Stock Analysis on Net

Oracle Corp. (NYSE:ORCL)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Oracle Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
There is an overall upward trend in NOPAT from 2020 to 2025, with values increasing from 10,144 million US dollars in 2020 to 14,158 million US dollars in 2025. A significant peak is observed in 2021 at 14,348 million US dollars, followed by a notable decline in 2022 to 7,492 million US dollars. After this dip, NOPAT steadily rises each year through 2025.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital shows a consistent upward trend over the period, increasing from 11.34% in 2020 to 13.86% in 2025. This steady increase suggests a rising hurdle rate for investments or increasing risk associated with capital.
Invested Capital
Invested capital trends downward from 87,978 million US dollars in 2020 to 77,262 million US dollars in 2022. However, from 2023 onwards, invested capital reverses course and rises substantially, reaching 115,423 million US dollars by 2025, indicating increased investment or asset base expansion during the latter years.
Economic Profit
Economic profit shows notable volatility, with a positive value of 165 million US dollars in 2020, sharply rising to 4,757 million US dollars in 2021. Subsequently, it turns negative from 2022 onwards, with losses deepening in 2023 (-2,664 million US dollars) and remaining negative through 2025, though with a slight improvement in losses compared to 2023 levels.
Summary and Insights
The data reflects a company experiencing fluctuations in operating profitability and economic profit despite an overall increase in NOPAT and invested capital over the assessed period. The increase in cost of capital contributes to the challenge of generating positive economic profit after 2021. While the company expanded its invested capital significantly after 2022, this did not immediately translate into economic profit, indicating potential inefficiencies or delayed returns on investments. The negative economic profit in the last four years suggests that the returns generated over cost of capital have been insufficient, posing a concern for value creation. The recovery trend in NOPAT after 2022, if sustained, could potentially improve economic profit in future periods.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Oracle Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Net income
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenues3
Increase (decrease) in restructuring plans accrued4
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability6
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense7
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income9
Investment income, after taxes10
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenues.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring plans accrued.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

6 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

7 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

9 2025 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net Income Trend
The net income showed a rising trend from 2020 to 2021, increasing from 10,135 million USD to 13,746 million USD. However, there was a significant decline in 2022, with net income dropping to 6,717 million USD. Following this decline, the net income gradually increased over the next three years, reaching 8,503 million USD in 2023, 10,467 million USD in 2024, and 12,443 million USD in 2025. Overall, despite the dip in 2022, the net income demonstrates recovery and growth toward the latter years.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) Trend
NNOPAT also increased from 10,144 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 14,348 million USD in 2021. It similarly experienced a large decrease in 2022 to 7,492 million USD. From 2023 onward, NOPAT consistently rose, reaching 10,160 million USD in 2023, 11,940 million USD in 2024, and culminating at 14,158 million USD in 2025. This suggests a strong rebound in operational profitability and effective tax management.
Comparative Insights
The patterns for both net income and NOPAT are aligned, with a peak in 2021, a notable downturn in 2022, and a steady recovery through the following years. NOPAT values are consistently close to net income values, indicating relatively stable operating efficiency and tax impact. The data imply that the company managed to improve operating results over time despite the intermediate disturbance in 2022.

Cash Operating Taxes

Oracle Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Provision for (benefit from) income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).


Provision for (benefit from) income taxes
The provision for income taxes displays a fluctuating trend over the periods observed. It started at a positive amount of 1928 million USD in May 31, 2020, then dropped sharply to a negative value of -747 million USD in May 31, 2021, suggesting a tax benefit for that year. This was followed by a return to positive values with 932 million USD in 2022 and steady increases in subsequent years, reaching 1717 million USD in May 31, 2025. The data indicates variability but an overall upward trend after the negative dip.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes present a generally increasing trajectory from May 31, 2020, through May 31, 2025. Starting at 3101 million USD in 2020, the amount decreased in 2021 to 2197 million USD, but then steadily increased each year thereafter, reaching a peak of 4137 million USD in 2024, with a slight decrease to 4134 million USD in 2025. This suggests progressively higher cash tax outflows during the later years, indicative of either higher taxable income or changes in tax payments.

Invested Capital

Oracle Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Notes payable and other borrowings, current
Finance lease liabilities, current
Notes payable and other borrowings, non-current
Finance lease liabilities, non-current
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Oracle Corporation stockholders’ equity (deficit)
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowances for credit losses3
Deferred revenues4
Restructuring plans accrued5
Equity equivalents6
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7
Noncontrolling interests
Adjusted total Oracle Corporation stockholders’ equity (deficit)
Construction in progress8
Marketable securities9
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenues.

5 Addition of restructuring plans accrued.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to total Oracle Corporation stockholders’ equity (deficit).

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of construction in progress.

9 Subtraction of marketable securities.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibited an overall increasing trend from 2020 through 2025. Starting at $73,695 million in 2020, the amount rose to $87,027 million in 2021, followed by a decline to $79,517 million in 2022. Thereafter, a consistent upward movement occurred, reaching $95,330 million in 2023, slightly declining to $94,414 million in 2024, and finally increasing substantially to $108,952 million in 2025. This pattern indicates fluctuating debt exposures with a notable increase in the last reported period.
Total Oracle Corporation stockholders’ equity (deficit)
Stockholders’ equity showed significant volatility and a considerable turnaround over the years. Initially, equity stood at $12,074 million in 2020, sharply declining to $5,238 million in 2021 and turning into a deficit of -$6,220 million by 2022. Subsequently, equity recovered to a positive $1,073 million in 2023, then improved substantially to $8,704 million in 2024, and reached $20,451 million in 2025. This indicates a transition from financial distress or negative equity toward a stronger equity position, reflecting improved capital structure and retained earnings or other comprehensive income gains.
Invested capital
Invested capital decreased from $87,978 million in 2020 to $77,262 million in 2022, indicating reductions or restructuring in capital allocation during this period. However, from 2022 onward, invested capital rose markedly to $98,251 million in 2023, continuing to $101,930 million in 2024, and further to $115,423 million in 2025. This evolution suggests renewed investment activities and potentially greater operational scale or asset acquisition in the latter years. The confluence of rising invested capital and improving equity alongside increasing debt points to an expansion phase with leveraged financing.

Cost of Capital

Oracle Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Borrowings and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Borrowings and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Borrowings and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Borrowings and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Borrowings and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Borrowings and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Oracle Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Accenture PLC
Adobe Inc.
Cadence Design Systems Inc.
CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.
Fair Isaac Corp.
International Business Machines Corp.
Intuit Inc.
Microsoft Corp.
Palantir Technologies Inc.
Palo Alto Networks Inc.
Salesforce Inc.
ServiceNow Inc.
Synopsys Inc.
Workday Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic profit
The economic profit exhibited a significant increase from 165 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 4757 million US dollars in 2021. However, from 2022 onwards, there is a marked decline with negative values reported over the subsequent years: -1755 million in 2022, -2664 million in 2023, -1736 million in 2024, and -1844 million in 2025. This indicates that the company moved from generating positive economic profit to experiencing consistent economic losses over the last four years.
Invested capital
The invested capital showed a decreasing trend between 2020 and 2022, falling from 87,978 million US dollars in 2020 to 77,262 million in 2022. Following this decline, there was a noticeable reversal, with invested capital rising steadily in the subsequent years: reaching 98,251 million in 2023, 101,930 million in 2024, and further increasing to 115,423 million in 2025. This suggests an overall expansion in the scale of the company's invested assets starting from 2023.
Economic spread ratio
The economic spread ratio paralleled the trend seen in economic profit. It increased from a low value of 0.19% in 2020 to a high of 5.82% in 2021. Subsequently, it turned negative and deteriorated through the following years: -2.27% in 2022, -2.71% in 2023, before slightly improving to -1.7% in 2024 and -1.6% in 2025. Despite slight recovery towards the end, the ratio remained negative, indicating that the returns on invested capital were below the cost of capital in those years.

Economic Profit Margin

Oracle Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Revenues
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenues
Adjusted revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Accenture PLC
Adobe Inc.
Cadence Design Systems Inc.
CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.
Fair Isaac Corp.
International Business Machines Corp.
Intuit Inc.
Microsoft Corp.
Palantir Technologies Inc.
Palo Alto Networks Inc.
Salesforce Inc.
ServiceNow Inc.
Synopsys Inc.
Workday Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Adjusted Revenues
The adjusted revenues have shown a consistent upward trend over the six-year period. Starting at 38,624 million US dollars in 2020, revenues increased steadily each year, reaching 57,586 million US dollars by 2025. The most pronounced growth occurred between 2021 and 2023, where the revenue jumped from 41,334 million to 50,782 million US dollars, indicating a strong revenue expansion trajectory.
Economic Profit
Economic profit exhibited significant volatility. It started at a positive 165 million US dollars in 2020 and saw a substantial increase to 4,757 million in 2021. However, from 2022 onwards, economic profit turned negative and remained below zero through 2025, with values fluctuating between -1,755 million and -2,664 million US dollars. This indicates challenges in generating value over the cost of capital during the latter part of the period despite growing revenues.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin mirrored the pattern seen in economic profit. Initially positive at 0.43% in 2020, it rose sharply to 11.51% in 2021. Subsequent years showed a negative margin that ranged from -4.17% in 2022 to around -3.2% in 2025. The negative margins suggest that the company was not able to cover its cost of capital from 2022 onwards, despite increasing adjusted revenues.
Overall Insights
While revenues have consistently increased over the period, the company's economic profitability deteriorated after 2021. The transition from a positive to negative economic profit and margin points to rising costs, operational inefficiencies, or increased capital charges that outpaced revenue growth. This divergence between revenue growth and economic profit performance is a key area of concern, indicating that revenue expansion did not translate into enhanced economic value beyond 2021.