Stock Analysis on Net

Merck & Co. Inc. (NYSE:MRK)

Financial Reporting Quality: Aggregate Accruals 

Microsoft Excel

Earnings can be decomposed into cash and accrual components. The accrual component (aggregate accruals) has been found to have less persistence than the cash component, and therefore (1) earnings with higher accrual component are less persistent than earnings with smaller accrual component, all else equal; and (2) the cash component of earnings should receive a higher weighting evaluating company performance.


Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio

Merck & Co. Inc., balance sheet computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in millions

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Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Operating Assets
Total assets 117,106 106,675 109,160 105,694 91,588
Less: Cash and cash equivalents 13,242 6,841 12,694 8,096 8,062
Less: Short-term investments 447 252 498
Operating assets 103,417 99,582 95,968 97,598 83,526
Operating Liabilities
Total liabilities 70,734 69,040 63,102 67,437 66,184
Less: Loans payable and current portion of long-term debt 2,649 1,372 1,946 2,412 6,431
Less: Long-term debt, excluding current portion 34,462 33,683 28,745 30,690 25,360
Operating liabilities 33,623 33,985 32,411 34,335 34,393
 
Net operating assets1 69,794 65,597 63,557 63,263 49,133
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals2 4,197 2,040 294 14,130
Financial Ratio
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio3 6.20% 3.16% 0.46% 25.14%
Benchmarks
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Competitors4
AbbVie Inc. 13.10% -22.39% -14.27% -9.69%
Amgen Inc. -10.36% 57.08% 4.07% 0.70%
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. -3.21% -7.12% -3.86% -13.40%
Danaher Corp. -3.94% 3.48% -1.55% 16.41%
Eli Lilly & Co. 29.18% 28.84% 11.38% 16.60%
Gilead Sciences Inc. -11.79% 1.04% -2.92% -2.34%
Johnson & Johnson 10.61% -21.13% 19.84% 3.75%
Pfizer Inc. -11.48% 30.66% 24.95% -7.11%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. 25.51% 1.17% 11.07% 43.54%
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. 2.28% 4.96% -1.78% 43.38%
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. 42.13% 61.24% 14.07% 18.20%
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Sector
Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences 1.64% 7.36% 4.84% 6.18%
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Health Care 5.49% 7.80% 5.29% 5.94%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 2024 Calculation
Net operating assets = Operating assets – Operating liabilities
= 103,41733,623 = 69,794

2 2024 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals = Net operating assets2024 – Net operating assets2023
= 69,79465,597 = 4,197

3 2024 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio = 100 × Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × 4,197 ÷ [(69,794 + 65,597) ÷ 2] = 6.20%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The annual financial reporting quality measures exhibit the following notable trends over the period from December 31, 2021, to December 31, 2024.

Net Operating Assets
There is a steady upward trend in net operating assets, increasing consistently each year. Starting at 63,263 million US dollars in 2021, the figure rises slightly to 63,557 million in 2022, followed by a more pronounced increase to 65,597 million in 2023, and further to 69,794 million in 2024. This indicates expanding asset utilization or investment in operations over the years.
Balance-sheet-based Aggregate Accruals
This metric shows significant fluctuations rather than a consistent trend. It begins at a high level of 14,130 million US dollars in 2021 but then drops sharply to 294 million in 2022. Subsequently, it increases again to 2,040 million in 2023 and doubles to 4,197 million by 2024. Such variability indicates changes in the timing differences between earnings and cash flows, which may have implications for earnings quality in these periods.
Balance-sheet-based Accruals Ratio
The accruals ratio mirrors the pattern observed in aggregate accruals but expressed as a percentage of net operating assets. After a high ratio of 25.14% in 2021, there is a sharp decrease to 0.46% in 2022. The ratio then rises to 3.16% in 2023 and further increases to 6.2% in 2024. These fluctuations suggest variations in accrual accounting relative to the size of operating assets, potentially reflecting changes in accounting policies, operational conditions, or earnings management practices.

Overall, while net operating assets show consistent growth, the balance-sheet-based accruals and their ratio depict considerable volatility, especially between 2021 and 2022, followed by a gradual increase in the latter years. The sharp drop and subsequent rise in accruals-related measures warrant closer examination to understand the underlying causes and their impact on financial reporting quality.


Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio

Merck & Co. Inc., cash flow statement computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in millions

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Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income attributable to Merck & Co., Inc. 17,117 365 14,519 13,049 7,067
Less: Net cash provided by operating activities 21,468 13,006 19,095 13,122 10,253
Less: Net cash used in investing activities (7,734) (14,083) (4,960) (16,421) (9,443)
Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals 3,383 1,442 384 16,348 6,257
Financial Ratio
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio1 5.00% 2.23% 0.61% 29.09%
Benchmarks
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Competitors2
AbbVie Inc. 10.32% -24.89% -16.25% -10.28%
Amgen Inc. -11.16% 52.47% 8.81% -12.87%
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. -4.97% -5.99% -9.10% -12.73%
Danaher Corp. -1.25% 8.20% 1.44% 18.48%
Eli Lilly & Co. 28.52% 28.13% 10.32% 5.30%
Gilead Sciences Inc. -18.05% -0.19% -4.95% -4.86%
Johnson & Johnson 10.58% 13.66% 10.78% 8.23%
Pfizer Inc. -5.24% 19.96% 18.46% 13.18%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. 12.04% 14.35% 18.61% 49.24%
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. 4.71% 3.80% -0.06% 34.69%
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. 43.34% 62.03% -14.45% 1.38%
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Sector
Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences 2.07% 9.68% 2.52% 8.19%
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Health Care 4.00% 8.59% 4.25% 7.53%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 2024 Calculation
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio = 100 × Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × 3,383 ÷ [(69,794 + 65,597) ÷ 2] = 5.00%

2 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The data reveals notable fluctuations and trends in the financial measures over the four-year period. The net operating assets demonstrate a consistent upward trajectory, indicating growth in the company's operating asset base. Specifically, this figure increased steadily from 63,263 million US dollars at the end of 2021 to 69,794 million dollars by the close of 2024, suggesting incremental investment or accumulation of operating assets.

The cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals show considerable variability. After a significant decrease from 16,348 million dollars in 2021 to 384 million dollars in 2022, the measure rebounded to 1,442 million dollars in 2023 and further increased to 3,383 million dollars in 2024. This pattern suggests a sharp correction or adjustment in accruals after 2021, followed by a gradual rise, which may reflect changes in accounting estimates, revenue recognition, or expense matching over the recent years.

Examining the cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio reveals a similar trend, though expressed in percentage terms relative to the operating assets. This ratio dramatically declined from 29.09% in 2021 to 0.61% in 2022, indicating that accruals became a much smaller component of cash flow relative to net operating assets. Subsequently, the ratio increased to 2.23% in 2023 and to 5% in 2024, demonstrating a partial reversal, though it remained well below the initial 2021 level.

Net Operating Assets
Consistent growth over the entire period, increasing by approximately 10.3% from 2021 to 2024. This steady rise may reflect expansion or asset acquisition.
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Aggregate Accruals
Sharp drop between 2021 and 2022, followed by a progressive increase through 2024. The initial high value in 2021 may have signaled elevated accrual activity, which moderated significantly in subsequent years before rising again.
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio
Mirrors the pattern of aggregate accruals but positioned relative to net operating assets. The ratio’s steep fall after 2021 implies a reduced reliance or recognition of accruals in the company's cash flows, with a partial recovery thereafter, though still far below the starting point.

Overall, the analysis suggests the company experienced a period of high accruals relative to operating assets in 2021, which subsequently normalized. The growth in net operating assets alongside rising but controlled accruals might indicate a strengthening asset base with more stable financial reporting quality in terms of accrual management during the latter years.