Stock Analysis on Net

Kellanova (NYSE:K)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Kellanova, economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 28, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 1,013 1,089 1,799 1,566 1,016
Cost of capital2 6.60% 6.75% 6.45% 6.29% 6.42%
Invested capital3 11,675 13,188 13,587 13,194 13,101
 
Economic profit4 242 198 922 736 175

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 1,0136.60% × 11,675 = 242

Item Description The company
Economic profit Economic profit is a measure of corporate performance computed by taking the spread between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, and multiplying by the invested capital. Kellanova economic profit decreased from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly increased from 2022 to 2023.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Kellanova, NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 28, 2019
Net income attributable to Kellanova 951 960 1,488 1,251 960
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (38) (46) 125 68 (153)
Increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses2 3 (2) (4) 9
Increase (decrease) in exit cost reserves3 (12) (5) (10) (42)
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4 (35) (60) 116 67 (195)
Interest expense 303 218 223 281 284
Interest expense, operating lease liability5 24 18 17 17 16
Adjusted interest expense 327 236 240 298 300
Tax benefit of interest expense6 (69) (49) (50) (62) (63)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7 258 186 189 235 237
(Gain) loss on marketable securities 3 1 (2) (4)
Investment income, before taxes 3 1 (2) (4)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8 (1) 1
Investment income, after taxes9 2 1 (2) (3)
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax10 (176)
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest 13 2 7 13 17
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 1,013 1,089 1,799 1,566 1,016

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in exit cost reserves.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Kellanova.

5 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 653 × 3.60% = 24

6 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 327 × 21.00% = 69

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Kellanova.

8 2023 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= -3 × 21.00% = -1

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

10 Elimination of discontinued operations.

Item Description The company
NOPAT Net operating profit after taxes is income from operations, but after removement of taxes calculated on cash basis that are relevant to operating income. Kellanova NOPAT decreased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Cash Operating Taxes

Kellanova, cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 28, 2019
Income taxes 258 244 474 323 321
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (38) (46) 125 68 (153)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 69 49 50 62 63
Less: Tax imposed on investment income (1) 1
Cash operating taxes 365 340 399 317 536

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).

Item Description The company
Cash operating taxes Cash operating taxes are estimated by adjusting income tax expense for changes in deferred taxes and tax benefit from the interest deduction. Kellanova cash operating taxes decreased from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly increased from 2022 to 2023.

Invested Capital

Kellanova, invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 28, 2019
Current maturities of long-term debt 663 780 712 627 620
Notes payable 121 467 137 102 107
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities 5,089 5,317 6,262 6,746 7,195
Operating lease liability1 653 607 618 637 547
Total reported debt & leases 6,526 7,171 7,729 8,112 8,469
Total Kellanova equity 3,175 3,941 3,720 3,112 2,747
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 314 570 507 308 364
Allowance for expected credit losses3 16 13 15 19 10
Exit cost reserves4 11 23 28 62
Equity equivalents5 330 594 545 355 436
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6 2,041 1,708 1,721 1,732 1,448
Noncontrolling interests 194 434 495 524 567
Adjusted total Kellanova equity 5,740 6,677 6,481 5,723 5,198
Construction in progress7 (591) (660) (623) (641) (566)
Invested capital 11,675 13,188 13,587 13,194 13,101

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of exit cost reserves.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Kellanova equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

Item Description The company
Invested capital Capital is an approximation of the economic book value of all cash invested in going-concern business activities. Kellanova invested capital decreased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Cost of Capital

Kellanova, cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 19,122 19,122 ÷ 25,559 = 0.75 0.75 × 8.00% = 5.98%
Notes payable and long-term debt3 5,784 5,784 ÷ 25,559 = 0.23 0.23 × 3.06% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.55%
Operating lease liability4 653 653 ÷ 25,559 = 0.03 0.03 × 3.60% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.07%
Total: 25,559 1.00 6.60%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Notes payable and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 23,556 23,556 ÷ 30,510 = 0.77 0.77 × 8.00% = 6.18%
Notes payable and long-term debt3 6,347 6,347 ÷ 30,510 = 0.21 0.21 × 3.23% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.53%
Operating lease liability4 607 607 ÷ 30,510 = 0.02 0.02 × 2.90% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.05%
Total: 30,510 1.00 6.75%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Notes payable and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 22,592 22,592 ÷ 30,959 = 0.73 0.73 × 8.00% = 5.84%
Notes payable and long-term debt3 7,749 7,749 ÷ 30,959 = 0.25 0.25 × 2.90% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.57%
Operating lease liability4 618 618 ÷ 30,959 = 0.02 0.02 × 2.70% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Total: 30,959 1.00 6.45%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Notes payable and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 20,382 20,382 ÷ 29,448 = 0.69 0.69 × 8.00% = 5.54%
Notes payable and long-term debt3 8,429 8,429 ÷ 29,448 = 0.29 0.29 × 3.13% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.71%
Operating lease liability4 637 637 ÷ 29,448 = 0.02 0.02 × 2.60% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Total: 29,448 1.00 6.29%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Notes payable and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 22,063 22,063 ÷ 31,137 = 0.71 0.71 × 8.00% = 5.67%
Notes payable and long-term debt3 8,527 8,527 ÷ 31,137 = 0.27 0.27 × 3.27% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.71%
Operating lease liability4 547 547 ÷ 31,137 = 0.02 0.02 × 2.90% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Total: 31,137 1.00 6.42%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Notes payable and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Kellanova, economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 28, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 242 198 922 736 175
Invested capital2 11,675 13,188 13,587 13,194 13,101
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 2.08% 1.50% 6.79% 5.58% 1.34%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Altria Group Inc. 21.66% 11.11% -1.99% 4.35% -9.57%
Coca-Cola Co. 4.16% 3.85% 5.38% 3.16% 3.46%
PepsiCo Inc. 5.14% 5.13% 5.66% 4.28% 6.07%
Philip Morris International Inc. 8.72% 11.66% 25.83% 19.52% 17.98%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 242 ÷ 11,675 = 2.08%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic spread ratio The ratio of economic profit to invested capital, also equal to the difference between return on invested capital (ROIC) and cost of capital. Kellanova economic spread ratio deteriorated from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly improved from 2022 to 2023.

Economic Profit Margin

Kellanova, economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 28, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 242 198 922 736 175
Net sales 13,122 15,315 14,181 13,770 13,578
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 1.85% 1.30% 6.50% 5.35% 1.29%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Altria Group Inc. 25.34% 12.75% -2.56% 6.90% -16.24%
Coca-Cola Co. 7.59% 7.16% 11.18% 7.25% 6.85%
PepsiCo Inc. 4.21% 4.13% 4.97% 4.26% 5.37%
Philip Morris International Inc. 12.75% 17.43% 24.07% 21.74% 18.87%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net sales
= 100 × 242 ÷ 13,122 = 1.85%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic profit margin The ratio of economic profit to sales. It is the company profit margin covering income efficiency and asset management. Economic profit margin is not biased in favor of capital-intensive business models, because any added capital is a cost to the economic profit margin. Kellanova economic profit margin deteriorated from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly improved from 2022 to 2023.