Economic Value Added (EVA)
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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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- Statement of Comprehensive Income
- Balance Sheet: Assets
- Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
- Common-Size Balance Sheet: Assets
- Analysis of Liquidity Ratios
- Analysis of Short-term (Operating) Activity Ratios
- Common Stock Valuation Ratios
- Enterprise Value to FCFF (EV/FCFF)
- Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
- Selected Financial Data since 2005
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Economic Profit
Kellanova, economic profit calculation
US$ in millions
| 12 months ended: | Dec 30, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 28, 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
The analysis of the data reveals several notable trends in the company's financial performance over the five-year period.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- The NOPAT exhibited a general upward trend from 2019 to 2021, increasing from 1,016 million to 1,799 million US dollars. However, after peaking in 2021, it experienced a significant decline in 2022 to 1,089 million, and further slightly decreased to 1,013 million in 2023, returning nearly to the 2019 level. This pattern suggests a period of growth followed by a notable contraction in operating profitability.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital showed a relatively stable pattern with minor fluctuations during the analyzed years. Starting at 7.03% in 2019, it slightly declined to 6.88% in 2020, then gradually rose to a peak of 7.42% in 2022 before decreasing again to 7.25% in 2023. These variations indicate modest changes in the firm's required return rate, reflecting possibly varying market conditions or shifts in the company's capital structure.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital experienced a gradual increase from 13,101 million US dollars in 2019 to reach a maximum of 13,587 million in 2021. This was followed by a slight decrease to 13,188 million in 2022 and a more pronounced reduction to 11,675 million in 2023. The decline in the last two years may indicate asset disposals, efficiency improvements, or a strategic reduction in capital employed.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit demonstrated significant variability, beginning with a modest value of 95 million US dollars in 2019. It then rose sharply to 658 million in 2020 and peaked at 837 million in 2021, indicating strong value creation during this period. However, economic profit declined sharply to 111 million in 2022 before slightly recovering to 167 million in 2023. This pattern mirrors the fluctuations in NOPAT and invested capital and highlights challenges in maintaining value creation post-2021.
Overall, the data portrays a company that experienced growth and increasing value creation up to 2021, followed by a period of decreased profitability and economic value generation in 2022 and 2023. This shift warrants further investigation into operational challenges or changes in market conditions during the latter period. Additionally, the reduction in invested capital may reflect strategic responses to these challenges.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Kellanova, NOPAT calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in exit cost reserves.
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Kellanova.
5 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
6 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Kellanova.
8 2023 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
10 Elimination of discontinued operations.
The financial data reveals that net income attributable to the company exhibited notable fluctuations over the five-year period. Starting at 960 million US dollars in 2019, net income increased substantially to 1,251 million in 2020 and further to a peak of 1,488 million in 2021. However, this upward trend reversed in the subsequent years, with net income declining sharply to 960 million in 2022 and slightly decreasing again to 951 million in 2023, essentially returning to near the initial 2019 level by the end of the period.
Similarly, net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) showed strong growth in the first three years, rising from 1,016 million US dollars in 2019 to a high of 1,799 million in 2021. This represents a compound growth phase with substantial improvement in operational profitability. Following this peak, NOPAT saw a marked decline in 2022 to 1,089 million and continued to decrease moderately to 1,013 million in 2023, reaching a figure close to the starting point of 2019.
- Net Income Trends
- Initial growth through 2021 followed by a reversion to earlier levels by 2023.
- NOPAT Trends
- Strong operational profit growth until 2021, then a significant decline over the last two years.
- Overall Pattern
- Both net income and NOPAT peaked in 2021 and subsequently declined, erasing much of the gains made during the growth phase. This suggests challenges in sustaining profitability post-2021.
Cash Operating Taxes
Kellanova, cash operating taxes calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).
The analysis of the annual financial data over the period from the end of 2019 through the end of 2023 reveals certain fluctuations in tax-related cash outflows.
- Income Taxes
- The amount of income taxes paid has exhibited variability throughout the periods. Starting at 321 million USD at the end of 2019, amounts remained relatively stable in 2020 with 323 million USD. However, there was a significant increase in 2021 to 474 million USD. Subsequently, income taxes declined sharply in 2022 to 244 million USD, followed by a slight increase to 258 million USD in 2023. This pattern suggests a peak in income tax obligations in 2021, with a marked reduction in the following years.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes experienced a notable decline from 536 million USD in 2019 to 317 million USD at the end of 2020. Following this dip, there was a gradual increase over the next three years, rising to 399 million USD in 2021, 340 million USD in 2022, and finally 365 million USD in 2023. Despite the upward trajectory from 2020 onwards, the cash operating taxes in 2023 remained below the 2019 level.
Overall, the data indicates a divergent trend between income taxes and cash operating taxes. Income taxes peaked in 2021 but decreased significantly afterwards, whereas cash operating taxes dropped sharply in 2020 but then experienced gradual recovery. This could reflect changes in taxable income, operational performance, or tax policies affecting the timing and amount of tax payments across the years.
Invested Capital
Kellanova, invested capital calculation (financing approach)
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of exit cost reserves.
5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Kellanova equity.
6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
7 Subtraction of construction in progress.
- Debt and Leases
- There is a clear downward trend in the total reported debt and leases over the analyzed periods. From approximately 8.47 billion USD at the end of 2019, the debt load steadily decreased each year, reaching about 6.53 billion USD by the end of 2023. This suggests a consistent effort toward deleveraging or reducing liabilities during this timeframe.
- Equity
- Total equity exhibited growth from 2019 to 2022, increasing from roughly 2.75 billion USD to around 3.94 billion USD. However, in the final period ending 2023, there is a noticeable decline to approximately 3.18 billion USD. This drop could indicate either a return of capital to shareholders, losses, or other equity-reducing events experienced in that year.
- Invested Capital
- The invested capital values show relative stability but with a downward move in the most recent period. From about 13.1 billion USD in 2019, invested capital slightly increased to a peak near 13.59 billion USD by the end of 2021, before modestly declining to roughly 11.68 billion USD by the end of 2023. This decline may reflect asset sales, reduced capital expenditure, or other adjustments in company investments or assets employed.
- Overall Insights
- The company appears to have focused on reducing its financial leverage throughout the examined years, improving its debt profile. Despite an increase in equity until 2022, the sharp reduction in 2023 warrants attention as it contrasts with prior growth trends. The decline in invested capital in 2023 aligns with lower equity, suggesting a contraction in the company's operational or investment base. These patterns indicate strategic financial restructuring or responses to external market conditions that have impacted the company's capital structure and asset base in recent years.
Cost of Capital
Kellanova, cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Notes payable and long-term debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Notes payable and long-term debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Notes payable and long-term debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Notes payable and long-term debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Notes payable and long-term debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Notes payable and long-term debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Notes payable and long-term debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Notes payable and long-term debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Notes payable and long-term debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Notes payable and long-term debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Kellanova, economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 30, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 28, 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| Coca-Cola Co. | ||||||
| Mondelēz International Inc. | ||||||
| PepsiCo Inc. | ||||||
| Philip Morris International Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit exhibited a significant increase from 95 million US dollars at the end of 2019 to a peak of 837 million US dollars by the end of 2021. Following this peak, there was a notable decline to 111 million US dollars in 2022, with a modest recovery to 167 million US dollars by the end of 2023. This trend indicates a period of substantial profitability growth until 2021, succeeded by a sharp contraction and partial rebound in subsequent years.
- Invested Capital
- The invested capital showed a relatively stable trajectory with slight fluctuations over the period. Beginning at 13,101 million US dollars in 2019, it marginally increased to 13,587 million US dollars by the end of 2021. After remaining fairly steady through 2022 at 13,188 million US dollars, there was a more pronounced decrease to 11,675 million US dollars in 2023. This suggests a reduction in capital deployed or assets invested during the most recent year under review.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio demonstrated a similar pattern to economic profit, starting from a low base of 0.73% in 2019. It improved markedly to 6.16% by the end of 2021, reflecting enhanced efficiency or returns on invested capital. However, in 2022, this ratio sharply declined to 0.84%, then experienced a partial recovery to 1.43% in 2023. The fluctuation in the spread ratio signals volatility in the company’s ability to generate returns over its cost of capital, with a peak in 2021 followed by a contraction and mild improvement.
- Summary
- The overall financial data indicates that the company achieved its highest performance in terms of economic profit and economic spread by the end of 2021. The subsequent years have shown a distinct downturn in profitability and returns, accompanied by a reduction in invested capital in the latest period. These trends may reflect changing market conditions, operational challenges, or strategic adjustments impacting the company's economic value creation over the observed timeframe.
Economic Profit Margin
Kellanova, economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 30, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 28, 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Net sales | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| Coca-Cola Co. | ||||||
| Mondelēz International Inc. | ||||||
| PepsiCo Inc. | ||||||
| Philip Morris International Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net sales
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit exhibited significant growth from 2019 to 2021, increasing from 95 million US dollars to 837 million US dollars. This upward trend indicates an improvement in the company’s value creation over this period. However, the economic profit experienced a sharp decline in 2022, dropping to 111 million US dollars, before slightly recovering to 167 million US dollars in 2023. These fluctuations suggest challenges or changes that negatively impacted profitability after 2021, followed by a moderate recovery in the subsequent year.
- Net Sales
- Net sales showed a steady increase from 13,578 million US dollars in 2019 to a peak of 15,315 million US dollars in 2022. Despite this growth, sales declined notably in 2023 to 13,122 million US dollars, marking the lowest figure since 2020. This decline in sales corresponds with the downturn observed in economic profit after 2021, signaling potential market pressures or operational issues affecting revenue generation during that period.
- Economic Profit Margin
- The economic profit margin followed a similar pattern to economic profit. Initially, it rose from 0.7% in 2019 to a high of 5.9% in 2021, reflecting improved profitability relative to sales. In 2022, the margin contracted sharply to 0.72%, indicating a severe reduction in profitability efficiency. A minimal recovery to 1.27% was observed in 2023, though the margin remained substantially below the peak levels of earlier years.
- Summary
- Overall, the financial data reveals a period of growth and improved profitability from 2019 through 2021. After reaching peak performance in 2021, the company experienced a significant downturn in both economic profit and profit margin in 2022, accompanied by a decrease in net sales in 2023. This suggests the presence of adverse factors impacting financial performance post-2021. While there is some evidence of recovery in 2023, the company has not yet returned to its prior peak profitability or sales levels.