Stock Analysis on Net

Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM)

Enterprise Value to FCFF (EV/FCFF) 

Microsoft Excel

Free Cash Flow to The Firm (FCFF)

Philip Morris International Inc., FCFF calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net earnings attributable to PMI 7,057 7,813 9,048 9,109 8,056
Net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests 446 455 479 601 536
Net noncash charges 4,037 2,236 1,114 890 1,092
Cash effects of changes in operating capital, net of the effects from acquired and divested companies 677 (1,300) 162 1,367 128
Net cash provided by operating activities 12,217 9,204 10,803 11,967 9,812
Cash paid, interest, net of tax1 1,174 1,041 579 560 570
Capital expenditures (1,444) (1,321) (1,077) (748) (602)
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) 11,947 8,924 10,305 11,779 9,780

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The analysis of the financial data reveals notable fluctuations in both the net cash provided by operating activities and the free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) over the observed five-year period.

Net cash provided by operating activities
This indicator demonstrates a generally positive trajectory, beginning at $9,812 million in 2020 and increasing significantly to $11,967 million in 2021. This peak was followed by a decline to $10,803 million in 2022, and a further decrease to $9,204 million in 2023. However, the value sharply rebounded in 2024 to $12,217 million, surpassing all previous years within the timeframe.
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF)
The FCFF presents a similar pattern to operating cash flows. It started at $9,780 million in 2020, rose to $11,779 million in 2021, but then experienced declines to $10,305 million in 2022 and $8,924 million in 2023. In 2024, FCFF recovered markedly to $11,947 million, nearing the 2021 peak level.

Overall, both metrics exhibit synchronized trends, characterized by increases through 2021, subsequent declines over the next two years, and substantial recoveries in 2024. This pattern may suggest external factors or operational challenges impacting cash flows during 2022 and 2023, followed by improved performance or management initiatives leading to enhanced cash generation in 2024.


Interest Paid, Net of Tax

Philip Morris International Inc., interest paid, net of tax calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Effective Income Tax Rate (EITR)
EITR1 24.70% 22.40% 19.30% 21.80% 21.70%
Interest Paid, Net of Tax
Cash paid, interest, before tax 1,559 1,342 717 716 728
Less: Cash paid, interest, tax2 385 301 138 156 158
Cash paid, interest, net of tax 1,174 1,041 579 560 570

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Cash paid, interest, tax = Cash paid, interest × EITR
= 1,559 × 24.70% = 385


The financial data over the five-year period shows notable trends in the effective income tax rate (EITR) and cash paid for interest, net of tax. These two indicators reveal insights into the company's tax strategy and financing costs.

Effective Income Tax Rate (EITR)
The EITR remained relatively stable between 2020 and 2021 at around 21.7% to 21.8%. In 2022, there was a decline to 19.3%, indicating a reduction in the tax burden or the impact of tax planning strategies during that year. However, this downward trend reversed in the subsequent years, rising to 22.4% in 2023 and further to 24.7% in 2024. This increase suggests either higher taxable income, reduced tax benefits, or changes in tax regulations leading to a greater effective tax rate in the later years.
Cash Paid, Interest, Net of Tax
The cash paid for interest, net of tax, exhibited a gradual decline from 570 million US dollars in 2020 to 560 million in 2021, suggesting lower debt costs or reduced borrowing in that period. It then slightly increased to 579 million in 2022. A significant jump is observed in 2023, where cash interest payments nearly doubled to 1,041 million, followed by a further increase to 1,174 million in 2024. This substantial rise indicates increased borrowing costs or higher levels of debt financing in the recent years. The marked increase in interest payments could impact the company's profitability and cash flow.

Overall, the data reflects a scenario where the company experienced a temporary reduction in its effective tax rate followed by an increase, paralleled by rising interest expenses in the last two reported years. This combination suggests possible shifts in the company's financial structure and tax environment that could influence future financial strategies and performance.


Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Current

Philip Morris International Inc., current EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Enterprise value (EV) 321,789
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) 11,947
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF 26.93
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors1
Coca-Cola Co. 55.15
Mondelēz International Inc. 27.66
PepsiCo Inc. 25.07
EV/FCFF, Sector
Food, Beverage & Tobacco 32.19
EV/FCFF, Industry
Consumer Staples 35.71

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 Click competitor name to see calculations.

If the company EV/FCFF is lower then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company EV/FCFF is higher then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.


Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Historical

Philip Morris International Inc., historical EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Enterprise value (EV)1 269,311 184,812 201,244 192,527 159,557
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF)2 11,947 8,924 10,305 11,779 9,780
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF3 22.54 20.71 19.53 16.35 16.31
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors4
Coca-Cola Co. 54.19 26.54 27.95 25.28 26.04
Mondelēz International Inc. 23.73 31.39 34.05 31.98 30.11
PepsiCo Inc. 26.33 28.63 40.39 33.08 30.09
EV/FCFF, Sector
Food, Beverage & Tobacco 30.16 26.10 28.47 24.71 24.26
EV/FCFF, Industry
Consumer Staples 31.17 30.26 30.41 20.99 23.37

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 See details »

2 See details »

3 2024 Calculation
EV/FCFF = EV ÷ FCFF
= 269,311 ÷ 11,947 = 22.54

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data demonstrates evolving trends in the enterprise value (EV), free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), and their derived ratio over the five-year period ending in 2024.

Enterprise Value (EV)
The enterprise value exhibited an overall upward trend, starting at approximately 159.6 billion USD in 2020 and rising notably to about 269.3 billion USD by the end of 2024. Despite a dip observed in 2023 following a peak in 2022, the value significantly increased in 2024, reaching the highest level within the period. This suggests a growth in market valuation, reflecting changes in market capitalization, debt, and cash positions.
Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)
The FCFF figures displayed a less consistent pattern. It increased from 9.78 billion USD in 2020 to a peak of 11.78 billion USD in 2021, followed by a declining trend over the next two years, reducing to 8.92 billion USD in 2023. However, there was a subsequent rebound in 2024 to 11.95 billion USD, almost recovering to the earlier peak. This indicates variability in the company's operational cash generation capacity, potentially impacted by changing operational efficiencies, capital expenditures, or working capital management.
EV/FCFF Ratio
The EV to FCFF ratio started at 16.31 in 2020 and experienced a steady increase each year, reaching 22.54 by 2024. This progressive rise implies that the market valuation relative to the firm's free cash flow has become more expensive over time. An increasing ratio may indicate market expectations of future growth or a potential overvaluation, especially as the ratio peaked along with the highest EV but not the highest FCFF.

In summary, while the enterprise value has substantially increased over the five years, the free cash flow has been somewhat volatile with a recent recovery. The increasing EV/FCFF ratio suggests a growing premium placed by the market on the company's cash-generating ability, pointing to investor optimism or possibly a reassessment of risk and growth prospects over the period analyzed.