Stock Analysis on Net

Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Advanced Micro Devices Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The financial performance reflected by the net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) demonstrates a significant fluctuation over the observed periods. The NOPAT increased substantially from 1,330 million US dollars in 2020 to 3,517 million US dollars in 2021, showcasing a period of enhanced profitability. However, this positive trend reversed sharply in the subsequent years, with NOPAT turning negative, recording losses of 138 million and 201 million US dollars in 2022 and 2023 respectively, before a modest recovery to 621 million US dollars in 2024.

Throughout the entire period, the cost of capital remained relatively stable, fluctuating narrowly around 21.5%. This steadiness suggests a consistent estimate of the firm's required rate of return or borrowing costs without dramatic shifts in capital market conditions or company-specific risk.

Invested capital experienced a dramatic expansion, escalating from 4,364 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of over 58,500 million US dollars in 2022 and maintaining this elevated level through 2023 and 2024. This large increase in invested capital paired with the decline in NOPAT indicates a potential challenge in deploying capital profitably during these years.

Economic profit, which captures the value created over and above the cost of capital, followed a parallel trajectory to NOPAT but with more pronounced losses in the later years. After a positive economic profit of 390 million US dollars in 2020 and 2,180 million US dollars in 2021, there was a substantial deterioration starting in 2022, resulting in significant negative values exceeding 12 billion US dollars in 2022 and 2023, followed by a slight improvement yet still deeply negative in 2024.

Summary of trends
- Initial strong profit growth through 2021.
- Sharp decline into negative profitability from 2022 onward.
- Stability in cost of capital around 21.5%.
- Dramatic increase in invested capital from 2021 onward.
- Economic profit turning substantially negative corresponding with negative NOPAT and high invested capital.
Insights
The data indicates that despite significant capital investments from 2022, the company struggled to generate adequate returns to cover its cost of capital, leading to severe economic losses. The partial recovery in NOPAT in 2024 may suggest initial signs of operational improvement or return on investments, but economic profit remains negative, signaling continued challenges in creating shareholder value beyond the capital cost.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Advanced Micro Devices Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Net income
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in liability for product warranty2
Increase (decrease) in liabilities related to the 2024 Restructuring Plan3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8
Investment income, after taxes9
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in liability for product warranty.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in liabilities related to the 2024 Restructuring Plan.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

8 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial data reveals fluctuating profitability and operational efficiency over the five-year period under review.

Net Income
Net income experienced growth from 2020 to 2021, increasing from 2,490 million US dollars to 3,162 million US dollars. However, it sharply declined in 2022 to 1,320 million US dollars, and further decreased in 2023 to 854 million US dollars. In 2024, there was a recovery with net income rising to 1,641 million US dollars, though it remained below the peak values seen in 2020 and 2021.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT displayed a volatile pattern during the same period. It increased significantly from 1,330 million US dollars in 2020 to 3,517 million US dollars in 2021, indicating strong operational performance. However, in 2022 and 2023, NOPAT turned negative, with losses of 138 million US dollars and 201 million US dollars respectively, suggesting operational inefficiencies or extraordinary expenses. In 2024, NOPAT returned to a positive figure of 621 million US dollars, though this value remained substantially lower than the earlier years.

Overall, the data indicates that while the company demonstrated solid profitability growth through 2021, it subsequently faced challenges in maintaining operational profitability, as seen in the negative NOPAT values for two consecutive years. The partial recovery in 2024 suggests improvements but does not yet reflect a full return to previous performance levels. The divergence between net income and NOPAT in the recent years may warrant further examination to understand underlying causes such as non-operating items or tax impacts.


Cash Operating Taxes

Advanced Micro Devices Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Income tax provision (benefit)
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).


Income Tax Provision (Benefit)
The income tax provision exhibited considerable volatility over the reported periods. It began with a significant tax benefit of -$1,210 million in 2020, indicating a tax gain or credit. This shifted to a tax expense of $513 million in 2021. Subsequently, the tax provision returned to a benefit state in 2022 and 2023, with figures of -$122 million and -$346 million respectively, before moving back to a tax expense of $381 million in 2024. These fluctuations suggest variability in taxable income or changes in tax strategies and regulations, impacting the company’s tax obligations year over year.
Cash Operating Taxes
The cash operating taxes demonstrated an overall upward trend during the period under review. Starting from a relatively low base of $24 million in 2020, the amount escalated to $214 million in 2021. This increase continued sharply to $1,392 million in 2022, followed by a decline to $658 million in 2023. However, in the final period, cash taxes rose again to $1,531 million in 2024, marking the highest value recorded in the series. This pattern indicates increased cash tax payments despite the oscillation in reported tax provisions, which could reflect timing differences between accounting tax expense and actual tax payments or changes in the company’s taxable income and cash flows.

Invested Capital

Advanced Micro Devices Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Current portion of long-term debt, net
Long-term debt, net of current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Liability for product warranty3
Liabilities related to the 2024 Restructuring Plan4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Adjusted stockholders’ equity
Construction in progress7
Short-term investments8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of liability for product warranty.

4 Addition of liabilities related to the 2024 Restructuring Plan.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

8 Subtraction of short-term investments.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases experienced a moderate increase from 572 million USD in 2020 to 732 million USD in 2021. However, there was a significant surge in 2022, reaching 2956 million USD, more than quadrupling the previous year's amount. Following this peak, the debt slightly increased to 3109 million USD in 2023 before declining to 2321 million USD in 2024. Overall, despite fluctuations, the values remain substantially elevated relative to the initial years, indicating increased financial leverage or obligations.
Stockholders’ equity
Stockholders' equity showed steady growth from 5837 million USD in 2020 to 7497 million USD in 2021. A substantial rise occurred in 2022, jumping dramatically to 54750 million USD, with continued growth in subsequent years reaching 55892 million USD in 2023 and 57568 million USD in 2024. This marked increase in equity suggests either significant retained earnings, capital infusions, or revaluation adjustments with an emphasis on strengthening the company's financial foundation over time.
Invested capital
Invested capital followed a similar trend to stockholders' equity, beginning at 4364 million USD in 2020 and increasing to 6195 million USD in 2021. A notable surge occurred in 2022, reaching 58525 million USD, which was maintained with a slight decrease to 57883 million USD in 2023 and a minor uptick to 58227 million USD in 2024. The fluctuations suggest strategic capital allocation or acquisitions that contributed to a substantial increase in the total capital invested in the business.

Cost of Capital

Advanced Micro Devices Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Advanced Micro Devices Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Analog Devices Inc.
Applied Materials Inc.
Broadcom Inc.
Intel Corp.
KLA Corp.
Lam Research Corp.
Micron Technology Inc.
NVIDIA Corp.
Qualcomm Inc.
Texas Instruments Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data reveals significant fluctuations in economic performance and capital investment over the observed periods.

Economic Profit
The economic profit showed a remarkable increase from 390 million US dollars in 2020 to 2.18 billion US dollars in 2021, indicating enhanced profitability during this interval. However, from 2022 onwards, economic profit turned negative, reflecting losses that intensified slightly over subsequent years, reaching approximately -11.87 billion US dollars by 2024. This shift suggests a period of deteriorating financial returns after 2021.
Invested Capital
Invested capital experienced a substantial rise from 4.36 billion US dollars in 2020 to over 58 billion US dollars by 2024. The largest increase occurred between 2021 and 2022, signaling a significant expansion of the company’s asset base or operational investment. The invested capital remained relatively stable from 2022 to 2024, with slight fluctuations.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio, reflecting the difference between return on invested capital and cost of capital, mirrored the trends in economic profit. It was positive and increased sharply from 8.94% in 2020 to 35.19% in 2021, indicating effective capital utilization. From 2022 forward, the ratio turned negative, around -20% to -22%, implying that the returns on capital were substantially below the cost of capital, which contributed to the sustained economic losses.

Overall, the data indicates a phase of strong economic performance and capital efficiency in 2021, followed by a period marked by significant capital investment but poor profitability and diminishing returns on that capital in subsequent years. The negative economic spread and economic profit from 2022 onwards highlight challenges in generating value from the increased investment base.


Economic Profit Margin

Advanced Micro Devices Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Analog Devices Inc.
Applied Materials Inc.
Broadcom Inc.
Intel Corp.
KLA Corp.
Lam Research Corp.
Micron Technology Inc.
NVIDIA Corp.
Qualcomm Inc.
Texas Instruments Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Net Revenue
Over the observed five-year period, net revenue exhibits a generally positive trend with consistent growth despite a slight dip in the fourth period. Starting at approximately 9.76 billion USD, revenue increased significantly to 16.43 billion USD in the following year, continuing upward to 23.6 billion USD. Although there was a modest decrease to 22.68 billion USD subsequently, revenue rebounded to reach 25.79 billion USD in the most recent period. This reflects strong overall growth with short-term fluctuations.
Economic Profit
The economic profit shows a volatile and concerning pattern. Initially, there was a moderate positive economic profit of 390 million USD, which soared to 2.18 billion USD the following year, indicating highly favorable operational performance. However, from the third period onwards, a sharp deterioration is evident as the economic profit turns negative, resulting in substantial losses exceeding 12 billion USD for three consecutive periods. Although losses slightly improve in the most recent period, they remain significantly negative, signaling ongoing challenges in generating value beyond the cost of capital.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin, expressed as a percentage, mirrors the trajectory of economic profit. Early positive margins rose sharply from 4% to over 13%, aligning with growth in economic profit. This was followed by a dramatic decline, with margins becoming deeply negative, descending below -50% and improving marginally in the final period to about -46%. Such negative margins reflect inefficiencies or elevated costs adversely impacting profitability relative to revenue.
Summary Insights
Despite growth in net revenue over the five years, the economic profit and its margin indicate deteriorating financial health after a peak in profitability during the second year. The substantial negative economic profit and margin in the last three years suggest the company is incurring high costs or investments not yet translating into proportional returns. This trend highlights potential strategic or operational issues that may require attention to restore sustainable value creation. The slight improvement in the most recent period could point to initial signs of recovery or stabilization.