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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. pages available for free this week:
- Common-Size Balance Sheet: Assets
- Common-Size Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
- Analysis of Liquidity Ratios
- Analysis of Short-term (Operating) Activity Ratios
- Analysis of Geographic Areas
- Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)
- Price to FCFE (P/FCFE)
- Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
- Analysis of Revenues
- Aggregate Accruals
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Economic Profit
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
- Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
- There is a consistent upward trend in NOPAT over the five-year period, increasing from approximately $614 million in 2020 to about $1.71 billion in 2024. This shows a strong improvement in operating profitability after taxes, with notable acceleration in growth particularly evident from 2022 onwards.
- Cost of capital
- The cost of capital has remained relatively stable, fluctuating slightly around 16.5% to 16.9% throughout the period. Despite this stability, there was a minor increase observed in 2023 and 2024 compared to prior years, suggesting a marginally higher hurdle rate for investment returns.
- Invested capital
- Invested capital demonstrates a steady growth trend, increasing from roughly $4.94 billion in 2020 to $6.83 billion in 2024. Although there was a small dip between 2021 and 2022, the overall trajectory suggests ongoing capital deployment, likely to support future growth and expansion.
- Economic profit
- Economic profit has moved from significant negative values in 2020 and 2021, indicating returns below the cost of capital, to positive territory starting in 2022. This positive momentum strengthened substantially through 2024, reaching over $552 million. The transition into positive economic profit reflects improved capital efficiency and value creation for shareholders.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in unearned revenue.
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring liability.
5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.
6 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
7 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.
The financial data over the five-year period reveals a consistent upward trend in both net income and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT).
- Net Income
- Net income has shown significant growth each year, starting at 355,766 thousand US dollars in 2020 and increasing steadily to 1,534,110 thousand US dollars by 2024. This represents a more than fourfold increase over the period, indicating strong profitability improvements and potentially effective cost management or revenue growth strategies.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT also displays a continuous rise from 613,981 thousand US dollars in 2020 to 1,706,003 thousand US dollars in 2024. The growing NOPAT suggests enhanced operational efficiency and profitability, reflecting the company's ability to generate higher returns from its core operations after accounting for tax expenses.
Overall, the data illustrates robust financial performance, with net income and NOPAT improving substantially year over year. The parallel growth in both metrics underlines consistent operational success coupled with effective tax management. This positive trajectory indicates favorable prospects if the trends continue.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
The data reveals a consistent upward trend in both provision (benefit) for income taxes and cash operating taxes over the analyzed periods from 2020 to 2024.
- Provision (benefit) for income taxes (US$ in thousands)
- Initially, there was a negative value of -61,985 in 2020, indicating a tax benefit. However, this shifted to a positive figure in 2021, reaching 159,779, and continued to increase each subsequent year, culminating in 476,120 by 2024.
- Cash operating taxes (US$ in thousands)
- Similarly, cash operating taxes moved from a negative amount of -130,767 in 2020 to a positive 213,319 in 2021, with continuous growth each year thereafter. The amount more than doubled from 452,292 in 2023 to 573,988 in 2024.
The transition from negative to positive tax provisions and cash payments in 2021 suggests a significant change in the tax position or profitability of the company starting that year. The steady increase in both metrics through 2024 may indicate increasing taxable income or changes in tax rates or policies applied to the company. Additionally, the gap between provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes is evident and appears to widen over time, which could point to differences in deferred tax accounting effects or timing differences in tax payments.
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of unearned revenue.
5 Addition of restructuring liability.
6 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity.
7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
8 Subtraction of construction in Progress.
9 Subtraction of debt investments.
The financial data reveals consistent growth in key capital structure components over the observed five-year period.
- Total reported debt & leases
- There is a steady increase in total reported debt and lease obligations, rising from approximately $3.16 billion in 2020 to about $4.54 billion in 2024. The growth trend is continuous year-over-year, indicating an increasing reliance on leverage or lease obligations to finance operations or expansion initiatives.
- Shareholders’ equity
- Shareholders' equity shows a positive and notable growth trend, expanding from around $2.02 billion in 2020 to nearly $3.66 billion in 2024. The equity increases are more pronounced from 2022 onwards, suggesting retained earnings accumulation, equity infusion, or improved profitability driving the net asset value upwards.
- Invested capital
- Invested capital, representing the total amount of capital used for operations, also demonstrates an overall upward trend. It rises from about $4.94 billion in 2020 to approximately $6.83 billion in 2024, with a slight dip noted in 2022 relative to 2021. The rebound following 2022 highlights expansion or reinvestment efforts surpassing the previous year's level.
Overall, the data indicates a firm that is progressively increasing both its debt and equity bases to support growing invested capital. The increasing equity base alongside rising debt suggests balanced financing efforts, potentially enhancing financial flexibility and capacity for continued growth.
Cost of Capital
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Operating lease liability3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Operating lease liability3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Operating lease liability3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Operating lease liability3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Operating lease liability3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
Economic Spread Ratio
| Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| Airbnb Inc. | ||||||
| Booking Holdings Inc. | ||||||
| DoorDash, Inc. | ||||||
| McDonald’s Corp. | ||||||
| Starbucks Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit demonstrated a significant improvement over the five-year period. Starting with a negative value of -210,930 thousand US dollars in 2020, it improved to -123,061 thousand US dollars in 2021. Subsequently, economic profit turned positive in 2022 with 132,278 thousand US dollars and continued its upward trend, reaching 387,240 thousand in 2023 and 552,350 thousand US dollars in 2024. This trend indicates a shift from economic losses to robust profitability.
- Invested Capital
- The invested capital exhibited a generally increasing trend. Beginning at 4,937,915 thousand US dollars in 2020, it increased to 5,496,598 thousand US dollars in 2021. There was a slight decline in 2022 to 5,396,406 thousand US dollars, followed by continued growth to 6,006,837 thousand in 2023 and 6,827,838 thousand US dollars in 2024. This suggests ongoing capital investment with a minor contraction only in the 2022 period.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio, expressing the return on invested capital relative to its cost, improved markedly throughout the period. It started negative at -4.27% in 2020 and improved to -2.24% in 2021, indicating reduced economic inefficiency. The ratio turned positive in 2022 at 2.45%, followed by strong increases in 2023 and 2024, reaching 6.45% and 8.09%, respectively. This reflects increasing value creation on invested capital and enhanced operational performance.
Economic Profit Margin
| Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Revenue | ||||||
| Add: Increase (decrease) in unearned revenue | ||||||
| Adjusted revenue | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| Airbnb Inc. | ||||||
| Booking Holdings Inc. | ||||||
| DoorDash, Inc. | ||||||
| McDonald’s Corp. | ||||||
| Starbucks Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenue
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Revenue Trends
- Adjusted revenue has shown a consistent upward trend over the five-year period. From 6.02 billion US dollars in 2020, revenue increased steadily each year, reaching 11.34 billion US dollars by 2024. This represents an overall growth of approximately 88.5%, indicating a strong and sustained expansion in the company's top-line performance.
- Profitability and Economic Profit
- The economic profit has shifted significantly from negative to positive values during the observed years. Initially, the company experienced an economic loss of approximately 211 million US dollars in 2020, which diminished in magnitude to about 123 million US dollars in 2021. From 2022 onwards, the economic profit turned positive, increasing from 132 million US dollars to 552 million US dollars by 2024. This transition reflects a marked improvement in the company's ability to generate value above its cost of capital.
- Economic Profit Margin
- Consistent with the economic profit trend, the economic profit margin improved markedly over the period. Starting at a deficit of -3.51% in 2020, the margin decreased its negative impact to -1.62% in 2021 before turning positive in 2022 at 1.53%. The margin expanded further to 4.87% by 2024, indicating enhanced operational efficiency and profitability relative to revenue.
- Overall Financial Health
- The data reveals a positive trajectory in both revenue generation and economic profitability, suggesting effective management strategies and operational improvements. The company has successfully transitioned from incurring economic losses to generating substantial economic profits, which likely contribute to increasing shareholder value over time.