Economic Value Added (EVA)
EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.
Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
Paying user area
Try for free
Kellanova pages available for free this week:
- Statement of Comprehensive Income
- Common-Size Income Statement
- Common-Size Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
- Analysis of Short-term (Operating) Activity Ratios
- Analysis of Long-term (Investment) Activity Ratios
- Present Value of Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
- Net Profit Margin since 2005
- Current Ratio since 2005
- Price to Sales (P/S) since 2005
- Aggregate Accruals
The data is hidden behind: . Unhide it.
Get full access to the entire website from $10.42/mo, or
get 1-month access to Kellanova for $22.49.
This is a one-time payment. There is no automatic renewal.
We accept:
Economic Profit
Kellanova, economic profit calculation
US$ in millions
| 12 months ended: | Dec 30, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 28, 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
The period under review demonstrates fluctuating financial performance as measured by economic profit. Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) exhibited initial growth followed by a decline, while the cost of capital remained relatively stable. Invested capital decreased notably in the most recent year. These factors combined to produce varying levels of economic profit throughout the observed timeframe.
- NOPAT Trend
- NOPAT increased significantly from 2019 to 2021, rising from US$1,016 million to US$1,799 million. However, a substantial decrease was observed in 2022, with NOPAT falling to US$1,089 million, and this trend continued modestly into 2023, reaching US$1,013 million. This suggests potential challenges in maintaining profitability in recent years.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital remained within a narrow range throughout the period, fluctuating between 6.98% and 7.52%. This indicates a consistent cost of funding operations, despite changes in the broader economic environment. A slight increase was noted in 2022, followed by a decrease in 2023.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital showed a gradual increase from 2019 to 2021, moving from US$13,101 million to US$13,587 million. A decrease was then observed in 2022, falling to US$13,188 million, and a more pronounced decline occurred in 2023, reaching US$11,675 million. This reduction in invested capital may reflect strategic divestitures, asset sales, or reduced investment in operations.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit mirrored the NOPAT trend, initially increasing from US$83 million in 2019 to a peak of US$823 million in 2021. A significant drop occurred in 2022, with economic profit falling to US$97 million, before partially recovering to US$155 million in 2023. The fluctuations in economic profit highlight the sensitivity of value creation to changes in both profitability and the cost of capital. The recovery in 2023, despite lower NOPAT, suggests a potential benefit from the decrease in invested capital.
Overall, the analysis indicates a period of strong economic profit generation initially, followed by a period of diminished performance. The recent decline in invested capital warrants further investigation to understand its implications for future growth and profitability.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Kellanova, NOPAT calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in exit cost reserves.
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Kellanova.
5 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
6 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Kellanova.
8 2023 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
10 Elimination of discontinued operations.
The financial data reveals that net income attributable to the company exhibited notable fluctuations over the five-year period. Starting at 960 million US dollars in 2019, net income increased substantially to 1,251 million in 2020 and further to a peak of 1,488 million in 2021. However, this upward trend reversed in the subsequent years, with net income declining sharply to 960 million in 2022 and slightly decreasing again to 951 million in 2023, essentially returning to near the initial 2019 level by the end of the period.
Similarly, net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) showed strong growth in the first three years, rising from 1,016 million US dollars in 2019 to a high of 1,799 million in 2021. This represents a compound growth phase with substantial improvement in operational profitability. Following this peak, NOPAT saw a marked decline in 2022 to 1,089 million and continued to decrease moderately to 1,013 million in 2023, reaching a figure close to the starting point of 2019.
- Net Income Trends
- Initial growth through 2021 followed by a reversion to earlier levels by 2023.
- NOPAT Trends
- Strong operational profit growth until 2021, then a significant decline over the last two years.
- Overall Pattern
- Both net income and NOPAT peaked in 2021 and subsequently declined, erasing much of the gains made during the growth phase. This suggests challenges in sustaining profitability post-2021.
Cash Operating Taxes
Kellanova, cash operating taxes calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).
The analysis of the annual financial data over the period from the end of 2019 through the end of 2023 reveals certain fluctuations in tax-related cash outflows.
- Income Taxes
- The amount of income taxes paid has exhibited variability throughout the periods. Starting at 321 million USD at the end of 2019, amounts remained relatively stable in 2020 with 323 million USD. However, there was a significant increase in 2021 to 474 million USD. Subsequently, income taxes declined sharply in 2022 to 244 million USD, followed by a slight increase to 258 million USD in 2023. This pattern suggests a peak in income tax obligations in 2021, with a marked reduction in the following years.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes experienced a notable decline from 536 million USD in 2019 to 317 million USD at the end of 2020. Following this dip, there was a gradual increase over the next three years, rising to 399 million USD in 2021, 340 million USD in 2022, and finally 365 million USD in 2023. Despite the upward trajectory from 2020 onwards, the cash operating taxes in 2023 remained below the 2019 level.
Overall, the data indicates a divergent trend between income taxes and cash operating taxes. Income taxes peaked in 2021 but decreased significantly afterwards, whereas cash operating taxes dropped sharply in 2020 but then experienced gradual recovery. This could reflect changes in taxable income, operational performance, or tax policies affecting the timing and amount of tax payments across the years.
Invested Capital
Kellanova, invested capital calculation (financing approach)
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of exit cost reserves.
5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Kellanova equity.
6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
7 Subtraction of construction in progress.
- Debt and Leases
- There is a clear downward trend in the total reported debt and leases over the analyzed periods. From approximately 8.47 billion USD at the end of 2019, the debt load steadily decreased each year, reaching about 6.53 billion USD by the end of 2023. This suggests a consistent effort toward deleveraging or reducing liabilities during this timeframe.
- Equity
- Total equity exhibited growth from 2019 to 2022, increasing from roughly 2.75 billion USD to around 3.94 billion USD. However, in the final period ending 2023, there is a noticeable decline to approximately 3.18 billion USD. This drop could indicate either a return of capital to shareholders, losses, or other equity-reducing events experienced in that year.
- Invested Capital
- The invested capital values show relative stability but with a downward move in the most recent period. From about 13.1 billion USD in 2019, invested capital slightly increased to a peak near 13.59 billion USD by the end of 2021, before modestly declining to roughly 11.68 billion USD by the end of 2023. This decline may reflect asset sales, reduced capital expenditure, or other adjustments in company investments or assets employed.
- Overall Insights
- The company appears to have focused on reducing its financial leverage throughout the examined years, improving its debt profile. Despite an increase in equity until 2022, the sharp reduction in 2023 warrants attention as it contrasts with prior growth trends. The decline in invested capital in 2023 aligns with lower equity, suggesting a contraction in the company's operational or investment base. These patterns indicate strategic financial restructuring or responses to external market conditions that have impacted the company's capital structure and asset base in recent years.
Cost of Capital
Kellanova, cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Notes payable and long-term debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Notes payable and long-term debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Notes payable and long-term debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Notes payable and long-term debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Notes payable and long-term debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Notes payable and long-term debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Notes payable and long-term debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Notes payable and long-term debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Notes payable and long-term debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Notes payable and long-term debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Kellanova, economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 30, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 28, 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| Coca-Cola Co. | ||||||
| Mondelēz International Inc. | ||||||
| PepsiCo Inc. | ||||||
| Philip Morris International Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The period under review demonstrates significant fluctuations in economic performance metrics. Economic profit exhibited substantial volatility, while invested capital showed a generally stable pattern with a notable decrease in the most recent year. The economic spread ratio, a key indicator of value creation, mirrored the profit fluctuations, displaying a marked increase followed by a decline and a subsequent partial recovery.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit began at US$83 million in 2019, increasing dramatically to US$645 million in 2020. It continued to rise, reaching US$823 million in 2021, before experiencing a substantial decrease to US$97 million in 2022. A moderate recovery was observed in 2023, with economic profit reported at US$155 million. This suggests considerable variability in the company’s ability to generate returns exceeding its cost of capital.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital remained relatively consistent between 2019 and 2021, fluctuating between US$13,101 million and US$13,587 million. A slight decrease to US$13,188 million was noted in 2022. However, 2023 saw a more significant reduction, with invested capital falling to US$11,675 million. This decrease could be attributed to asset sales, reduced investment, or other capital structure adjustments.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio followed a pattern closely aligned with economic profit. It increased from 0.63% in 2019 to a high of 4.89% in 2020, and further to 6.06% in 2021. A sharp decline occurred in 2022, with the ratio falling to 0.74%. The ratio partially recovered in 2023, reaching 1.33%. This indicates that the company’s ability to generate returns above its cost of capital varied considerably over the period, peaking in 2021 and declining significantly in 2022 before a modest improvement in the latest year.
The correlation between economic profit and the economic spread ratio is strong, indicating that changes in profitability directly impact the company’s value creation as measured by this ratio. The decrease in invested capital in 2023, coupled with the increase in the economic spread ratio, suggests a potential improvement in capital efficiency, although the lower absolute economic profit indicates that overall value creation remains below the levels achieved in 2020 and 2021.
Economic Profit Margin
Kellanova, economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 30, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 28, 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Net sales | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| Coca-Cola Co. | ||||||
| Mondelēz International Inc. | ||||||
| PepsiCo Inc. | ||||||
| Philip Morris International Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net sales
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The economic profit margin exhibited significant fluctuation between 2019 and 2023. Initial values were relatively low, followed by a substantial increase, then a decline, and a subsequent partial recovery. A detailed examination of the economic profit margin and its underlying components reveals key performance trends.
- Economic Profit Margin
- In 2019, the economic profit margin stood at 0.61%. This figure increased dramatically to 4.69% in 2020, representing a substantial improvement in profitability relative to sales. The margin continued to rise, reaching a peak of 5.81% in 2021. However, a considerable decrease was observed in 2022, with the margin falling to 0.63%. A modest recovery occurred in 2023, with the economic profit margin increasing to 1.18%.
The economic profit margin’s trajectory closely mirrors the changes in economic profit. The substantial increase in economic profit from 2019 to 2020 and 2021 directly drove the corresponding rise in the economic profit margin. The sharp decline in economic profit in 2022 resulted in a similar decrease in the margin. While economic profit increased in 2023, the margin’s recovery was less pronounced, suggesting a potential change in the relationship between economic profit and net sales.
- Relationship to Net Sales
- Net sales generally increased from 2019 to 2022, moving from US$13,578 million to US$15,315 million. However, net sales decreased in 2023 to US$13,122 million. The economic profit margin’s peak in 2021 occurred alongside the highest level of net sales during the analyzed period. The decline in the margin in 2022, despite increased sales, indicates that the growth in economic profit did not keep pace with the growth in net sales. The 2023 margin improvement, despite lower sales, suggests improved efficiency in generating economic profit from a smaller revenue base.
The observed volatility in the economic profit margin warrants further investigation. Understanding the factors driving the fluctuations in economic profit, alongside the changes in net sales, is crucial for assessing the company’s long-term financial performance and identifying areas for improvement.