Stock Analysis on Net

Autodesk Inc. (NASDAQ:ADSK)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

Economic Profit

Autodesk Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Jan 31, 2024 Jan 31, 2023 Jan 31, 2022 Jan 31, 2021 Jan 31, 2020 Jan 31, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 493 1,402 970 833 1,197 41
Cost of capital2 17.37% 17.28% 17.03% 17.55% 16.98% 17.31%
Invested capital3 7,325 7,372 6,835 5,723 5,535 4,412
 
Economic profit4 (779) 128 (194) (172) 257 (723)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-01-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 49317.37% × 7,325 = -779

Item Description The company
Economic profit Economic profit is a measure of corporate performance computed by taking the spread between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, and multiplying by the invested capital. Autodesk Inc. economic profit increased from 2022 to 2023 but then decreased significantly from 2023 to 2024.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Autodesk Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Jan 31, 2024 Jan 31, 2023 Jan 31, 2022 Jan 31, 2021 Jan 31, 2020 Jan 31, 2019
Net income (loss) 906 823 497 1,208 215 (81)
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (83) (275) (17) (778) 13 (12)
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2 (1) 1 (1)
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue3 (316) 790 430 353 916 136
Increase (decrease) in restructuring and other exit costs reserve4 (2) (53)
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5 (400) 515 414 (426) 927 71
Interest and investment income (expense), net (26) 71 65 51 54 52
Interest expense, operating lease liability6 10 10 11 13 16 13
Adjusted interest and investment income (expense), net (16) 81 76 64 70 65
Tax benefit of interest and investment income (expense), net7 3 (17) (16) (13) (15) (14)
Adjusted interest and investment income (expense), net, after taxes8 (13) 64 60 50 55 51
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 493 1,402 970 833 1,197 41

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-01-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring and other exit costs reserve.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss).

6 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 342 × 2.86% = 10

7 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest and investment income (expense), net = Adjusted interest and investment income (expense), net × Statutory income tax rate
= -16 × 21.00% = -3

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss).

Item Description The company
NOPAT Net operating profit after taxes is income from operations, but after removement of taxes calculated on cash basis that are relevant to operating income. Autodesk Inc. NOPAT increased from 2022 to 2023 but then decreased significantly from 2023 to 2024.

Cash Operating Taxes

Autodesk Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Jan 31, 2024 Jan 31, 2023 Jan 31, 2022 Jan 31, 2021 Jan 31, 2020 Jan 31, 2019
Income tax provision (benefit) 230 123 68 (662) 80 38
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (83) (275) (17) (778) 13 (12)
Add: Tax savings from interest and investment income (expense), net (3) 17 16 13 15 14
Cash operating taxes 310 415 100 130 82 64

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-01-31).

Item Description The company
Cash operating taxes Cash operating taxes are estimated by adjusting income tax expense for changes in deferred taxes and tax benefit from the interest deduction. Autodesk Inc. cash operating taxes increased from 2022 to 2023 but then slightly decreased from 2023 to 2024.

Invested Capital

Autodesk Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Jan 31, 2024 Jan 31, 2023 Jan 31, 2022 Jan 31, 2021 Jan 31, 2020 Jan 31, 2019
Current portion of long-term notes payable, net 350 450
Long-term notes payable, net, excluding current portion 2,284 2,281 2,278 1,637 1,635 2,088
Operating lease liability1 342 385 432 467 460 357
Total reported debt & leases 2,626 2,666 3,060 2,105 2,545 2,445
Stockholders’ equity (deficit) 1,855 1,145 849 966 (139) (211)
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (1,070) (982) (712) (752) 26 15
Allowance for doubtful accounts3 4 5 5 4 5 2
Deferred revenue4 4,264 4,580 3,790 3,360 3,007 2,091
Restructuring and other exit costs reserve5 2
Equity equivalents6 3,198 3,603 3,083 2,612 3,038 2,110
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7 234 185 124 126 160 135
Adjusted stockholders’ equity (deficit) 5,287 4,933 4,056 3,704 3,059 2,034
Marketable securities8 (588) (227) (281) (85) (69) (68)
Invested capital 7,325 7,372 6,835 5,723 5,535 4,412

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-01-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue.

5 Addition of restructuring and other exit costs reserve.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity (deficit).

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of marketable securities.

Item Description The company
Invested capital Capital is an approximation of the economic book value of all cash invested in going-concern business activities. Autodesk Inc. invested capital increased from 2022 to 2023 but then slightly decreased from 2023 to 2024.

Cost of Capital

Autodesk Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 47,011 47,011 ÷ 49,431 = 0.95 0.95 × 18.14% = 17.25%
Long-term notes payable, including current portion3 2,078 2,078 ÷ 49,431 = 0.04 0.04 × 3.04% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.10%
Operating lease liability4 342 342 ÷ 49,431 = 0.01 0.01 × 2.86% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 49,431 1.00 17.37%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term notes payable, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 42,789 42,789 ÷ 45,235 = 0.95 0.95 × 18.14% = 17.16%
Long-term notes payable, including current portion3 2,061 2,061 ÷ 45,235 = 0.05 0.05 × 3.04% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.11%
Operating lease liability4 385 385 ÷ 45,235 = 0.01 0.01 × 2.60% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 45,235 1.00 17.28%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term notes payable, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 41,006 41,006 ÷ 44,100 = 0.93 0.93 × 18.14% = 16.87%
Long-term notes payable, including current portion3 2,662 2,662 ÷ 44,100 = 0.06 0.06 × 3.10% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.15%
Operating lease liability4 432 432 ÷ 44,100 = 0.01 0.01 × 2.46% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 44,100 1.00 17.03%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term notes payable, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 57,423 57,423 ÷ 59,706 = 0.96 0.96 × 18.14% = 17.44%
Long-term notes payable, including current portion3 1,815 1,815 ÷ 59,706 = 0.03 0.03 × 3.49% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.08%
Operating lease liability4 467 467 ÷ 59,706 = 0.01 0.01 × 2.69% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 59,706 1.00 17.55%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term notes payable, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 32,759 32,759 ÷ 35,415 = 0.93 0.93 × 18.14% = 16.78%
Long-term notes payable, including current portion3 2,196 2,196 ÷ 35,415 = 0.06 0.06 × 3.42% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.17%
Operating lease liability4 460 460 ÷ 35,415 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.41% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 35,415 1.00 16.98%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term notes payable, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 33,960 33,960 ÷ 35,895 = 0.95 0.95 × 18.14% = 17.16%
Long-term notes payable, including current portion3 1,578 1,578 ÷ 35,895 = 0.04 0.04 × 3.58% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.12%
Operating lease liability4 357 357 ÷ 35,895 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.58% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 35,895 1.00 17.31%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-01-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term notes payable, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Autodesk Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Jan 31, 2024 Jan 31, 2023 Jan 31, 2022 Jan 31, 2021 Jan 31, 2020 Jan 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (779) 128 (194) (172) 257 (723)
Invested capital2 7,325 7,372 6,835 5,723 5,535 4,412
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 -10.63% 1.73% -2.84% -3.00% 4.64% -16.38%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Accenture PLC 4.84% 5.63% 8.48% 10.32% 10.88% 9.61%
Adobe Inc. 5.20% 10.64% 13.05% 5.32% 3.43%
Cadence Design Systems Inc. 10.41% 9.79% 10.02% 10.82% 5.30%
CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. -2.67% 0.98% -2.28% -4.55% 6.33%
International Business Machines Corp. -1.57% -9.42% -4.43% -4.15% -0.43%
Intuit Inc. -4.40% -6.46% -5.39% 2.34% 5.68% 19.34%
Microsoft Corp. 13.03% 16.07% 24.02% 33.03% 31.05% 26.17%
Oracle Corp. -0.31% -1.36% -1.05% 7.01% 1.33% 4.01%
Palo Alto Networks Inc. 8.56% 14.57% 6.43% -2.25% -3.27% -0.05%
Salesforce Inc. -10.04% -12.32% -9.89% -7.59% -10.63% -6.61%
ServiceNow Inc. 8.74% 4.20% 5.41% 7.04% 6.45%
Synopsys Inc. -3.88% 2.70% -3.32% -3.14% -6.13%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-01-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -779 ÷ 7,325 = -10.63%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic spread ratio The ratio of economic profit to invested capital, also equal to the difference between return on invested capital (ROIC) and cost of capital. Autodesk Inc. economic spread ratio improved from 2022 to 2023 but then deteriorated significantly from 2023 to 2024.

Economic Profit Margin

Autodesk Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Jan 31, 2024 Jan 31, 2023 Jan 31, 2022 Jan 31, 2021 Jan 31, 2020 Jan 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (779) 128 (194) (172) 257 (723)
 
Net revenue 5,497 5,005 4,386 3,790 3,274 2,570
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue (316) 790 430 353 916 136
Adjusted net revenue 5,181 5,795 4,816 4,144 4,190 2,706
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 -15.03% 2.21% -4.02% -4.14% 6.13% -26.70%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Accenture PLC 2.74% 2.90% 4.08% 5.29% 5.54% 4.44%
Adobe Inc. 6.51% 12.39% 16.26% 7.63% 5.15%
Cadence Design Systems Inc. 10.37% 9.77% 10.18% 10.90% 5.14%
CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. -4.20% 1.31% -3.56% -9.45% 5.56%
International Business Machines Corp. -2.79% -16.36% -8.44% -7.22% -0.73%
Intuit Inc. -6.76% -10.58% -10.38% 2.96% 6.39% 12.88%
Microsoft Corp. 18.22% 18.30% 23.02% 27.42% 23.05% 19.36%
Oracle Corp. -0.59% -2.63% -1.93% 13.86% 3.02% 7.31%
Palo Alto Networks Inc. 9.08% 14.47% 7.50% -3.03% -5.30% -0.06%
Salesforce Inc. -23.22% -31.38% -27.46% -17.40% -26.15% -13.01%
ServiceNow Inc. 7.03% 3.38% 4.68% 5.74% 4.72%
Synopsys Inc. -5.47% 3.81% -5.28% -5.39% -10.59%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-01-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted net revenue
= 100 × -779 ÷ 5,181 = -15.03%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic profit margin The ratio of economic profit to sales. It is the company profit margin covering income efficiency and asset management. Economic profit margin is not biased in favor of capital-intensive business models, because any added capital is a cost to the economic profit margin. Autodesk Inc. economic profit margin improved from 2022 to 2023 but then deteriorated significantly from 2023 to 2024.