Stock Analysis on Net

McDonald’s Corp. (NYSE:MCD)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

McDonald’s Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 9,274,313 7,131,045 8,491,205 6,161,563 7,516,971
Cost of capital2 9.59% 9.56% 9.23% 8.88% 9.10%
Invested capital3 50,097,000 45,460,500 47,778,700 46,817,000 42,668,200
 
Economic profit4 4,472,339 2,786,053 4,080,222 2,002,242 3,633,498

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 9,274,3139.59% × 50,097,000 = 4,472,339

Item Description The company
Economic profit Economic profit is a measure of corporate performance computed by taking the spread between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, and multiplying by the invested capital. McDonald’s Corp. economic profit decreased from 2021 to 2022 but then increased from 2022 to 2023 exceeding 2021 level.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

McDonald’s Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net income 8,468,800 6,177,400 7,545,200 4,730,500 6,025,400
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (686,400) (345,700) (428,300) 6,400 149,700
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenues, initial franchise fees2 32,300 19,500 36,300 41,400 32,800
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3 (654,100) (326,200) (392,000) 47,800 182,500
Interest expense, net of capitalized interest 1,360,800 1,207,000 1,185,800 1,218,100 1,121,900
Interest expense, operating lease liability4 486,812 413,057 507,877 532,866 535,152
Adjusted interest expense, net of capitalized interest 1,847,612 1,620,057 1,693,677 1,750,966 1,657,052
Tax benefit of interest expense, net of capitalized interest5 (387,999) (340,212) (355,672) (367,703) (347,981)
Adjusted interest expense, net of capitalized interest, after taxes6 1,459,613 1,279,845 1,338,005 1,383,263 1,309,071
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 9,274,313 7,131,045 8,491,205 6,161,563 7,516,971

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenues, initial franchise fees.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

4 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 12,170,300 × 4.00% = 486,812

5 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense, net of capitalized interest = Adjusted interest expense, net of capitalized interest × Statutory income tax rate
= 1,847,612 × 21.00% = 387,999

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

Item Description The company
NOPAT Net operating profit after taxes is income from operations, but after removement of taxes calculated on cash basis that are relevant to operating income. McDonald’s Corp. NOPAT decreased from 2021 to 2022 but then increased from 2022 to 2023 exceeding 2021 level.

Cash Operating Taxes

McDonald’s Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Provision for income taxes 2,053,400 1,648,000 1,582,700 1,410,200 1,992,700
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (686,400) (345,700) (428,300) 6,400 149,700
Add: Tax savings from interest expense, net of capitalized interest 387,999 340,212 355,672 367,703 347,981
Cash operating taxes 3,127,799 2,333,912 2,366,672 1,771,503 2,190,981

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

Item Description The company
Cash operating taxes Cash operating taxes are estimated by adjusting income tax expense for changes in deferred taxes and tax benefit from the interest deduction. McDonald’s Corp. cash operating taxes decreased from 2021 to 2022 but then increased from 2022 to 2023 exceeding 2021 level.

Invested Capital

McDonald’s Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Short-term borrowings and current maturities of long-term debt 2,192,400 2,243,600 59,100
Current finance lease liability 45,500 21,500
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities 37,152,900 35,903,500 35,622,700 35,196,800 34,118,100
Long-term finance lease liability 1,530,000 1,300,200
Operating lease liability1 12,170,300 11,473,800 13,726,400 14,022,800 13,378,800
Total reported debt & leases 53,091,100 48,699,000 49,349,100 51,463,200 47,556,000
Shareholders’ equity (deficit) (4,706,700) (6,003,400) (4,601,000) (7,824,900) (8,210,300)
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (1,342,000) (479,500) (281,400) (110,100) 179,200
Deferred revenues, initial franchise fees3 790,100 757,800 738,300 702,000 660,600
Equity equivalents4 (551,900) 278,300 456,900 591,900 839,800
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5 2,456,000 2,486,600 2,573,700 2,586,800 2,482,700
Adjusted shareholders’ equity (deficit) (2,802,600) (3,238,500) (1,570,400) (4,646,200) (4,887,800)
Investments6 (191,500)
Invested capital 50,097,000 45,460,500 47,778,700 46,817,000 42,668,200

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of deferred revenues, initial franchise fees.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity (deficit).

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of investments.

Item Description The company
Invested capital Capital is an approximation of the economic book value of all cash invested in going-concern business activities. McDonald’s Corp. invested capital decreased from 2021 to 2022 but then increased from 2022 to 2023 exceeding 2021 level.

Cost of Capital

McDonald’s Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 213,669,476 213,669,476 ÷ 265,815,276 = 0.80 0.80 × 11.19% = 9.00%
Debt obligations and finance lease liability3 39,975,500 39,975,500 ÷ 265,815,276 = 0.15 0.15 × 3.72% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.44%
Operating lease liability4 12,170,300 12,170,300 ÷ 265,815,276 = 0.05 0.05 × 4.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.14%
Total: 265,815,276 1.00 9.59%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations and finance lease liability. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 192,881,116 192,881,116 ÷ 239,176,616 = 0.81 0.81 × 11.19% = 9.03%
Debt obligations and finance lease liability3 34,821,700 34,821,700 ÷ 239,176,616 = 0.15 0.15 × 3.42% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.39%
Operating lease liability4 11,473,800 11,473,800 ÷ 239,176,616 = 0.05 0.05 × 3.60% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.14%
Total: 239,176,616 1.00 9.56%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations and finance lease liability. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 182,200,563 182,200,563 ÷ 235,926,963 = 0.77 0.77 × 11.19% = 8.65%
Debt obligations and finance lease liability3 40,000,000 40,000,000 ÷ 235,926,963 = 0.17 0.17 × 3.11% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.42%
Operating lease liability4 13,726,400 13,726,400 ÷ 235,926,963 = 0.06 0.06 × 3.70% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.17%
Total: 235,926,963 1.00 9.23%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations and finance lease liability. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 157,554,306 157,554,306 ÷ 215,277,106 = 0.73 0.73 × 11.19% = 8.19%
Debt obligations and finance lease liability3 43,700,000 43,700,000 ÷ 215,277,106 = 0.20 0.20 × 3.09% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.50%
Operating lease liability4 14,022,800 14,022,800 ÷ 215,277,106 = 0.07 0.07 × 3.80% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.20%
Total: 215,277,106 1.00 8.88%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations and finance lease liability. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 156,618,342 156,618,342 ÷ 207,597,142 = 0.75 0.75 × 11.19% = 8.45%
Debt obligations and finance lease liability3 37,600,000 37,600,000 ÷ 207,597,142 = 0.18 0.18 × 3.16% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.45%
Operating lease liability4 13,378,800 13,378,800 ÷ 207,597,142 = 0.06 0.06 × 4.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.20%
Total: 207,597,142 1.00 9.10%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations and finance lease liability. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

McDonald’s Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 4,472,339 2,786,053 4,080,222 2,002,242 3,633,498
Invested capital2 50,097,000 45,460,500 47,778,700 46,817,000 42,668,200
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 8.93% 6.13% 8.54% 4.28% 8.52%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Airbnb Inc. 13.10% 14.52% -7.74% -114.04%
Booking Holdings Inc. 16.84% 5.95% -11.47% -11.15% 30.50%
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. 7.64% 3.61% -1.08% -3.10% -2.86%
Starbucks Corp. 9.36% 6.94% 8.20% -4.52% -0.10%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 4,472,339 ÷ 50,097,000 = 8.93%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic spread ratio The ratio of economic profit to invested capital, also equal to the difference between return on invested capital (ROIC) and cost of capital. McDonald’s Corp. economic spread ratio deteriorated from 2021 to 2022 but then improved from 2022 to 2023 exceeding 2021 level.

Economic Profit Margin

McDonald’s Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 4,472,339 2,786,053 4,080,222 2,002,242 3,633,498
 
Revenues 25,493,700 23,182,600 23,222,900 19,207,800 21,076,500
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenues, initial franchise fees 32,300 19,500 36,300 41,400 32,800
Adjusted revenues 25,526,000 23,202,100 23,259,200 19,249,200 21,109,300
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 17.52% 12.01% 17.54% 10.40% 17.21%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Airbnb Inc. 7.51% 11.46% -6.96% -174.60%
Booking Holdings Inc. 9.00% 4.75% -15.70% -23.90% 22.31%
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. 4.63% 2.25% -0.78% -2.54% -2.16%
Starbucks Corp. 5.79% 4.42% 6.68% -4.41% -0.08%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenues
= 100 × 4,472,339 ÷ 25,526,000 = 17.52%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic profit margin The ratio of economic profit to sales. It is the company profit margin covering income efficiency and asset management. Economic profit margin is not biased in favor of capital-intensive business models, because any added capital is a cost to the economic profit margin. McDonald’s Corp. economic profit margin deteriorated from 2021 to 2022 but then improved from 2022 to 2023 not reaching 2021 level.