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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. pages available for free this week:
- Income Statement
- Balance Sheet: Assets
- DuPont Analysis: Disaggregation of ROE, ROA, and Net Profit Margin
- Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)
- Price to FCFE (P/FCFE)
- Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
- Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
- Present Value of Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
- Operating Profit Margin since 2005
- Analysis of Revenues
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Economic Profit
12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
Cost of capital2 | ||||||
Invested capital3 | ||||||
Economic profit4 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- There is a consistent and significant increase in NOPAT over the five-year period. Starting from approximately $614 million in 2020, NOPAT rose steadily each year to reach around $1.71 billion by 2024. This implies a strong improvement in the company's operating profitability after accounting for taxes.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital has remained relatively stable, fluctuating slightly around the range of 16.5% to 16.9%. This minor variation suggests that the weighted average cost of capital was steady, with a marginal increase towards the end of the period.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital saw a steady upward trend from approximately $4.94 billion in 2020 to about $6.83 billion in 2024. Despite a minor decline between 2021 and 2022, the overall trend points to increasing capital investment, indicating potential expansion or reinvestment in the business.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit shows a marked improvement, transitioning from negative values at the start of the period (-$210 million in 2020 and -$122 million in 2021) to positive and growing profits starting in 2022. By 2024, economic profit reached approximately $554 million, reflecting enhanced value creation above the cost of capital.
- Overall Analysis
- The data reflects that the company improved its operational efficiency and profitability while making significant investments in its capital base. The stable cost of capital alongside increasing NOPAT and invested capital indicates effective capital management. Importantly, the turnaround from negative to positive economic profit highlights a transition to generating shareholder value beyond the minimum required returns.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in unearned revenue.
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring liability.
5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.
6 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
7 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.
The financial data over the five-year period reveals a consistent upward trend in both net income and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT).
- Net Income
- Net income has shown significant growth each year, starting at 355,766 thousand US dollars in 2020 and increasing steadily to 1,534,110 thousand US dollars by 2024. This represents a more than fourfold increase over the period, indicating strong profitability improvements and potentially effective cost management or revenue growth strategies.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT also displays a continuous rise from 613,981 thousand US dollars in 2020 to 1,706,003 thousand US dollars in 2024. The growing NOPAT suggests enhanced operational efficiency and profitability, reflecting the company's ability to generate higher returns from its core operations after accounting for tax expenses.
Overall, the data illustrates robust financial performance, with net income and NOPAT improving substantially year over year. The parallel growth in both metrics underlines consistent operational success coupled with effective tax management. This positive trajectory indicates favorable prospects if the trends continue.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
The data reveals a consistent upward trend in both provision (benefit) for income taxes and cash operating taxes over the analyzed periods from 2020 to 2024.
- Provision (benefit) for income taxes (US$ in thousands)
- Initially, there was a negative value of -61,985 in 2020, indicating a tax benefit. However, this shifted to a positive figure in 2021, reaching 159,779, and continued to increase each subsequent year, culminating in 476,120 by 2024.
- Cash operating taxes (US$ in thousands)
- Similarly, cash operating taxes moved from a negative amount of -130,767 in 2020 to a positive 213,319 in 2021, with continuous growth each year thereafter. The amount more than doubled from 452,292 in 2023 to 573,988 in 2024.
The transition from negative to positive tax provisions and cash payments in 2021 suggests a significant change in the tax position or profitability of the company starting that year. The steady increase in both metrics through 2024 may indicate increasing taxable income or changes in tax rates or policies applied to the company. Additionally, the gap between provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes is evident and appears to widen over time, which could point to differences in deferred tax accounting effects or timing differences in tax payments.
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of unearned revenue.
5 Addition of restructuring liability.
6 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity.
7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
8 Subtraction of construction in Progress.
9 Subtraction of debt investments.
The financial data reveals consistent growth in key capital structure components over the observed five-year period.
- Total reported debt & leases
- There is a steady increase in total reported debt and lease obligations, rising from approximately $3.16 billion in 2020 to about $4.54 billion in 2024. The growth trend is continuous year-over-year, indicating an increasing reliance on leverage or lease obligations to finance operations or expansion initiatives.
- Shareholders’ equity
- Shareholders' equity shows a positive and notable growth trend, expanding from around $2.02 billion in 2020 to nearly $3.66 billion in 2024. The equity increases are more pronounced from 2022 onwards, suggesting retained earnings accumulation, equity infusion, or improved profitability driving the net asset value upwards.
- Invested capital
- Invested capital, representing the total amount of capital used for operations, also demonstrates an overall upward trend. It rises from about $4.94 billion in 2020 to approximately $6.83 billion in 2024, with a slight dip noted in 2022 relative to 2021. The rebound following 2022 highlights expansion or reinvestment efforts surpassing the previous year's level.
Overall, the data indicates a firm that is progressively increasing both its debt and equity bases to support growing invested capital. The increasing equity base alongside rising debt suggests balanced financing efforts, potentially enhancing financial flexibility and capacity for continued growth.
Cost of Capital
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc., cost of capital calculations
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Operating lease liability3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Operating lease liability3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Operating lease liability3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Operating lease liability3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Operating lease liability3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
Economic Spread Ratio
Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands) | ||||||
Economic profit1 | ||||||
Invested capital2 | ||||||
Performance Ratio | ||||||
Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
Benchmarks | ||||||
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
Airbnb Inc. | ||||||
Booking Holdings Inc. | ||||||
DoorDash, Inc. | ||||||
McDonald’s Corp. | ||||||
Starbucks Corp. |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit demonstrates a notable progression over the analyzed periods. Initially, it was negative at -209,651 thousand US dollars in 2020, indicating value destruction during that year. However, there is a clear upward trend, with economic profit increasing to -121,649 thousand US dollars in 2021, turning positive at 133,660 thousand US dollars in 2022, and continuing to rise significantly to 554,142 thousand US dollars by 2024. This trajectory suggests improving profitability and value creation for the company across the years.
- Invested Capital
- The invested capital shows a steady increase from 4,937,915 thousand US dollars in 2020 to 6,827,838 thousand US dollars in 2024. Although there is a slight decrease observed between 2021 (5,496,598 thousand US dollars) and 2022 (5,396,406 thousand US dollars), the overall trend is one of growth. This expansion in invested capital indicates ongoing investment in the company's assets or operations.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio improved consistently over the given timeline. Starting with a negative spread of -4.25% in 2020, it moved closer to zero at -2.21% in 2021, then became positive from 2022 onward. The ratio increased markedly to 8.12% by 2024. The rising economic spread ratio suggests enhanced efficiency in generating returns over the company's cost of capital, reflecting strengthening economic profitability.
Economic Profit Margin
Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands) | ||||||
Economic profit1 | ||||||
Revenue | ||||||
Add: Increase (decrease) in unearned revenue | ||||||
Adjusted revenue | ||||||
Performance Ratio | ||||||
Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
Benchmarks | ||||||
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
Airbnb Inc. | ||||||
Booking Holdings Inc. | ||||||
DoorDash, Inc. | ||||||
McDonald’s Corp. | ||||||
Starbucks Corp. |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenue
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The analysis of the annual financial data reveals significant positive trends in key financial metrics over the observed five-year period.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit displayed a notable turnaround from a negative position in 2020 and 2021 to positive values beginning in 2022. Specifically, economic profit was -209,651 thousand US dollars in 2020, improved to -121,649 thousand in 2021, and then shifted to positive 133,660 thousand in 2022. This upward trajectory continued with further increases to 388,819 thousand in 2023 and 554,142 thousand in 2024. This pattern indicates a significant improvement in the company's value creation, moving from economic losses to substantial economic gains.
- Adjusted Revenue
- Adjusted revenue exhibited consistent growth throughout the entire period. The revenue increased from 6,017,189 thousand US dollars in 2020 to 7,575,662 thousand in 2021, representing strong growth of approximately 25.8%. This growth momentum persisted in subsequent years with revenues of 8,661,372 thousand in 2022, 9,898,258 thousand in 2023, and reaching 11,342,750 thousand in 2024. The steady rise suggests effective market expansion or improved sales performance over time.
- Economic Profit Margin
- Closely related to the economic profit, the economic profit margin also demonstrated a marked improvement over the period. Starting at a negative margin of -3.48% in 2020, the metric improved to -1.61% in 2021, indicating reduced economic loss relative to revenue. In 2022, the margin crossed into positive territory at 1.54%, then increased further to 3.93% in 2023 and 4.89% in 2024. This positive progression points to an enhanced profitability and more efficient utilization of capital in generating returns above the cost of capital.
Overall, the data suggests a strong recovery and growth phase with improving profitability and revenue generation capabilities. The transition from negative to positive economic profit and continuous revenue expansion reflect successful business strategies and operational improvements over the reported years.