In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) is generally described as cash flows available to the equity holder after payments to debt holders and after allowing for expenditures to maintain the company asset base.
Paying user area
Try for free
Johnson Controls International plc pages available for free this week:
- Income Statement
- Statement of Comprehensive Income
- Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
- Common-Size Income Statement
- Analysis of Solvency Ratios
- Analysis of Reportable Segments
- Common Stock Valuation Ratios
- Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)
- Return on Equity (ROE) since 2005
- Aggregate Accruals
The data is hidden behind: . Unhide it.
Get full access to the entire website from $10.42/mo, or
get 1-month access to Johnson Controls International plc for $22.49.
This is a one-time payment. There is no automatic renewal.
We accept:
Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)
Johnson Controls International plc, free cash flow to equity (FCFE) forecast
US$ in millions, except per share data
Year | Value | FCFEt or Terminal value (TVt) | Calculation | Present value at |
---|---|---|---|---|
01 | FCFE0 | |||
1 | FCFE1 | = × (1 + ) | ||
2 | FCFE2 | = × (1 + ) | ||
3 | FCFE3 | = × (1 + ) | ||
4 | FCFE4 | = × (1 + ) | ||
5 | FCFE5 | = × (1 + ) | ||
5 | Terminal value (TV5) | = × (1 + ) ÷ ( – ) | ||
Intrinsic value of Johnson Controls International plc common stock | ||||
Intrinsic value of Johnson Controls International plc common stock (per share) | ||||
Current share price |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30).
Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.
Required Rate of Return (r)
Assumptions | ||
Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite1 | RF | |
Expected rate of return on market portfolio2 | E(RM) | |
Systematic risk of Johnson Controls International plc common stock | βJCI | |
Required rate of return on Johnson Controls International plc common stock3 | rJCI |
1 Unweighted average of bid yields on all outstanding fixed-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds neither due or callable in less than 10 years (risk-free rate of return proxy).
3 rJCI = RF + βJCI [E(RM) – RF]
= + [ – ]
=
FCFE Growth Rate (g)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30).
2023 Calculations
1 Retention rate = (Net income attributable to Johnson Controls – Cash dividends declared) ÷ Net income attributable to Johnson Controls
= ( – ) ÷
=
2 Profit margin = 100 × Net income attributable to Johnson Controls ÷ Net sales
= 100 × ÷
=
3 Asset turnover = Net sales ÷ Total assets
= ÷
=
4 Financial leverage = Total assets ÷ Shareholders’ equity attributable to Johnson Controls
= ÷
=
5 g = Retention rate × Profit margin × Asset turnover × Financial leverage
= × × ×
=
FCFE growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model
g = 100 × (Equity market value0 × r – FCFE0) ÷ (Equity market value0 + FCFE0)
= 100 × ( × – ) ÷ ( + )
=
where:
Equity market value0 = current market value of Johnson Controls International plc common stock (US$ in millions)
FCFE0 = the last year Johnson Controls International plc free cash flow to equity (US$ in millions)
r = required rate of return on Johnson Controls International plc common stock
Year | Value | gt |
---|---|---|
1 | g1 | |
2 | g2 | |
3 | g3 | |
4 | g4 | |
5 and thereafter | g5 |
where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5
Calculations
g2 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=
g3 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=
g4 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=