp. free cash flow to equity (US$ in millions)
r = required rate of return on NVIDIA Corp. common stock

FCFE growth rate (g) forecast

NVIDIA Corp., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1
2 g2
3 g3
4 g4
5 and thereafter g5

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=

g3 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=

g4 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=