Stock Analysis on Net

Texas Instruments Inc. (NASDAQ:TXN)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Texas Instruments Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The analysis of the financial data over the five-year period reveals several noteworthy patterns in key metrics related to profitability, invested capital, and economic profit.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT exhibited a rising trend from 2020 through 2022, increasing from $5,637 million to a peak of $8,736 million. However, this upward trajectory reversed in the subsequent years, with a marked decline to $6,512 million in 2023 and further down to $5,023 million by the end of 2024. This suggests a contraction in operating profitability after taxes in the most recent periods.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained relatively stable across all years, fluctuating slightly between 13.79% and 14.06%. These minor variations indicate a consistent capital cost environment without significant changes in financing or risk premiums during the period analyzed.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed a continuous and significant upward trend, increasing from $12,963 million in 2020 to $26,167 million in 2024. This reflects substantial investment in capital assets or working capital, more than doubling over the period. Such growth in invested capital signals expansion or reinvestment efforts by the company.
Economic Profit
Economic profit followed a pattern similar to NOPAT, rising sharply from $3,818 million in 2020 to $6,267 million in 2022, indicating strong value creation above the cost of capital during these years. Nevertheless, economic profit declined markedly thereafter, falling to $3,396 million in 2023 and further to $1,415 million in 2024. This decline, despite the increase in invested capital, suggests diminishing returns on additional capital invested and reduced economic value generation in the more recent years.

In summary, the company experienced solid growth in operational profitability and economic profit until 2022, supported by considerable capital investment. However, the subsequent years saw both profitability and economic profit decline, while invested capital continued to increase and the cost of capital remained stable. This indicates that the company’s recent capital investments have been less effective at generating returns above the cost of capital, signaling a potential need to reassess investment strategies and operational efficiency.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Texas Instruments Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in accounts receivable allowances2
Increase (decrease) in accrued restructuring3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest and debt expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest and debt expense
Tax benefit of interest and debt expense6
Adjusted interest and debt expense, after taxes7
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in accounts receivable allowances.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued restructuring.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest and debt expense = Adjusted interest and debt expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.


The financial data reveals several notable trends related to the company's profitability over the five-year period.

Net Income

Net income displayed a positive trajectory from 2020 through 2022, increasing substantially from 5,595 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 8,749 million US dollars in 2022. However, subsequent years show a decline, with net income falling to 6,510 million US dollars in 2023 and further decreasing to 4,799 million US dollars in 2024. This suggests a period of growth followed by a contraction in profitability.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)

Similar to net income, NOPAT increased steadily from 5,637 million US dollars in 2020 to a high of 8,736 million US dollars in 2022. Following this peak, a decline is observed, with NOPAT dropping to 6,512 million US dollars in 2023 and further to 5,023 million US dollars in 2024. The close alignment between NOPAT and net income values over the period indicates consistent tax impact and operational profitability trends.

Overall, the data indicates that the company experienced strong profitability growth leading up to 2022, with both net income and NOPAT reaching their highest levels. The two years following 2022 show a marked decrease in profitability, reflecting potential operational challenges, market conditions, or other factors impacting earnings. The similarity in the pattern and values of net income and NOPAT further confirms that operational efficiency and tax effects have moved in tandem during this timeframe.


Cash Operating Taxes

Texas Instruments Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest and debt expense
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes increased significantly from 2020 to 2022, rising from 422 million US dollars to 1,283 million US dollars. This represents a substantial increase over the two-year period. However, after peaking in 2022, the provision declined notably in the subsequent years, decreasing to 908 million in 2023 and further down to 654 million in 2024. The trend indicates a strong growth phase followed by a marked reduction in tax provision amounts.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes followed a broadly similar pattern to the provision for income taxes but with consistently higher absolute values. From 601 million US dollars in 2020, cash operating taxes increased steadily to reach a peak of 1,521 million in 2022. Following this peak, there was a decrease to 1,286 million in 2023 and a further decline to 978 million in 2024. While the pattern indicates growth in cash operating tax payments until 2022, it also shows a decline in the subsequent two years, although the reduction is less pronounced compared to the provision for income taxes.
Overall Observations
Both provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes exhibit a strong upward trend during the first three years, suggesting increasing taxable income or changes in tax rates or regulations leading to higher tax liabilities. The subsequent decrease in both metrics after 2022 might point to improved tax planning, changes in financial results, or other strategic decisions impacting tax expenses. The consistently higher cash operating taxes compared to provisions reflect the timing differences typically observed between tax payments and tax expense accounting.

Invested Capital

Texas Instruments Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Accounts receivable allowances3
Accrued restructuring4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Adjusted stockholders’ equity
Investments measured at fair value7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of accrued restructuring.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of investments measured at fair value.


The financial data reveals several key trends in the company's capital structure over the five-year period from 2020 to 2024.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases increased steadily each year, rising from $7,119 million in 2020 to $14,377 million in 2024. This represents a doubling in the debt level over the observed timeframe, with a particularly notable jump between 2022 and 2023. The increasing leverage indicates a growing reliance on borrowed capital.
Stockholders’ Equity
Stockholders’ equity also increased annually, moving from $9,187 million in 2020 to $16,903 million in 2024. The growth was most significant from 2020 to 2021 and remained relatively steady thereafter. The rise in equity suggests the company retained earnings or issued new equity, strengthening the net asset base.
Invested Capital
Invested capital grew from $12,963 million in 2020 to $26,167 million in 2024, essentially doubling in size. The increase accelerated notably in 2023 and 2024, aligning with the rise in both debt and equity. This combined growth reflects an expansion in the company’s overall capital employed in the business, indicating potential asset growth or investments in operations.

Overall, the trends illustrate a strategy of expanding investment supported by both increasing equity and notably growing debt levels. The balance between debt and equity growth suggests active capital management aimed at scaling the business, though the rise in leverage may warrant monitoring for financial risk considerations.


Cost of Capital

Texas Instruments Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Texas Instruments Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
Analog Devices Inc.
Applied Materials Inc.
Broadcom Inc.
Intel Corp.
KLA Corp.
Lam Research Corp.
Micron Technology Inc.
NVIDIA Corp.
Qualcomm Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit showed an increasing trend from 2020 to 2022, rising from 3,818 million US dollars to 6,267 million US dollars. However, there was a sharp decline in the subsequent years, with the figure dropping to 3,396 million US dollars in 2023 and further to 1,415 million US dollars in 2024. This indicates a decreasing ability to generate profit beyond the cost of capital in the most recent years.
Invested Capital
The invested capital exhibited a consistent upward trajectory throughout the five-year period, increasing from 12,963 million US dollars in 2020 to 26,167 million US dollars in 2024. This near doubling of invested capital suggests substantial growth in the asset base or resources deployed by the company over the analyzed period.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio followed a pattern similar to economic profit. It increased from 29.45% in 2020 to a peak of 35.68% in 2022, reflecting improved returns on invested capital relative to its cost. Subsequently, the ratio declined markedly to 15.03% in 2023 and further to 5.41% in 2024, signaling a reduction in the efficiency and profitability of the capital employed by the company during the later years.
Overall Analysis
Although the company expanded its invested capital significantly between 2020 and 2024, the decline in both economic profit and economic spread ratio after 2022 points to challenges in converting this increased investment into proportional economic returns. The sharp downward trends in economic profit and spread ratio in the last two years suggest rising costs, reduced margins, or lower operational efficiency, warranting further investigation into underlying causes affecting profitability despite rising investment levels.

Economic Profit Margin

Texas Instruments Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
Analog Devices Inc.
Applied Materials Inc.
Broadcom Inc.
Intel Corp.
KLA Corp.
Lam Research Corp.
Micron Technology Inc.
NVIDIA Corp.
Qualcomm Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Revenue Trends
Revenue showed a rising trend from 2020 to 2022, increasing from $14,461 million in 2020 to a peak of $20,028 million in 2022. However, revenue declined in subsequent years, falling to $17,519 million in 2023 and further to $15,641 million in 2024. This indicates a contraction after a period of growth.
Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit grew significantly from 2020 to 2022, rising from $3,818 million to a peak of $6,267 million. Following this peak, economic profit declined sharply to $3,396 million in 2023 and further to $1,415 million in 2024. This reversal suggests diminishing returns and profitability challenges in the more recent years.
Economic Profit Margin Trends
The economic profit margin increased from 26.4% in 2020 to 31.29% in 2022, indicating improving efficiency and value generation during that period. However, the margin experienced a steep decline thereafter, dropping to 19.39% in 2023 and down to 9.05% in 2024. This decline illustrates reduced profitability relative to revenue, compounded by the fall in both economic profit and revenue.
Overall Analysis
In summary, the company experienced strong growth in both revenue and economic profit through 2022, with rising economic profit margins reflecting solid financial performance. Subsequent years show a notable downturn marked by declining revenue and even more pronounced decreases in economic profit and its margin. This pattern suggests challenges impacting profitability and efficiency, requiring attention to underlying operational or market factors driving this downward trend.