Stock Analysis on Net

Booking Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:BKNG)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Booking Holdings Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT showed a relatively stable pattern between 2020 and 2021, with values of 670 million and 671 million US dollars, respectively. There was a significant increase in 2022, reaching 2,965 million US dollars, followed by continued growth in 2023 and 2024 to 3,758 million and 6,151 million US dollars, respectively. This indicates a strong upward trajectory in operational profitability over the five-year period.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained relatively consistent throughout the observed periods, fluctuating slightly but staying within a narrow range from 16.93% in 2020 to 17.31% in 2024. This stability suggests a steady market or company-specific risk profile and financing environment.
Invested Capital
Invested capital initially increased slightly from 14,563 million US dollars in 2020 to 15,004 million US dollars in 2021. However, it then decreased significantly to 13,642 million in 2022 and further down to 11,415 million US dollars in 2023. An increase was noted again in 2024, reaching 12,973 million US dollars. The overall trend suggests a reduction in the capital invested in operations after 2021 with some recovery by the end of the period.
Economic Profit
Economic profit was negative in the first two years, -1,795 million US dollars in 2020 and -1,900 million US dollars in 2021, indicating that returns did not cover the cost of capital in those years. Starting in 2022, there was a marked turnaround with positive economic profit of 651 million US dollars, which then increased substantially in subsequent years to 1,785 million in 2023 and 3,905 million US dollars in 2024. This improvement reflects enhanced value creation and operational efficiency exceeding capital costs.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Booking Holdings Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in restructuring liabilities3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest and dividend income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8
Investment income, after taxes9
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring liabilities.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

8 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial data indicates a pronounced upward trajectory in both net income and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) over the five-year period from 2020 to 2024. Specifically, net income exhibits significant growth, increasing from 59 million US dollars in 2020 to 5,882 million US dollars in 2024. This represents a nearly hundredfold rise, with the most substantial increases occurring between 2020 and 2021, and continuing robustly in the subsequent years.

Similarly, NOPAT trends upward, starting at 670 million US dollars in 2020 and reaching 6,151 million US dollars by 2024. This steady increase reflects growing operating efficiency and profitability after accounting for taxes over the period.

Net Income
2020: 59 million US dollars
2021: 1,165 million US dollars
2022: 3,058 million US dollars
2023: 4,289 million US dollars
2024: 5,882 million US dollars
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
2020: 670 million US dollars
2021: 671 million US dollars
2022: 2,965 million US dollars
2023: 3,758 million US dollars
2024: 6,151 million US dollars

The disparity between the net income and NOPAT values in earlier years, particularly in 2020 and 2021 where net income is substantially lower than NOPAT, may signal differences in non-operating items, interest expenses, or taxes impacting net income. From 2022 onwards, the figures for both metrics converge more closely, indicating stronger alignment between operating performance and final profitability.

Overall, the data reveals marked improvement in financial performance, with increases in both earnings measures suggesting effective operational management and growth in core business profitability. This positive trend underscores an expanding capacity to generate net profits from operating activities over the period analyzed.


Cash Operating Taxes

Booking Holdings Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Income tax expense
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The income tax expense exhibited a fluctuating upward trend over the five-year period. Beginning at 508 million US dollars in 2020, the expense decreased significantly to 300 million in 2021, followed by a sharp increase to 865 million in 2022. The upward momentum continued with the tax expense rising to 1,192 million in 2023 and further to 1,410 million in 2024, indicating increasing tax obligations over the most recent years.

Cash operating taxes, which typically reflect the actual cash outflows for taxes, showed a consistent increase from 362 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 1,650 million in 2023. This represents more than a fourfold increase within four years. However, in 2024, a decline to 1,355 million was observed, slightly reducing the cash tax burden compared to the previous year but still maintaining a substantially higher level relative to the earlier years.

Income Tax Expense Trends
Initial decline between 2020 and 2021 followed by substantial growth through 2024.
Cash Operating Taxes Trends
Strong upward trajectory from 2020 to 2023, with a decrease noted in 2024.
Comparison Insights
The divergence in behavior during 2021, when income tax expense significantly dropped while cash operating taxes increased, could suggest timing differences or changes in non-cash tax items. The overall rising trend in both metrics from 2022 onwards aligns with increasing taxable income or changes in tax rates or regulations.

Invested Capital

Booking Holdings Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Current finance lease liabilities
Short-term debt
Non-current finance lease liabilities
Long-term debt
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Stockholders’ equity (deficit)
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for expected credit losses3
Restructuring liabilities4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Adjusted stockholders’ equity (deficit)
Building construction-in-progress7
Marketable securities8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of restructuring liabilities.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity (deficit).

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of building construction-in-progress.

8 Subtraction of marketable securities.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibited an overall upward trend from 2020 to 2024. Starting at $12,539 million in 2020, the debt decreased slightly to $11,430 million in 2021 but then increased consistently over the following years, reaching $17,236 million by 2024. This indicates a rising reliance on debt financing or increased lease obligations over the analyzed period.
Stockholders’ equity (deficit)
Stockholders’ equity showed significant volatility and a declining trajectory across the five-year span. The value rose from $4,893 million in 2020 to a peak of $6,178 million in 2021. However, it dropped sharply to $2,782 million in 2022 and then moved into negative territory, reaching a deficit of $2,744 million in 2023 and further declining to a deficit of $4,020 million in 2024. This substantial decrease suggests deteriorating net asset value, potentially due to accumulated losses, share repurchases, or other equity-reducing activities.
Invested capital
Invested capital stayed relatively stable initially but showed a downward trend over time. It modestly increased from $14,563 million in 2020 to $15,004 million in 2021, followed by declines in the subsequent years, reaching a low of $11,415 million in 2023. A slight recovery occurred in 2024 when invested capital rose to $12,973 million. The pattern indicates possible divestitures, asset sales, or reductions in net operating assets before some stabilization or reinvestment in the last year.

Cost of Capital

Booking Holdings Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Booking Holdings Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Airbnb Inc.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
DoorDash, Inc.
McDonald’s Corp.
Starbucks Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit exhibited a significant improvement during the observed period. Initially, there were substantial negative values of -1795 million USD and -1900 million USD for the years 2020 and 2021, respectively. Starting in 2022, the company transitioned to positive economic profit, showing 651 million USD. This positive trend continued with a marked increase to 1785 million USD in 2023, and further growth reaching 3905 million USD by the end of 2024. This shift indicates a strong enhancement in the company's ability to generate returns above its cost of capital.
Invested Capital
The invested capital declined from 14563 million USD in 2020 to 11415 million USD in 2023, showing a gradual reduction over these years. However, in 2024, there was a reversal in this trend with invested capital rising to 12973 million USD. This pattern suggests a period of contraction or optimization of capital employed followed by renewed investment or expansion efforts in the most recent year.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio experienced a marked turnaround, starting with negative figures of -12.33% and -12.66% in 2020 and 2021, respectively, which aligns with the negative economic profit. In 2022, the ratio became positive at 4.77%, signifying that returns began to exceed costs. This positive momentum strengthened considerably with economic spread ratios climbing to 15.64% in 2023 and further to 30.1% in 2024, highlighting an increasingly efficient use of capital and stronger profitability margins relative to cost.

Economic Profit Margin

Booking Holdings Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Airbnb Inc.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
DoorDash, Inc.
McDonald’s Corp.
Starbucks Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data reveals significant positive trends over the five-year period analyzed. There is a clear improvement in both absolute economic profit and economic profit margin, complemented by a substantial upward trajectory in revenues.

Economic Profit
The economic profit began at a substantial negative value of -1,795 million US dollars in 2020, further declining to -1,900 million US dollars in 2021. However, from 2022 onward, economic profit reversed direction, achieving positive values of 651 million US dollars, 1,785 million US dollars, and 3,905 million US dollars in 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively. This turnaround indicates a significant enhancement in value creation over the observed timeframe.
Revenues
Revenues demonstrated strong, consistent growth across the period, rising from 6,796 million US dollars in 2020 to 23,739 million US dollars in 2024. The growth rate was particularly notable between 2020 and 2021, with revenues increasing by over 60%. This upward trend continued steadily through 2022, 2023, and 2024, reflecting robust top-line expansion.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin followed a pattern similar to economic profit. It was negative in the initial two years, standing at -26.42% in 2020 and improving slightly to -17.34% in 2021. Starting in 2022, the margin turned positive at 3.81% and increased thereafter to 8.36% in 2023 and 16.45% in 2024. This shift represents enhanced operational efficiency and improved profitability relative to the company’s revenue base.

Overall, the data indicates the company successfully reversed prior losses and established a strong growth trend in profitability and revenues from 2022 onwards. The progression of the economic profit margin alongside revenue increases suggests effective management of costs and capital, contributing to stronger economic value creation. This trajectory signals improving financial health and sustainability in performance moving forward.